02 Serbia, Kosovo and EU Enlargement

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Serbia, Kosovo And EU Enlargement Analysis

By TransConflict -- (March 13, 2013)

Only Washington can push Pristina to accept a compromise over the north. Yet

despite the fact that the Ahtisaari Plan clearly allows them to have a decision-

making body, the US says it doesnt accept executive powers for any association

of Kosovo-Serb municipalities. Perhaps the US and Pristina should now talk directly

with the northerners and stop holding EU membership hostage.

By Gerard M. Gallucci

The EU has problems, lots. The currency union turns out to have been a very

effective mechanism for German growth and wealth at the expense of crippling

debt for most of the other countries trapped within the euro. Low interest rates in

Germany, high rates and therefore ready cheap money in the Mediterranean

economies simply operationalized the imbalances intrinsic to a single currency

serving quite different sovereign states. The Germans reaped the profits andcomplain of having to bail out the southern European slackers. The German

Economic Minister now warns against allowing France to exceed debt limits and the

ECB from lending any more money to those Italians.

All things being equal, the euros problems should not by themselves lessen the

advantages of bringing those European countries outside the EU into membership.

The EU per se is not the same as the single currency. Europe has effectively grown

larger since the fall of the Eastern Bloc. NATO walked up to the borders of the

former Soviet Union and is knocking at the door for what advantage? even onGeorgia. The EU has added new states as well. It is the natural political and

economic counterpart to the military alliance. Both stake their claim on the belief

that Europe is more prosperous and more secure if internal barriers come down and

it acts in common. The political and economic requirements of EU membership are

seen to make democracy, transparency and free market capitalism more robust. By

this reasoning, it would be clearly in Europes interest to bring in the Balkans (and


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Turkey) as soon as possible. Let the process of becoming EU members catalyze

progress in these countries and cement them into the Western world.

Yet there is no denying a certain lack of eagerness for EU enlargement, perhaps

with reason. Things dont appear to have worked out so well with Romania and

Bulgaria. But there may be deeper causes too. Electorates remain instinctively

nationalistic and increasingly wonder about the costs of the union including not

only money but hosting foreign workers. Germany especially appears to be

resisting EU enlargement for reasons quite apart from problems with the euro and

they relate directly to its position on Serbia and Kosovo. Berlins policy toward the

two has long appeared to be focused on keeping Albanians happy by giving them

what they want outside Germany. An independent Kosovo cost Germany nothing

and allowed the return of Roma and Albanians that no longer could cite war and

persecution. It also conveniently made it less likely to have to deal with Serbian

accession.

Germany has been singled minded in its effort to find reasons to keep Serbia from

moving forward on membership. Despite occasional obfuscation, it clearly has

conditioned getting even a date for membership talks on Belgrade surrendering the

north to Pristina and recognizing Kosovo. Whatever the other European Quint

members might be ready to accept, Berlin seems dug in. Chancellor Merkel just

doesnt want to add Serbia. The US appears pleased to play along with the

Germans. (Its been mostly the troops from both countries that sought to use force

to bully the northern Kosovo Serbs in 2011.) The US can keep Kosovo a Europeanproblem by steadfastly supporting Pristina and letting Berlin take the lead.

Only Washington can push Pristina to accept a compromise over the north. But the

US says it doesnt accept executive powers for any association of Kosovo-Serb

municipalities. This despite the fact the the Ahtisaari Plan clearly allows them to

have a decision-making body. Thus the Serbian government remains caught

between the demand to surrender Kosovo and its wish to move forward on EU

membership. Prime Minister Dacic reportedly told the press that the EU and US

seem to want his government to make a deal and then enforce it on the north. Butas it cant work that way, why should he negotiate over this. Let the US and Pristina

talk directly with the northerners. Now theres an idea. And stop holding EU

membership hostage?


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Gerard M. Gallucci is a retired US diplomat and UN peacekeeper. He worked as part

of US efforts to resolve the conflicts in Angola, South Africa and Sudan and as

Director for Inter-American Affairs at the National Security Council. He served as UN

Regional Representative in Mitrovica, Kosovo from July 2005 until October 2008 and

as Chief of Staff for the UN mission in East Timor from November 2008 until June

2010.

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02 Serbia, Kosovo and EU Enlargement