Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
2016mechanicaldrive order survey
engine systems technology for marine, stationary power, oil & gas and rail since 1969
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 1 2016
ProceduresThe Mechanical Drive Order Survey includes en-
gines beginning at 0.5 MW. New orders are broken into reciprocating engine, gas turbine and steam turbine orders.
Fuel types are simplified to reflect only liquid ver-sus gaseous fuels. Liquid fuel, as reported in this survey, can be any form of diesel oil.
It is important to note that the data in this survey does not represent units shipped, but only the total orders received during calendar-year 2015.
An accompanying table shows the geographic breakdown we provide OEMs, highlighting the specif-ic countries within the reported geographic regions.
Every effort is made to ensure that this survey is as complete and comprehensive as possible and would not have the level of detail it contains with-out the generous contributions of the participating companies. An accompanying table identifies those companies that participated in the 2016 survey.
It is important to note, some units reported in the 2016 Mechanical Drive Order Survey did not have
ach year, Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide conducts three surveys designed to provided details on the markets of
larger reciprocating engines, steam turbines and gas turbines used in power generation, mechanical drive and marine propulsion applications. The Mechanical Drive Order Survey is devoted to engine orders for mechanical drive applications, including pumps, compressors, oil-exploration machinery, rail and other industrial applications.
E
2016mechanicaldrive order surveySlowdown Seen by Jack Burke
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 2 2016
2016 MECHANICAL drive order survey
complete information. In some cases OEMs chose not to provide engine output, fuel type or geography for some of their reported orders.
Overview
This marks the 11th year for the Mechanical Drive Order Survey. Year-over-year com-parison shows a decline in total orders (all reported drivers types) from 2014 to 2015. This year’s survey catalogued 3371 orders (2015 data), a 37% drop compared to last year’s report (2014 data) which recorded 5361 units. Orders in 2014 were up 20% over 2013 and ended a two-year decline.
The accompanying graphs show the cyclical nature facing the mechanical drive ap-plications reporting into this survey.
The past year mirrored the previous in several large themes: Low oil prices, econom-ic challenges in China and political unrest in major oil and gas producing countries again tamped down demand. Effects of these challenges began to take their toll in the fourth quarter of 2014, with oil and gas majors announcing deep cuts that con-tinued through 2015.
There are a few positive signs in the market, however. Oil prices — which had been trading at their lowest levels in a decade — have regained about 70% from their Feb-ruary lows. However, today’s oil stocks will likely have a major dampening effect on price increases.
continued on page 5 continued on page 4
Western EuropeAndorraAustria
BelgiumDenmarkFinlandFrance
GermanyGreeceIceland
LiechtensteinLuxembourg
ItalyIrelandMalta
NetherlandsNorwayPortugal
San MarinoSlovenia
SpainSweden
SwitzerlandUnited Kingdom
Eastern Europe,Russia & CIS
AlbaniaArmenia
AzerbaijanBelarus
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBulgariaCroatia
Czech RepublicEstoniaGeorgiaHungary
KazakhstanKyrgyzstan
LatviaLithuaniaMoldovaPoland
Republic of MacedoniaRomania
RussiaSerbia
Slovac RepublicTajikistan
TurkmenistanUkraine
Uzbekistan
Middle EastBahrainCyprusEgyptIran
Country Information For Regions/
Regional Codes In D>W Annual Market Surveys
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 3 2016
MECHANICAL DRIVE RECIPROCATING ENGINE ORDERS, January – December 2015
Output Range (MW)
Number Of Units
Total Engine Output For
Each Output Range (MW)
Engine Operating Speed Ranges Fuel
Wes
tern
Eur
ope
East
ern
Euro
pe,
Russ
ia &
CIS
Mid
dle
East
Far E
ast
Sout
heas
t Asi
a &
Aust
ralia
Cent
ral A
sia
Nort
h Af
rica
Cent
ral,
Wes
t, Ea
st &
So
uth
Afric
a
Nort
h Am
eric
a
Cent
ral A
mer
ica
& Ca
ribbe
an
Sout
h Am
eric
a
300 to 600 rpm
