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2016 October MONTHLY
MEETING Mike Walden, CMC Business Development Director
Jonas Sundqvist, Ph.D., Sr. Technology Analyst Lita Shon-Roy, President / CEO
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 1 October 2016
www.cmcfabs.org [email protected]
CMC Anti-Trust Reminder • CMC Fabs activities are a coordinated effort among competitors in the semiconductor
device fabrication industry and are, therefore, subject to antitrust laws.
• Although this coordination is perfectly legal under U.S. antitrust laws, we want to make sure
that no antitrust risks are raised by the manner in which the CMC Fabs program is carried
out. Accordingly, these guidelines may go somewhat beyond the prohibitions of the law, but
that is done in the interest of safety.
• The penalties for violating antitrust laws are quite severe, including large fines and even
imprisonment of individuals found guilty of illegal conduct.
• Contrary to the popular belief that the government has relaxed antitrust enforcement, in
recent years the Justice Department has recommended jail sentences for the majority of
persons convicted of violating antitrust laws. Moreover, the U.S. Supreme Court has ruled
that a trade association may be held legally responsible for the unauthorized, as well as
authorized, acts of its members. Accordingly, every effort must be made to avoid even the
appearance of impropriety.
2 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL October 2016
Outline ■ Welcome
■ Hot Topics Reality Check – Allot Sufficient Time to Discuss at Close of Meeting
■ CMC Associate Membership Update
■ ALD / CVD Precursors Update – 15 min
■ CMC Fabs Update – 15min
– Survey on Wet Chemicals
– Fall F2F Meeting Survey and Meeting Agendas / Seminar
– Templates for Hot Topic and Case Studies
– Travel Arrangements & Visas
■ Hot Topics, Q&A -15~20 min
3 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL October 2016
Hot Topics to Discuss -
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 4
BASF Plant Explosion - Ludwigshafen, Germany
___________________(your hot topics here)
___________________(your hot topics here)
__________________ (your hot topics here)
October 2016
Time to Budget for 2017 CMC Membership
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 5
CMC Membership renewal meetings are ongoing
For questions, contact Lita
October 2016
■ What Can You Do to Help Grow
Our Membership?
– Talk about the CMC and ask
your suppliers and
colleagues to contact us at
– Talk with prospective
members about the benefits
at the F2F meeting in
Shanghai
6 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
CMC Associate Membership Update
■ CMC Associate Signees
– Heraeus
– Cryoin
■ CMC Associates Hit List
– Matheson Gas*
– Air Liquide*
– Praxair*
– Linde
– Versum++
– Dow Corning
– BASF
– Merck / SAFC / AZ ++
– Wonik / Nova-Kem
– Umicore*
October 2016
We will be discussing membership opportunities in Shanghai with appropriate China suppliers
Spread the CMC Associate Membership Message to your Suppliers
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 7
We provided each of you a two page document (repeated in the
following slides) to share with your suppliers.
We will resend this e-mail for your convenience.
Please continue to promote this – Thank you!
October 2016
Expansion of Our Ecosystem
September 2016
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved 8
CMC Membership Collaborative
Advantages
1. Access to the most current and accurate Critical Materials information.
2. Customized IT solutions for timely news updates on the WW Critical Materials supply chain.
3. Partnership with other organizations on best practices and remedy of material supply issues, in a non-competitive venue.
Please distribute to your suppliers
Trends
Markets
Supply
CMC Associate Members
Work to identify material-related issues of the S/C supply chain
Imp
rove
me
ntC
on
tin
uo
us
Actively address CMC common concerns and hot topics
Council
Working Groups
For more information or to arrange a brief telephone conference, please contact us!
