21
2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co.

2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

  • Upload
    nysa

  • View
    32

  • Download
    1

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co. General Farm Statistics. Field Crop (acres). State of Maryland. Number of Farms in Maryland: 8,278 # of Acres Harvested in MD:1,246,603 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

2013 Crop Budget ProjectionsPresented by:

Ben BealeExtension Agent-St. Mary’s Co.

Page 2: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

General Farm Statistics

Crop St. Mary’s Charles Calvert Total

Number of Farms

621 418 274 1313

Land in Farms 71920 52147 26443 150510

Average Size 109 125 97 -------

Value of Sales in 1000’s

Crop St. Mary’s Charles Calvert Total

Total 15947 8898 4052 28897

Grain 4497 3286 1459 9442

Tobacco 906 151 127 1184

Vegetables 2411 939 588 3938

Nursery and Greenhouse

3163 1554 600(est) 4717

Page 3: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

Field Crop (acres)

Crop St. Mary’s Charles Calvert Total

Corn 10351 7826 4685 22862

Soybeans 13479 7098 2419 22996

Wheat 4431 3400 1894 9725

Barley 1010 502 143 1655

Tobacco 496 82 50 628

Forage 5579 4832 2730 13141

Vegetables 696 397 400 1493

Page 4: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

State of Maryland

• Number of Farms in Maryland: 8,278• # of Acres Harvested in MD: 1,246,603• Approximately 350,000 people are employed in some

aspect of agriculture, making it the largest commercial industry in Maryland.

• Agriculture also remains the largest single land use in the State, with 2.05 million acres, or roughly 32 percent of total land area in farms in 2010.

• The Maryland agricultural industry contributes more than $17 billion in revenue annually

Page 5: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

Salisbury prices close 8/8/12      Basis   

Cash corn 9.07   .90 Dec 1212 fall corn 8.37   .20 Dec 12

     Cash soybeans 16.40   .40 Sept 1212 fall soybeans 15.41   -.40 Nov 12

   August 2012 wheat 8.64   -.35 Sept 12J/J 2013 wheat 7.78   -.65 July 13

Page 6: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

Salisbury prices close 1/16/13      Basis   

Cash corn 7.71   .4513 fall corn 5.98   .10

     Cash soybeans 14.05   -.2013 fall soybeans 12.41   -.40

   January 2013 wheat 7.18   -.60

J/J 2013 wheat 7.25   -.65

Page 7: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

December 2013 Corn

November 2013 Soybean

Page 8: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

July 2013 Wheat

Page 9: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co
Page 11: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

U.S. Annual Average Corn Price, 1908-2005

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

1908

1912

1916

1920

1924

1928

1932

1936

1940

1944

1948

1952

1956

1960

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

$ Per Bushel

Source: USDA/NASS

1908-1942

35 years

Avg $0.78

1942-1972

30 years

Avg $1.26

1973-2005

33 years

Avg $2.37

Page 12: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

ProfitProfit

Enterprise BudgetEnterprise Budget

Variable CostsVariable Costs

Fixed CostsFixed Costs

Price Price (Revenue)(Revenue)

Contribution

Break-even

Slide Adapted from: Dr. Wen-fei Uva Department of Applied Economics and ManagementCornell University

Page 13: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

Finding your niche-Getting things in the right place.

Page 14: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co
Page 15: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co
Page 16: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

CORN GRAIN, NO-TILL NON-IRRIGATED   PER ACRE FOR Jan-13

ITEM UNIT QUANTITY PRICE TOTAL

GROSS INCOME        

CORN GRAIN BUSHEL 150 $5.68 $852.00

VARIABLE COSTS        

SEED RR 1000 SEEDS 28 $2.00 $56.00

SOIL TEST ACRE 1 0.30 0.30

NITROGEN POUND 150 0.68 102.00

PHOSPHATE POUND 30 0.78 23.40

POTASH POUND 60 0.58 34.80

LIME TON 0.5 45.00 22.50

LUMAX QUART 2.5 12.50 31.25

ATRAZINE QUART 0.5 1.00 0.50

ROUNDUP QUART 1 4.00 4.00

         

