1© Nokia Siemens NetworksINCC 2008 / May 3rd 2008 Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband? Aamir Sardar Nokia Siemens Networks May 3

INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20081 © Nokia Siemens Networks

Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband?

Aamir SardarNokia Siemens NetworksMay 3rd 2008


Agenda

• BB Pakistan : Where are we now?

• BB Pakistan : Where should we be heading?

• BB Pakistan : How to get there?


Pakistan Broadband Market

BB Definition : Always-On Internet Connection with download speed of 128 kbps

Total ~120k users (approx.) as of Dec 2007 (0.067 % penetration, 143rd in World)

Technologies on the map include ADSL, HFC, FTTH, WiMAX, EVDO

13 operators, with only a few having independent infrastructure

17 Million Internet users, mostly on Dialup

Broadband Market in Pakistan (As of Dec 2007)

28%

2%

8%3%7%5%1%5%

31%

1%

1%

2%

6%

PTCL

NTC

Cybernet

Multinet

Micronet

Maxtel

Nayatel

WOL

WorldCall

COMSATS

BrainTel

Nexlinx

Dancom


Regional Broadband Outlook

Indian Govt. plans to offer free BB Connectivity across the country by 2009

Philippines’ ICT targets 100% BB penetration in main cities and 50% in others

Malaysia targets covering 2.2 Million premises by 2010 (50% penetration)

BB Prices have fallen by 19% in OECD countries in 2006 alone

Pakistan ranks 5th from last among neighboring economies : lot of potential exists

MoITT, USF– Feb 9, 2008:

“Currently there are around 100K Broadband subscribers which need to be taken to 1.6 million by 2010 (1% of population)”


Agenda





Nokia Siemens Networks’ market vision of 2015 – the World connected

Applications pre-dominantly

in Internet

Broadband Everywhere

5 Bn people connected

Multitude of business models

Applications predominantly

in Internet


Broadband – the relation to well being


Multitude of New BB Applications emerging

Fun: WWW, video, post card, snapshots, text, picture and multimedia messaging, datacast, personalisation applications (ring tone, screen saver, desk top), jukebox, virtual companion / pet ...Work: Rich call with image and data stream, IP telephony, B2B ordering and logistics, information exchange, personal information manager, dairy, scheduler, note pad, 2-way video conferencing, directory services, travel assistance, work group, telepresence, FTP, instant voicemail, colour fax ...Media: Push newspaper and magazines, advertising, classified ...Shopping: E-commerce, e-cash, e-wallet, credit card, telebanking, automatic transaction, auction, micro-billing shopping ...Entertainment: News, stock market, sports, games, lottery, gambling, music, video, concerts, adult content ...Education: Online libraries, search engines, remote attendance, field research ... Peace of Mind: Remote surveillance, location tracking, emergency use ...Health: Telemedicine, remote diagnose and heath monitoring ...Automation: Home automation, traffic telematics, machine-machine communication (telemetry) ...Travel: location sensitive information and guidance, e-tour, location awareness, time tables, e-ticketing ...Add-on: TV, radio, PC, access to remote computer, MP3 player, camera, video camera, watch, pager, GPS, remote control unit ...


Broadband as Economic Development Catalyst• Improvement in Worker Productivity, Job Skills, Growth opportunities, Wage levels,

Business Portfolios

• Potential for Offshoot Industries– Computer & Home Networking Equipment– Wireless handheld devices– Increased e-Commerce, Entertainment and Content sharing

• Drivers for Broadband Proliferation in Pakistan– Large population with 50% between 15&24 years of age– 27 Million matriculates and 7 Million Graduates– 80 Million telephone users including 74 Million Mobile users– 5 Million PCs in the country– Only 3.5 Million Internet Connections


Agenda





Connectivity today in Pakistan

More than half of Pakistanis

Mostly mobile only

High end

Voice Data

Mobile+ fixed line

Mobile only ormobile + fixed line

No mobile orfixed line

Broadband athome/office

Dial-up or no Internet access

No Internet


Mobile voice: GSM, Village Connection

How to Connect Pakistanis?

