2022 GROWTH TARGETS

I. Household Targets

II. Job Targets

III. Countywide Planning Policy Amendments

WHY ARE WE DOING THIS?

GMA requires 20 year population targets every 10 years, based on State forecasts

CPPs also require 20 year job targets, based on PSRC forecasts

TARGET PRINCIPLES Shared responsibility Extend existing targets Maintain urban growth area Promote jobs/ housing balance Housing follows jobs Reflect market trends and land capacity Targets are planning commitments, not

quotas Infrastructure needed to achieve targets

I. Household Targets

Table 1Determine the percentage of jobs anticipated for each subarea based on Puget Sound Regional Council forecasts

SubareaJob Forecast 2001-2022

Percentage distribution

SeaShore 95,850 33%East KC 103,250 35%South KC 89,500 30%Rural Cities 5,250 2%Total 293,850

Job Forecast by KC Subarea

Table 2

Distribute population to subareas based on job forecasts

SubareaPercentage distribution

Population distribution*

2000 existing population

Total 2022 population

SeaShore 33% 91,985 633,200 725,200 East KC 35% 99,086 385,100 484,200 South KC 30% 85,891 520,800 606,700 Rural Cities 2% 5,038 23,500 28,500 Total 282,000 1,562,600 1,844,600

Population Distribution by KC Urban Subarea

Table 3

Determine future household size by subarea

SubareaPersons/HH

2000Persons/HH

2020

SeaShore 2.14 2.06East KC 2.47 2.38South KC 2.59 2.49Rural Cities 2.61 2.51Total 2.39 2.30

Household Size by KC Subarea

Table 4

Convert population to household growth

SubareaTotal 2022 Population

Persons/HH 2022 HH2000

existing HHNew HH growth

SeaShore 725,200 2.06 352,569 296,200 56,369 East KC 484,200 2.38 203,445 155,800 47,645 South KC 606,700 2.49 243,655 201,300 42,355 Rural Cities 28,500 2.51 11,355 9,100 2,255 Total 1,844,600 2.30 811,024 662,400 148,624

New Households Needed to Accommodate 2000-2022 Population

Table 5

Calculate household target extensions

SubareaExisting

1992-2012 20 year target

Target achieved 1993 - 2000

Remainder of current target at end of 2000

New hsg targets needed to

accommodate new 2000-2022 population

Additional HH beyond current

target

Total HH for 30 years

(1992-2022)

SeaShore 57,905 16,375 41,530 56,369 14,839 72,744 East KC 48,348 25,665 22,683 47,645 24,962 73,310 South KC 73,387 22,957 50,430 42,355 (8,075) 65,312 Rural Cities 8,828 3,265 5,563 2,255 (3,308) 5,520 Total 188,468 68,262 120,206 148,624 28,418 216,885

Household Targets by King County Urban Subarea

Household TargetsEast King County HH

Beaux Arts Village 3Bellevue 10,117 Bothell 1,751 Clyde Hill 21 Hunts Point 1 Issaquah 3,993 Kenmore 2,325 Kirkland 5,480 Medina 31 Mercer Island 1,437 Newcastle 863 Redmond 9,083 Sammamish 3,842 Woodinville 1,869 Yarrow Point 28 UKC 6,801

Total 47,645

South King County HH

Algona 298 Auburn 5,928 Black Diamond 1,099 Burien 1,552 Covington 1,173 Des Moines 1,576 Federal Way 6,188 Kent 4,284 Milton 50 Maple Valley 300 Normandy Park 100 Pacific 996 Renton 6,198 SeaTac 4,478 Tukwila 3,200 UKC 4,935

Total 42,355

Household Targets

Sea-Shore HH

Lake Forest Park 536 Seattle 52,250 Shoreline 2,307 UKC 1,276

Total 56,369

Rural Cities HH

Carnation 246 Duvall 1,037 Enumclaw 1,927 North Bend 636 Skykomish 20 Snoqualmie 1,697

Total 5,563

II. Job Targets

Allocate employment targets to jurisdictions within each subarea based on the PSRC forecast.

SubareaJob Forecast 2001-2022

Percentage distribution

SeaShore 95,850 33%East KC 103,250 35%South KC 89,500 30%Rural Cities 5,250 2%Total 293,850

Job Forecast by KC Subarea

III. CPP Amendments

Land Use Pattern IntroductionProcess to allocate growth targets

FW 12a Growth Target Allocation ObjectivesObjectives that guide the allocation

FW12b Transportation InfrastructureRegional and local infrastructure investments to support the growth targets

III. CPP Amendments

LU-25a Targets as a Planning ToolTargets are a forecast and policy commitment

LU-25b Household MethodologySteps and criteria to allocate households

LU-25c Employment MethodologySteps and criteria to allocate employment

LU-66 Household Accommodation for 20 Year PeriodUpdated Policy to reflect 2022 growth targets

Staff Recommendation

Direct staff to prepare a motion for consideration and possible action at the July 24th GMPC meeting adopting: CPP Amendments Household Targets Job Targets (if completed)