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CONFIDENTIAL
October 20, 2003
Technology IPO Perspectives
PRESENTATION TO:
Annual Venture Capital Ecosystem Meeting
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Table of Contents
1 Historical IPO Perspectives
2 Current IPO Perspectives
3 The Global Settlement and IPO Underwriting
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 3
1 Historical IPO Perspectives
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 4
Historical IPO Perspectives
> 1,804 technology companies have gone public in the U.S.
> $118 billion in total capital raised
> 33% have been acquired
> 14% have gone bankrupt or liquidated
> 41% have appreciated in value since IPO date(1)
> 41 have been ten baggers(2)
> May 2001 date of the last telecom equipment IPO
By the numbers since 1980
(1) Determined at acquisition date if acquired.(2) Ten-bagger defined as lifetime stock price appreciation in excess of 1,000%.
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 5
3
33
2
2
2
3
36 3
727 23
6
56
5
0
203
2
5
30
6
22
0
50
00
50
200
250
300
350
0
2
3
5
6
7
0
2
3
5
6
7
2000
200
2002
2003
Historical IPO Perspectives
Number of IPOs(January
,
0 December 3
, 2002)
Source: Securities Data Corporation.
Cyclicality of IPOs
follows the evolution
of new industries
and broader
economic themes
PC Revolution Retrenchment Networking Internet Revolution Retrenchment
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$
00
$ 00
$800
$900
$1,000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
198
198
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
199
199
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
(inm
illions)
Average IPO Market Value Average IPO Size
Historical IPO Perspectives
Average IPO Market Value and IPO Size
Source: Securities Data Corporation.
Excludes Accenture and Agere IPOs in 2001.
(January 1, 1980 October 13, 2003)
PC Revolution Retrenchment Networking Internet RevolutionAverage IPO
market value and
size have steadily
increased as
investors demand
greater liquidity
and companies
with greater criticalmass
Retrenchment
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003
Historical IPO Perspectives
Average Number of Underwriters per Technology IPO(January 1, 1980 October 13, 2003)
2.0
1. 1.8
2.0
1.8
2.0
2.1
1.9
2.12.2
2.1
2. 2.
2.9
3.2
3.
3. 3.3
3.8
1.9
2.3
2.0
2.6
1.
0.0
0.
1.0
1.
2.0
2.
3.0
3.
.0
.
1980 1981 1982 1983 198 198 ! 1986 198" 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 199 199 ! 1996 199" 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: Securities Data Corporation, EquiDesk.
Increase in deal size
and competitive
dynamic among
investment banks
has increased the
average number of
underwriters on an
IPO
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 8
Historical IPO Perspectives
> Like the 1983 NFL quarterback class (Elway, Kelly, Marino), the 198# IPO class yielded
exceptional value
> Approximately $400 billion of value creation from 10 companies that went public in 198#
> Lesson: As industry leaders emerge, sectors consolidate and disproportionate value isascribed to #1
Phase 1: Technology emerges
Phase 2: Several companies compete to grow the technology and market
Phase 3: Leader emerges
Phase 4: Industry consolidates
Phase 5: Leader captures disproportionate value
IPO Darwinism
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 9
Historical IPO Perspectives
Technology Sector is an IPO Leader
2002 Sector Breakdown (by # of IPOs) 2003 Sector Breakdown (by # of IPOs)
Source: EquiDesk.
