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LEGEND Sound Puget KIRKLAND REDMOND MUKILTEO 405 Northend Industrial Submarket Eastside Industrial Submarket 90 520 LYNNWOOD MONROE 5 5 WOODINVILLE ISSAQUAH BELLEVUE BOTHELL EVERETT West Seattle
Citation preview
The Eastside and Northend Industrial/Flex Markets were
relatively quiet in the first quarter of 2011, with a rise in vacancy
in the Eastside and minimal change in the Northend. The
Eastside market, in particular, has seen significant tenant activity
and growth in the high tech and bio tech sector, with a multitude
of tenants continuing to scour the market for expansion space.
Rental rates, vacancy, absorption and concessions were mostly
unchanged during the first quarter, which can be an early
indicator of market stability. As we head into the second quarter
activity continues to be steady, which bodes well for further
growth and an anticipated recovery.
During the recent recession, one of the primary methods used
by landlords to combat falling rental rates on their properties
was to offer additional concessions. Most landlords were giving
more than would normally be offered in both free rent and tenant
improvements to entice tenants and maintain reasonable rental
rates. Since the margin now needs to be closed, it is anticipated
we will see a decline in concessions before rental rates start to
rise again.
Looking ahead to later in 2011 we forecast the markets
will strengthen as occupancies occur for leases signed this
quarter and market momentum continues. Tenants currently in
the market are looking for space down the road as well, with
occupancies to occur in 2012 or 2013.
The recent Boeing tanker contract award, along with Boeing
ramping up production across their entire line is great news for
the Eastside and Northend Industrial Markets. Boeing is also
bringing more of their work back in-house, which is expected to
help the Eastside and Northend Industrial Markets significantly.
It is expected that there will be noticeable growth among the
vendors and suppliers that service Boeing in 2011-2012.
There is continued optimism that absorption is around the
corner and market growth is likely. Although it may be slow, the
Northend and Eastside Industrial/Flex Markets will eventually
benefit greatly from Boeing’s ramp up. For right now though, we
will have to settle for stability and moderate growth.
EASTSIDE AND NORTHEND INDUSTRIAL/FLEX SUBMARKETS MAP
(425) 974-4000 www.pacif ic-re.com SEATTLE | BELLEVUE | TACOMA | PORTLAND
1Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
Eastside & Northend Industrial/Flex Market
STABLE AND GROWING
5
5
405
SEATTLEBELLEVUE
90
520
WestSeattle
EVERETT
MONROE
LYNNWOOD
BOTHELL
WOODINVILLE
ISSAQUAH
BELLEVUE
KIRKLAND REDMOND
MU
KILT
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Lake
Was
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Pug
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ound
LEGEND
Eastside Industrial Submarket
Northend Industrial Submarket
(425) 974-4000 www.pacif ic-re.com SEATTLE | BELLEVUE | TACOMA | PORTLAND
1Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
Eastside and Northend Industrial Market
Market Area 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 2010 1Q 2011
Bothell - - (17,096) (2,998) (20,094) (45,356)
Woodinville (9,312) 48,213 (60,658) 33,796 12,039 27,517
Kirkland 8,667 1,019 48,200 (3,878) 54,008 (5,480)
Monroe (26,262) 15,646 26,925 2,318 18,627 (4,917)
Redmond 39,921 (41,961) (34,139) 4,878 (31,301) 1,148
Bellevue 44,807 52,599 (17,922) (43,489) 35,995 (98,691)
Issaquah 1,790 (2,540) - 2,190 1,440 (2,757)
EASTSIDE INDUSTRIAL 59,611 72,976 (54,690) (7,183) 70,714 (128,536)
Everett (45,322) 111,190 54,107 110,737 230,712 (15,353)
Mukilteo (39,185) (26,092) (124,594) 8,333 (181,538) 30,651
Lynnwood 1,481 10,202 (4,977) 15,165 21,871 (14,442)
NORTHEND INDUSTRIAL (83,026) 95,300 (75,464) 134,235 71,045 856
