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1
Giving more prominence to households
AEG AEG
New York, 23 -25 April New York, 23 -25 April 20122012
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Introduction
Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report (five recommendations on households)– When evaluating material well-being, look at income and
consumptions rather than production– Emphasize the household perspective– Consider income and consumption jointly with wealth– Give more prominence to the distribution of income,
consumption and wealth– Broaden income measures to non-market activities
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Plans and initiatives
Giving more prominence to the publication of household data
Distribution of income, consumption and wealth Understanding the drivers of differences between
changes in GDP and changes in household disposable income
Measuring household services produced for own final use
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Giving more prominence to the publication of household data
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Publication of household data
Focus usually on GDP-growth Household (adjusted) disposable income may
provide a better reflection of material well-being Possible enhancements:
– Timely compilation of quarterly and annual sector accounts on households
– Put more emphasis on households when publishing NA-data => timely press release
Possible issues:– Combined sector Households and NPISHs– Definition of disposable income?
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Distribution of income, consumption and wealth
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Early 2011 - Two Expert Groups on households economic resources were established following the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi recommendations
OECD Expert Group on Micro Statistics on Income, Consumption and Wealth (EG ICW), aiming at:
– Pursuing methodological work to develop standards and guidelines for measuring household wealth
– Proposing a framework for joint analysis of micro data on households income, consumption and wealth
OECD-Eurostat Expert Group on Disparities in a National Accounts Framework (EG DNA), aiming at:
– Using existing micro sources to produce indicators of disparities by group of households consistent with SNA totals – feasibility study
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EG ICW
Membership:
17 NSOs, UNECE, Eurostat, ECB, LIS, country experts, OECD (secretariat)
Chair:
Mr Bob McColl (AUS) Financial/In-Kind support:
AUS, CH, IT 2 meetings:
March and December 2011
EG DNA
Membership:
25 NSOs, ECB, LIS, OECD and Eurostat (both secretariat)
Chair:
Mr Wim Van Nunspeet (NL) Financial/In-Kind support:
FR 2 meetings:
March and December 2011
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HH group_1
HH group_2
HH group_3
HH group_4
HH group_5
Wages and salaries….Social benefits received
….Current taxes paid….….Adjusted disposable income (B7)
FoodHousingHealth….….….Final Actual consumption (P4)
Saving (B8=B7-P4)Saving ratio (=B8/B7)
Total resident
population
Household type
Goal of EG DNA EG DNA practical aim: breakdown of household income and
final consumption according to NA by household group
NA totals
Totals, in National Currency
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Goal of EG DNA (cont.)
Produce distributional information consistent with macro-totals– Average household (adjusted) disposable
income, final consumption and saving by HH group
– Stucture of households disposable income by HH group
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Goal of EG DNA (cont.)
Household groups to be dinstinguished Household composition and age of each
adult– Single, > 65 years, without children– Single, < 65 years, without children– Single, with children– Two adults, < 65 years, without children– Two adults, one adult . 65 years, without children– Two adults, with children– Other
Equivalised income quintiles
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Goal of EG DNA (cont.)
Household groups to be dinstinguished Main source of income
– Owners of unincorporated enterprises with paid employees
– Owners of unincorporated enterprises without paid employees
– Employees– Pensioners– Recipient of transfer income (other than
pensions) and property income
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Main issues
Gaps between micro and macro measures: Differences in scope:
– Macro: half EG DNA countries include NPISHs– Micro: most micro sources exclude collective households
Differences in definition of income:– Imputed rents owner-occupied dwellings– Social transfers in kind– Property income attributed to insurance policy holders– Fisim
Measurement issues: – Adjustment for underground economy– Interest and dividends received
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Progress and future work
EG DNA: a work in two main steps
Step 1: Taking stock of information on household income, consumption and wealth; description and comparison of micro and macro sources
From March to December 2011 Step 2:
• Breakdown of households according to an agreed methodology
• Proposal for new indicators on income, consumption and saving disparities
From November 2011 to December 2012
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Progress and future work (cont.)
End February: agreement on common template for step 2
1-3 August (Boston): third EG DNA meeting
Discussion of the first national results according to common template
5-11 August (Boston): IARIW conference
Paper on micro-macro comparisons
End of 2012: final report of the Expert Group
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Understanding the drivers of differences between changes in GDP
and changes in household disposable income
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From GDP to HH disposable income
Periods of consistent diverging developments Research project into the analysis of main drivers:
(re)distribution of income between domestic sectors: labour/capital shares, the size of the government, role of rents and corporate profits, etc.
Both in current prices and constant prices First result: conceptual paper on the framework (to
be discussed at the AEG)
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Measuring household services produced for own final use
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Household services produced for own final use Services produced by households for own final use
excluded from the SNA (except dwelling services), although they share many of the characteristics of the same kind of market services
Main problems: – Valuation in combination with the sheer size of the relevant
services (replacement cost versus opportunity cost)– Delineation of the relevant services– Collection of underlying data
Issues in relation to (material) well-being and international comparability
Consensus: Keep on excluding them from the core set of national accounts
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Issues for discussion Main (general) recommendations of the AEG on
the presentation/publication of household data? Main recommendations of the AEG related to the
compilation of distributional information? How does the AEG look upon the initiative to
analyze differences in changes of GDP and changes of HH disposable income?
What is the advice of the AEG in relation to non-market services of households?
Does the AEG have other suggestions? International alignment and communication?