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2013 Summer Assessment. John Winder CAL FIRE Sacramento Headquarters. 2013 Summer Assessment. 2013 Summer Assessment. Brief Review of 2012 Fire Season Winter of 2012/2013 – Climate & Weather Resulting Fuels Conditions Potential Scenarios for the Summer of 2013. Fire Season 2012. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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2013 Summer Assessment
John WinderCAL FIRE Sacramento Headquarters
2013 Summer Assessment
2013 Summer Assessment• Brief Review of 2012 Fire Season
• Winter of 2012/2013 – Climate & Weather
• Resulting Fuels Conditions
• Potential Scenarios for the Summer of 2013
Fire Season 2012• Major Departure From 2010 & 2011
• Started with Spring Lightning
• Extended Monsoons Tracked West
• Thunderstorm Winds
• Fuels Conditions Supported Large Fires
Precipitation
Year
JanuaryPrecip (in.)
February precip
Marchprecip
Aprilprecip
4-Month total (in.)
Percent of Normal
NORMALPrecip.
5.96 5.51 4.37 2.48 18.32 100%
1964 3.91 0.15 1.03 0.33 5.42 29.6%
1976 0.82 3.53 1.37 2.79 8.51 46.4%
1984 0.42 3.21 1.58 3.02 8.23 44.9%
THIS YEAR2013 0.93 0.58 3.45 1.90 6.86 37.4%
Driest January through April at ReddingAirport/ North Ops in 49 years (since ‘64)
Live Fuel Moisture
WILDCARDS• Lightning/Monsoon Tracks
• North Winds
• Summer Weather
• Santa Ana Season Severity
• Season Ending Event
2013 Summer Assessment
ANY QUESTIONS?