Historical Leasing Activity Historical Total AbsorptionMarket Area 2010 Leases 2010 SF YTD 2011 Leases YTD 2011 SF
Bothell 2 24,311 2 9,000
Woodinville 46 313,272 11 62,905
Kirkland 18 98,863 1 7,125
Monroe 13 94,970 1 4,100
Redmond 20 115,136 8 188,180
Bellevue 29 221,443 7 45,046
Issaquah 5 18,220 1 2,540
EASTSIDE INDUSTRIAL 133 886,215 31 318,896
Everett 39 643,109 3 9,201
Mukilteo 9 31,970 1 3,705
Lynnwood 14 60,244 - -
NORTHEND INDUSTRIAL 62 735,323 4 12,906
Historical Total VacancyMarket Area 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011
Bothell 18.8% 18.1% 13.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1.8% 6.0%
Woodinville 14.1% 11.9% 8.1% 4.9% 4.6% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 10.2%
Kirkland 32.0% 12.7% 3.1% 10.8% 3.7% 14.4% 13.8% 13.7% 10.7% 10.9% 11.3%
Monroe 3.6% 3.6% 8.1% 10.4% 8.9% 24.2% 25.8% 24.8% 23.1% 23.0% 23.3%
Redmond 10.2% 9.5% 5.0% 3.9% 4.3% 8.9% 7.9% 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 9.7%
Bellevue 6.5% 4.1% 22.2% 12.2% 5.2% 5.4% 3.9% 2.0% 2.7% 4.2% 7.5%
Issaquah 42.2% 32.5% 22.5% 10.1% 6.4% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 7.1%
EASTSIDE INDUSTRIAL 13.9% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 4.7% 10.2% 9.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 10.5%
Everett 18.0% 15.9% 18.7% 9.2% 11.2% 15.7% 16.3% 14.9% 14.2% 12.8% 13.0%
Mukilteo 17.2% 16.0% 13.9% 10.8% 9.4% 11.6% 13.4% 14.6% 20.2% 19.8% 18.4%
Lynnwood 6.7% 12.0% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8% 7.5% 7.4% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.1%
NORTHEND INDUSTRIAL 16.0% 15.3% 15.8% 9.1% 9.9% 13.7% 14.4% 13.6% 14.2% 13.1% 13.1% Prio
r ye
ars
as o
f 4
Q
The Eastside and Northend Industrial Markets consist of ten submarkets,
with 724 buildings and a total of 28,944,690 SF. The overall vacancy rate
in the Eastside Market edged up slightly from the end of 2010, while
remaining even in the Northend Market. Asking rental rates remain
farily consistent with 2010 rates. The largest number of signed leases,
year to date, have been in the Woodinville and Redmond submarkets,
while Woodinville and Mukilteo have seen the largest gains in positive
net absorption since the beginning of the year.
Eastside and Northend Industrial OverviewINVENTORY ABSORPTION AVERAGE RENT & EXPENSES CONCESSIONS
Market Area Buildings SF Direct Vacancy Sublet Vacancy Total Vacancy 1Q YTD Shell Office Shell
Bothell 31 1,096,891 4.4% 1.6% 6.0% (45,356) (45,356) $0.50-$0.60 $1.00-$1.20 4-6 months
Woodinville 136 5,395,595 9.9% 0.3% 10.2% 27,517 27,517 $0.45-$0.60 $0.95-$1.20 4-6 months
Kirkland 43 1,576,880 10.0% 1.3% 11.3% (5,480) (5,480) $0.45-$0.60 $0.95-$1.25 4-5 months
Monroe 48 1,590,449 21.0% 2.3% 23.3% (4,917) (4,917) $0.40-$0.55 $0.95-$1.15 4-7 months
Redmond 104 3,829,067 9.2% 0.5% 9.7% 1,148 1,148 $0.50-$0.60 $1.00-$1.25 3-6 months
Bellevue 69 2,909,088 7.5% 0.0% 7.5% (98,691) (98,691) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-5 months
Issaquah 14 719,574 7.1% 0.0% 7.1% (2,757) (2,757) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-6 months
EASTSIDE INDUSTRIAL 445 17,117,544 9.9% 0.6% 10.5% (128,536) (128,536) $0.45-$0.65 $0.95-$1.25 3-7 months
Everett 157 7,859,901 12.6% 0.4% 13.0% (15,353) (15,353) $0.45-$0.60 $1.10-$1.25 3-6 months
Mukilteo 59 2,201,977 18.4% 0.0% 18.4% 30,651 30,651 $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-6 months
Lynnwood 63 1,765,268 6.3% 0.8% 7.1% (14,442) (14,442) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-6 months
NORTHEND INDUSTRIAL 279 11,827,146 12.7% 0.4% 13.1% 856 856 $0.45-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-6 months
HISTORICAL VACANCY RATES
2005 2007 2009 20112006 2008 2010
16.0%
12.0%
8.0%
14.0%
4.0%
10.0%
6.0%
Vacancy Rates
(425) 974-4000 www.pacif ic-re.com SEATTLE | BELLEVUE | TACOMA | PORTLAND
1Q’11 PUGET SOUND MARKET REPORT
Eastside and Northend Flex OverviewINVENTORY ABSORPTION AVERAGE RENT & EXPENSES CONCESSIONS