Mike Walden – CMC Business Development Director [email protected]
+1-859-274-8240
Lita Shon-Roy – President / CEO [email protected]
+1-925-413-9373
9 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved September 2016
Critical Materials Advisory Reports (Current)
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 10
TECHCET Critical Materials Report Advisories Issue Date
1 2016 CVD / ALD Metal Precursors Apr 10
2 2016 Electronic Gases May 30
3 2016 Wet Process Chemicals June 30
4 2016 Silicon Wafers June 30
5 2016 Photoresists and Ancillaries June 30
6 2016 CVD / ALD Dielectric Precursors Aug 10
7 2016 CMP Slurries and Pads Consumables Aug 31
8 2016 Sputtering Targets Sept 10
9* 2015 -16 Quartz -Equipt Components Updated April’16
10* 2015-16 Ceramics & SiC - Equipt Components Updated July’16
11 2016-17 Semiconductor Device Technology Trends and
Materials Requirements
4Q2016
12. 2016 Neon Supply & Demand Updated July’16
Advisory Reports include Quarterly Updates on Forecast and Supply Chain activities, and ALERTS - urgent news that may have an immediate impact on a materials’ supply and availability.
* These reports do not come with Quarterly Updates or Alerts at this time.
October 2016
Techcet Critical Materials: ALD/CVD High K and Metal Precursors
Jonas Sundqvist, Ph.D.
October 2016 www.Techcet.com [email protected]
October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
11
Outline CVD v. ALD
Dielectrics Status
Applications for Memory & Logic
Industry Outlook
ALD Migration
Forecast
Upcoming Reports
12 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
CVD vs. ALD Both used for BEOL / Interconnect
Both used for Multi-patterning
Both used for Hi K in memory; trending toward ALD
ALD more frequently used in leading edge devices
CVD more frequently used for depositing dielectrics
Market Share leaders of CVD / ALD material suppliers are from the US, Japan and Europe
Minor players in Korea (UpChem, DNF) and Taiwan (Nanmat)
13 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
Dielectrics Precursor Status Low K ILD driven by need for gap fill processes and sacrificial layers to support FinFET’s and NAND and advanced DRAM capacitor stacks
Applied Materials dominates the OEM CVD low κ market (carbon doped oxides) and has established a leadership position with porous CVD based organ silicate glass
The low κ choice will remain predominantly dense SiOC:H through the 14 nm node due to nanoporosity benefiting yield and integration
WF6 Alternatives
Development ongoing to minimize F intrusion from WF6
Fluorine is diffusing into the device causing derterminal reliability issues. Alternatives are:
• WF6 process w/ H2 treatment (see Lam Research)
• MO-precursor High resistivity
• Entegris 6 kg WCl6 ProEvap™ Vessel launched
A WF6 replacement for leading edge devices, may help ease supply tightness
14 October 2016
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
ALD Applications for Memory & Logic
Application Logic Memory / Capacitor R&D
High-k HfO2 Al2O3, ZrO2, HfO2, Nb2O5, Ta2O5 ATO, SrOx, SrTiO3, BST
Metal Gates/Electrodes TiN, TaN, TiAl, TiAln TiC, TaC TiN Ru
Contacts TiSi, NiSi, CoSi, W Pt
Spacer/Liners/Multi patterning SiO2, SiNx SiO2, SiNx, Al2O3 Inorganic/organic hybride
BEOL TiN, TaN, Co Mn, MnSi2, Ru, CNT, Graphene, SAMs
SADP – SAQP Lam Research
15 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
ALD/CVD Industry Outlook
Assembly, 3.30
Lithography, 8.10
Etch & Clean, 8.10
Deposition, 8.00
Process Diagnostics, 3.90
Other Wafer Processes, 2.20
Test, 3.60
Wafer Equipment Market (Billion US$) VLSI Research April 2016
CVD
ALD
Risto Puhakka VLSI Research May 2016, CMC Conference Hillsboro May 5th, 2016
CVD & ALD Equipment market show continued high growth Potential
Growth driven by scaled 3D devices (FinFET & 3DNAND) and Wafer starts
ALD passed PVD in 2015(!)
