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    ECONOMICAL ASSESSMENT OF SOLAR ELECTRICITY

    FROM ORGANIC PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEMS

    C. Emmott1, B. Azzopardi2, N. Espinosa3, R. Garcia-Valverde4, A. Urbina1,2, J. Mutale2, F.C. Krebs5

    and J. Nelson1

    1 Department of Physics and Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United

    Kingdom,2 Electrical Energy and Power Systems Group, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Manchester,

    Ferranti Building, Sackville Street, Manchester, M60 1QD, United Kingdom,3

    Department of Electronics, Technical University of Cartagena, Pza. Hospital 1, 30202 Cartagena, Spain,4 Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Campus Espinardo, 30100 Murcia, Spain,

    5Ris National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Frederiksborgvej 399, DK-4000,Denmark

    Keywords: Renewable energy, Photovoltaic technology,organic solar cells, life cycle analysis, cost analysis.

    Abstract

    Small size polymeric solar cells at laboratory scale haverecently reached efficiencies up to 8.3% [1]. The rapid

    progress in manufacturing methods which allow a continuousroll-to-roll production indicate that this high efficiency couldbe within reach for larger modules [2]. Life cycle analysis has

    evaluated the environmental impact of this emergingtechnology and allows us to compare the carbon emissionsmitigation potential of the polymeric solar technology withother photovoltaic technologies, other renewable energysources, or fossil fuels [3]. In this work, a detailed economiccalculation on the cost of electricity production by a 1kWpgrid-connected organic photovoltaic system has beenperformed.

    Building on the detailed material inventory and the modulemanufacturing process for the production of organic

    photovoltaic modules [2], the economical cost of a 1kWporganic photovoltaic system has been calculated taking intoaccount the materials, direct process, labour, balance of

    system components, design and maintenance costs and usinga well established methodology for the economical analysis[4,5]. Assuming values for the performance ratio of the PVsystem, insolation level, inflation and interest rates, thelevelised cost of electricity (LCOE) from an organicphotovoltaic system is calculated.

    The interest of organic photovoltaic technologies is mainlythe promise of very low-cost for module components andtherefore cheap solar electricity. Our calculation demonstratesthat this statement is within reach for an already testedmanufacturing process which allows the fabrication oforganic photovoltaic modules.

    The cost of solar electricity is calculated to be 0.26 euro/kWhfor 3% efficiency modules of 5 years lifetime, assuming aperformance ratio of 0.85 and an insolation of 1700kWh/m2per year. This reduces to 0.11 euro/kWh if cells with themodule reach the current record efficiency of 8.3% and themodule lifetime is extended to 10 years. A sensitivity analysishas been performed and it shows the importance of improvingthe lifetime of the organic PV modules to around 10 years.The cost of electricity from an organic photovoltaic systemcould be more favourable than that obtained for an equivalentinorganic (silicon-based) system and could attain grid parity

    in the coming years.

    Acknowledgements

    The authors acknowledge the support of the UK EPSRC

    (Pathways to Impact Grant EP/I50105), the Royal Society,the Danish Strategic Research Council (2104-07-0022),

    EUDP (j. nr. 64009-0050), MICINN-Spain (HOPECSD2007-00007; MAT2010-21267-C02) and CARM-Murcia(D429-2008). Partial financial support was also received fromthe European Commission through the HIFLEX project(FP7/2009, Grant No. 248678), from the EU-Indianframework of the "Largecells" project (FP7/2007-2013, Grant

    No. 261936) and from PV-ERA-NET (POLYSTAR).

    References

    [1] Konarka Tecnologies Inc., NREL certified, press release

    29th November 2010.[2] F.C. Krebs, S.Georgyan, J. Alstrup, Journal of MaterialsChemistry 19, 54425451 (2009).

    [3] N. Espinosa, R. Garca-Valverde, A.Urbina, F. C. Krebs,Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells (2010),http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solmat.2010.08.020

    [4] B. Azzopardi, J. Mutale, Renewable and SustainableEnergy Reviews 14, 11301134 (2010).

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    [5] B. Azzopardi, J. Mutlae, D. Kirschen, IEEE InternationalConference on Sustainable Energy Technologies, ICSET2008, 589-594 (2008)