Market Area Buildings SF Direct Vacancy Sublet Vacancy Total Vacancy 1Q YTD Shell Office Shell
Bothell 56 2,704,864 20.3% 1.4% 21.7% 9,948 9,948 $0.50-$0.60 $1.10-$1.25 1-3 months
Woodinville 13 409,282 8.7% 4.4% 13.1% 20,564 20,564 $0.50-$0.60 $1.00-$1.25 3-6 months
Kirkland 43 1,264,755 22.3% 0.0% 22.3% (21,515) (21,515) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 1-3 months
Redmond 129 4,036,594 13.9% 0.9% 14.8% (28,012) (28,012) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 2-4 months
Bellevue 47 1,219,958 16.2% 0.0% 16.2% (8,516) (8,516) $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-5 months
Issaquah 12 267,600 4.4% 0.0% 4.4% 1,916 1,916 $0.50-$0.65 $1.10-$1.25 3-5 months
EASTSIDE FLEX 300 9,903,053 16.5% 0.9% 17.4% (25,615) (25,615) $0.50-$0.65 $1.00-$1.25 1-5 months
Everett 18 1,191,111 10.7% 8.4% 19.1% 8,606 8,606 $0.50-$0.60 $1.05-$1.25 3-6 months
Mukilteo 13 594,296 13.3% 0.0% 13.3% - - $0.50-$0.60 $1.05-$1.25 3-6 months
Lynnwood 29 468,564 12.4% 0.0% 12.4% (8,199) (8,199) $0.50-$0.60 $1.05-$1.25 3-6 months
NORTHEND FLEX 60 2,253,971 11.8% 4.4% 16.2% 407 407 $0.50-$0.60 $1.05-$1.25 3-6 months
Market Area 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 2010 1Q 2011
Bothell 6,782 36,050 36,087 (26,113) 52,806 9,948
Woodinville (1,269) (3,758) (35,660) 515 (40,172) 20,564
Kirkland 21,106 10,192 (1,560) (8,657) 21,081 (21,515)
Redmond (5,347) (33,978) (46,613) (12,515) (98,453) (28,012)
Bellevue (15,308) (1,588) 27,864 7,562 18,530 (8,516)
Issaquah (1,613) 4,533 1,000 (1,547) 2,373 1,916
EASTSIDE FLEX 4,351 11,451 (18,882) (40,755) (43,835) (25,615)
Everett (3,806) - (140,221) 4,476 (139,551) 8,606
Mukilteo - - 42,534 (76) 42,458 -
Lynnwood (13,813) 1,338 18,535 759 6,819 (8,199)
NORTHEND FLEX (17,619) 1,338 (79,152) 5,159 (90,274) 407
Historical Leasing Activity Historical Total AbsorptionMarket Area 2010 Leases 2010 SF YTD 2011 Leases YTD 2011 SF
Bothell 42 223,637 5 11,856
Woodinville 6 8,194 6 7,083
Kirkland 18 58,040 5 13,068
Redmond 82 231,921 14 44,466
Bellevue 35 106,785 6 12,726
Issaquah 4 8,797 1 1,916
EASTSIDE FLEX 187 637,374 37 91,115
Everett 6 25,180 1 5,286
Mukilteo 10 232,645 - -
Lynnwood 24 42,109 3 2,311
NORTHEND FLEX 40 299,934 4 7,597
Historical Total VacancyMarket Area 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011
Bothell 25.9% 23.3% 19.1% 14.8% 21.5% 23.1% 22.7% 21.4% 20.1% 21.1% 21.7%
Woodinville 8.4% 2.8% 8.0% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 18.1% 18..1% 13.1%
Kirkland 18.3% 17.1% 13.9% 12.7% 16.1% 22.2% 20.6% 19.8% 19.9% 20.6% 22.3%
Redmond 26.7% 24.8% 11.6% 8.4% 7.6% 11.7% 11.9% 12.7% 13.9% 14.2% 14.8%
Bellevue 10.0% 8.8% 8.7% 11.4% 10.5% 17.0% 18.3% 18.4% 16.1% 15.5% 16.2%
Issaquah 33.6% 1.9% 4.7% 13.5% 8.6% 6.0% 6.6% 4.9% 4.5% 5.1% 4.4%
EASTSIDE FLEX 22.7% 19.9% 13.3% 11.2% 12.9% 16.5% 16.4% 16.3% 16.5% 16.9% 17.4%
Everett 13.6% 15.9% 10.2% 14.9% 8.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 20.2% 19.9% 19.1%
Mukilteo 58.6% 36.6% 16.2% 15.3% 13.7% 20.5% 20.5% 20.5% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3%
Lynnwood 20.1% 17.2% 11.3% 7.2% 6.7% 12.1% 15.0% 14.7% 10.8% 10.6% 12.4%
NORTHEND FLEX 28.5% 25.0% 19.9% 10.4% 9.7% 12.2% 13.0% 12.9% 16.4% 16.2% 16.2% Prio
r ye
ars
as o
f 4
Q
The Eastside and Northend Flex Markets are comprised of nine
submarkets, with 360 buildings and a total of 12,157,024 SF. The overall
vacancy rate in the Eastside Market edged up slightly from the end of
2010, while remaining even in the Northend Market. Asking rental rates
remain farily consistent with 2010 rates. The largest number of signed
leases, year to date, has been in the Redmond submarket and the
Woodinvillesubmarket saw the largest gain in positive net absorption
since the beginning of the year.
Eastside and Northend Flex Market
HISTORICAL VACANCY RATES
2005 2007 2009 20112006 2008 2010
25.0%
15.0%
5.0%
20.0%
0.0%
10.0%
Vacancy Rates