720 to 1000 rpm
above 1000 rpm
Diesel Fuel
Heavy Fuel
Natural Gas
0.50 to 1.00 2016 1255 0 0 2016 1934 18 64 589 80 3 182 90 6 0 25 1030 1 10
1.01 to 2.00 783 1184 0 2 781 543 0 240 66 26 6 86 64 10 0 5 501 0 19
2.01 to 3.50 406 1101 0 11 395 366 0 40 8 19 13 101 2 1 0 183 70 0 9
3.51 to 5.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5.01 to 7.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7.51 and above 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 3205 3540 0 13 3192 2843 18 344 663 125 22 369 156 17 0 213 1601 1 38
MECHANICAL DRIVE GAS TURBINE ORDERS, January – December 2015
Output Range (MW)Number Of
Units
Total Engine Output For Each
Output Range (MW)
FuelW
este
rn
Euro
pe
East
ern
Euro
pe,
Russ
ia &
CIS
Mid
dle
East
Far E
ast
Sout
heas
t Asi
a &
Aust
ralia
Cent
ral A
sia
Nort
h Af
rica
Cent
ral,
Wes
t, Ea
st &
Sou
th
Afric
a
Nort
h Am
eric
a
Cent
ral
Amer
ica
& Ca
ribbe
an
Sout
h Am
eric
a
Diesel Fuel
Heavy Fuel
Natural Gas
1.00 to 2.00 1 4.77 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 02.01 to 3.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03.51 to 5.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 05.01 to 7.50 2 11.4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
7.51 to 10.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 010.01 to 15.00 11 147.4 0 0 11 2 5 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 015.01 to 20.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 020.01 to 30.00 21 512 0 0 21 0 6 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 030.01 to 60.00 53 1767 0 0 53 0 1 11 0 4 0 0 0 31 3 3
60.01 to 120.00 4 412 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0120.01 to 180.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
180.01 and above 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Totals 92 2854.57 1 0 91 2 12 21 4 4 0 8 0 35 3 3
MECHANICAL DRIVE STEAM TURBINE ORDERS, January – December 2015
Output Range (MW)
Number Of Units
Total Engine Output (MW)
Steam Turbine Types
Wes
tern
Eur
ope
East
ern
Euro
pe,
Russ
ia &
CIS
Mid
dle
East
Far E
ast
Sout
heas
t Asi
a
& Au
stra
lia
Cent
ral A
sia
Nort
h Af
rica
Cent
ral,
Wes
t, Ea
st &
So
uth
Afric
a
Nort
h Am
eric
a
Cent
ral A
mer
ica
&
Carib
bean
Sout
h Am
eric
a
Cond
ensi
ng
Non-
Cond
ensi
ng
Rehe
at
Extr
actio
n
Indu
ctio
n
0.0 to 1.00 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1.01 to 5.00 13 47 5 8 0 0 0 2 4 4 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
5.01 to 10.00 18 145 8 8 0 2 0 1 5 0 0 5 4 0 2 1 0 0
10.01 to 30.00 26 520 2 5 0 15 4 0 7 0 1 7 1 0 5 5 0 0
30.01 to 60.00 11 394 4 0 0 6 1 0 4 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0 1
60.01 to 120.00 5 379 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
120.01 and above 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 74 1485 23 21 0 25 5 3 21 4 4 20 6 0 7 8 0 1
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 4 2016
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
RECIP ENGINE ORDERS
Years
Uni
ts
Reciprocating Engine Orders
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GAS TURBINE ORDERS
Uni
ts
Years
Gas Turbine Orders
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
STEAM TURBINE ORDERS
Uni
ts
Years
Steam Turbine Orders
*Steam turbines were added to the survey in 2009.
2016 MECHANICAL drive order survey
IraqIsrael
JordanKuwait
LebanonOmanQatar
Saudi ArabiaSyria
TurkeyUnited Arab Emirates
Yemen
Far EastChina
Hong KongJapan
MongoliaNorth KoreaSouth Korea
Taiwan
Southeast Asia& Australia
AustraliaBruneiBurma
CambodiaFiji IslandsIndonesia
KiribatiLaos
MalaysiaMarshall Islands
MicronesiaPalau
Papua New GuineaPhilippines
SamoaSingapore
Solomon IslandsTahitiTonga
ThailandTuvalu
VanuatuVietnam
Central AsiaAfghanistanBangladesh
IndiaMaldives Islands
NepalPakistanSri Lanka
North AfricaAlgeriaLibya
MoroccoTunisia
Central, West, East & South Africa
AngolaBenin
BotswanaBurkina Faso
BurundiCameroonCape Verde
Cen. African Rep.Chad
Comoros
continued on page 6
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 5 2016
Reciprocating EnginesThe number of reciprocating engines ordered in 2015 total
3205 units, a 35% decrease compared to last year’s survey. The majority of orders were divided between the output ranges of 0.50 to 1 MW (2016 units) and 1.01 to 2.00 MW (783 units).
