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150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered Investment Advisor Securities Offered Through Securities Service Network, Inc. Member FINRA / SIPC

150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

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Page 1: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

150 Himmelein RoadMedford, NJ 08055

609-714-0546

Agenda:• Capital Markets review and

investment outlook

First Quarter 2014

MFG Investments, LLCA Registered Investment Advisor

Securities Offered Through Securities Service Network, Inc. Member FINRA / SIPC

Page 2: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

U.S. Economic Growth Remains Modest

Page 3: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Existing Home Sales and Prices Slow Down

1 U.S. Existing Home Sales shows the number of existing homes sold each month, expressed an annualized rate in millions. 2 U.S. Existing Home Sales Median Price Year-over-Year % Change shows the rate of change in the median home price (the point at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less) compared to the same month last year. Source: National Association of Realtors

Page 4: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Headline Inflation Remains Contained

Page 5: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Fed Sets Threshold for Potential Rate Increases

Page 6: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Unemployment Rate Continues to Decline

Page 7: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Earnings Decline Despite Rising Forecasts

Page 8: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Returns for Major U.S. Equity Indices

1Q14 1 YearS&P 500 1.81% 21.86%

Russell 2000 1.12% 24.90%NASDAQ 0.83% 30.18%

Dow Jones -0.72% 12.89%The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely traded stocks. Created by Standard & Poor’s, it is considered to represent the performance of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded Blue Chip stocks, primarily industrials but including service oriented firms. Prepared and published by Dow Jones & Co., it is the oldest and most widely quoted of all the market indicators. The components, which change from time to time, represent between 15% and 20% of the market value of NYSE stock.

The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index (the 3,000 largest publicly traded U.S. companies based on total market capitalization).

The NASDAQ Composite is a market-capitalization price only index that reflects the aggregate performance of domestic common stocks traded on the regular NASDAQ market, as well as national market system traded foreign common stocks and ADRsReturns shown are total returns, and thus include reinvested dividends. The indices are not investment products available for purchase.Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: FactSet

Page 9: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Earnings Yields vs. Bond Yields

1Yr Forward Earnings Yield: One year forward IBES stock earnings forecasts divided by the current stock price. Earnings yield is the inverse of P/E.

Page 10: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Interest Rates Step Back Some in Early 2014

Page 11: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Summary

The opinions expressed are those of LSA Portfolio Analytics and are no guarantee of future performance of any LSA Portfolio. This information is not intended to serve as investment advice; it is for educational purposes only.

•U.S. Economic Growth (GDP)– Moderate Growth, Not Robust Yet– Do Not Expect Another Recession

•Inflation– Contained Inflation is Most Likely Near Term– Risks of Higher Inflation Longer Term

•Fed Policy– Continued Near-Zero Interest Rate Target Likely Until 2015– Continued Tapering of Bond Buying Program, Most Likely Ending Fourth Quarter 2014

•Interest Rates– “Normalization” Underway--Near- and Long-Term Rates Trending Moderately Higher

•International– Mostly Muted Economic Growth and Low Inflation on a Global Basis

Page 12: 150 Himmelein Road Medford, NJ 08055 609-714-0546 Agenda: Capital Markets review and investment outlook First Quarter 2014 MFG Investments, LLC A Registered

Looking Ahead

The opinions expressed are those of LSA Portfolio Analytics and are no guarantee of future performance of any LSA Portfolio. This information is not intended to serve as investment advice; it is for educational purposes only.

• Economic Outlook – Moderate Growth—Continued Subdued Improvement, Not Robust Yet

– Inflation Contained Now, Could Rise Later

– Normalization of Interest Rates--Near- and Long-Term Rates Trending Moderately Higher

• Market Outlook– Overweights: U.S. Large Cap Growth Stocks; Short- Dated High Yield Corporate Bonds; Non-Agency MBS; Commercial MBS;

ARMs; CMOs, ABS; U.K., Norwegian, Swedish, Spanish, and Belgian Bonds, including credit positions (low BBB, BB) and Puerto Rican Municipal Bonds

– Underweights: U.S. Nominal Treasuries, Agency Debt, Fixed-Rated Agency MBS, U.S. Large Cap Value Stocks

– Other Positioning: Due to our expectations surrounding continued normalization of interest rates higher, we have shortened duration within our bond portfolios

• Items to Watch– How weather affected U.S. Growth and Inflation, and how changes in those areas could affect Fed Monetary Policy

– Conflict in Crimea

– Corporate Earnings

– Middle East Tensions

– Strength of Chinese Economy