178
1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics By: Adel Abou Heneidy

1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

1

AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT“Fresh produce”

Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport

Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

By: Adel Abou Heneidy

Page 2: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

2

Overview:• TACT• IATA traffic conference areas• Coding• Acceptance of cargo• Methods of paying FRT charges• Advanced arrangements• Cargo loading priorities• Airlines’ timetable• Parcel’s dimensions• Types of rates• AWB (Airway Bill)• Shipping instructions• Calculation of air freight charges• Breakeven points• ULD (Unit Load Device)• Tracking• Dangerous goods & fresh produce• Shipping fresh produce by air• Cold Supply Chain

Grading Policy:

- Interaction & assignments ……20%

- Mid-term exam………………..30%

- Case study…………………….10%

- Final exam…………………….30%

TOTAL: 100%

Page 3: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

3

TACT : The Air Cargo TariffTACT : The Air Cargo Tariff

Rates worldwide(except north America)

RULES

Rates North America

Updated every 4 months

Updated every 2 months

Updated every 2 months

International Air Transport Association

[email protected]

Page 4: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

4

IATA traffic conference areas

IATA area 1 :

All of the north & south American continent and the adjacent islands.

IATA area 2 :

All Europe ( including the European part of the Russian Federation) ,

and the adjacent islands.

Africa & middle East.

IATA area 3 :

All of Asia and the adjacent islands; except the portion included

in IATA area 2 ( from middle east).

Page 5: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

5

Page 6: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

6

AIRLINES’ CODING

Prefix number

Egyptair : MS - 077

Lufthansa : LH - 020

Emirates : EK - 176

British : BA - 125

AIRLINES’ CODING

Prefix number

Egyptair : MS - 077

Lufthansa : LH - 020

Emirates : EK - 176

British : BA - 125

AIRPORTS’ CODES

Cairo : CAI London : LHR

Dubai : DXB NEW YORK : JFK

Sanaa : SAH MILANO : MIL

AIRPORTS’ CODES

Cairo : CAI London : LHR

Dubai : DXB NEW YORK : JFK

Sanaa : SAH MILANO : MIL

CODINGCODING

Countries’ codes

Egypt …. EG

Italy……. IT

USA…… US

Yemen…YE

Countries’ codes

Egypt …. EG

Italy……. IT

USA…… US

Yemen…YE

Currencies’ codes

Egyptian Pound... EGP

US $………………. USD

Yemeni Rial………YER

Currencies’ codes

Egyptian Pound... EGP

US $………………. USD

Yemeni Rial………YER

IATA AIRPORTS CODING.doc

Page 7: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

7

• Write down the 3-letters IATA codes for the following airports:

Abu Simbel, Egypt

Baltimore, MD, USA

Berlin, Germany Schoenefeld

Berlin, Germany Tegel

Berlin, Germany Tempelhof

IATA AIRPORTS CODING.doc

ABS

BWI

SXF

TXL

THF

Page 8: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

8

• Complete:: 1) India is located in IATA area …………

2) Egypt is located in IATA area ……..& Germany in IATA area …….. 3) Both ……… & ……… are located in IATA area 1. 4) We can find the published air freight rate between CAI / JFK in the …………….. TACT book. 5) We can find the published air freight rate between AMS / FRA in the …………….. TACT book. 6) We can find the published air freight rate between DXB / ORD in the …………….. TACT book. 7) IATA stands for……………………………………………… 8) The code of the currency of KSA is…………………………

Page 9: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

9

Acceptance of goods

Packing : Cargo must be in very good condition

Marking : * Full style of both shipper & consignee.

* Number of package ( 1/10 , 2/10 , …….).

* Labels ( this side up, fragile , urgent…..).

Payment : Prepaid : PP OR Collect : CC

The Collect charges are not accepted in the following cases:

1) Human remains.

2) Live animals.

3) Perishables.

4) Used personal effects which can not be sold.

5) Resale of goods is less than the charges to be collected.

6) Country regulations which do not permit Collect .

Page 10: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

10

Advanced arrangements

The following commodities need advanced arrangements :

Valuable cargo / Live animals / Human remains & ashes / Perishables /

Dangerous goods / shipment of unusual shape & size.

** Advance arrangements are made by 1st carrier.

Cargo loading priorities :

1) Aircraft on ground AOG 2) Diplomatic pouches DIP

3) Valuable cargo VAL 4) Live animals AVI

5) Perishables PER 6) Human remains HUM

7) Restricted items RRA

8) News materials ,which any delay will cause loss of its value.

Page 11: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

11

Information by countries

It is in section 7 in TACT RULES book

Section 7-2 : Charges collect

For example EGYPT (EG)

Charges collect accepted : Yes

Charge collect fees : 5 %

Minimum charge : EGP 35

Section 7-3 : Import / Transit / Export regulations

Page 12: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

12

• How much you are going to pay for the airline to receive documents of your shipment arrived to CAI on CC basis with FRT charges of EUR 550 ?

Solution:

Collection charges = EUR 550 x 5% = EUR 27.50

Total to be paid = 550 + 27.50 = EUR 577.50

• How much you are going to pay for the airline to receive documents of your shipment arrived to CAI on CC basis with FRT charges of USD 50 ?

Solution:

Collection charges = USD 50 x 5% = $ 2.5 (which is less than EGP 35)

Total to be paid = $ 50 + EGP 35

• How much you are going to pay for the airline to receive documents of your shipment arrived to CAI on PP basis with FRT charges of EUR 4200 ?

Solution: Total to be paid = 0

Page 13: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

13

AirlineTimetable

RFS: Road Feeder surface

Page 14: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

14

Aircraft Dimensions

Boeing 737

76 88 101 106

25 254 254 254 254

35 254 254 254 243

45 254 254 254 243

55 254 254 254 243

66 254 243 243 243

76 254 243 241 218

86 254 50 50 50

H

W

Rear Hold

114

86 144

W

H Forward Hold

Examples:

L xW x H = 235 x 70 x 80 cm…

= 220 X 102 x 75 cm… X

Page 15: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

15

Airbus A300F

Page 16: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

16

TYPES OF AF RATESTYPES OF AF RATES

General cargo rate (GCR)

Specific commodity rate (SCR)

Class rates (CCR)

• Valuable cargo S

• Newspapers,books, periodicals…. R

•Live animals S

•Human remains S

•Baggage shipped as cargo R

R …. Reduction rate

S ….. Surcharge rate

Special rates for some commodities

Min……………

N ( - 45 kgs )…..

+ 45…………….

+ 100…………..

+250……………

Rates differs from originto origin & for

destination to another.

Rates differs from originto origin & for

destination to another.

Page 17: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

17

General Cargo Rate (GCR) • General cargo rates apply to the carriage of

commodities that have not been allocated a specific commodity rate or commodity classification rate. General cargo rates consist of minimum rate (M), normal rate (N), and lower charge in higher weight (Q).

CAI / FRA EGP / KGM…… 143N……. 10.1045…... 7.60100…. 7.10250…. 6.60

CAI / NYC EGP / KGM…… 170N……. 11.1045…... 10.50100…. 9.70300…. 8.50500…. 8.00

N…. - 45 Kg

45… + 45 Kg

100.. + 100 Kg

300.. + 300 Kg

500.. + 500 Kg

How many KGs are covered by M ?

M value / N value

Page 18: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

18

Example: GCR & Specific commodity rates

From : CAIRO EG CAI

Egyptian Pound EGP KGS

To : FRANKFURT DE M… 143

N… 10.10

45… 7.60

100.. 7.10

250.. 6.60

0006 100.. 4.80

0006 500.. 4.30

MS 0007 250.. 4.00

MS 0007 500.. 3.50

2199 500.. 5.50

2199 1000.. 5.00

0006…Food stuffs.

0007…Fruits & vegetables.

2199…Yarn ,textiles.

Specific commodity

MS…Egypt Air

Page 19: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

19

• Using rates shown in the previous slide, calculate the FRT

charges for the following air shipments from CAI / FRA: 1) 200 Kg of strawberry on LH.

2) 200 Kg of strawberry on MS.

3) 350 Kg of strawberry on MS.

4) 200Kg of tomato paste on KL.

Solutions:

1) 200 x 7.10 = EGP 1420

2) 200 x 7.10 = EGP 1420

3) 350 x 4.00 = EGP 1400

4) 200 x 4.80 = EGP 960

Solutions:

1) 200 x 7.10 = EGP 1420

2) 200 x 7.10 = EGP 1420

3) 350 x 4.00 = EGP 1400

4) 200 x 4.80 = EGP 960

Page 20: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

20

Break even point = Higher weight x

Example: if chargeable weight is 420 kgs

and + 300 = EGP 6

+ 500 = EGP 5

Then break even point = 500 x

As 420 > upgrade the chargeable weight to be 500 kgs and apply

rate of + 500 Like that, the shipper will pay = 500 x 5 = EGP 2500 Instead of = 420 x 6 = EGP 2520

Rate of higher weight

Rate of lower weight

6

5 416

Break even point

= KGs

416

Page 21: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

21

Solved example 1

• Calculate the FRT charges for following shipment:

Chargeable weight is 320 kgs + 250 = EGP 6.70 + 500 = EGP 6.50

Air freight calculations.xls

Page 22: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

22

Specific Commodity Rate (SCR)

• Specific commodity rates are usually lower than general cargo rates and are published for particular commodities from a specified point of origin to a specified destination point.

