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8/3/2019 10 Insights from the SmartCompanyWHK SME Directions Survey
1/13
the SmartCompanyWHKSME Directions Survey
10 Insights from
8/3/2019 10 Insights from the SmartCompanyWHK SME Directions Survey
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10 Insights from the SmartCompany - WHK SME Directions Survey
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Introduction
Its been a challenging year for Australias SMEs. Patchy economic conditions, the strongAustralian dollar and political uncertainty have not made it easy to achieve revenue and
prot forecasts or plan for the year ahead.
But what will 2012 hold? More of the same? New challenges? Or the recovery that many
entrepreneurs are waiting for?
The inaugural SmartCompany-WHK SME Directions Survey, sponsored by Australasias
leading SME accounting and nancial services provider WHK, canvassed the views of
more than 600 entrepreneurs and managers from around the country on everything from
growth plans and prot forecasts to the carbon tax and their worry list.
The clear message is that despite some bruises from a tough year, Australian SMEs
remain upbeat, with relatively strong revenue and prot targets and a strong desire to bring
on new staff.
These are entrepreneurs who are intent on planning carefully and regularly, driving
efciencies in their businesses and looking for organic growth opportunities they can
quickly seize upon.
SmartCompany and WHK are committed to listening to the SME community and hope our
inaugural SME Directions Survey will continue a long and valuable dialogue with the engine
room of the Australian economy.
James Thomson, Editor
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1
A tough year, but forecasts remain strong
The SmartCompany-WHK SME Directions survey highlights just how challenging a year
the SME community has faced. Fragile consumer and business condence, the rapid
appreciation of the Australian dollar and the natural disasters that rocked the country at the
start of 2011 havent made it easy to execute growth plans.
It is no surprise then that many businesses missed their growth targets over the past 12
months. According to the survey, 54.6% of respondents missed their revenue goals, while
just over 60% of respondents missed prot targets.
Respondents in South Australia and Queensland struggled the most. More than 70% of
South Australian respondents missed their revenue targets, while 65.3% of respondents in
the Sunshine State missed their prot objectives.
But thankfully the choppy
conditions of 2011 havent
dented the condence of
SMEs heading into 2012, with
respondents expecting revenuegrowth of about 15% and prot
growth of around 10%.
If those targets can be achieved, it would represent a very credible rebound for the SME
sector. Given what weve seen in the last 12 months, a period of stability and economic
growth will be needed to make that strong outlook a reality.
15% - Revenue growth expected in 2012
10% - Prot growth expected in 2012
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2
Australian economy to remain steady
but interest rates need to fall
Predicting where the Australian economy is going in 2012 is a little like trying to bottle
lightening. But our valiant SMEs have dared to go where many economists fear to tread.
Based on their sobering view of the economy, it appears that the best Australia can hope
for is steady growth, but theres a clear risk that we may go into reverse.
Just over 43% of respondents said they expected the economy to remain steady, with35.5% expecting negative growth and just 15.5% expecting positive growth of any kind.
Perhaps thats why so many SMEs are looking for further rate cuts. Almost 90% said that
rates need to be lower, with most looking for a cut of 1%. That might be wishful thinking
from SMEs, but it does underline how much SMEs want some more relief from the RBA.
While sentiment on the overall economy is relatively weak, most respondents were more bullish
on their individual sectors, with 27.5% expecting growth and 8% expecting strong growth.
The most bullish sector was the internet industry, where 46.7% of respondents expect
growth and 26.7% expect strong growth. In the IT sector, 35.7% of respondents expectgrowth and 9.5% expect strong growth, while the health sector continues to ride a
demographic boom, with 46.7% of respondents expecting growth and 16.7% predicting
strong growth.
Strong negative growth
Negative growth
Steady
Growth
Strong growth
5.4%
35.5%
43.6%
13.8%
1.7%
What is your sentiment on the economy?
Response
Percent
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3
Cashow still keeping entrepreneurs up at night
There are plenty of issues that can keep
an SME entrepreneur up at night, both
inside and outside their business. With that
in mind, we asked respondents to rank the
top three issues on their worry list.
Leading the eld is the perennial problem
of the entrepreneur cashow. Given how
difcult it has been to meet prot targets,
this is not surprising.
What was surprising was the fact that
the global economy rated higher on the
worry list than the domestic economy.
While Australia is of course not insulated
from the problems in Europe and the
United States, SMEs have pulled back on
exporting and because of this, they arenot as exposed to international markets as
they were in the past. Nonetheless, this underlines the huge impact that events overseas
are having on consumer and business sentiment.
Another interesting feature of the worry list is how low respondents placed industrial
relations. While this has become a hot-button issue in the business community in recent
months, SMEs appear to be having few workplace problems at present.