> Despite a poor environment for IPOs, technology has increased its share of total IPOs in 2003
from 2002
> Given the emerging growth characteristics of technology companies, the technology sector iswell suited to capture a significant portion of the IPO total
Other
6 $
Consumer
9 $
Healthcare6 $
% inancial
Institutions
3& $
Real Estate
& 2 $
Industrials
6$
Technology
2' $
( edia/Telecom
6 $
) inancialInstitutions
270
Healthcare1 9 0
Other
1 2 0
Consumer2 1 0
Energy1 0
Real Estate3 0
Industrials3 0
Technology9 0
4 edia/Telecom1 0
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 10
Historical IPO Perspectives
> Eight technology IPOs completed since June 2003
Financings occur in brief windows of opportunity
> Average post-IPO market capitalization was $530 mm with the smallest at $1 5 3 mm
> All issuers were profitable in 2003 and have visibility into 2004
> Issuers had limited to no exposure to telecom carrier capex
> Stocks have performed well up 49% on average
In difficult financing environment, higher levels of scrutiny are placed on those that cango public
2003 IPO Observations
Gross %
Date Company 6 roceeds @ 7 6 8 Current +/- @ 7 6 8 Current 9 003 9 004 @ 7 6 8 Current @ 7 6 8 Current
9/@ A
B
C I D E F
l G iH I P
, IH Q
. 6R R
. RS @ R
.R RS T
9.90$ -0.U V
1,437.3$ T ,W A
0. T$ XB
X
B
Y ` X
B
Y ` X
B
9/T a D
iI b c
d
e lT U
0.0T U
.00@ A
.T @
U W
.T V
504.0 776. a XB
X
B
Y ` X
B
Y ` X
B
7/ A 0 Net f ear 98.0 T W .00 T 7. @ W @ A . T V 380.8 W 68.9 0. A W 0. U W 41. 9 x U 0.7g
9 5.9xA T .9x
7/ @ A I h ass 98.0 T W .00 @ A .83 70. @ V 8 9 1.8 T ,398.8 0. @ 6 0. W T 53.8x 91.7x 34.1x 58.1x
7/16 I H teri
i G eo 39. @ 14.00 17.85 @ 7.5% 173.6 221.3 0.66 1.00 9 1. 9 x 27.0x 14.0x 17.9x
7/9 Di I itald
p eater Dq
stems 65.3 17.00 30.00 76.5% 9 9 9 .7 393.0 0.70 0.84 9 4.3x 42.9x 9 0. 9 x 35.7x
6/12 FormFactor 84.0 14.00 26.92 92.3% 46 9 .0 888.4 0.17 0.41 8 9 .4x 158.4x 34.1x 65.7x
5/12 ir
ayment 80.0 16.00 23.85 49.1%9
35.9
350.6 0.84 1.05 19.0x 28.4x 15.9
x 22.7x verage 151.8$ 49.0% 5 9 9.7$ 741.0$ 40.3x 66.5x 9 3.9x 38.7x
Gross %
Date Company 6 roceeds @ 7 6 8 Current +/- @ 7 6 8 Current 9 003 9 004 @ 7 6 8 Current @ 7 6 8 Current
9/23 AMI D E ol G ings, Inc. 600.0$ 20.00$ 19.90$ -0.5% 1,587.3$ 1,580.1$Y ` Y `
NA NA NA NA
9/18 SigmaTel 150.0 15.00 23.12 54.1% 414.0 686.8Y ` Y `
NA NA NA NA
7/30 Net f ear 98.0 14.00 17.24 23.1% 290.8 378.9 9 87.0 336.0 1.0x 1.3x 0.9x 1.1x
7/23 I h ass 98.0 14.00 23.83 70.2% 707.8 1,284.8 136.0 190.0 5.2x 9.4x 3.7x 6.8x
7/16 Interi
i G eo 39.2 14.00 17.85 27.5% 120.6 168.3 60.0 76.0 2.0x 2.8x 1.6x 2.2x
7/9 Digital Theater Systems 65.3 17.00 30.00 76.5% 178.9 349.2 51.5 68.0 3.5x 6.8x 2.6x 5.1x
6/12 FormFactor 84.0 14.00 26.92 92.3% 352.0 778.4 9 9 .0 134.0 3.8x 8.5x 2.6x 5.8x
5/12 i r ayment 80.0 16.00 23.85 49.1% 237.9 353.3 9 15.0 9 57.0 1.1x 1.6x 0.9x 1.4x
verage 9 .8x 5.1x 9 .1x 3.7x
9 004 s 6 / s
t tock 6 rice s nterprise Value s stimated u ev. 9 003 s s V / u ev 9 004 s s V / u ev
t tock 6 rice Market Cap Estimated EPS 2003EP/E
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 11
Historical IPO Perspectives
SigmaTels IPO Case Study
Critical Mass (approximately $20 million quarterly revenues)`
High quality customer relationships
Significant growth in targeted end-markets
Profitability in year of issuance
Potential for core technology to serve additional markets in the future
Experienced management team with proven track record
FilingMid June 2003
MarketingEarly September 2003
Pricing(9/18/03)
Current(10/13/03)
$350 - $400 million $410 - $4 v 0 million $504 million $ v 99 million
Increased32%on the first dayof trading
Currentlyup w 4%
Strong visibility at least one-year forward (period that the valuation will be based upon)
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 12
2 Current IPO Perspectives
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 13
Current IPO Perspectives
> Downsizing of the past 3 years has led to significant operating leverage
> Positive Qtr/Qtr revenue and earnings growth in Q1 and Q2, expected for Q3
> Equity fund flows positive every month since April
2003/2004 Outlook
Domestic Equity Funds Flow
($2.0)
($9.2)
($1.9)
$4.3
$3.2
$x.