They are subject to a minimum weight restriction. • When the class rate or the general cargo rate

applicable to the consignment is lower than the Specific Commodity Rate, this lower rate can be applied.

Page 23: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

23

Commodity Classification Rate (CCR or Class Rate)

• Commodity classification rates, also known as class rates, are published for particular commodities from a specified point of origin to a specified destination point and are usually shown in Surcharged (S) or Reduced (R). Class Rates take precedence over General Cargo Rates regardless of comparisons.

Page 24: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

24

Published materials (R)

• Newspapers, Magazines, Periodicals, Books, Catalogues, Braille-Type Equipment and Talking Books for the Blind , 50% of normal GCR shall apply to the above commodities and the minimum charge will be either the minimum charge for the specified sector or the amount you get by multiplying such discounted rate per kg by the minimum chargeable weight, whichever is higher.

Class rates are not applicable to the carriage of calendars, price tags and posters.

Page 25: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

25

Baggage Shipped as Cargo (R)

• For carriage of baggage shipped as cargo (excluding machinery, jewelry, cameras, merchandise and salesman samples), 50% of normal GCR will apply, and such baggage is subject to a minimum charge for 10 kg.

• The baggage must be delivered to the carrier no later than the passenger's departure date, and the passenger or his agent is responsible for customs clearance.

• Airport of destination, must be as shown in passenger’s ticket.

Page 26: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

26

IATA AREAS – Class Rates

Example of IATA AREAS Class Rate.doc

Page 27: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

27

Example: Class rate from CAI to FRA

Both CAI & FRA are within IATA area 2

Live animals : Rate will be 175 % of normal GCR

N…. EGP 10.10 / kg

N175…EGP 17.68 / kg ( Rounded to 17.70 )

Valuable cargo : Rate will be 200 % of normal GCR

N…. EGP 10.10 / kg

N200…EGP 20.20 / kg .

Newspapers : Rate will be 50 % of normal GCR

N…. EGP 10.10 / kg

N50… EGP 5.05 / kg ( Rounded to 5.10 )

S

S

R

Page 28: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

28

• Calculate the FRT charges for a horse of weight of 160 Kg needed to be shipped by air from CAI / FRA.

SOLUTION:

Live animal within IATA area 2……………150 N

N….. EGP 10.10 per Kg.

150 N = 10.10 x 150 % = 15.15 = 15.20 per Kg

FRT charges = 15.20 x 160 = EGP 2432

Page 29: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

29

• Calculate the FRT charges for a small domestic dog of weight of 8.5 Kg needed to be shipped by air from CAI / JED.

SOLUTION: not allowed !

According the RULES section # 7.3.2, the only types of dogs allowed to be imported into KSA are:

Watch (Guard) dogs

Hunting dogs

Guide dogs for the blind

Page 30: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

30

• Calculate the FRT charges for a shipment of spare parts of weight of 150 Kg needed to be shipped by air from CAI / DAM on MS on collect basis.

SOLUTION: not accepted !

According the RULES section # 7.2.2, collect shipment to DAM

is not allowed on MS.

You can use RJ via Amman.

Page 31: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

31

The Basic Facts about Calculation of air cargo

• Air cargo shipments are subject to the rates applying on the day of issue of the airwaybill.

• Rates generally apply from the departure airport to the destination airport and not vice versa. Rates therefore are not direction-bound and their amount is subject to the law of demand and supply.

• The cargo is established pursuant to the international air cargo tariff

( The Air Cargo Tariff = TACT ) and includes the following tariff group:  • Minimum cargo charges (so-called minimum charges which must be charged) •   •   •   •   • • General cargo rates (so-called General Cargo Rates)N-Rates (normal rates) •   •   • up to 45.00 kg Q-rates (Quantity Rates) as from 45.00 kg •   • • Special rates (specific rates or. SCR = S pecific C ommodity R ates •   •   • are exceptional rates applying to specific goods on certain routes •   • • Goods class rates ( C lass R ates = CR ) for specific goods •   •   • (live animals, valuable shipments, newspapers, etc.).

Page 32: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

32

The Basic Facts about Calculation of air cargo {Continued}

• Minimum cargo charges (so-called minimum charges which must be charged)

• General cargo rates (so-called General Cargo Rates)• N-Rates (normal rates) –up to 45.00 kg • Q-rates (Quantity Rates) as from 45.00 kg • Special rates (specific rates or. SCR = S pecific C ommodity R ates

are exceptional rates applying to specific goods on certain routes • Goods class rates ( C lass R ates = CR ) for specific goods (live animals, valuable shipments: S , newspapers: R).

Page 33: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

33

Establishing the cargo weight

• For air cargo the weight is rounded up to the next full half and full kilo. e.g: 33,20 = 33,50 / 33,60 = 34.00 / 525,50 = 525,50

If one consignment consists of several packing units (colli), the weight is first added up and then rounded!

• Bulkiness in air cargo is 1 : 6 ( 1 m³ stands for a cargo volume of 167.00 kg )

• Volume (bulk) weight is calculated according to the formula:   Volume weight = length x width x height (cm) x number of colli 6000 • As a final step the actual and the calculated weights are compared

and the higher weight is used to calculate the cargo.

Page 34: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

34

Calculation of chargeable weight(Solved example # 2 a )

• Calculate the chargeable weight for the following air shipment:

a) Automotive spare parts packed as follows:

1 carton of 25 Kg, and 75 x 60 x 40 cm, plus

10 cartons of 10 Kg, and 50 x 30 x 25 cm each, plus

5 cartons of 15 Kg, and 50 x 30 x 30 cm each.

Air freight calculations.xls

Page 35: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

35

Calculation of chargeable weight(Solved example # 2 b )

• Calculate the chargeable weight for the following air shipment:

b)

Air condition parts: 10 cartons of 10 Kg, and 50 x 30 x 25 cm each. plus,

Chemicals: 5 cartons of 15 Kg, and 50 x 30 x 30 cm each.

plus,

Handy crafts: 17 cartons of 13 Kg, and 86 x 45 x 33 cm each.

Air freight calculations.xls

Page 36: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

36

Rate construction

• So far only published direct rates have been mentioned: "Airport of Departure to Airport of Destination“

• However, rates to all airports worldwide are not published at every departure airport. Therefore such rates must either be combined with "ADD-ON" amounts or to be constructed with "unpublished rates" !

• The idea of an ADD-On amount-construction is to "add on" a domestic rate to the point of destination to a published rate into the country of destination. The ADD-ON amount can, however, also be "added" in the country of departure.

Page 37: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Conversion of rates(Section 5.8)

• Example 1: Construct a rate in CZK from A to C via B, where: Sector rate from A to B……..CZK 31.00 Sector rate from B to C……..EUR 4.10 (a) USD / CZK = 20.44810 (b) USD / EUR = 0.72506 (c) Rounding off unit for CZK is 0.10

__________________________________________________Solution:rate from A to B……..CZK 31.00rate from B to C in CZK = __________ = CZK 115.628

Total rate from A to C = CZK 146.628 = CZK 146.60

a b

c

X

Page 38: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Conversion of rates(Section 5.8)

• Example 2: Construct a rate in CZK from A to E via B, C, D where: Sector rate from A to B……..CZK 31.00 Sector rate from B to C……..EUR 4.10 (a) Sector rate from C to D……..CHF 16.70 (a) Sector rate from D to E……..EUR 5.99 (a)

USD / CZK = 20.44810 (b) USD / CHF = 1.20569 (c) USD / EUR = 0.72506 (c) Rounding off unit for CZK is 0.10__________________________________________________

Solution:rate from A to B……..CZK 31.00rate from B to C in CZK = CZK 115.628rate from C to D in CZK = CZK 283.226rate from D to E in CZK = CZK 168.929

Total rate from A to E = CZK 598.782 = CZK 598.80

Page 39: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

39

Disbursement Fees (DBC)

• Disbursements are amounts collected at the destination for the provision of services that are incurred at the origin which are incidental to the air carriage of the consignment, including surface transportation, storage and customs clearance charges.

Page 40: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

40

Valuation Charge

• When the shipper's "declared value for carriage" on the Air Waybill is more than USD 20.00 (or its equivalent) per kilogram , a valuation charge of 0.5% of the shipper's declared value for carriage EXCEEDING USD 20.00 per kilogram (Gross Weight) will be charged.

Valuation charge = ( Declared value – $ 20 x Gross weight ) x 0.005

Page 41: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

41

Valuation Charge (examples)

• Calculate the valuation charge for each of the following air shipments:

G.Weight

(Kg)

Volume weight

(Kg)

Chargeable weight

(Kg)

D.V.C

100 90 100 USD20,000

900 1260 1260 USD10,000

1000 400 1000 EGP 200,000

a) [ 20000 – 20 x 100 ] x 0.005 = USD 90

b) [ 10000 – 20 x 900 ] x 0.005 = - USD 40 ???c) [ (200000 / 5.70) – 20 x 1000 ] x 0.005 = USD 75.44 = USD 75.45

Page 42: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

42

•It is not negotiable document

are always consigned to a particular company or person

* In case of FOB terms it will

on collect basis (payable at destination)

* In case of C&F or CIF basis it will prepaid

Page 43: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

43

AWB B/L

Not negotiable Negotiable

AWB shall be issued after the complete consignment

has been received

B/L shall be issued after the complete consignment has been boarded onto vessel

The shipper is responsible for issuing AWB

The vessel company is responsible for issuing B/L

Payable to a specified person

Payable to bearer

AWB vs B/L

Page 44: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

44

AWB - Check Digit Number

• Check Digit Number : A single digit of the air waybill number used to ensure that the air waybill number is correctly entered into a computer system.

