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1 © 2005 Nokia EC IL 15.11.2005 Enabling the Knowledge Society: The Role of Mobile Communications Ilkka Lakaniemi

1 © 2005 Nokia EC IL 15.11.2005 Enabling the Knowledge Society: The Role of Mobile Communications Ilkka Lakaniemi

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  • Enabling the Knowledge Society: The Role of Mobile Communications

  • OutlineGlobal Mobility & Fixed-to-Mobile SubstitutionSocial & Economic Impacts of MobilityThe Roles of a Mobile IndividualTowards Convergence and a Knowledge-based economy

  • The Mobile WorldSubscriptions globally, millions3 billionby 2010Source: Nokia at 3GSM Cannes, February 20050-92-93-94-95-96-97-98-99-00-02-01-03-04-10e2004006008001 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 0002 2002 4002 6002 8003 000-05e Current global penetration 29 %MobileFixed voiceBroadband

  • Mobile Europe: Usage as an Indicator & Driver0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Sources: National Regulators, ITU, Operators13Germany1516Sweden1820USA3033Spain3837France4253Portugal55Mobile voice share of total outgoing traffic minutesNetherlands2529Switzerland2125141226UK27242527Greece342230Italy33282831China39233250Czech544645Hungary513748Austria534448Finland55425218Norway24282021200420032002

  • Social & Economic Impacts of MobilityMobility endorses socio-economic development factors (not in order of importance and not exhaustive):community development via network effectsefficiency and transparency in governance via improved access and feedback channelssocial mobility with direct effects on entrepreneurship and gender allocation (focus on developing economies)skills (new competences) and learning improvement via mobility in educational servicesefficiency in public services via monitoring and faster repair servicesenhancement of remote working methods via true mobilityencouragement in public security perception via remote-monitoring and environmental sensingendorsement of workforce efficiency and productivity via impact on multifactor productivity growthimproved public welfare services via efficiency reporting and faster emergency servicesenvironmental benefits from improved communication efficiency via reducing transport costs

  • The Roles of a Mobile IndividualInhouse ProximitySocietyNeighborhood ProximityCityProfessional RoleEnterprise VPN Family/social member Rolefamily VPNCommunity/Citizen RoleeVotingeGovernment servicesConsumer RolemShoppingmLocationingeLearning EnvironmentsmCommerce & IdentificationWork/Life BalanceWell-being& Social AspectsSpatial Solutions & Smart MaterialsLiving Logistics& Maintenance

  • Towards Convergence and a Knowledge-based EconomyConvergence in technology, user expectations and business modelswidespread mobile usage among all age and income groups (universal access)competitive advantage via user-centric technologiesreal-life test beds (Living Labs)

    Knowledge-based economychanging work patterns and timecommunication technologies for collaboration and sharingturning aging societies challenge to possibilities e.g. enhancing public services and productivity

  • KEY MESSAGE: This section explores Networks vision related to converging services and technology.

    F+M and broadband developmentFor fixed telecom, it took 100 years to reach 1 billion subscribers. For mobile just 10 years and still growing.Broadband is a hot issue, but lets put in into perspective.Cost: Later a graph showing that mobile is almost in every OECD country cheaper than fixed voice serviceEfficiency: For enterprises, reachabilityLifestyle: Life goes MobilePrepaid: Allow people that cannot get fixed (postpaid) to use mobile services. Barriers: especially indoor coverage requires improvements