x
$ y .9
$5. x $ y .0
($12.0)
($10.0)
($8.0)
($ y .0)
($4.0)
($2.0)
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$y
.0
$8.0
$10.0
Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03
(in
billions)
FY 2002: ($2 .3B)FY 2003: +$20. B
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 14
Current IPO Perspectives
> Investors are cautious when valuations fluctuate dramatically, making IPOs difficult to
accomplish
2003/2004 Outlook (continued)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YTD
Percentage of Trading Days per Year NASDAQ Moved +/- 2% in One Day
Extreme levels of
volatility have given
way to greater
stability
Source: Wall Street Research.
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 15
Current IPO Perspectives
> Strong performance of 2003 IPO class
> Interest rates remain low
> IPO calendar beginning to build
There are currently 1 IPOs filed with the SEC 10 of these are technology companies
2003/2004 Outlook (continued)
Current Sector Breakdown of IPO Backlog1
($ .1 Billion)
1Source: Dealogic; IPOs filed/ revised within the last 180 days, current amount filed greater than $30mm.
By number of transactions.
Technology14. %
Media/Telecom4.2%
Financial
Institutions18.8%
Energy .3%
Healthcare22.9%
Industrials2.1%
Real Estate8.3%
Other12.5%
Consumer10.4%
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 1
Current IPO Perspectives
> Since 1980, every ten years significant new technologies have emerged
Early to mid 1980s PC
Mid 1990s Internet
?? Mid-2000s Broadband connectivity and mobility utilizing cost-effectiveinfrastructure
2003/2004 Outlook (continued)
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 1
Current IPO Perspectives
What are Company Metrics for an IPO?
Critical mass at least $100 million in revenue
Demonstrated momentum through quarterly sequential revenue and earnings growth
Profitability in year of issuance
Good visibility one year forward (the period valuation will be based upon)
Product and customer diversification
Experienced management
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 18
Current IPO Perspectives
> Earnings momentum focus will shift from margins to revenues by early to mid-2004; lack of
quarter/quarter revenue growth
> Jobless recovery restricts economic growth
> A few lesser quality companies capitalize on the IPO window and subsequently underperform
> Another shock to global geopolitical events
What Can Change Our Positive Bias?