Adopted from ASMI INVESTOR PRESENTATION July 28, 2016, Q2 2016 RESULTS
16 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
ALD/CVD Industry Outlook
All sub 90 nm DRAM and 45 nm Logic and all sub 45 nm nodes except for 32/28 Low power use ALD
Growth in Wafer Starts & Transition to 10 & 7 nm will drive growth in ALD & CVD Metal precursors further
especially Hf High-k & Cobalt
17 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
ALD Migration
I - Migration to ALD due to shrink LPCVD SiN and SiO2 PECVD SiN and SiO2 CVD Metals CVD Metal nitrides PVD Metals
II - New Materials & Unit Processes: MIM Caps & High-k / Metal Gate Cu barrier/seed and caps Multipatterning
III - 3D Devices: DRAM, FinFET, 3DNAND More ALD
ALD
45nm
32nm
22nm
14nm
10nm
7nm
ALD of dielectric materials growth due to ALD enabled patterning (SADP, SAQP)
The number of ALD passes will double from 14nm to 7 nm according to estimations
x2
18 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
OEM Mergers Applied Materials & TEL and The Lam Research & KLA Merger would have increased concentration
However, ALD Innovation drive by smaller Companies (ASM, Jusung, Ultratech, Veeco, Picosun, Beneq)
VLSI Research CMC Conf. May 2016
19 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
3Q/2016 ALD / CVD Precursor Forecast
Forecasts Adjustment made with respect to:
High-k consumption rate for DRAM 1.5X
Wafer starts
20 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
ALD / CVD Precursor Forecast
21 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
Dielectric Precursor Revenues
22 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
Upcoming Reports
1Q/2017 ALD & CVD Metal Precursors
2Q/2017 Dielectric Precursors
23 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
Thank you! [email protected]
+49-152-0294-3083 http://techcet.com/product/high-kald-precursors/
24 October 2016 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved
CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
Upcoming Pricing Survey (Wet Chemicals) (5 responses required)
■ Reality Check
– There are 11 chemicals covered in this survey
– In order to possibly increase the number of respondents, should we consider
reducing the number of chemicals surveyed? Would this be beneficial or
unfavorable?
■ Survey approach – double blind, description of approach verbalized now and then
followed up by e-mail
■ Do you have questions and / or feedback on the survey?
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 25 October 2016
Future Meetings / Surveys
CMC F2F – November 7-9
Holiday Inn, 899 Dong-fang Road, Pudong, Shanghai, special TI Rate (Thanks
TI!)
Food expense allowance for 2 per company – but so far only have 1 name from
each CMC Member company.
Please RSVP to [email protected] as we need to get an accurate
headcount
November F2F – Wafers
December – Targets / 2017 CMC Plan
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 26 October 2016
2017 Proposed Meeting Topics
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 27
Month Date Topic
2017 - JAN 19 CMP Consumables
FEB 16 Photoresist/Ancillaries
+ other analyst*
MAR 16 Gases
APR 20 Wet Chemicals
MAY 2-4 or 9-11 ALD / CVD Precursors +*
JUN 22 Silicon Wafers
JUL 20 Targets
AUG 17 CMP Consumables
SEP 21 Photoresist/Ancillaries +*
OCT 19 Gases
NOV TBD - F2F Silicon Wafers
DEC 14 Wet Chemicals
+* other analyst organizations will be invited to present, i.e. VLSI Research, SEMICO, Gartner, etc.
October 2016
F2F Meeting Program / Agendas
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 28 October 2016
CMC Meeting: CMCFabs Members Day 1 – Monday, November 7, 2016 at TI, Shanghai
September 2016
Time Topic
8am Walk from Hotel to Texas Instruments (TI)
8:30 am Welcome, Introductions, Meeting Objectives, Agenda Review
8:45 am Hot Topic Presentations
15 min Break at 10:30am
Hot Topic Presentations
11:45 Lunch
1:00 Case Studies (Quality Excursions or China logistics issues –
Lessons Learned)
3:00 pm Leave for Tour at Anji
3:30 pm Anji Tour – CEO, Shumin Wang
5:30 pm Adjourn – Return to Hotel / Go to Dinner
6:00 pm CMC Networking Dinner
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 29 October 2016
CMC Seminar: CMC Fabs’ Templates – Hot Topic & Case Study
September 2016
Addressed on Day 1 of Meeting – Monday, November 7, 2016 at TI, Shanghai
Each Member Company completes:
Hot Topic Template AND
China Logistics Case Study OR Quality Excursion Case Study Template
Everyone received? Any Questions?
