Upload
car-research-economics
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
1/55
2016CALIFORNIA INVESTORSURVEY
1
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
2/55
Survey Methodology
364 online surveys conducted in February-March 2016
Respondents: REALTORS® who have worked with investors in
past 12 months (February/March 2015 – February/March 2016)
Sample error: 3% at a 95% confidence interval
2
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
3/55
REALTORS®’ GENERAL
INVESTOR BUSINESSInvestor Market Overview
3
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
4/55
Number ofTransactions Declining
Q: How many investor transactions did you close in the past 12 months?
Average Investor TransactionsAverage Total Transactions
0
5
10
15
20
2013 2014 2015 2016
6.44.9
4.02.7
1615
13
# of
Transactions
4
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
5/55
Investor Business Declining
39%
32%
26%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Q: How many investor transactions did you close in the past 12 months?Q: How many total transactions did you close in the past 12 months?
5
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
6/55
LAST INVESTOR BUYER
TRANSACTION
6
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
7/55
Buyers Dominate InvestmentTransactions
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016
56% 54%48%
24% 35%
35%
21%11% 17%
Both
Sellers
Buyers
Q: Who did you represent?
7
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
8/55
MoreTransactionsConducted in SouthernCA
Q: Where was the property located in your last investor transaction?
23%15%
24% 23%
27% 45% 30% 25%
50%40% 46%
50%
1% 0.4% 1.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Another StateSouthern CA
Other CA
Northern CA
8
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
9/55
Single Family Purchases Decreasing
78%
14%
1.1%
7.2%
73%
19%
0.9%
6.7%
72%
21%
0.9%
7.0%
70%
19%
0%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Single family home Multifamily Bulk sale Other
2013
2014
2015
2016
Q: What type of property did your investor client purchase?
9
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
10/55
MajorityTransactions Not Distressed
Q: Was the property a(n)?
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016
70%80%
87%
12%
13% 6.1%18%
7% 6.6%
Short sale
Foreclosure
Equity
10
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
11/55
Investors Purchase MoreUnits Per Property
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2013 2014 2015 2016
3.8 3.5 4.0
6.6
# o f U n i t s
Average
Q: How many units did the property have in your last investor transaction?
11
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
12/55
Initial Listing Price Growing
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
$307,500
$322,500
$381,500$409,500
Median List Price
Q: What was the initial listing price?
12
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
13/55
Final Sale Price Growing
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
$292,000$320,000
$375,000$410,000
MedianSale Price
Q: What was the final sale price?
13
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
14/55
Listing & Sale Prices Nearly Equal
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
Listing Sale
$409,500 $410,000
Median
14
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
15/55
Days on Market Declined
Q: How many days was the property on the market?
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2013 2014 2015 2016
15 15
30
23
Median
15
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
16/55
Nearly ½ Properties inSuburban Location
Q: How would you describe the location of the property purchased?
16
40%35%
46%
47%
13%13%
1.5% 5.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016
OtherRural
Suburban
Urban
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
17/55
Majority of Investors Rented Properties
73%
58% 65% 62%
20%
28%26% 26%
7%14% 9.7% 12%
2013 2014 2015 2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Other
Flip
Rental
Q: What was the intended use of the property?
17
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
18/55
Transaction Cost Down
Q: How much did it cost to purchase the property?
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
$9,000
$12,000
$15,000
$12,900
MedianCost
18
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
19/55
More than ¾ Investors Remodeled Properties
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20132014
20152016
18% 22% 30%
23%
51%39%
39%
40%
22%
22% 18%
19%
9%17% 12%
17%
None Minor cosmetic Major cosmetic Major remodeling
Q: What type of rehabilitation/remodeling was done to the property?
19
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
20/55
RemodelingCost Increased
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
$10,000
$15,000
$10,000
$13,500
Median
Q: How much did your client invest in rehabilitating/remodeling the property?