• Example:

AWB # 020 – 2114 1643 2114 1643 7

0

0

2

3

Pls, check the following AWBs:

077 – 3208 9901

077 – 3203 080?

077 – 3203 0806

Page 45: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

45

Rate Class in AWB

 One or more of the following codes shall be inserted as appropriate:

M - Minimum Charge

N - Normal under 45 kg

Q - Quantity over 45 kg rate

C - Specific Commodity Rate

R - Class Rate (Reduction)

S - Class Rate (Surcharge)

U - Pivot Weight And Applicable Pivot Weight Charge

E - Weight in excess of pivot weight and applicable rate

X - Unit Load Device (as an additional line entry with one of the above)

Page 46: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

46

The significance of AWB:

Contract of carriage / Proof of receipt of cargo / Freight bill / Guide to carriers’ staff in handling , dispatching, …• Certificate of insurance ( if requested by shipper) : If the shipper does not declare the value for carriage ; in case of loss of cargo the maximum compensation to be paid by carrier is $ 20 / kg. But, if he declares the value for carriage , he will pay extra charges called valuation charge. In case of loss of cargo , the carrier will pay the total declared value.The valuation charge is calculated as follows: Valuation charge = ( Declared value – $ 20 x Gross weight ) x 0.005

Page 47: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

47

Example Example

Shipper : ABC company 15 Ahmed Orabi st. –Mohandeseen – Cairo –Egypt Tel # 3448782Consignee: XYZ company 15 street # 46 – DUS-Germany Tel # 5864875Commodity : Air condition spare parts.Number of parcels : 15 Dimensions of parcel : 90 x 80 x 70 cmGross weight per parcel : 60 kgs Freight charges : PrepaidDeclared value for carriage : USD 75000 {in case of non declaration NVD }Declared value for customs : NCV { no customs value }Handling information: Notify Mr. John Roger Tel # 5864879 upon arrival

Page 48: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

48

Calculations :

Gross weight = 60 kgs x 15 parcel = 900 kgs

Volume weight = 90 x 80 x 70 cm x 15 parcels

Chargeable weight = 1260 kgs

Rate CAI / DUS = EGP 6.60 / kg

Total freight charges = 6.60 x 1260 = EGP 8316Valuation charge = ( Declared value – $ 20 x Gross weight ) X 0.005 = ( 75000 – 20 x 900 ) X 0.005 = $ 285 [ equal to EGP 1322 ]Due carrier = EGP 71

Total prepaid = 8316 + 1322 + 71 = EGP 9709

6000= 1260 kgs

Page 49: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

49

Solved example 3• A shipment consists of:

40 parcels of 4 Kg , and 30 X 20 X 10 cm each

90 parcels of 3 Kg , and 0.5 X 0.4 X 0.2 m each

60 parcels of 15 Kg , and 75 X 50 X 24 cm each

1) Calculate the total air freight charges if the shipment will be

dispatched from CAI / FRA with rate of = EGP 6.60 / kg ( +250)

2) Calculate valuation charge if the declared value is $ 50000.

Solution:

• Calculate the gross & volume weights for each type of parcels.

• Determine the chargeable weight for each type.

• Calculate total chargeable weight.

• Calculate total freight charges.

• Calculate valuation charge

Air freight calculations.xls

Page 50: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

50

AIRWAY Bill (AWB)(Summary)

Air Waybill.doc• AWB is issued usually in set of 12 copies.

Copy 1: original for carrier

Copy 2: original for consignee

Copy 3: original for shipper

• If the AWB indicates that transhipment will take place, transhipment is allowed even if L/C prohibits transhipment, provided that the entire carriage is covered by one & same AWB.

• Date of shipment in AWB (discuss)

• Split shipment (discuss)

• MAWB & HAWB

• Clean versus foul AWB

Page 51: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

51

This example shows :

* A minimum charge.

* A declared value for customs.

* Chargeable weight equals to

gross weight.

Page 52: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

52

This example shows :

* Q rate.

* Chargeable weight greater than

gross weight.

Page 53: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

53

This example shows :

* A class rate : S

based on M200.

* A declared value for carriage,

and valuation charge.

* Chargeable weight equals to

gross weight ( rounded).

* TRC : transit charge.

Page 54: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

54

This example shows :

* A mixed shipment rating.

* C : commodity rate.

Q : quantity rate.

R : class rate (reduction 33 % )

* AWA : AWB charges ( Agent)

* SUA : transportation (agent)

* DBC : disbursement fees resulting

from the two other charges

(Carrier).

Page 55: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

55

Example

• Calculate the total charges for the following AWB:

( you are allowed to make necessary changes if any)

CAI / NYC EGP / KGM…… 170N……. 11.1045…... 10.50100…. 9.70300…. 8.50500…. 8.00

AWB # 077 – 3203 0808

Terms of sale: FOB CAI-EG

Airport of destination: JFK – New York – US

AWB charges: Prepaid (PP)

Number of parcels: 60 of 15 Kg , and 75 X 50 X 24 cm each.

Declared value for carriage: EGP 114,000

Other charges = EGP 71

* USD 1 = EGP 5.70

Page 56: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

56

Solution• The given AWB is wrong. The correct one is 077 – 3203 0806

• As the terms of sale is FCA origin, the Freight charges must be collect

• Gross weight = 60 x 15 Kg = 900 Kg

• Volume weight = (75 X 50 X 24 x 60)

6000= 900 Kg

• Chargeable weight = 900

• Freight charges = 900 x EGP 8 = EGP 7200

• Valuation charges = [(114000 / 5.70) – ($ 20 X 900) ] x 0.005 = $10

= $ 10 x 5.7 = EGP 57

• Total charges = 7200 + 57 +71 = EGP 7328

Page 57: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

57

Terms of salePricing your product is a matter of:• What the product is• How much ( or how many)• How far the product is being moved at your expense

Damaged or lost : who is responsible?

Page 58: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

58

• EXW - Ex Works Title and risk pass to buyer including payment of all transportation

and insurance cost from the seller's door. Used for any mode of transportation.

Works means Factory, Mill, Warehouse,…

A term of sale in which for the quoted price, the seller merely makes the goods available to the buyer at the seller's "named place" of business. This trade term places the greatest responsibility on the buyer and minimum obligations on the seller. The Ex Works term is often used when making an initial quotation for the sale of goods without any costs included.

• FCA - Free Carrier Title and risk pass to buyer including transportation and insurance cost

when the seller delivers goods cleared for export to the carrier.Seller is obligated to load the goods on the Buyer's collecting vehicle; it is the Buyer's obligation to receive the Seller's arriving vehicle unloaded.

Page 59: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

59

• FAS - Free Alongside Ship Title and risk pass to buyer including payment of all transportation

and insurance cost once delivered alongside ship by the seller. Used for sea or inland waterway transportation.

The export clearance obligation rests with the seller.

• FOB - Free On Board Title and risk pass to buyer including payment of all transportation

and insurance cost once delivered on board the ship by the seller. Used for sea or inland waterway transportation.

Page 60: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

60

• CFR - Cost and Freight Title, risk and insurance cost pass to buyer when delivered on board the ship

by seller who pays the transportation cost to the destination port. Used for

sea or inland waterway transportation.

• CIF - Cost, Insurance and Freight Title and risk pass to buyer when delivered on board the ship by

seller who pays transportation and insurance cost to destination port. Used for sea or inland waterway transportation.

Page 61: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

61

• CPT - Carriage Paid To

Title, risk and insurance cost pass to buyer when delivered to carrier by seller who pays transportation cost to destination. Used for any mode of transportation.

• CIP - Carriage and Insurance Paid To Title and risk pass to buyer when delivered to carrier by seller who pays

transportation and insurance cost to destination. Used for any mode of transportation.

Page 62: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

62

• DAF - Delivered at Frontier

Title, risk and responsibility for import clearance pass to buyer when delivered to named border point by seller. Used for any mode of transportation.

• DES - Delivered Ex Ship

Title, risk, responsibility for vessel discharge and import clearance pass to buyer when seller delivers goods on board the ship to destination port. Used for sea or inland waterway transportation.

Page 63: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

63

• DEQ - Delivered Ex Quay (Duty Paid) Title and risk pass to buyer when delivered on board the ship at the

destination point by the seller who delivers goods on dock at destination point cleared for import. Used for sea or inland waterway transportation. DDU - Delivered Duty Unpaid -- Title, risk and responsibility of import clearance pass to buyer when seller delivers goods to named destination point. Used for any mode of transportation. Buyer is obligated for import clearance.

• DDU - Delivered Duty Unpaid Seller fulfills his obligation when goods have been made available at the

named place in the country of importation

Page 64: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

64

• DDP - Delivered Duty Paid

Title and risk pass to buyer when seller delivers goods to named destination point cleared for import. Used for any

mode of transportation.