OR
One Choose one = Two Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 30 October 2016
CMC Meeting: CMCFabs + Prospective Fab Members Day 2 – Tuesday, November 8, 2016 at TI, Shanghai
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 31
Time Topic
8:00 AM Walk to TI from Hotel
8:30 AM TECHCET to Hand-out ad hoc Hot Topic Index Cards for Member to Fill out
8:45 AM Morning Supplier Presentations to CMC
Supplier A Grikin (Targets)
Supplier B Anji (CMP Slurry)
Supplier C AUECC (Wet Chem)
Supplier D 718 (Gas Co)
11:00 AM Break
11:15 AM Turn in Hot Topic Cards and Fill out Online Blind Survey on Early Warning
Systems on SurveyMonkey Link
12:00 AM Lunch
1:30 PM Hot Topics Discussion
2:30 PM Break
3:00 PM Survey Results and Assessment by TECHCET + Q & A [Are These Results
Surprising? Why or Why Not? Are These Results Valid? Why or Why Not?]
4:30 PM 2nd Day Take-Away Session, Review CMC Conference Agenda on Day 3
4:50 PM Adjourn, Leave TI and Return to Hotel
5:15-7:00 PM CMCFabs / Prospective CMCFabs Member Dinner – Sponsored by Grikin
October 2016
CMC Seminar – Shanghai Nov. 9 “Semiconductor Materials Challenges
In and Out of China” Members Only or by Invitation only
■ Focused on the Developing Semiconductor Materials Supply Chain in China and Its impact
on the World
■ This one-day Seminar is a private meeting of Fabs and Suppliers by invitation only. Please
email mailto:[email protected] for an invitation. We look forward to seeing you there!
■ Seminar Location:
■ Holiday Inn Shanghai Pudong
899 Dong Fang Road, Pudong Shanghai 200122 P. R. China
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 32 October 2016
CMC Seminar: CMCFabs + Prospective Members Day 3 – Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016
Members or by Invitation Only
September 2016
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 33 October 2016
IC China Trade Show Nov. 8-10. 2016 at TI, Shanghai
34 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL
The CMC Seminar schedule
coincides with IC China Trade
Show/ Expo
http://www.ic-china.com.cn/
October 2016
Hot Topics to Discuss -
Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL 35
BASF Plant Explosion - Ludwigshafen, Germany
Normal standard electronic materials not impacted but logistics are impacted. Harbor
closed for repair; impact tot the total supply chain still in question;
Warehoused chemicals are being depended upon at the moment; road transportation;
leakage in delivery piping; new piping needs to be rebuilt; Today the crackers are gradually
being restarted, with safety in mind.
From our analyst Bruce Adams: Here is my high level assessment of the situation. Basically this BASF plant produced mostly industrial products used as intermediates for the chemical industry. Only a small percentage of their products were used in the Electronic industries as sold products. Having said that, some of their industrial products were being used by major specialty gas producers to further purity and sell to the end customer. Three products I can think of are ethylene, propylene, and HCl. Ethylene and propylene should not be a big issue as other sources do exist and can probably take up the slack. Most impact would be for the European customers as these are typically sourced locally and purified. I believe Air Liquide has a site co-located in Ludwigshafen so they may purchase these raw materials from BASF for the Electronic market. HCl may be an issue as Dow dropped out of this market or at least tried to. BASF was one of the options for new HCl sourcing. But overall, I don’t think there will be an immediate impact to the Electronics sector but it will heavily impact the chemical sector and potentially some of the Electronic Chemicals as well. Bruce M. Adams Have a Nice Day
October 2016
Thank You – Let Us Know How We Can Be of
Assistance!
Mike Walden – CMC Business Development Director [email protected]
+1-859-274-8240
Meena Sher – CMCFabs Customer Service Specialist [email protected]
+1-480-382-8336 x 102
Lita Shon-Roy – President / CEO [email protected]
+1-925-413-9373
36 Copyright 2016 TECHCET CA LLC All Rights Reserved CMCFabs CONFIDENTIAL October 2016