20
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
21/55
Investment Cost is 6.4% of Sale Price
21
$292,000 $320,000 $375,000 $410,000
$9,000 (3%) $12,000 (4%) $15,000 (4%) $12,900 (3.1%)
$10,000 (3%) $15,000 (5%) $10,000 (3%) $13,500 (3.3%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Rehab Cost
Transaction Cost
Purchase Price
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
22/55
Expected Rate of Return Increased Slightly
Q: What is the expected rate of return on the property investment?
0%
2%4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2013 2014 2015 2016
19%
17%
13%14%
Average
22
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
23/55
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
24/55
Most Investors Own Other Properties
90%83% 83%
91%
6.5
8.3
6.4
5.6
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%70%
80%
90%
100%
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2013 2014 2015 2016
% W
h o O w n O t h e r P r o p e r t i e s
# o f P r o
p e r t i e s
% who own other properties Average # of other properties
Q: How many other investment properties does your client own?
24
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
25/55
17%Other Investments LocatedOutsideCA
29%50%
42%20%
44%
41%33%
42%
21% 20%
21%
20%
0.5%
2.4%
5% 3% 4%15%
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Other CA Southern CA Northern CA Another country Another state
Q: Where are those properties located?
25
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
26/55
Majority of Investors PurchasedOther Properties
Within the PastYear
47%
74%
1.8
2.3
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2015 2016
% W
h o O w n O t h e r P r o p e r t i e s
# o f P r o p e r t i e s
% who purchased other properties Average # of properties
26
Q: How many other properties did your last investor client purchase within the past 12 months?
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
27/55
Fewer Properties Found on MLS
Client found property
Another agent's private listing
Other
Directly from seller
My listing
MLS
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
4.8%
5.2%
7.3%
8.0%
18%
57%
5.2%
2.6%
5.2%
5.8%
15%
65%
2015 2016
Q: How did you find the property for your client?
27
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
28/55
More Properties Found Directly from Seller
Q: How did you find the property for your client?
67%62%
65%
57%
18% 21%
15% 18%
3.7% 4.0% 5.8% 8.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2013 2014 2015 2016
MLS My listing Directly from seller
28
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
29/55
InvestorsTake LessTime to Find Property
Q: How many weeks did you spend looking for a property with your client?
9.9
6.8 7.0
5.9
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2013 2014 2015 2016
# o f W e e k s
Average
29
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
30/55
InvestorsViewedSlightly More Properties
11.1
6.9
8.7 8.9
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2013 2014 2015 2016
# o f P r o p e r t i e s
Average
Q: How many properties did you view with your client prior to the client making a purchase?
30
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
31/55
More Investors are MakingOffers onOther Properties
79%
63%54% 57%
4.2
2.7
2.02.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2013 2014 2015 2016
% M u l t i p l e O f f e r s
# o f O f f e r s
% Multiple Offers Average # of Offers
Q: How many offers did your client make on other properties?
31
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
32/55
Sellers Received 4.2 Offers onAverage
Q: How many offers did the property purchased by your last investor client receive, including that of yourbuyer?
3.3 3.3
4.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2014 2015 2016
# o f O f f e r s
Average
32
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
33/55
Future Price Predictions are Positive
2.5% 4.6%
17% 10%
76%71%
4.2%15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
In 1 year In 5 years
Don't know
Up
Flat
Down
Q: Do you think real estate prices in the neighborhood where the property is located will go up, down or stayflat?
33
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
34/55
Intended Length ofOwnership Rose
7.9 8.0
6.1
8.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2013 2014 2015 2016
#
of
Y
e
a
r
s
AverageYears
Q: How many years does your client intend to keep the property?
34
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
35/55
2/3 Properties Managed byOwner
67% 69% 66% 65%
27% 22% 24% 27%
8.0% 11% 10% 8.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Other
Property manager
Owner
Q: Who will manage the property?
35
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
36/55
Investors Plan toCharge 19% Higher Rent
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2015 2016
$1,850
$2,200
Median
36
Q: How much will your last investor client charge for monthly rent on the property?
