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Biology Chemistr y Informat ics Evaluation of sample processing protocols for the analysis of pumpkin leaf metabolites Statistics Goals: Compare different extraction and drying protocols to identify the “optimal” sample processing approach Topics: 1.Data quality overview 2.Statistical comparisons 3.Power analysis

1 statistical analysis

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Page 1: 1  statistical analysis

Biology

Chemistry

Informatics

Evaluation of sample processing protocols for the analysis of pumpkin leaf metabolites

Stati

stics

Goals: Compare different extraction and drying protocols to identify the “optimal” sample processing approach

Topics: 1. Data quality overview2. Statistical comparisons 3. Power analysis

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Biology

Chemistry

Informatics

Stati

stics

Data Quality Overview

Goal: Calculate and visualize the summary statistics for each metabolite/treatment (Use DATA: Pumpkin data 1.csv)

Calculate: 1. Mean and standard deviation (sd)2. The percent relative standard deviation, %RSD, (sd/mean)*100

Visualize:3. The relationship between mean vs. sd, mean and %RSD4. Compare mean metabolite values for all treatments

Exercises:5. Describe the relationship between analyte mean and sd, mean and %RSD?6. Describe what constitutes an “optimal” method?7. Which extraction/treatment should be chosen to process further samples?

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Summary statisticsSt

atisti

cs

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Mean vs. SDSt

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• Mean and sd are highly correlated• Larger means have larger sd• This effect is also called heteroscedasticity

Mean

SD

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Mean vs. %RSDSt

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• %RSD is minimally correlated with the meanCan be used as criteria for:

• Comparing method reproducibility• Identifying data quality

Mean

%RS

D

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Qualities of %RSDSt

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• %RSD (also called the coefficient of variation or CV) is the sd (variation) scaled by the mean (magnitude).

• Removes the relationship between variation and magnitude• Provides a single value which can be used to compare the variation of a

measurement among different treatments/samples

Showing the mean and sd of the %RSD for all metabolites for a given treatment

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Data qualitySt

atisti

cs Good

~40%

~10,000

Moderate

Bad

Below LOQ (sensitivity)

Mean

%RS

D

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Selecting the “optimal” methodSt

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Optimal can be:1. Lowest average %RSD for all measurements2. Lowest %RSD for measurements of interest 3. Largest number of metabolites passing %RSD cutoff4. Lowest average %RSD for all measurements passing %RSD cutoff

Count %RSD (mean ± sd)

Using strategy #4 for metabolites %RSD ≤ 40

Method #2 (ACN/IPA/water 3:3:2) looks optimal…

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Log Mean

Mean

Based on Method #2St

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cs

%RSD ≤ 40

Log Mean

%RS

D

Analytes with high signal and high %RSD should be further interrogated for explanations of low reproducibility

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Statistical comparison of the effects of sample drying

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Steps:1. Use t-Test to compare metabolite means for each treatment2. Correct for the false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted p-value3. Estimate FDR (q-value)

Visualize:4. Relationship between p-value and FDR adjusted p-value5. Relationship between FDR adjusted p-value and q-value6. Box plots for highest and lowest p-value metabolitesQuestions:7. When should you use a one-sample, two-sample or paired t-test, ANOVA?

Goals: identify the effect of treatment (fresh/lyophylized) on Methods #3-4 performance? (Use DATA: Pumpkin data 2.csv)

Count %RSD (mean ± sd)

*return to 0-introduction

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Hypothesis Testing StrategiesSt

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• One sample t-Test is used to compare single value to a population mean• Two sample t-Test is used to compare 2 independent populations• Paired t-Test is used to compare the same population (intervention, repeated

measures) • One-way ANOVA (analysis of variance) is used to compare n populations for

one factor• Two-way ANOVA is used to compare n populations for 2 factors• ANCOVA (analysis of covariance) is used to adjust n populations for

covariate (typically continuous) prior to testing for n factors• Mixed effects models are versatile analogue to linear model or

ANOVA/ANCOVA and typically used to adjust for covariates or variance due to repeated measures

*All of the above are parametric tests, and some of which have non-parametric analogues

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p-value vs. FDR adjusted p-valueSt

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FDR

adju

sted

p-v

alue

p-value

Benjamini & Hochberg (1995) (“BH”)• Accepted standard

Bonferroni• Very conservative• adjusted p-value = p-

value*# of tests (e.g. 0.005 * 148 = 0.74 )

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p-value vs. q-valueSt

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FDR

adju

sted

p-v

alue

q-value

• q-value can be used to select appropriate p-value cut off for an acceptable FDR for multiple hypotheses tested

• q=0.05 nicely matches assumptions of p=0.05 for multiple hypotheses tested

• q-value≤0.2 can be acceptable

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Change in metabolites due to treatment

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Effect size: small large

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Effect of drying: is minimalSt

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- Log

p-v

alue

Fold change (relative to fresh)

FDR p-value= 0.05

- Log p-value

7 significantly different metabolites out of 148 (5%)

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Power analysisSt

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Steps:1. Calculate effect size and power for three metabolites 2. Given the observed effect size calculate the number of samples needed to

reach 80% power

Questions:3. How would you take FDR in to account?

Goals: Use power analysis to plan a follow up experiment to detect differences in metabolites due to treatment

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Power analysis

Scaled difference in means between treatments

Ability to detect a difference when it exists (control false negative rate)

Probability of being wrong when spotting a difference (control false positive rate)

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Power analysis

The minimum fold change (FC) in means observable by the study can be calculated using RSD and estimated effect size to reach 0.8 (80%) power given the population size

RSD = 0.21 and effect size (EF) =1.2

We can observe a minimum of a 38% change in means at 0.8 power (p= 0.05).