10 Feb 2014 Moody

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    Rating Action: Moody's downgrades AES Puerto Rico to Ba2, outlook negative

    Global Credit Research - 10 Feb 2014

    Approximately $194 million of secured bonds affected

    New York, February 10, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service downgraded the rating of approximately $194 million ofsecured bonds issued by the Puerto Rico Industrial, Tourist, Educational, Medical, and Environmental ControlFacilities Financing Authority on behalf of AES Puerto Rico L.P (AES PR) to Ba2 from Ba1 and revised the outlookto negative. Today's rating action is driven by Moody's recent rating downgrade of Puerto Rico Electric Power

    Authority (PREPA: Ba2, negative) revenue bonds.

    RATINGS RATIONALE

    AES PR's revenues are entirely dependent upon PREPA which in turn is heavily dependent on the economichealth of Puerto Rico. On February 7th, Moody's downgraded the ratings of both these entities to Ba2 with anegative outlook. The rating actions reflected continued weakness in the economy of Puerto Rico which weexpect will weigh heavily on PREPA's ability to meet numerous important initiatives or to improve its weak creditmetrics and liquidity position. Although we recognize the strategic importance of the project to PREPA as a sourceof fuel diversity and relatively low-cost base-load power coupled with the priority of PREPA's contractualpayments to AES PR as an operating expense, ultimately the financial strength of AES PR is dependent upon thefinancial health of its off-taker and its ability to make timely payments.

    AES PR's own operational and financial performance continues to be generally consistent with our expectations;however, the amount and timing of payments from PREPA continue to be somewhat erratic, periodically impactingcash flow metrics. For the twelve months ending November 2013, AES PR calculated a cash based debt servicecoverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.12x -- this ratio includes the impact of a one-time charge for higher legal expenses andthe receipt of a PREPA payment four days after the end of the reporting period. Adding back the delayed payment,the ratio would have been 1.26x; further adding back the one-time charge brings the ratio to approximately 1.31x.For the twelve months ending September 2013 we calculate a DSCR of about 1.40x. Going forward, on the basisof earned revenue, we expect AES PR should be able to demonstrate DSCR's that are above 1.30x; for thetwelve months ending November 2014, AES projects a cash based DSCR of about 1.26x.

    The negative outlook for AES PR is consistent with the negative outlook for PREPA and reflects the potential forthe rating to move downward in the event the Ba2 rating of PREPA was to be downgraded. Downward pressureon the rating could also develop if the project were to experience prolonged operating difficulties which result inreductions to PREPA's capacity payments or if increases in unrecovered operating and/or capital costs causedebt service coverage ratios to fall below 1.20x for an extended period.

    In light of the negative outlook, the rating is not likely to revised upward over the near-to-medium term and iscurrently upwardly constrained by the Ba2 rating and negative outlook of PREPA. In the event the rating outlook atPREPA stabilized, the outlook for AES PR would also likely be revised to stable. Longer term, upward pressure onthe rating could develop if the rating of PREPA were to be revised upward and if the project is able to demonstratedebt service coverage ratios above 1.3x on a sustainable basis.

    For additional detail on AES PR please refer to our credit opinion posted on moodys.com.

    AES PR, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of AES Corporation (AES: Ba3, stable), owns and operates a 454megawatt (MW) coal-fired cogeneration facility located on the southeastern coast of Puerto Rico. The project sellsall of its firm energy and capacity pursuant to a 25-year power purchase agreement to the PREPA, a publiccorporation and governmental agency of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. The project began operating in 2002.

    The principal methodology used in this rating was the Power Generation Projects published in December 2012.Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

    REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

    For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory

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    disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/classof debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordancewith Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certainregulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular ratingaction for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and inrelation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where

    the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a mannerthat would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page forthe respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

    For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this ratingaction, and whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures willbe those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to

    jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

    Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related ratingoutlook or rating review.

    Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legalentity that has issued the rating.

    Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures foreach credit rating.

    Laura J.K. SchumacherVP - Senior Credit OfficerCorporate Finance GroupMoody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007U.S.A.JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

    Chee Mee HuMD - Project Finance

    Corporate Finance GroupJOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

    Releasing Office:Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007U.S.A.JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

    2014 Moody's Corporation, Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors andaffiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.

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