The top 10 SME worry list
1. Cashow
2. The global economy
3. The Australian economy
4. Rising costs
5. Tax and business regulation
6. Skills shortages
7. Interest rates
8. The carbon tax
9. The Australian dollar
10. Industrial relations
Andrew Baird, Business Adviser, WHK Melbourne VIC
Over the years we have found that cash ow management remains an
ongoing challenge for clients, regardless of whether they are experiencing a
decline in sales or signicant sales growth. Vigilant cash ow management is
the life line of a business.
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4
SMEs better understand carbon tax but still worried
about imact on prot
With a carbon tax set to come into force on July 1, 2012, SMEs
really need to start thinking about the potential impacts of the
tax on their businesses.
Happily, there is clear evidence that this is happening.
Back in September, WHK asked SMEs whether they
understood the impact of the carbon tax on their businesses
and just 17.4% said they did.
This dramatic change in the level of understanding among
SMEs follows the passing of the Gillard Governments carbon
tax legislation in early November and an increase in the
Governments efforts to educate the business community about
how the tax operates and what compensation is available.
Three months on, that has changed dramatically, with 49.1% ofrespondents saying they understood how the tax would affect
them.
SMEs also appear to be less concerned about how the tax
will impact their prot. While in September 72.9% of those that
understood how the carbon tax would affect them said they
expected to see their prots fall, this number dropped to 45.8%
three months later.
YesNo
49.1%50.9%
Increase
11.4%
No change45.8%
Decrease42.8%
Do you understand the impact of the
carbon tax on your business?
Do you expect the carbon tax to increase
or decrease your business proft?
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5
Organic growth the main focus
We know the SMEs
surveyed have strong
revenue and growth
targets for the year
ahead (15% and 10%
respectively), but how
do they plan to achievethem?
Organic growth is their
answer, with 41.6% of
respondents ranking this
as their key strategy for the year ahead. This is not surprising, given the conditions that
many of the SMEs in the survey would have faced in the last 12 months.
Other internally focused growth strategies namely improved pricing and margins and
improved business operations/efciencies were also high on the list, suggesting SMEs
will look to the current core business to drive growth.
However, its clear that tough times havent meant an end to innovation. The second most
prominent strategy was growth through new products, which suggests a reasonable level
of condence from entrepreneurs.
The drive to grow via the release of new products was seen most strongly in the
information technology sector, while the health and manufacturing sectors were more
focused on organic growth.
What we wont be seeing is much in the way of takeovers, mergers or exporting. In the
current climate, it appears that these growth strategies are viewed as simply too risky forSME entrepreneurs.
1. Organic growth
2. Growth via new products
3. Improved business operations/efciencies
4. Improved pricing/margins
5. Growth via geographic expansion in Australia6. Growth via geographic expansion overseas
7. Growth via takeover or merger
Philippa Bakes, Business Adviser, WHK Western Victoria
With fewer SMEs looking to exit, opportunities for acquisition may not
be numerous but there is still a ready supply of baby boomers coming
up to retirement. Its worth keeping an eye on your market and not ruling
out an acquisition - it could give you the boost yourbusiness needs.
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Hiring intentions remain strong
A slight rise in unemployment over the second half in 2011 had many economists worried.
Was unemployment about to become yet another challenge for the Australian economy?
The SmartCompany-WHK SME Directions Survey shows that shows that concern about
weak employment growth may be unfounded, with 60.5% of respondents saying they plan
to hire in the next 12 months.
Hiring intentions were strongest in New South Wales (where 64.5% of respondents intendto hire), followed by Queensland (56.1%). Surprisingly, mining state Western Australia had
the weakest intentions, with 42.9% of respondents planning to hire.
Looking at the data by industry, information technology has the strongest hiring intentions
(70.7% of respondents intend to hire), with education, telecommunications and the internet
sector also looking to take on new staff.
It appears the slight weakening of the labour market in recent months should make it
easier to nd staff; of those looking to hire, 52% have no concerns about skills shortages.
Of those not looking to hire, the most common reason was that the business has no needor funds.
Will your business be hiring in the next six to 12 months?
0
10
20
30
40
50
6070
80
NSW QLD SA VIC WA
Yes
No
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7
Demand for funding dips
The relationship between the SME community and the banking sector has been strained
in the last few years, to say the least. In many cases, its become something of a he said,
she said situation: SMEs say the banks arent prepared to lend at attractive terms, while
the banks say demand for business loans has fallen.
The truth probably lies somewhere in between, although our survey suggests demand
for credit is down. When asked whether they would seek external funding in the next
12 months, only 35.1% said they would do so, with demand for credit particularly low in
Queensland and Western Australia.
This is hardly surprising given that businesses are going to focus on organic growth
strategies in the coming year (presumably these will either be funded through cashow or
retained earnings).
Of the businesses that will seek external funding, the most likely form of fresh capital is
from new investors, followed by existing investors.
