1. Statistical Method and Data Analysis - Introduction

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    Statistical Method and Data Analysis

    INTRODUCTIONTO

    STATISTICAL

    METHODS&

    DATAANALYSIS

    What is Statistic?

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    Why use Statistic?

    Decision Makers Use Statistics To:

    Present and describe business data andinformation properly

    Draw conclusions about large groups ofindividuals or items, using information

    collected from subsets of the individuals oritems.

    Make reliable forecasts about a businessactivity

    A branch of mathematics, taking andtransforming numbers into useful informationfor decision makers

    Methods for processing & analyzing numbers

    Methods for helping reduce the uncertaintyinherent in decision making

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    Statistical Method

    Descriptive statistics

    Descriptive statistics comprises the statistical

    methods dealing with the collection, tabulation

    and summarization of data, so as to present

    meaningful information

    They are simply a way to describe our data

    Collecting and describing data

    Collect data

    o e.g. Survey

    Present data

    o e.g. Tables and graphsCharacterize data

    o e.g. Sample mean =

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    Inferential statistics

    Statistical inference, on the other hand,

    consists of the methods involved with the

    analysis and interpretation of data that will

    enable the statistician to develop meaningful

    inferences about the data

    Drawing conclusions and/or making

    o decisions concerning a population

    based only on sample data

    Estimationo

    e.g.: Estimate the population meanweight using the sample meanweight

    o Hypothesis testing

    o e.g.: Test the claim that the

    Statistical Method

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    Drawing conclusions and/or makingdecisions

    Type of Data

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    Examples:

    Marital Status

    Political Party

    Eye Color

    (Defined categories)

    Examples:

    Number of Children

    Defects per hour

    (Counted items)

    Examples:

    Weight Voltage

    (Measuredcharacteristics)

    Population and Sample

    Population

    Sample

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    Parametric & Non Parametric

    Parametric

    Non Parametric

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    What is a Statistical

    A statistical hypothesis is an assertion orconjecture concerning one or morepopulations.

    The truth or falsity of the assertion isnever known with absolute certaintyunless we examine the entire

    population.

    Due to time and cost considerations,this option is rarely feasible.

    Therefore we use SAMPLES and

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    Tests of Hypotheses 9 Standard

    1. Define the problem objective2. Formulate a null and alternative hypothesis3. Decide if the problem will be evaluated with a

    one-tail or two-tail test4. Determine proper sample size to be taken.5. Determine the appropriate statistical test touse.6. Choose a critical value of a test statisticreflecting the

    degree of uncertainty that can be tolerated(alpha risk).

    7. Compute the calculated value of the teststatistic from

    the sample information8. Compare the calculated value of the test

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    Define the Problem Objective

    KNOW what you want to prove (or disprove)BEFORE you do any data collection!

    Start by completing the following sentence: Iam trying to prove that

    Formulate the Null and Alternative

    Hypotheses

    The null (H0) and alternative (H1 or Ha)hypotheses are developed from theproblem statement.

    The problem statement (what you are

    trying to prove) becomes the alternativehypothesis.

    The null hypothesis becomes what youare trying to disprove

    Tests of Hypotheses

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    One Tail Tests

    If a test is established to determine whethera new population value is SMALLER orLARGER than the old population value, therisk of making an error in accepting Ha isplaced on only one end of the distribution:

    Ho: NEW OLD Ho: NEW OLDHa:

    NEW< OLD

    Ha: NEW

    > OLD

    Tests of Hypotheses

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    Two Tail Tests

    If a test is established to determinewhether a new population value isDIFFERENT than the old population

    value, the alpha risk is divided into twoparts:

    Ho: NEW= OLD

    Ha: NEW OLD

    Tests of Hypotheses

    Tests of Hypotheses

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