 

INCOTERMS 2000.pdf

Page 65: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

65

Solved example• Choose the correct FRT payment method for each of the

following term of sale:

1- EX- Work

2- CIF

3- DDU

4- FCA

a- PP

b- CC

Answers

EX- Work…..CC

2- CIF……….PP

3- DDU……...PP

4- FCA……..CC

Page 66: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

66

Czech Airlines Delta Air LogisticsDragonair East Line Airlines Egyptair Emirates SkyCargo

TRACK & TRACETRACK & TRACE

www.redberry.com

AIR TRACK

077 67259790

AWB 67259790CAI – JFKPieces: 15Weight: 900 kgsFLT # MS 778Arrived: 22:30 hDate: 20/07/02

Page 67: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

67

Shipping terms

• FLT : Full Liner Terms

• LIFO: Liner In Free Out

• FILO: Free In Liner Out

• FIFO: Free In Free Out {FIOS}

You have to differentiate between terms of sale, terms of payment, and shipping terms:

Page 68: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

68

• Packaging:– Requires simple lightweight packing– Unlike sea freight, no need for solid packing to

protect against weather, careless handling and salt water

– All packages must be labeled with:• Airline name• Flight number• Air waybill number• Destination code• Total number of pieces

in the shipment

Page 69: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

69

Ratios to be considered upon packing

• You have to maximize the following ratios:

1) Net weight : Gross weight

2) Gross weight : Chargeable weight

3) Net weight : Chargeable weight

Page 70: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

70

Unit Load Device (ULD)• Unit Load Devices, or ULDs, are pallets and

containers used to load luggage, freight, and mail on wide-body aircraft and specific narrow-body aircraft.

• They allow large quantities of cargo to be bundled into large units. Since this leads to fewer units to load, it saves ground crews time and effort, and helps prevent delayed flights.

• Each ULD is manifested separately so that its contents can be tracked.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unit_Load_Device

Page 71: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

71

TYPE: 10 FT CONTAINER

CODE: AQ6 , AMA, AQA , AMG

BASE DIMENSIONS: 318 X 244 CM

HEIGHT: 244 CM

VOLUME: 17 CBM

INTERNAL DIMESIONS: 300 X 228 X 238 CM

LOADABLE IN: B747-200 COMBI

B747- 400 COMBI

B747- 200 SF

B747- 200 F

Unit Load Device

Page 72: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

72

TYPE: 20-FT PALLET

CODE: P7E , PGE

BASE DIMENSIONS: 606 X 244 CM

INTERNAL DIMESIONS: 592 X 230 CM

LOADABLE IN: B747-200 COMBI

B747- 400 COMBI

B747- 200 SF

B747- 200 F

Unit Load Device

Page 73: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

73

TYPE: A320 / A321 CONTAINER

CODE: AKH

BASE DIMENSIONS: 156 X 153 CM

HEIGHT: 114 CM

VOLUME: 3.5 CBM

LOADABLE IN: A320 – 200

A321 - 100

Page 74: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

74

Iatacode AKH

Also known as AVB

Top length 2438mm 96.0"

Bottom length 1562mm 61.5"

Width 1534mm 60.4"

Height 1143mm 45.0"

Internal volume 3.6 m3

MGW 1588 KG

LD 3

Page 75: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

75

Pallet

Volume

Cubic Meter

Dimensions

L x W (cm) Remarks

LD 8 6.9 153 x 244 cm FQA

LD 11 7.2 153 x 318 cm FLA / PLA

LD 7 10.6

11.6

224 x 318 cm244 x 318 cm

PAG / P1P

PMC

• If you have a fresh produce packed in cartons of 60 x 40 x 20 cm

palletized on Euro pallet (120 x 100 x 16 cm) needed to be dispatched by air

using PMC- ULD. How many cartons could be fit on this ULD ?

** Disregard the weight.

Page 76: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

76

Solution• Maximum height = Volume / (LxW)

= 11.6 / ( 2.44 x 3.18) = 1.495 m = 150 cm

PMC- ULD

318

244

120

120

100 100 100

1

23

Page 77: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

77

Solution (Continued)

• Number of cartons per layer on the Euro pallet = 5• Number of layers per each Euro pallet =

( 150 – 16) / (20) = 6.7 6 Layers only

So, maximum number of cartons could be loaded on PMC = 6 Euro pallets x 6 layers x 5 cartons = 180 cartons

Page 78: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

78

Bulk Unitization charge (BUC)

• BUC is the rate charged by carrier to shipper or freight forwarder on the basis of ULD.

• The charge for the consignment shall consist of a flat minimum (pivot – U) charge for a specified pivot weight above which an additional charge (over-pivot rate) per kilo or pound will apply.

• The chargeable weight of the consignments in ULD will be charged at the actual gross weight excluding the tare weight of the ULD.

* Restricted Items for BUC Use: Dangerous goods, live animals, human remains, and valuables

Page 79: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

79

This example shows :

* A consolidated shipment inside

a ULD.

* L : lb {USA}.

* U : pivot rate of ULD.

* The chargeable weight of ULD

is greater than gross weight of

cargo .

* ULD tare weight : no charge.

Page 80: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

80

Solved example• If you have a fresh produce packed in 540 cartons of 60 x 40 x 20 cm each, palletized on Euro pallet (120 x 100 x 16 cm)

needed to be dispatched by air using PMC- ULDs.

Calculate the freight charges if : - Net weight per carton = 4.75 Kg - Gross weight per carton = 5 Kg - Pivot weight of ULD = 2200 Kg - Tare weight of ULD = 210 Kg. - Freight rate = EGP 4.10 per Kg. Also, calculate the three packing ratios, and discuss.

Page 81: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

81

SolutionFrom previous example, we can dispatch 180 cartons on each ULD

No. of ULDs = 540 / 180 = 3 ULDs Total chargeable weight (Pivot) = 2200 x 3 = 6600 Kg Total gross weight of the shipment = 540 x 5 = 2700 Kg

Since the Pivot weight is greater than gross weight Therefore, you will be charged as per pivot weight.

Fright charges = 6600 x 4.10 = EGP 27060 Packing ratios: Net : Gross = 4.75 / 5 = 95 % Gross : Chargeable = 2700 / 6600 = 40.9 % Net : chargeable = (540 x 4.75) / 6600 = 38.9 %

DISCUSS !

Page 82: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

82

Dangerous Goods

Page 83: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

83

Hazardous Substance

• Any material with one or more of the following intrinsic hazardous properties:

explosiveness, flammability, oxidizing capacity, corrosiveness, toxicity ; and poses a threat to human health and/or the environment.

Dangerous goods • Dangerous goods are substances which pose risk to health, safety, property or the environment during operation and/or transportation. All of these substances are divided in classes in accordance to the specific chemical characteristics resulting in a degree of danger.

Page 84: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

84

UN classification

of dangerous goods

Class 1 Explosives

Class 2 Gases

Class 3 Flammable Liquid Class 4 Flammable Solid

Class 5 Oxidizing substances and Organic Peroxides

Class 6 Poisonous (toxic) and infectious substances

Class 7 Radioactive material Class 8 Corrosives Class 9 Miscellaneous dangerous goods

Such as:

DRY ICE

Page 85: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

85

Identification of Dangerous Goods by PSN and UN Number

Within each of the 9 hazard classes dangerous goods are uniquely identified by two pieces of information:

• A 4 - digit number known as the UN Number which is preceded by the letters UN; and

• The corresponding Proper Shipping Name (PSN).

For example, kerosene is identified in the IMDG Code by its PSN Kerosene and the corresponding UN Number UN 1223.

Together the UN Number and PSN uniquely :Identify dangerous goods from each other; Enable rapid and precise identification during transport ensuring the correct handling, stowage, segregation, etc; and In the event of an emergency, ensure the correct measures are taken.

Page 86: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

86

• Using UN NumbersUsing UN Numbers Using a four-digit number to identify dangerous goods enhances safety by:• Overcoming language barriers - the four-digit number is easily understood in all languages;

• Avoiding confusing similar names - e.g. TITANIUM POWDER, WETTED UN 1352 which is a flammable solid in class 4.1 and has very different transport requirements to TITANIUM POWDER, DRY UN 2546 which is spontaneously combustible in class 4.2.

• Using Proper Shipping Name (PSN)• The PSN is the accepted name which must be used for transport purposes on documentation / labelling, etc. • No alternatives or variations are permitted unless specifically stated • The PSN is that part of the name, which appears in the Dangerous Goods List or the Alphabetical Index in boldl letters only• Any text in lower case is only descriptive and is not part of the PSN

Page 87: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

87

Material Safety Data Sheet (MSDS )

• It is a compilation of information – provided by the manufacturer - required under the OSHA Communication Standard on the identity of hazardous chemicals, health, and physical hazards, exposure limits, and precautions.

• OSHA requires manufacturers and importers of hazardous chemicals to distribute Material Safety Data Sheets with information concerning reasonably foreseeable health and toxicity concerns arising from their use.

• Users of these chemicals are required to ensure that these MSDSs are received with chemicals they purchase, and that they are used and available in the workplace.

• A Material Safety Data Sheet must be provided with the initial shipment of a hazardous chemical, and with the first shipment after a Material Safety Data Sheet is updated.