CROP INSURANCE (CRC 70%) ACRE 1 25.49 25.49

         

DRYING FUEL BUSHEL 150 0.20 30.00

         

         

       

INTEREST ON OPERATING CAPITAL $274.75 0.5 5.5% 7.56

TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS LISTED ABOVE       $337.80

FIXED/OVERHEAD COSTS (CUSTOM RATES ARE USED AS A PROXY FOR FIELD OPERATION COSTS)

     

         

FERTILIZER SPREADING ACRE 1 8.33 8.33

NO-TILL PLANTING WITH FERTILIZER ACRE 1 19.31 19.31

NITROGEN APPLICATION ACRE 1 10.21 10.21

PESTICIDE APPLICATIONS ACRE 1 8.31 8.31

HARVESTING ACRE 1 30.33 30.33

HAULING BUSHEL 150 0.15 22.50

INTEREST ON SPRING CUSTOM CHARGES 46.16 0.5 8.5% 1.96

         

         

LAND CHARGE ACRE 1 60.00 60.00

TOTAL FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $160.95

TOTAL VARIABLE AND FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $498.75

NET INCOME OVER VARIABLE & FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE     $353.25

      PRICES 

NET INCOME ABOVE VARIABLE AND YIELDS $4.26 $5.68 $7.10

FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE FOR 112.5 ($19.50) $140.25 $300.00

VARIOUS YIELDS AND PRICES 150 $140.25 $353.25 $566.25

  187.5 $300.00 $566.25 $832.50

Page 17: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

SOYBEANS RR READY   PER ACRE FOR Jan-13

ITEM UNIT QUANTITY PRICE TOTAL

GROSS INCOME        

SOYBEANS BUSHEL 40 $11.91 $476.40

VARIABLE COSTS        SEED 1000 SEEDS 150 $0.36 $54.00SOIL TESTING ACRE 1 0.30 0.30         PHOSPHATE POUND 45 0.78 35.10POTASH POUND 40 0.58 23.20LIME TON 0.5 45.00 22.50GRAMOXONE INTEON PINT 2 2.87 5.74ROUNDUP QUART 1 4.00 4.00WARRIOR OUNCE 3 2.34 7.02                  CROP INSURANCE (CRC 70%) ACRE 1 14.90 14.90                           INTEREST ON OPERATING CAPITAL $151.86 0.5 8.5% 6.45         TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS LISTED ABOVE       $173.21

FIXED/OVERHEAD COSTS (CUSTOM RATES ARE USED AS A PROXY FOR FIELD OPERATION COSTS)      

FERTILIZER APPLICATION ACRE 1 8.33 8.33SOYBEAN - NoTill ACRE 1 17.82 17.82PESTICIDE APPLICATIONS ACRE 3 8.31 24.93HARVESTING ACRE 1 29.92 29.92HAULING BUSHEL 40 0.15 6.00

INTEREST ON SPRING CUSTOM CHARGES $51.08 0.5 5.5% $ 1.40

                  LAND CHARGE ACRE 1 60.00 60.00TOTAL FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $148.40

TOTAL VARIABLE AND FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $321.62

NET INCOME OVER VARIABLE & FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE     $154.78

      PRICES NET INCOME ABOVE VARIABLE AND YIELDS $8.93 $11.91 $14.89 FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE FOR 30 ($53.64) $35.68 $125.01 VARIOUS YIELDS AND PRICES 40 $35.68 $154.78 $273.88   50 $125.01 $273.88 $422.76

Page 18: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

WHEAT   PER ACRE FOR Jan-13ITEM UNIT QUANTITY PRICE TOTALGROSS INCOME        WHEAT BUSHEL 75 $6.85 $513.75VARIABLE COSTS        SEED POUND 150 $0.25 $37.50SOIL TESTING ACRE 1 0.30 0.30NITROGEN POUND 70 0.68 47.60PHOSPHATE POUND 40 0.78 31.20POTASH POUND 40 0.58 23.20LIME TON 0.5 45.00 22.50         HARMONY GT XP OUNCE 0.5 11.00 5.50TILT OUNCE 4 1.93 7.72 WARRIOR OUNCE 3 2.34 7.02 OSPREY OUNCE 4.75 3.03 14.39         