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3 The Global Settlement and IPO Underwriting
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The Global Settlement and IPO Underwriting
> Banker / Analyst diligence proceeds on a dual-track
Bankers cannot ask an Analyst to visit a company
Analysts and Bankers may not attend the same meetings with companies
No discussion of anticipated equity rating is permitted
> Research Analyst Teach-Ins to salesforce
Viewed as an education opportunity, not as a sales or marketing opportunity
Can discuss business fundamentals and information contained in prospectus
May discuss the Analysts financial estimates
May NOT comment on the transaction structure or pricing
Bankers may NOT attend Teach-Ins
> Management Presentation to the salesforce
Analysts may NOT attend (permitted to view presentation from a different location)
Bankers and ECM may attend
Analyst estimates may NOT under any circumstances be announced or distributed
Underwriter Selection and Pre-Marketing
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 21
The Global Settlement and IPO Underwriting
> Roadshow Preparation
Analysts may NOT participate in the preparation of, contribute to, comment on, orreview the roadshow presentation
Bankers may NOT solicit input from Analysts on the roadshow presentation
> Marketing and Roadshow
During marketing process, no event can be attended by Bankers and Analysts together
Analysts may NOT introduce management to buyside accounts during roadshow
Analysts may NOT provide input into the roadshow schedule or identify investors totarget
Analysts may NOT attend roadshow meetings
Analyst estimates and other perspectives/opinions may NOT be discussed or distributedin any manner, at any time by Bankers or Management during the roadshow
Marketing
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 22
The Global Settlement and IPO Underwriting
> Analysts communications with Investors
Analysts may NOT make outgoing phone calls or other communications to Investors tosolicit interest in the offering
Analysts may respond to incoming calls from Investors and discuss:
Business fundamentals of the company
Information contained in the prospectus
Analysts previously published research reports and financial model
Analysts may NOT discuss or provide an opinion with respect to: Structuring or pricing of the transaction
Any information not contained in the prospectus
> Bankers and ECM personnel may NOT direct and Analyst to initiate or take calls frominvestors
> Analysts may NOT communicate investor feedback to Bankers or ECM personnel
> Analysts may not participate in the pricing call
Marketing
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TECHNOLOGY IPO PERSPECTIVES / October 20, 2003 23
CIBC World Markets
2002 & 2003 YTD Lead and Co-Managed Equity New Issues
Source: Dealogic EquiDesk.Assumptions: Ranked by number of issues for lead and co-managed deals.Includes IPOs and Follow-ons, excludes closed-end funds and REITs.
Based on calendar year pricing dates and on total issue amount, allocates 100% to each manager.
CIBCs strength is
with middle-market
companies; we have
a long record of
successfully
executing
transactions for
these companies
IssuerMar
et Cap Less than$1 Billion All
eals
Pos. Manager# of
eals
Total
Amt.($mm) Pos. Manager
# of eals
Total
Amt.($mm)
1 CIBC WorldMar ets
3 8,654 1 Credit Suisse First Boston 184 2,94
2 Merrill Lynch & Co 2 14, 15 2 Merrill Lynch & Co 1 8,138
3 Credit Suisse First Boston 8 13,8 5 3 Citigroup Global Markets Inc 150 2,815
4 UBS AG 8, 0 4 UBS AG 14 52,914
5 Lehman Brothers 55 ,558 5 JP Morgan Securities Inc 142 4,13
US Bancorp Piper Jaffray Inc 53 4, Morgan Stanley 141 5 ,
Bear, Stearns & Co 52 ,10 Goldman, Sachs & Co 131 ,85
8 JP Morgan Securities Inc 4 12,083 8 Lehman Brothers 123 48,358
9 Morgan Stanley 45 ,984 9 Banc of America Securities 104 48, 3
10 RBC Capital Markets 45 4,180 10 Deutsche Bank AG 9 41, 05
11 Deutsche Bank AG 43 8,211 11 CIBC WorldMar ets 4 19,565
12 Societe Generale 42 5, 9 12 Bear, Stearns & Co 92 32,233
13 Citigroup Global Markets Inc 39 9,832 13 US Bancorp Piper Jaffray Inc 1 ,281
14 Raymond James 39 2,823 14 Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC 59 24,1 1
15 Goldman, Sachs & Co 35 12,0 2 15 RBC Capital Markets 59 9,45
1 Banc of America Securities 35 8,03 1 Societe Generale (Paris) 55 1 ,289
1 Thomas Weisel Partners LLC 30 3,003 1 Raymond James 54 ,38
18 Legg Mason Wood Walker Inc 28 2,599 18 AG Edwards & Sons Inc 41 , 95
19 Needham & Co Inc 28 1,899 19 Legg Mason Wood Walker Inc 41 ,593
20 BMO Financial Services 25 3,0 3 20 Thomas Weisel Partners LLC 39 ,155