Page 88: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

88

CONTENT OF A MATERIAL SAFETY DATA SHEET • The identity (product name) used on the label, and chemical and common name(s) of

ingredients which have been determined to be health hazards, and which comprise 1% or greater of the composition, except carcinogens shall be listed if the concentrations are 0.1% or greater; and,

• The chemical and common name(s) of all ingredients which have been determined to present a physical hazard when present in the mixture;

• Relevant physical and chemical characteristics of the hazardous chemical (such as vapor pressure, flash point);

• Relevant physical hazards, including the potential for fire, explosion, and reactivity;

• Relevant health hazards, including signs and symptoms of exposure, and any medical conditions generally recognized as being aggravated by exposure to the chemical;

• The primary route(s) of entry into the body;

• The OSHA permissible exposure limit and ACGIH Threshold Limit Value. Additional applicable exposure limits may be listed;

Page 89: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

89

• Whether the hazardous chemical is listed in the National Toxicology Program (NTP) Annual Report on Carcinogens (latest edition) or has been found to be a potential carcinogen in the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Monographs (latest editions), or by OSHA;

• Precautions for safe handling and use, including appropriate hygienic practices, protective measures during repair and maintenance of contaminated equipment, and procedures for clean-up of spills and leaks;

• Appropriate control measures, such as engineering controls, work practices, or personal protective equipment;

• Emergency and first aid procedures;

• The date of preparation of the Material Safety Data Sheet or the last change to it; and,

• The name, address and telephone number of the chemical manufacturer, importer, employer or other responsible party preparing or distributing the Material Safety Data Sheet, who can provide additional information on the hazardous chemical and appropriate emergency procedures, if necessary.

CONTENT OF A MATERIAL SAFETY DATA SHEET

Page 90: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

90

Segregation of dangerous goods

• Segregation means keeping incompatible goods apart from one another in a room, using a barrier or intervening space.

Chemicals must be segregated when either stored or shipped to ensure they do not mix in case of spillage.

NA Separation or segregation is not applicable to the two Classes, and they may be stored in the same area.

SG The two Classes of chemicals must be segregated (i.e., kept apart) from each other by a distance of at least three metres.

FS The two Classes must be fire separated.

PR The two Classes are prohibited in the same are storage area. As well, they must not be stored in adjoining areas which are attached to each other. The two Classes must be stored in separate areas at least ten metres apart.  

Page 91: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

91

PACKING GROUPS

• Packing is the essential component in the safe transport of dangerous goods.

• According to the degree of hazard of the dangerous goods; we have three packing groups:

Group I ……………….great dangerGroup II……………….medium dangerGroup III………………minor danger

Page 92: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

92

Page 93: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

93

Labeling of dangerous goods

• Hazard Labels: 1) Primary hazards labels

2) Secondary hazards labels • Handling Labels

Labeling is of great importance

for safe handling and transport

of dangerous goods.

Page 94: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

94

Page 95: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

95

Primary hazard labels have “class number”Secondary hazard labels do NOT have “class number”

Page 96: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

96

Handling labels

Page 97: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

97

Page 98: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

98

Page 99: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

99

Shipping with Dry Ice

• Dry ice (Carbon Dioxide, Solid) is used as a refrigerant and is considered a dangerous good.

• However, a Shipper's Declaration of Dangerous Goods is not required when dry ice is used to cool a non-dangerous good.

• Following are guidelines that apply to shipments of dry ice; however, it is the shipper's responsibility to comply with all IATA Dangerous Goods Regulations when shipping dry ice or any other dangerous good.

Page 100: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

100

• Packaging

Dry ice must be in packaging designed and constructed to permit the release of carbon dioxide gas and to prevent a build up of pressure that could rupture the packaging.

The outside packaging must be marked with the following information: • Name of the shipper and consignee • The name of the contents being cooled • The words "Dry Ice" or "Carbon Dioxide Solid" • The UN number for Carbon Dioxide Solid (UN1845) • The net weight of the dry ice within the pieces • A Class 9 Miscellaneous Dangerous Goods Label affixed on the same

surface of the package near the proper shipping name and adjacent to the shipper's or consignee's address appearing on the package.

Page 101: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

101

• Air Waybill Documentation

For shipments of dry ice cooling a non-dangerous good, you must include specific information on the air waybill in the "Nature and Quantity of Goods" or "Content" section and in the following order:

• The name of the contents being cooled • The proper shipping name (Dry Ice or Carbon Dioxide, Solid) • The class ( 9 ) • The UN number (UN1845) • The number of pieces • The net weight of dry ice per piece

• Example: Diagnostic Specimens, Dry Ice, 9, UN1845, 1 piece at 2 Kg

For shipments of dry ice cooling a dangerous good, the shipper must comply with all IATA Dangerous Goods Regulations listed for both the dry ice and the dangerous good.

Page 102: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

102

Dry ice in baggage

• Passengers may bring dry ice in quantities not exceeding 2.5 kg per person, when used to pack perishables that are themselves not dangerous goods articles or substances, provided the package permits the release of carbon dioxide gas.

• The dry ice may be in carry-on baggage, or with the approval

of the operator, in checked baggage.

• When carried in checked baggage, each package must be marked – “DRY ICE” or “Carbon Dioxide Solid” and with the net weight of dry ice or an indication that the net weight is 2.5 kg or less.

Page 103: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

103

Letter of Credit particulars• L/C is a binding document that a buyer can request from his bank in order to

guarantee that the payment for goods will be transferred to the seller.

• Basically, a letter of credit gives the seller reassurance that he will receive the payment for the goods.

• In order for the payment to occur, the seller has to present the bank with the necessary shipping documents confirming the delivery of goods within a given time frame.

• It is often used in international trade to eliminate risks such as unfamiliarity with the foreign country, customs, or political instability.

In summary, an L/C is: - A formal document of payment - Opened by a party wishing to import - Communicated through banking channels - Paid by the opening bank within a specified timeframe upon presentation of stipulated documentation

Page 104: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

104

• Sight Draft That is payable as soon as the required documents have been

presented.

• A time Draft Is not payable until the lapse of a particular time period stated on the

draft.

Page 105: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

105

• Confirmed Letter of Credit A letter of credit, issued by a foreign bank, which has been

verified and guaranteed by a domestic bank in the event of default by the foreign bank or buyer.

• Commercial Letter of Credit A commercial letter of credit assures the seller that the bank will

provide payment for any goods or merchandise shipped to the bank's customer, assuming the seller provides any required documentation of the transaction and its shipment of the purchased goods.

Typically the documents requested in a Letter of Credit are the following:

• Commercial invoice • Transport document such as a Bill of lading or Airway

bill, • Insurance document; • Inspection Certificate • Certificate of Origin

But there could be others too.

Page 106: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

106

• Irrevocable Letter of Credit An irrevocable letter of credit includes a guarantee by the

issuing bank that if all of the terms and conditions set forth in the letter are satisfied by the beneficiary, the letter of credit will be honored.

• Revocable Letter of Credit An revocable letter of credit may be cancelled or modified after

its date of issue, by the issuing bank.

• Standby Letter of Credit In the event that the bank's customer defaults on a payment to

the beneficiary, and the beneficiary documents proof of its loss consistent with any terms set forth in the letter, a standby letter of credit may be used by the beneficiary to secure payment from the issuing bank.

Page 107: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

107

• Transferable Letter of Credit

In transferable L/C, the first beneficiary (exporter) may request

paying the whole or part of the credit to one or more beneficiaries.

This L/C is expressly designated “ Transferable” by the issuing bank

on instructions of the applicant.

** If the words, “ transmissible” , “ assignable” , “ divisible” ,

or “fractionable” are used, L/C is not transferable.

• Non - Transferable Letter of Credit In which, the beneficiary can not transfer the credit to other beneficiary.

Page 108: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

108

Back-to-Back Credit

• It is a new credit opened on the basis of an already existing, non transferable credit.

• It is used by traders to make payment to the ultimate supplier. A trader receives a documentary credit from the buyer and then opens another documentary credit in favour of the ultimate supplier.

• The first documentary credit is used as collateral for the second credit. The second credit makes price adjustments from which comes the trader's profit.

TraderSupplier Buyer 1st L /C of $ 50000 2nd L /C of $ 45000

Page 109: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

109

Red Clause Credit

A red clause credit has a special clause (red clause) that authorizes the confirming bank to make advances to the beneficiary (seller) prior to the presentation of the shipping documents.

In this credit the buyer, in essence, extends financing to the seller and incurs ultimate risk for all sums advanced under the credit.

Page 110: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

110

• Latest Negotiation date Is the last day of the period of time allowed by L / C for the

presentation of documents to the bank.

** In case the L/C does not stipulate the latest negotiation date, it is

within 21 days after date of issuance the transport documents, but

on or before L/C expiry date.

** B/L (AWB) which is presented to the bank later than the agreed time limit or 21 days later than the date of issuance of B/L is called Stale B/L (AWB)

• Expiry date Is the last day of validity of the L/C for payment. In case the validity of a L/C is stated in a period of time, for

example (this L/C is valid for three months) without specifying the date from which the time is to run, its validity starts from issuance date of L/C.

Page 111: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

111

• Latest date of shipment

Is the last day of the period of time allowed by L/C for shipment, or

dispatching.