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
37/55
Investors Plan to Increase Rent byTwice as Much as
LastYear for the NextTenant
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
2015 2016
$50
$100
Median
37
Q: How much will your last investor client increase the monthly rent for the next tenant?
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
38/55
Investors Expect Properties toAppreciate Less
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2015 2016
27%25%
Average
38
Q: How much does your last investor client expect the property to appreciate by the time he/she sells?
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
39/55
Most Investors Bought Properties Not Under
RentControl
39
Q: Is the property subject to rent control?
Yes 6.4%
No 94%
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
40/55
FINANCING
40
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
41/55
Fewer Investors PayingCash
67% 67% 66%55%
33% 33% 34%45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Financing
Cash
Q: How did your client pay for the property?
41
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
42/55
MostCash Funds from Personal Savings
Q: What was the source of the cash funds in your last investor transaction?
Other
Foreign bank
1031 exchange
Private investors
Proceeds from previous investment
Personal savings
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
10%
5.6%
8.9%
19%
19%
46%
42
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
43/55
Majority Financing from Bank
Q: What was the source of the financing in your last investor transaction?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Other
1031 exchange
Private investors
Bank loan
6.0%
13.0%
19%
74%
4.2%
6.3%
23%
75%
2015 2016
43
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
44/55
CLIENT – AGENT
RELATIONSHIP
44
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
45/55
Many REALTORS®Getting Repeat Business
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Client found me online
Other
Friend
Referral
Previous client
8.5%
11%
12%
22%
29%
11%
7.5%
11%
17%
36%
2015 2016
Q: How did you establish a relationship with your last investor client?
45
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
46/55
59% of REALTORS® Market toAttract Investors
Q: What kind of marketing do you do to attract investor clients? Please select all that apply.
46
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016
34% 46%
2%
17%18%
19%
46%41%
NoneOther
Online
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
47/55
Most Investors are Knowledgeable
Q: How would you describe your last investor client’s real estate market knowledge?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Not at all knowledgeable, required a lotof oversight/consulting
Limited knowledge, first time investor
Knowledgeable, but fairly inexperienced
Extremely knowledgeable/experienced
1.5%
5.5%
33%
60%
2.9%
10%
37%
50%
2015 2016
47
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
48/55
57% of Investors Didn’tAnalyze Return Potential
Q: How did you and your client analyze the investment return potential of the property the client purchased?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
CMA
Cap rate
Comps
Other
13%
11%
28%
49%
48
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
49/55
Most Essential Info to Investors
Q: What information was essential to your client in his/her decision to purchase that particular property?
4.4%
9.2%
10%
10%
19%
22%
25%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Other
Property condition
Comps
Market rent
Price
ROI
Location
49
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
50/55
INVESTOR DEMOGRAPHICS
50
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
51/55
Most Investors are Individuals
2016
20150.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
LLPOther
Corp LLCIndividual
1.9%2.7% 4.3%
22%
69%
0.8% 3.1%2.3%
22%
72%
Q: Was your client a(n)?
51
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
52/55
Nearly Half of Investors are IndividualsWho
Purchased Single Family Homes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
OtherCorp
Individual
2.3% 19%
49%2.7%
10%
0.4%
6.6%
9.3%
Single family Multifamily Other
52
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
53/55
More Minority Investors in 2016
0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 2.4%7.9%
9.7% 9.5% 7.8%
14% 11%
13%
13%
29%
17%19% 24%
49%
60% 55% 53%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Caucasian/White
Asian
Hispanic/Latino
Other
African American/Black
Q: How would you describe your client’s ethnic background?
53
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
54/55
Annual Income/Revenue 67% Higher
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
20132014
20152016
$160,000
$200,000
$150,000
$250,000
Median
Q: What is your client’s annual income/revenue?
54
8/18/2019 2016 Investor Survey-Final (Public)
55/55
5.8% of Investors are Foreigners
Q: What is your client’s country of permanent residence?
55
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016
95% 94%
5% 5.8%
Foreigner
U.S. resident