Voice

Mobile Wireline VoIP

Broadband everywhereOffice, Home, On the move

Data

3G HSPA, WiMAX, xDSL,

PON, Metro Ethernet

‘Super-broadband’PON, LTE,

WiMAX


WCDMA0,384 Mbps

HSPA1,8 – 14 Mbps

Mobile and fixed BB complement each other

Year of user availability

Wireline

ADSL

ADSL

ADSL2plus

2000 2005 20100,01

0,1

1

10

100

1.000

Use

r d

ata

rate

[M

bp

s]

1-3 Mbps

6-8 Mbps

16-20 Mbps

VDSL225-50 Mbps

GPON100 Mbps

GPRS0,075 Mbps

NG-PONDSM L3

Wireless

LTE

WiMAXHSPAevolution

Fast Internet,Streaming Media,Tele-workingVoIP

WebbrowsingE-mail

Multimedia Home,Broadcast TV / VoDFast BroadbandPremium VoIP

Multi channel -HD TVFastest Broadband

Wireless Broadband provides ubiquitous coverage, VDSL and GPON provide bandwidth for next generation home entertainment


LTE / WiMAX

User density and installed base imply technology choice

DSL

DSLPON

PON

HSPA 2100

HSPA 900 / LTE 900

Scarcely populated area

Always best connected - Bandwidth and mobility optimized

Mobile broadband - Mobility and coverage optimized

Residential access - Bandwidth optimizedBroadband

access strategy

WiMAX


Projected Market Trends

• In mature markets with high tele-densities, 60-65% of broadband penetration comes from Wireless Access

• MoITT forecast : Similar behaviour in Pakistani Market


Counter price/MB decline with cost/MB efficiency

Multimedia services drive bandwidth demand

Competition drives down revenue per MB

Revenue per MB

2000 2005 20100,01

0,1

1

10

100

Use

r d

ata

rate

[M

bp

s]

GPRS*0,075 Mbps

UMTS*0,384 Mbps

HSDPA*3.6 -7.2 Mbps

LTE*

HSDPA*1.8 Mbps

WiMAX*HSPA MIMO*

*

Data volumes goes up, price per MB go down …

Eliminate inefficiencies

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

10% AnnualDecrease

Western EuropeMiddle East & AfricaUS & CanadaChina


GPON

VDSL2

FE/GE

ADSL2+/SHDSL

POTS/ISDN/VoIP

Be prepared for the future withMulti Service Access and Multi Radio

Multi Service Access

MSANMulti Service Access Node

Multi Radio

• Efficient and flexible multiradio sites• SW Upgrade to HSPA and LTE

• Synergies in network rollout and maintenance• Common O&M processes• Investment protection

LTE

WCDMA

WiMAX

GSM/EDGE

Flexi BTS


Flexi Base StationMulti Radio macro coverage at a micro footprint

Efficiency at work: The Flexi Multimode BTS

Energy efficiency enables 3x 60W in one module system module

LTE

One platform for EDGE, WCDMA, LTE and WiMAX

Feederless site and distributed architecture

Ethernet backhaul

Remote Radio Head

SW-upgrade

WCDMA


Be prepared for the flat-rate worldFlat architecture and all-IP

Common design: Flat architecture (2 user plane nodes) and all-IP

I-HSPA

RNC

SGSN

MSAN eNode-BBTS Node-B

Works with standard WCDMA/HSPA devices

MME

GGSN SAE GWASN GWBRAS

LTEWiMAXDSL

Nokia Siemens Networks I-HSPA introduces broadband efficiency to 3G


Summary

NSN_vision_small.wmv

– Realize that Broadband is the key to socio-economic development

– Create an aggressive BB vision for Pakistan

– Usage of all available technologies to reach BB deployment goals

– Eliminate inefficiencies via Network simplicity

– Focus on increasing Total Value of Ownership

NSN_Broadband_Everywhere_video_-_low_resolution.wmv


Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband?

Aamir SardarNokia Siemens NetworksMay 3rd 2008

Documents

1© Nokia Siemens NetworksINCC 2008 / May 3rd 2008 Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband? Aamir Sardar Nokia Siemens Networks May 3