Remark: In case the expiry date and/or latest negotiation date falls on a day on which the bank is closed for reason not beyond the bank’s control these two dates ( if any) are extended to the succeeding first day on which the bank is opened. Such extension, whoever, does not extend the latest date of shipment.

Page 112: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

112

Sample L/C

Page 113: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

113

3 Most Common Reasons

why Letters of Credit Fail 1) Time Lines:

The letter of credit should have an expiration date that gives sufficient time to the seller to get all the tasks specified and the documents required in the LC. If the letter of credit expires, the seller is left with no protection.

Most LC s fail because Sellers/Exporters/Beneficiaries were unable to perform within the specified time frame in the LC.

Three dates are of importance in an LC:a) The date by when shipment should have occurred. The date on B/L.b) The date by when documents have to be presented to the Bank.c) The expiry date of the LC itself.

• A good source to give you an idea of the timelines would be your freight forwarding agent. As a seller check with your freight forwarding agent to see if you would be in a position to comply.

Page 114: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

114

2) Discrepancy within the Letter of Credit:

Letters of credit could also have discrepancies. Even a discrepancy as small as a missing period or comma can render the document invalid. Thus, the earlier in the process the letter of credit is examined, the more time is available to identify and fix the problem. This is another common reason why LCs fail.

3) Compliance with the Documents and Conditions within the Letter of Credit:

Letters of credit are about documents and not facts; the inability to produce a given document at the right time will nullify the letter of credit. As a Seller/Exporter/Beneficiary you should try and run the compliance issues with the various department or individuals involved within your organization to see if compliance would be a problem. And if so, have the LC amended before shipping the goods.

3 Most Common Reasonswhy Letters of Credit Fail

Page 115: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

115

Mid-Term Revision1) Complete:

a) TACT stands for………………………………………..

b) The main types of Air Freight rates are:

- General Cargo rate (GCR)

- Specific commodity rate (SCR)

- Class cargo rates (CCR) : S & R

c) FRA is located in IATA area # ……………………….

d) For AWB # 020 – 3203 0806, 020 is ………………...

e) For perishables, MAWB (for liners) must shows the FRT charges

……………………..

The Air Cargo Tariff

2prefix number of Egypt Air

prepaid

Page 116: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

116

2) How much you are going to pay for the airline to receive documents of your shipment arrived to CAI on CC basis with FRT charges of USD 50 ?

3) Complete: a) The check digit of AWB 077- 3266240… b) The sales term DDU stands for……………, but the shipping term LIFO stands for…………….. c) The dry ice is considered as a dangerous good with class … d) ULD stands for…………………, and the pivot weight of a ULD is…………………………………… e) If the AWB shows “NCV” it means……………… f) In case of CIF shipment, FRT charges must be…………

Solution:

Collection charges = USD 50 x 5% = $ 2.5 (which is less than EGP 35)

Total to be paid = $ 50 + EGP 35

5delivered duty unpaid

liner in-free out9

unit load devicethe minimum weight to be charged for an ULD

No customs valueprepaid

Page 117: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

117

4) Using rates shown : a) calculate the FRT charges

for an air shipment from CAI / FRA: 350 Kg of strawberry on Egypt Air. b) Calculate the FRT charges

for a horse of weight of 160 Kg needed to be

shipped by air from CAI / FRA.

From : CAIRO EG CAI

Egyptian Pound EGP KGS

To : FRANKFURT DE M… 143

N… 10.10

45… 7.60

100.. 7.10

250.. 6.60

0006 100.. 4.80

0006 500.. 4.30

MS 0007 250.. 4.00

MS 0007 500.. 3.50

2199 500.. 5.50

2199 1000.. 5.00

Solution:a) 350 Kg x EGP 4 = EGP 1400 b) Both CAI & FRA are within IATA area 2Live animals : Rate will be 175 % of normal GCRN…. EGP 10.10 / kgN175…EGP 17.68 / kg ( Rounded to 17.70 )FRT charges = 160 Kg x 17.70 = EGP 2832

Solution:a) 350 Kg x EGP 4 = EGP 1400 b) Both CAI & FRA are within IATA area 2Live animals : Rate will be 175 % of normal GCRN…. EGP 10.10 / kgN175…EGP 17.68 / kg ( Rounded to 17.70 )FRT charges = 160 Kg x 17.70 = EGP 2832

Page 118: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

118

5) A shipment of air condition spare parts consists of: 40 parcels of 4 Kg , and 30 X 20 X 10 cm each 90 parcels of 3 Kg , and 0.5 X 0.4 X 0.2 m each 60 parcels of 15 Kg , and 75 X 50 X 24 cm each

a) Calculate the total air freight charges if the shipment will be dispatched from CAI / FRA with rate of = EGP 6.60 / kg ( +250) b) Calculate valuation charge if the declared value for carriage is $ 50000.

Solution:* 40 parcels: G.Wt = 40 x 4 = 160 Kg Volume Wt. = (30 x 20 x 10 x 40) / 6000 = 40 Kg* 90 parcels: G.Wt = 90 x 3 = 270 Kg Volume Wt. = (50 x 40 x 20 x 90 ) / 6000 = 600 Kg* 60 parcels: G.Wt = 60 x 15 = 900 Kg Volume Wt. = (75 x 50 x 24 x 60) / 6000 = 900 Kg

a) FRT charges = 6.60 x (160 + 600 + 900) = EGP 10956b) Valuation charge = ( 50000 – $20 x 1330) x 0.005 = USD 117

Page 119: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

119

6) State three main differences between AWB & B/L

AWB B/L

Not negotiable Negotiable

AWB shall be issued after the complete consignment has been

received

B/L shall be issued after the complete consignment has been boarded onto

vessel

Contains FRT charges Does not contain FRT charges

7) Mention the main restricted dates in L/C:

- Latest date of shipping

- Latest Negotiation date

- Expiry date

-

Page 120: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

120

SAP AG 1998 CPSAP_e February ‘98 /13

Highest level of customer responsiveness at lowest cost

INFORMATION FLOW

Supply Chain Optimization

CASH FLOW

TransferTransfer TransferTransfer TransferTransfer TransferTransfer

ConsumerSupplier Manufacturing Distribution Retail Outlet

The Chain from Original Supply toFinal Consumption

Page 121: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

121

What makes SCM difficult?

1) Global optimization

* Supply chain is a complex network.

* Different facilities in the supply chain with different

interests.

* The supply chain is a dynamic system.

* System variation over time

"Managing continual change."

Page 122: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

122

2) Managing uncertainty Supply chain is designed and operated in uncertain

environments, such as:

* Matching supply and demand

Months before demand is realized, manufacturers have to

commit themselves to specific production levels.

These advance commitments imply huge financial and

supply risks.

.

What makes SCM difficult?

Page 123: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

123

* Forecasting does not solve the problem

It is impossible to predict the precise demand for a specific item, even with the most advanced forecast techniques.

“ Forecasts are always wrong”.

* Demand is not the only source of uncertainty As supply chain becomes larger and more geographically diverse,

natural and man-made disasters can have tremendous impact.

What makes SCM difficult?

Page 124: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Changing the Focus

Customer

End-User

Grower

Customer

End-User

Customer

End-User FOCUS

FOCUS

FOCUS

Old Way New Way

Grower Grower

Page 125: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

125

• Increasing more complex– Language– Culture– Currency fluctuations– Political– Transportation costs– Local capabilities– Finance and economics– Environmental

Global Supply Chains

To be minimized

Page 126: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

126

Estimate transportation costs based on:

Truck Load (TL)

Less Truck load (LTL)

Internal & external fleet.

Commodity class.

*** Transportation cost function is not always linear

with distance.

Transportation rates

Page 127: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

127

1- Determine the Longitude & latitude for each city. * Longitudes west of the meridian have negative value. * Latitudes south of the equator have negative value. 2- use the following formula to estimate the straight distance between a & b in Miles:

Mileage estimation between two cities 1 & 2

Transportation problems.xls

Page 128: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

128

Optimal distribution strategy

The given table shows the capacity in tons of three farms (F) of a certain fresh produce, demand (d) in tons of three distributors (D), and cost of transportation from each supplier to manufacturers in US$ per ton.

Determine your transportation plan to minimize total transportation cost.

D1 D2 D3 Capacity

F1 2 3 7 20F2 1 6 4 10F3 5 2 4 15

d 15 15 15 45

D1 D2 D3

F1 15 5 0 20

F2 0 0 10 10

F3 0 10 5 15

15 15 15

125

Page 129: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

129

Solving transportation problemsusing Excel spreadsheet

• The ABC retailer has sales points in 5 Midwestern cities. They order their fresh produce from the XYZ distributor, which has warehouses in 6 cities. The shipping costs (in dollars per ton) are given below:

Page 130: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

130

• The demand for each sales point and the tons available at each warehouse are:

Tons Tons

Transportation problems.xls

Page 131: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

131

Assignment

• The manager of a distribution system between farms

(A, B and C) and distributors

(W, X, Y and Z) wishes to minimize

the global transport costs between a

set of origins (farms) and

destinations (distributors).

Consider the cost of transportation

between farms and distributors

are as shown in the table ( $/ unit).