CROP INSURANCE (CRC 70%) ACRE 1.00 13.15 13.15

                                    INTEREST ON OPERATING CAPITAL $196.93 0.5 8.5% 8.37TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS LISTED ABOVE       $218.45

FIXED/OVERHEAD COSTS (CUSTOM RATES ARE USED AS A PROXY FOR FIELD OPERATION COSTS)      

SPREADING FERTILIZER ACRE 2 $8.33 $16.66VERTICAL TILLAGE ACRE 2 16.88 33.76BROADCAST SEEDING ACRE 1 17.12 17.12PESTICIDE APPLICATION ACRE 2 8.31 16.62HARVESTING ACRE 1 29.97 29.97HAULING BUSHEL 75 0.15 11.25INTEREST ON FALL CUSTOM CHARGES $84.16 0.5 5.5% 2.31         LAND CHARGE ACRE 1 60.00 60.00TOTAL FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $187.69

TOTAL VARIABLE AND FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $406.15

NET INCOME OVER VARIABLE & FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE     $107.60       PRICES NET INCOME ABOVE VARIABLE AND YIELDS $5.14 $6.85 $8.56 FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE FOR 56.25 ($117.16) ($20.83) $75.49 VARIOUS YIELDS AND PRICES 75 ($20.83) $107.60 $236.04   93.75 $75.49 $236.04 $396.59

Page 19: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

CORN GRAIN, NO-TILL, POULTRY LITTER PER ACRE FOR Jan-13

ITEM UNIT QUANTITY PRICE TOTALGROSS INCOME        CORN GRAIN BUSHEL 150 $5.68 $852.00 VARIABLE COSTS        SEED RR 1000 SEEDS 28 $2.00 $56.00 SOIL TEST ACRE 1 0.30 0.30 NITROGEN POUND 80 0.68 54.40 PHOSPHATE POUND 0 0.78 0.00 POTASH POUND 0 0.58 0.00 POULTRY LITTER 70.44-59.42-46.86 lbs/ton TON 2 12.00 24.00 LIME TON 0.5 45.00 22.50 LUMAX QUART 2.5 12.50 31.25 ATRAZINE QUART 0.5 1.00 0.50 ROUNDUP QUART 1 4.00 4.00          CROP INSURANCE (CRC 70%) ACRE 1 25.49 25.49          DRYING FUEL BUSHEL 150 0.40 60.00         INTEREST ON OPERATING CAPITAL $192.95 0.5 5.5% 5.31 TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS LISTED ABOVE       $283.75 FIXED/OVERHEAD COSTS (CUSTOM RATES ARE USED AS A PROXY FOR FIELD OPERATION COSTS)

     

MANURE HAULING TON 2 20.50 41.00 MANURE LOADING TON 2 10.67 21.34 MANURE SPREADING - LITTER TON 2 7.88 15.76 MINIMAL TILLAGE ACRE 1 16.88 16.88 NO-TILL PLANTING ACRE 1 19.31 19.31 NITROGEN APPLICATION ACRE 1 10.21 10.21 PESTICIDE APPLICATIONS ACRE 1 8.31 8.31 HARVESTING ACRE 1 30.33 30.33 HAULING BUSHEL 150 0.15 22.50 INTEREST ON SPRING CUSTOM CHARGES 91.81 0.5 8.5% 3.90          LAND CHARGE ACRE 1 60.00 60.00 TOTAL FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE       $249.54 TOTAL VARIABLE AND FIXED COST LISTED ABOVE     $533.29 NET INCOME OVER VARIABLE & FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE   $318.71       PRICES NET INCOME ABOVE VARIABLE AND YIELDS $4.26 $5.68 $7.10 FIXED COSTS LISTED ABOVE FOR 112.5 ($54.04) $105.71 $265.46 VARIOUS YIELDS AND PRICES 150 $105.71 $318.71 $531.71   187.5 $265.46 $531.71 $797.96

Page 20: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co

“Any Questions?” Ben Beale

University of Maryland Extension

301 475 4481

[email protected]

Page 21: 2013 Crop Budget Projections Presented by: Ben Beale Extension Agent-St. Mary’s Co