Increasing funding from the banks was the third most popular option, which suggests the
tensions from the GFC still linger.
0
1020
30
40
50
60
70
80
Will you increase or decrease funding from these sources?
BANKS OR SIMILAR EXISTING INVESTORS NEW INVESTORS OTHER FORMS OF FUNDING
increase
Decrease
No change
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Planning now a quarterly event
The rapid changes weve seen in economic conditions in the last few years have made the
job of business planning difcult for most entrepreneurs.
In the recent past, ve-year or even 10-year plans were commonplace in Australian
businesses. But the SmartCompany-WHK SME Directions survey reveals a very different
approach is now being taken.
Setting aside the 29.7% of respondents who said they didnt have a business plan (wehope these SMEs are working on theirs as we speak) we can see that business plans
are in the main now stretching a maximum of three years (the time-frame for 29.1% of
respondents who have an active plan) and often less.
Just 16.8% of respondents have a ve-year plan, and only 7% of those surveyed had
a plan stretching more than ve years. In this environment, seeing that far ahead is
incredibly difcult.
Not only are business plans focusing on the shorter term, they are also being reviewed
more frequently. Just over 36% of respondents said they are now reviewing their business
plans quarterly, with 24% re-examining their plans every six months and 22% looking at
their plans on a monthly basis.
This two-tier planning system where the broad business plan looks ahead a maximum
of three years and is frequently reviewed is likely to remain a feature of the SME
community in the coming year.
Derek Campbell, Chief Executive, WHK Townsville QLD
Planning has always been a key tool but with such volatility in exchange
rates, changing interest rates and uncertainty in the economy, monitoring
progress against plan is critical right now. And having the exibility to respond
to changing conditions will enable business owners to
capitalise on the opportunities these changes present.
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SMEs not looking for the exit
For most of the of past decade, SME experts
and advisers have been warning of a wave of
business exits as the baby boomers prepare
for succession and get ready to hand over their
businesses.
But it hasnt happened. The global nancial crisis
appeared to convince many entrepreneurs that
they needed to stay at the helm and guide their
businesses through the difcult conditions. On top
of this, a fall in asset values meant they were not
going to receive the big nest egg they might have
expected when it did come time to sell.
This sentiment appears to still be prevalent in
the market. When asked whether they had a
business exit strategy in place, only 35.3% of
respondents indicated that they did.
There could be a number of reasons for this, including economic conditions, sectoral
conditions or the specic circumstances of businesses. For example, younger businesses
tend not to think about exit plans, even though it is always smart to do so.
But the bottom line is the great wave of exits will be delayed for at least another year and
quite possibly longer.
Of those respondents who do have an exit plan, selling the business was easily the most
popular exit strategy. Family succession and management buy outs were the next most
popular options, although a surprising number of respondents said they were likely to windthe business down when the time came exit.
David Cooke, Business Adviser, WHK Bathurst NSW
For some SME business owners the value of their business is their only
retirement capital. And surprisingly, most have either no idea, or conversely,
completely unrealistic expectations of what their business is worth. So if the
business owner is hoping for a business sale to fund their retirement, they
need to start sooner rather than later - even if they arent ready for exit yet!
That old catch phrase - Start with the end in mind....
is so true for SME business owners.
What is your exit plan?
Sale of
business
60.1%
Family
succession
11.5%
Other
13.8%
Management
buyout
9.2%
Publiclisting5.5%
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New Year, new plans
The tenor of the SmartCompany-WHK Directions Survey is clearly mixed. The battle scars
left by missed targets in the last 12 months mean entrepreneurs remain cautious, even if
revenue and prot forecasts are reasonably strong.
But we know SME entrepreneurs are a
positive bunch, and difcult conditions
wont stop them working on ways to
improve their businesses.
With this in mind, we asked them what
they are doing to make 2012 a success. A
few common themes quickly emerged, as
you will see from the quotes at left.
SMEs remains focused on marketing,
communications and lead generation,
which is the lifeblood of any business.
But perhaps the biggest theme is that of
creating internal processes and systems
within fast-growing businesses. In any
SME, the transition from small to medium-
sized business can be difcult and requires
the leaders of a company to move into different roles. Building the systems and processes
needed to support this transition is one of the most important things an entrepreneur can do.
Ill improve how we are organised
so that I can delegate more tasks
to free up time to invest in product
development and marketing.
Im going to spend a decent
amount not the usual penny
pinching amount of money on
branding and quit doing this myself
or using other cheap designers.
Ive had a blinding ash of theobvious that this is the one thing I
have done poorly in my business.
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Accounting and nancial services are much more than just a numbers game. To us theyre
about understanding your business and gaining knowledge that will help it grow. We can
provide a picture of where you sit versus your competition and unearth those rare insightsthat will give you the advantage you seek.
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The smartseek the
advantage
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