W X Y Z Capacity

(Tons)

A 20 40 70 50 500

B 100 60 90 80 1500

C 10 110 30 200 900

D 700 600 1000 500 2900

Transportation problems.xls

Page 132: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Example 1: Trans-shipping

ARNOLD

WASHBURN

ZROX

HEWES

75 Tons75 Tons

50 Tons50 Tons

60 Tons60 Tons

40 Tons40 Tons

0.030.03

Farm 1Farm 1

Farm 2Farm 2

R 2R 2

R 1R 1

OSTOST

HANHAN

R 3R 3

CAICAIa/pa/p

90 Tons90 Tons

0.900.90

110.050.05

0. 620. 62

0. 700. 70

0. 800. 80

0. 550. 55

0. 680. 68

0. 620. 62

Capacity to OST: 80000 Kg

Capacity to HAN: 90000 Kg

Page 133: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Example 1: Trans-shipping

ARNOLD

WASHBURN

ZROX

HEWES

TakeTake 75 75 TonsTons

50 Tons50 Tons

60 Tons60 Tons

40 Tons40 Tons

0.030.03

Farm 1Farm 1

Farm 2Farm 2

R 2R 2

R 1R 1

OSTOST

HANHAN

R 3R 3

CAICAIa/pa/p

TakeTake 75 75 Tons Tons onlyonly

0.050.05

1. 521. 52

1. 701. 70

1. 701. 70

1. 551. 55

1. 681. 68

1. 521. 52

Solution:

Transportation problems.xls

Page 134: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

Example 2: Trans-shipping

WASHBURN

ZROX

HEWES

Farm 3Farm 3

Farm 2Farm 2

R 3R 3

R 1R 1

OSTOST

HANHAN

R 5R 5

CAICAIa/pa/p

ALYALYa/pa/p

Farm 1Farm 1

Farm 4Farm 4

CDGCDG

R 2R 2

R 4R 4

Page 135: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

135

Example 2: Trans-shippingCAI ALY Supply (Tons)

F1 30 40 500

F2 20 60 700

F3 50 35 900

F4 70 55 600

Capacity 2000 1500

OST CDG HAN Supply (Tons)

CAI 900 1000 1000 1700

ALY 1000 800 950 1000

Capacity 1900 1000 1000

R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 Supply (Tons)

OST 500 400 500 550 470 1900

CDG 900 840 875 690 780 1000

HAN 600 680 550 700 575 1000

Demand 400 300 700 700 600

Transportation problems.xls

Costs are in $/Ton

Page 136: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

136

Case StudyAn Egyptian grower has three farms F1,F2, and F3 in different locations within Egypt, which can supply the same kind of fresh produce, but with different capacities. If this product must be exported to Europe by air, calculate the minimum selling price per Kg of product of plantation cost of $ 655 per ton, and minimum profit margin is 20% of total costs, given that:

1) Capacities of farms & Egyptian Airports

CAI ALY Capacity (Tons)

F1 ? ? 150

F2 ? ? 100

F3 ? ? 150

Available space (Tons)

300 100

2) Available ULD to be used from both airportsThickness of ULD = 2 cm

Max. height from ground = 162 cm

Chargeable weight per ULD = 2.2 tons

PMC- ULD

318 cm

244

Page 137: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

137

3) Available packaging unitization in the farms:

CAI ALY

Cost per truck from F1 ( $) 330 250

Cost per truck from F2 ($) 400 280

Cost per truck from F3 ($) 310 350

The fresh produce packed in cartons of 60 x 40 x 20 cm , 7 Kg each, and palletized on Euro pallet (120 x 100 x 16 cm). If the one empty carton costs $ 2, and each pallet costs $ 11.5 , and customs clearance costs $ 50 per ton.

4) Available refrigerated trucks from the farms to airports:

The inner dimensions of the truck’s container are 12.50 x 2.25 x 2 m, and Max. payload of the truck is 30 tons.

Page 138: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

138

5) Air freight rates ( $/ ULD) from Egyptian airports to European destinations:

6) On-Forwarding cost ($/ton) from European airports to retailers :

.

OST CDG HAN Supply (Tons)

CAI 1980 2200 2200 300

ALY 1800 2000 2000 100

Capacity 200 70 130

R1 R2 R3 Supply (Tons)

OST 500 400 500 200

CDG 900 840 875 70

HAN 600 680 550 130

Demand 100 150 150

Transportation problems.xls

Page 139: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

139

INHERENT RISKS IN Agro-Commodities SUPPLY CHAIN

Page 140: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

140

Air Transport in cold chain logistics

• Perishable agro-commodities are very sensitive to post harvest facility & care, handling,…etc

• Specific requirements applicable to perishable goods; responsibilities of shippers and operators; types of perishables; special knowledge, documentation, labeling, packaging, claims……...

• Air Freight allows products to be transported quickly over long distance.

• Cold Chain Logistics can make all the difference !

Page 141: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

141

• What is Export Cold Chain Logistics? Is the seamless movement of perishable food: * Temperature and /or environment controls. * From supplier to customer to consumer. * Accounting for all functions.

• 5 habits of highly successful exporters: - Know the product - Plan the logistics chain - Know your partners - Get the basis right - Know the market

Clod Chain Logistics

Page 142: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

142

The Export Logistics Cold Chain(Air transport)

Grower/ Producer

Cargo Terminal(Cold)

Packer /Processorand cold stores

Transport

Transport

TransportAir

Transport

Retailer Consumer

Farm

Refrigerated truck

Refrigerated truck

CAI A/P

Distributor(Client)

Transport

Refrigerated truck

Page 143: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

143

Don’t break the chain !!• In case of Air transport of perishables, the cold chain is

broken during one of the following processes:

1- Unloading from refrigerated truck at the airport cold store. 2- Moving the ULD on tarmac. 3- Waiting loading to the aircraft. 4- Loading the aircraft. 5- In flight. 6- Unloading the aircraft at destination. 7- Moving the ULD to terminal. 8- Breaking down point in the terminal.

Page 144: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

144

Quiz• Suppose that you are planning for some fresh produce exports during the Q1 of

2008, based on the historical recorded data of previous periods, as follows:

Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007

A/F rate ($ /Kg) 0.85 0.90 1.00 0.95 0.97

Demand (tons) 540 600 635 670 650

Calculate:

1) The required BUDGET for Q1 2008

2) Minimum selling rate (delivery to client in Paris) if your profit margin is at least is 20% of the cost, given that:

- The fresh produce packed in cartons of 60 x 40 x 20 cm , 7 Kg each, and palletized on Euro pallet (120 x 100 x 16 cm). If the one empty carton costs $ 2, and each pallet costs $ 11.5 , and customs clearance costs $ 50 per ton.

- Plantation cost per ton is $ 600.

- The permissible height above the unitized Euro pallet is 160 cm

- The TL rate of reefer truck (30 tons – 22 pallets) from the farm to CAI a/p is USD 200 / truck.

- Forecast for Q1 2008 applying 3-periods Weighted Moving Average method, given that:

Ct-1= 0.5 , Ct-2= 0.3 , Ct-3= 0.2

Page 145: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

145

If OST is the a/p of destination, and the shipments have to be sent to some clients in Paris. If

the shipments will be sent directly to customers from OST, most shipments will be LTL. However, if you locate a D.C in Paris, you can ship TL from OST to Paris, and distribute by local cartage (LTL) to customers in that area.

Assume the following:

OST to customer LTL = $ 100/ ton

OST to D.C TL = $ 50/ ton

Inventory-carrying cost in the D.C = $ 10/ton

D.C to customer LTL = $ 20/ton

Is it more economical to establish the D.C in Paris? If yes what will be the saving during

Q1 2008?

Quiz ( continued)

Page 146: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

146

ForecastingForecasting & &

Its TechniquesIts Techniques • Why Forecast?• Common Principles of Forecasting• Forecasting Steps• An Overview of forecasting techniques

This part has been added according to the request of the students !

Page 147: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

147

• forecasting –• act of making predictions about:

- Occurrence of particular events in the future

- Value of particular variable at future date

"If you can look into the seeds of time, and say which grain will grow and which will not, speak then unto me. "

William Shakespeare

Page 148: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

148

BUT !• "It is far better to foresee even

without certainty than not to foresee at all. "

--Henri Poincare in The Foundations of Science, page 129.

Page 149: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

149

Why Forecast?1) Uncontrollable external events Example: those that originate with the national economy, governments,

customers’ demand,…..2) Controllable internal events such as: marketing or manufacturing decisions within the firm.

Role of Forecasting:• Scheduling: Forecasts the level of product’s demand• Acquiring resources: Lead time* to acquire raw materials, etc.• Determining resource requirements: Long term planning.

*Lead time: it is a time lag between the time “about to happen event” and the “actual occurrence of the event”.

Page 150: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

150

Forecasting in management

• Personnel management• Resource management, e.g: logistics operations

• Finance management

• Organizational management

Forecasting is used in various domains of management, such as:

Page 151: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

151

Common Principles of Forecasting

• Forecasts are rarely perfect (Forecast is always wrong)

• Forecasts are more accurate for grouped data than for individual items

• Forecast are more accurate for shorter

than longer time periodsI see that you willget an A this semester.

Page 152: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

152

Forecasting Steps

• What needs to be forecast?– time horizon required

• What data is available?