Engine operating speeds above 1000 rpm accounted for 99% of the recip orders reported in the survey.
Diesel fuel once again dominated the fuel type, accounting for 89% of the reported orders.
North America once again claimed the top geographic desti-nation for reciprocating engines in 2014 (50%). North America’s shale development and infrastructure remains unrivaled, keep-ing it the top geographic destination for mechanical drive re-ciprocating engines for the foreseeable future.
Western Europe was the second geographic destination for recip engines within the mechanical drive segment, receiving 20% of 2015 orders. The Far East was next at 12%.
Gas Turbines
Gas turbine orders decreased 44% compared to the 2015 Me-chanical Drive Order Survey. Total orders reported in this survey equaled 92, compared with 167 in 2014.
Units with the output range of 30.01 to 60.00 MW received the most orders (58%), followed by units rated 20.01 to 30.00 MW (23%).
North America was the top geographic location for gas tur-bines in mechanical drive applications, receiving 38% of the
orders. The Middle East claimed the number two geographic location, accounting for 23% of the orders reported, followed by Eastern Europe, Russia and the Commonwealth of Indepen-dent States (CIS) (13%).
Steam Turbines
Steam turbine orders declined 75% compared to last year’s surveys. Total steam turbine units ordered in 2015 was 74, fall-ing mostly within the 10 to 30 MW output range (35%).
Condensing steam turbines saw the most demand, account-ing for 31% of the total steam turbines ordered.
Eastern Europe, Russia and CIS had the most orders (28%), fol-lowed by Southeast Asia & Australia (26%).
Annual Surveys
On behalf of Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide, thank you to all contributors for your continued participation in this annual survey process. It is our hope that these surveys combined will provide an accurate snapshot of the entire large engine landscape, with fine-tuned detail provided for three market segments through each individual report — power generation, mechanical drive and marine propul-sion. Electronic versions of past surveys are available at our website: www.dieselgasturbine.com. Questions, com-ments and suggestions should be directed to Jack Burke at: [email protected]. A
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
COMBINED UNIT ORDERS, ALL DRIVER TYPES Combined Unit Orders, All Driver Types
Uni
ts
Years
Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 6 2016
0 400 800 1200 1600
Western Europe
Eastern Europe, Russia & CIS
Middle East
Far East
Southeast Asia & Australia
Central Asia
North Africa
North America
Central America & Caribbean
South America
Central, West, East & South Africa
Combined Geographic Totals (All Driver Types) January – December 2015
Reciprocating Engine Manufacturers• Caterpillar Inc. • GE Oil & Gas • GE Power & Water • Rolls-Royce
Gas Turbine Manufacturers• MAN Diesel • Zorya-Mashproekt • Mitsubishi Hitachi Power • Niigata • Siemens• Vericor
Steam Turbine Manufacturers• Fincantieri S.p.A. • MAN Diesel & Turbo SE • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries • Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems
2016 Mechanical Drive Order Survey Participants
2016 MECHANICAL drive order survey
CongoCôte d’Ivoire
DjiboutiEquatorial Guinea
EritreaEthiopiaGabon
GambiaGhanaGuinea
Guinea BissauKenya
LesothoLiberia
MadagascarMalawi
MaliMauritaniaMauritius
MozambiqueNamibia
NigerNigeriaRwandaSenegal
SeychellesSierra Leone
SomaliaSouth Africa
SudanSwazilandTanzania
TogoUganda
ZaireZambia
Zimbabwe
South AmericaArgentina
BoliviaBrazilChile
ColombiaEcuadorGuyana
ParaguayPeru
SurinamUruguay
Venezuela
Central America & Caribbean
BahamasBermuda
BelizeCosta Rica
CubaDominica
Dominican RepublicEl SalvadorGuatemala
HaitiHondurasJamaicaMexico
NicaraguaPanama
Puerto RicoVirgin IslandsWest Indies
North AmericaCanada
USA
www.dieselgasturbine.com
engine systems technology for marine, stationary power, oil & gas and rail since 1969
![· Steam Turbine C] Fuel Cell Solar/ Photovoltaic C] Biomass Solar/ Photovoltaic Biomass Fuel Type: A. Existing: C] Wind Turbine Hydraulic Turbine Diesel Engine Gas Turbine B. New:](https://img.pdfslide.us/doc/110x75/5eb494634700370587679ab6/steam-turbine-c-fuel-cell-solar-photovoltaic-c-biomass-solar-photovoltaic-biomass.jpg)
