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Socionomics Summit:Socionomics Summit:N H i i thN H i i thNew Horizons in the New Horizons in the Study of Social MoodStudy of Social MoodStudy of Social Mood Study of Social Mood
April 16, 2011April 16, 2011
Robert R. Prechter, Jr., CMT
Socionomic TheorySocionomic Theory Provides a Basis for
Social Prediction
Figure 1 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Predicting Based onPredicting Based on Lag Variations g
in Social Actions
Figure 2 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 3 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 4 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 5 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 6 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 7 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 8 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Predicting Using thePredicting Using the Elliott Wave Model
Figure 9 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 10 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 11 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Socionomic (Fractal) Prediction vs.Conventional (Linear) PredictionConventional (Linear) Prediction
Figure 12 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 13 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 14 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
HOW ECONOMISTS “FORECAST” EARNINGS“The chart makes is transparently obvious that analysts lag reality. They only change their minds when there is irrefutable proof they were wrong, and then g p y g,only change their minds very slowly.”
–James Montier, head of equity research, Societe Generale, London, April 2008
Figure 15 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 16 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 17 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 18 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 19 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 20 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 21 Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 22New books 2000-2009
Prechter, www.socionomics.com
Figure 23New books 2000-2009
Prechter, www.socionomics.com