• Select and test the forecasting model

• Generate the forecast

• Monitor forecast accuracy over time :(error)

Page 153: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

153

An Overview of Forecasting Techniques

• Quantitative (time series methods): Sufficient quantitative information are available.

It depends on accumulated data. Used to formulate Strategy, long-range plans, etc.

• Qualitative (subjective): Little or no quantitative information are available, but sufficient qualitative knowledge exists.

Predicting the impact of gasoline price if and when it hits $ 3.00 per gallon.

• Some combination of the two

Note: only time series methods will be discussed in details in this course.

Page 154: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

154

Subjective Forecasting Methods (Retail Sales)

• Sales Force Composites--Getting info from the frontlines.

• Customer Surveys--Getting the info straight from the horse’s mouth.

• Jury of Executive Opinions--Let the experts meet and come to a consensus

• Delphi Method--Survey the experts anonymously

Page 155: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

155

Sales Force Composites• Get estimates of future sales from individual sales

associates

• Add individual estimates to get total for region or product

• Possible problems -may be in the interest of sales force to bias forecasts downward if paid on commission or if quotas are involved

Page 156: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

156

Customer Surveys• where estimates of future sales come directly

from customers-”do you plan to buy a car in the next month?”

-”how much are you looking to spend?”• Possible problem -

– Generally, this method is more accurate for corporate or industrial buyers than for the general population….

– Why?!– Members of the general population often do not

have a clue what ACTUAL purchases they might make soon.

Page 157: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

157

Jury of Executive Opinions

• combine subjective predictions of those knowledgeable in field…the list of experts depends on the topic.

e.g., who is going to win the next presidential U.S election and why?

You are the experts.

• Possible problem -– strong personalities may dominate group

Page 158: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

158

Delphi Method

• Select participants.• Participants submit individual forecasts.• Results are summarized, presented back to

the participants.• They submit new revised forecasts, taking

into account information from others.• Repeat until no significant changes result.

Page 159: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

159

Delphi Method

• Advantages -– Requires little quantitative background– Widely used, not time consuming– Not dominated by strong personalities

• Disadvantage -– May not reach consensus if you have people who

are firm in their opinions– There may be some question as to who is an

authority in the field

Page 160: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

160

When Can One Do Quantitative Forecasting?

1. Information about the past is available.2. This information is available in the form of

numerical data3. Assumption of continuity: It can be assumed that

some aspects of the past pattern will continue into the future.

• Continuity assumption is also needed for qualitative forecasting

– Forecasts generated through mathematical modeling

Page 161: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

161

Quantitative Methods

• Time Series Models:– Assumes the future will follow same patterns as the

past.

• Causal Models:– Explores cause-and-effect relationships– Uses leading indicators to predict the future

Page 162: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

162

Time Series Data Composition

• Data = historic pattern + random variation

• Historic pattern to be forecasted:

– Level (long-term average)

– Trend

– Seasonality

– Cycle

• Random Variation cannot be predicted

Page 163: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

163

Time Series Patterns

Page 164: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

164

Time Series Models

• Naive:– The forecast is equal or near to the actual value observed during the

last period – good for level patterns

• Simple Mean:– The average of all available data - good for level patterns example: 12,13,14,15

• Central Moving Average:– For a number of applications it is advantageous to avoid the shifting

induced by using only 'past' data. Hence a central moving average can be computed, using both 'past' and 'future' data. The 'future' data in this case are not predictions, but merely data obtained after the time at which the average is to be computed.

– Each new forecast drops the oldest data point & adds a new observation

Mean = 54/4 = 13.5

Page 165: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

165

Naive forecasts: NF1 and NF2 • NF1. (“The value tomorrow will be the same as

today”). Example: Number of required trucks today was 20. Forecast NF1 for

tomorow: 20.

• NF2. (“The value tomorow will be less (greater) by …10% ”).

Example: Average or required trucks this month is 20 trucks. Forecast

NF2 for the next month: will be 25 trucks (increase of 25%).

Page 166: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

166

Time Series Models (continued)

• Weighted Moving Average:

• All weights must add to 100% or 1.00

e.g. Ct .5, Ct-1 .3, Ct-2 .2 (weights add to 1.0)

• Allows emphasizing one period over others; above indicates more weight on recent data (Ct=.5)

• Differs from the simple moving average that weighs all periods equally - more responsive to trends

tt1t ACF

Page 167: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

167

Time Series Models (continued)• Exponential Smoothing:

• Most frequently used time series method because of ease of use and minimal amount of data needed

• Need just three pieces of data to start:– Last period’s forecast (Ft)

– Last periods actual value (At)

– Select value of smoothing coefficient between 0 and 1.0

• If no last period forecast is available, average the last few periods or use naive method

• Higher values (e.g. .7 or .8) may place too much weight on last period’s random variation

tt1t Fα1αAF

Page 168: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

168

Time Series Problem• Determine forecast for periods

Jul & Aug

• 2-period moving average

• 4-period moving average

• 2-period weighted moving average

with t-1 weighted 0.6 and t-2 weighted

0.4

• Exponential smoothing with alpha

=0.2.

• Actual demand for Jul found to be 375

Period Forecasted Actual

Jan 300

Feb 315

Mar 290

Apr 345

May 320

Jun 370 360

Jul 370 375

Aug

Arab Academy.xls

Page 169: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

169

Period $$• 1999 1,000,000• 2000 1,200,000• 2001 1,350,000• 2002 1,250,000

• Forecast 2003 = .40 (1,250,000) + .30 (1,350,000) + .20 (1,200,000) + .10 (1,000,000)

• Forecast = $1,245,000

Example4-year Weighted Moving Average forecast

(WMA)

Discuss !

Page 170: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

170

Causal Models

• Often, leading indicators can help to predict changes in future demand

• Causal models establish a cause-and-effect relationship between independent and dependent variables

• A common tool of causal modeling is linear regression:

bxaY

Page 171: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

171

Linear Regression

XXX

YXXYb

2

• Identify dependent (y) and independent (x) variables

• Solve for the slope of the line

• Solve for the y intercept

• Develop your equation for

the trend line Y=a + bX

XbYa

22 XnX

YXnXYb

Page 172: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

172

Linear Regression Problem: A maker of golf shirts has been tracking the relationship between sales and advertising dollars.

Use linear regression to find out what sales might be if the company invested $53,000 in advertising next year.

22 XnX

YXnXYb

Sales $ (Y)

Adv.$ (X)

XY X^2 Y^2

1 130 32 4160 1024 16900

2 151 52 7852 2704 22801

3 150 50 7500 2500 22500

4 158 55 8690 3025 24964

5 153.85 53

Tot 589 189 28202 9253 87165

Avg 147.25 47.25

153.85531.1592.9Y

1.15X92.9bXaY

92.9a

47.251.15147.25XbYa

1.1547.2549253

147.2547.25428202b

2

Investing $ 53000 might generate sales of $ 153,085

Page 173: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

173

How Good the trend line Fits?• Correlation coefficient (r) measures the direction and strength of the linear

relationship between two variables.

• It has a value between –1 and +1

• The closer the r value is to 1.0 the better the regression line fits the data points.

.96400.982R

.982058987,1654*(189)-4(9253)

589189282024r

YYn*XXn

YXXYnr

22

22

2222

•The coefficient of determination, R , measures the percentage of variation in the dependent variable that is explained by the regression or trend line. It has a value between zero and one, with a high value indicating a good fit.

2

2

Page 174: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

174

Forecast Accuracy• Error - difference between actual value and predicted value

• Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

– Average absolute error

• Mean Squared Error (MSE)

– Average of squared error

• Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE)

– Average absolute percent error

Page 175: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

175

MAD, MSE, and MAPE

MAD = Actual forecast

n

MSE = Actual forecast)

-1

2

n

(

MAPE = Actual forecas

t

n

/ Actual)*100

Page 176: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

176

Example

Period Actual Forecast (A-F) |A-F| (A-F)^2 (|A-F|/Actual)*1001 217 215 2 2 4 0.922 213 216 -3 3 9 1.413 216 215 1 1 1 0.464 210 214 -4 4 16 1.905 213 211 2 2 4 0.946 219 214 5 5 25 2.287 216 217 -1 1 1 0.468 212 216 -4 4 16 1.89

-2 22 76 10.26

MAD= 2.75MSE= 10.86

MAPE= 1.28

Page 177: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

177

Selecting the Right Forecasting Model

• The amount & type of available data– Some methods require more data than others

• Degree of accuracy required– Increasing accuracy means more data

• Length of forecast horizon– Different models for 3 month vs. 10 years

Page 178: 1 AIR FREIGHT TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT “Fresh produce” Arab Academy for Science & Technology & Maritime Transport Institute Of International Transport & Logistics

178

Exercise• Write down the common principles of forecasting?

• List the different types of forecasting techniques.

• What is the main differences between “ Weighted Moving Average” than “ exponential Smoothing” methods?

• The given table shows the actual values of sales ($) for some product during the period from Jan till Sep 2007.

Forecast the value of sales ($) in Oct 2007 applying 3-periods Weighted Moving Average method, given that:

Ct-1= 0.5 , Ct-2= 0.3 , Ct-3= 0.2

Month Actual ($)

Jan 300,000

Feb 315,000

Mar 290,000

Apr 345,000

May 320,000

Jun 360,000

Jul 375,000

Aug 300,000

Sep 325,000