26
2015 Reviewed Annual Results for the year to 30 September 2015 10 November 2015

2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

2015 Reviewed Annual Resultsfor the year to 30 September 2015

10 November 2015

Page 2: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

1

Agenda

Highlights

Business update

• Institutional

• Retail

Financial results

Closing remarks

Page 3: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Highlights

Page 4: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Highlightsas at 30 September 2015

Total AUM increased to R610bn (+3.7%)

Total net outflows for the year of R15.3bn

International AUM increased to R141bn (+11%)

• Net inflows of R14.5bn to international products/mandates

Revenue decreased to R4.4bn (-7%)

Diluted headline earnings per share of 516.0 cents (-9.7%)

Total gross dividend of 516.0 cents (-9.7%)

Long-term performance across all core funds remain highly compelling

Level 3 contributor in terms of the Financial Sector Code

3

Page 5: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Assets under management (Rbn)

Local: Equity 50.7%; Fixed Interest and Cash 23.3%; Other 1.4%

Foreign: Equity 21.3%; Fixed Interest and Cash 3.1 %; Other 0.2%

As at 30 September 2015

47 57 7592

122 113144

188223

299

407

461 469

7 77

9

12 12

11

15

24

40

85

127141

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Sept 2003 Sept 2004 Sept 2005 Sept 2006 Sept 2007 Sept 2008 Sept 2009 Sept 2010 Sept 2011 Sept 2012 Sept 2013 Sept 2014 Sept 2015

Local International

588

155

125134

10182

6454

203

247

339

492

610

4

Page 6: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Business update

Page 7: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

6

Market movementsas at 30 September 2015

Economic group

3 months

to end

Sept 2015

%

6 months

to end

Sept 2015

%

12 months

to end

Sept 2015

%

All Share (ZAR) (2.13) (2.32) 4.79

Resources (17.88) (21.89) (37.07)

Small Cap (3.85) (2.45) 7.22

Industrials 0.80 2.46 15.76

Financials (1.06) (3.32) 19.11

USD/ZAR exchange (11.96) (12.22) (18.40)

MSCI All Country World (USD) (9.34) (8.87) (6.16)

MSCI Emerging Markets (USD) (17.78) (17.11) (18.98)

Source: Deutsche Bank

Page 8: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

7

Institutional business highlights

Institutional AUM of R387.2bn

Total net outflows from institutional business of R21.8bn:

• Local client net outflows of R34.2 billion consistent with management expectations

• International client net inflows of R12.4 billion

Augmented international product offering:

• Active Global Equity and Global Frontiers funds

Page 9: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

8

PerformanceAlexander Forbes Global Large Manager Watch™5-year period ending 30 September 2015

Source: Alexander Forbes Global Large Manager Watch™ survey to 30 September 2015

3.9%

13.8%

13.8%

14.0%

14.2%

14.3%

15.1%

15.5%

15.9%

15.9%

16.3%

RECM

Momentum AM Global Balanced Fund

SIM Global Unique

OMIG MacroSolutions

Allan Gray

Oasis

Stanlib

Prudential Global Balanced

Coronation

Investec Asset Management

Foord Asset Management

Page 10: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

9

Coronation Houseview Equity portfolioperformance for periods ending 30 September 2015

* Since inception - October 1993

Source: Independent Retirement Fund Survey as at 30 September 2015

1 year

%

5 years

(p.a.)

%

10 years

(p.a.)

%

20 years

(p.a.)

%

Since

Inception*

(p.a.)

%

Houseview Equity 3.2 16.5 17.4 17.5 18.4

FTSE/JSE CAPI 4.9 14.8 15.1 14.4 15.5

Alpha (1.7) 1.7 2.3 3.1 2.9

Page 11: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

10

Coronation Global Absolute portfolioperformance for periods ending 30 September 2015

* Since inception – August 1999

Source: Independent Retirement Fund Survey as at 30 September 2015

5 Years

(p.a.)

%

10 Years

(p.a.)

%

Since

Inception*

(p.a.)

%

Global Absolute 12.6 14.2 16.8

CPI + 6% 11.6 12.1 12.2

Alpha 1.0 2.1 4.6

Page 12: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

11

Coronation Strategic Bond portfolioperformance for periods ending 30 September 2015

* Since inception – January 2008

Source: Independent Retirement Fund Survey as at 30 September 2015

1 year

%

5 years

(p.a.)

%

Since

inception*

(p.a.)

%

Strategic Bond 7.8 9.2 10.3

JSE ASSA All Bond Index 7.0 7.7 8.7

Alpha 0.8 1.5 1.6

Page 13: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

* Annualised alpha for institutional portfolios since launch to 30 September 2015

12

Strong international track record(US dollar returns)

Source: Coronation Fund Managers

Offshore USD Funds Annual Alpha*

%Launch date

Global Equity Fund of Funds 1.1 01-Jul-00 Net

Global Emerging Markets Strategy 4.1 14-Jul-08 Gross

Global Bond 1.8 01-Oct-09 Gross

Africa Frontiers Strategy 6.0 01-Oct-08 Gross

Global Capital Plus 5.5 01-Sep-09 Gross

Global Managed 1.2 01-Mar-10 Gross

Page 14: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

13

Retail business highlights

Retail assets under management of R222.4bn

Net inflows of R6.5bn

Coronation remains one of the foremost managers of long-term retail assets (14.6% market

share)

Raging Bull Management Company of the Year for the third consecutive year, and

Morningstar Best Large Fund House for the fifth consecutive year

Launch of tax-free investment offering & Global Equity Select (USD & ZAR)

Fee and benchmark changes implemented

Page 15: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Source: Morningstar as at 30 September 2015

Fund5-year

ranking

10-year

rankingS.I. ranking

Long-term

growth

(equity only)

Top 20 2nd Quartile 1st Quartile 1st Quartile

Long-term

growth

(multi asset)

Balanced Plus 1st Quartile 1st Quartile 1st Quartile

Income &

growth

Capital Plus 3rd Quartile 1st Quartile 1st Quartile

Balanced Defensive 1st Quartile - 1st Quartile

Income only Strategic Income 1st Quartile 1st Quartile 1st Quartile

14

Domestic Flagship FundsConsistent top quartile returns

as at 30 September 2015

Page 16: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

15

International Flagship FundsBuilding a solid track recordas at 30 September 2015

Fund 5-year ranking S.I. ranking

Long-term

growth

(equity only)

Global Emerging Markets 2nd Quartile 1st Quartile

Global Opportunities Equity

[ZAR] Feeder1st Quartile 1st Quartile

Long-term

growth

(multi asset)

Global Managed

[ZAR] Feeder1st Quartile 1st Quartile

PreservationGlobal Capital Plus

[ZAR] Feeder2nd Quartile 1st Quartile

Source: Morningstar; Bloomberg as at 30 September 2015

Page 17: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Financial results

Page 18: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

17

Financial highlights

2015

Rbn

%

Change

Assets under Management 610 4

Revenue (from fund management) 4.44 (7)

Profit (from fund management) 2.41 (10)

Profit before tax 2.43 (10)

Profit for the year 1.81 (10)

Page 19: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

18

Total net fee (actual revenue)as at 30 September 2015

0.75%

0.87%

0.97%

0.58% 0.59%

0.68% 0.69% 0.70%

0.52%0.56%

0.70% 0.69%

0.59%

0.79% 0.79%

0.64%

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 20: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

19

Earnings and dividend

%

Change

Sept

2015

Sept

2014

Diluted HEPS (cents) (10) 516.0 571.6

Interim dividend per share (cents) (11) 246 275

Final dividend per share (cents) (9) 270 296

Actual shares in issue – 30 Sept 349 799 102 349 799 102

Market capitalisation (R’000) 22 838 383 33 808 083

Share price at 30 Sept (rands) 65.29 96.65

Page 21: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

20

Cost comparison

%

Change

Sept

2015

Rm

Sept

2014

Rm

Cost to income 4 46.8 45.0

Fixed operational costs 13 473 418

Variable costs (7) 1 632 1 757

Total operating expenses (3) 2 105 2 175

Page 22: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

21

Fixed expenses

%

Change

Sept

2015

Rm

Sept

2014

Rm

Fixed costs 13 473 418

Major contributors:

Staff costs 8 212 197

Information Systems 32 75 57

Professional fees 27 43 34

Marketing (5) 61 64

Staff numbers 278 274

Page 23: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Closing remarks

Page 24: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

23

Closing remarks

Reminder that annual revenue stream of a fund manager is cyclical

Revenue caution materialised in past 12 months - the base was abnormally high

Financial markets continue to remain uncertain & volatile

Long-term investment track records of all key funds remain highly compelling. Over our

22-year history we have endured periods of short-term underperformance given our

long-term, valuation-driven investment approach

Remain focused on producing long-term value for clients, ensuring sustainable benefits

for all stakeholders

Page 25: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

24

Disclaimer

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on current information and

expectations, and involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Although Coronation believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-

looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Actual results may

differ materially from those projected in such statements due to various factors, including but not limited to changes in economic and market

conditions, changes in regulatory environment, fluctuations in security prices and exchange rates, and business and operational risk

management. Coronation is under no obligation to update these statements once it has been posted or released. Coronation Asset

Management (Pty) Limited is an authorised Financial Services Provider regulated by the Financial Services Board of South Africa. Coronation

Asset Management (Pty) Limited is a subsidiary company of Coronation Fund Managers Limited, a company incorporated in South Africa and

listed on the JSE (ISIN: ZAE000047353).The Information is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of any offer to

the public to issue or sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase an investment, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution

form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract for investment. Opinions expressed in this document may be changed

without notice at any time after publication. Nothing in this document shall constitute advice on the merits of buying and selling an investment.

Coronation Asset Management (Pty) Limited is an investment adviser registered with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission

(“SEC”). An investment adviser’s registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Additional information about

Coronation Asset Management (Pty) Limited is also available on the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. The information in this

document has not been approved or verified by the SEC or by any state securities authority. Unit trusts should be considered a medium- to

long-term investment. The value of units may go down as well as up, and is therefore not guaranteed. Past performance is not necessarily an

indication of future performance. Note that individual investor performance may differ as a result of the actual investment date, the date of

reinvestment of distributions and dividend withholding tax, where applicable. Where foreign securities are included in a fund it may be

exposed to macroeconomic, settlement, political, tax, reporting or illiquidity risk factors that may be different to similar investments in the

South African markets. Fluctuations or movements in exchange rates may cause the value of underlying investments to go up or down.

Coronation Management Company (RF) (Pty) Ltd is a Collective Investment Schemes Manager approved by the Financial Services Board in

terms of the Collective Investment Schemes Control Act. Unit trusts are traded at ruling prices set on every trading day. Unit trusts are

allowed to engage in scrip lending and borrowing. Coronation is a Full member of the Association for Savings & Investment SA (ASISA).

Page 26: 2015 Reviewed Annual Results - Coronation€¦ · 1 Agenda Highlights Business update •Institutional •Retail Financial results Closing remarks. Highlights. Highlights as at 30

Thank you