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+Utah
Comprehensive
Accountability System (UCAS)
1
Hal Sanderson, Ph.D.Research and Assessment
August 21, 2013
2013
2
+
UCAS performance data is embargoed. September 3rd is the
public release.
3+ Utah Comprehensive Accountability System
(UCAS) Incorporates both student achievement and growth toward improvement in a composite score for each school (range 0 to 600). This is largely based on the Core CRTs.
UCAS provides summary data for the entire school, as well as disaggregated results by ethnicity, and for economically disadvantaged, English language learners, and students with disabilities.
UCAS achievement and growth results are for students who are in school for a full academic year (160 days in membership).
4+Key Features of UCAS Each school can earn up to 300 points in
Achievement and 300 points in Growth.
Achievement (Percent of students proficient on CRTs in Math, Language Arts, Science and DWA). This is similar to previous accountability reports.
Growth (Year-to-year scale score gain compared to like scoring “academic” peers across the state). This is a very different approach to calculating growth/progress.
Subgroup(s). Identifies below proficient students as a single subgroup. Defined as all students who scored below proficiency (level 1 or 2) on the previous year’s CRT
5+Key Features of UCAS continued
Participation. A school must meet the 95% participation rate for the whole school and non-proficient subgroup of 40 students or more in each content area
High School (Graduation Rate = College Readiness)
AMO Information for schools is reported.
6+ ELEMENTARY/MIDDLE SCHOOL UCAS REPORT
Total Points
School Info. Achieveme
nt Points
Growth Points
Report Info
7+ HIGH SCHOOL UCAS REPORT
Total Points
School Info. Achievement
Points
Growth Points
Report Info
Grad Rate Points
8+ Comparison to AYP/U-PASS
AchievementUCAS AYP U-PASS
AchievementFor Students who are
Full Academic Year (160 days)
Percent of Students Proficient
Percent of Students Proficient
Percent of Students Proficient
CRTs Included:
Language Arts
Yes Yes Yes
Mathematics
Yes Yes Yes
Science Yes No Yes
DWA Yes No Yes
Participation (n => 40)
Yes Yes Yes
Achievement – is calculated by dividing the number of students scoring proficient or above (Levels 3 and 4) in each content area using the CRT/DWA/UAA tests by the number of students who were enrolled at the same school for the full academic year and took each test.
9+ Comparison to AYP/U-PASS
GrowthUCAS AYP U-PASS
Growth/Progress
For Students who are Full Academic Year
(160 days)
CRT scale score gain compared to like scoring
peers
Safe Harbor (gain in percent
of student proficient)
Progress Score (gain in U-PASS
proficiency)
The Growth or Progress
Question?
Student: How does my scale score
gain compare to students who had
my same prior year(s) score?
What is my percentile rank?
School: Is a greater percent of students proficient than the previous
year?
Student: Has my proficiency level
increased from the prior year (e.g.,
Level 1b to Level 2b)?
UCAS Student Growth Percentile (SGP) – For students taking the CRTs, growth is determined by comparing the performance of a student with all other students in the state with the same past performance (1-3 years of CRT scores). Next, determine how performance in the current year compares with that of the student’s peer group to produce a growth percentile. Range from 0 to 100.
+ 10
2013 UCAS Assessments• CRT LANGUAGE ARTS – Elementary
Grades 3 – 6; Secondary Grades 7 - 11
• CRT MATH - Elementary Grades 3 – 6; Math 7 CRT, Math 8 CRT, Algebra 1, Geometry, Algebra 2
• CRT SCIENCE – Elementary Grades 4 – 6; Secondary 7th Integrated Science, 8th Integrated Science, Earth Systems Science, Biology, Chemistry, Physics
• Direct Writing Assessment – Grades 5 and 8
11+ Point Structure for Elementary and Middle Schools
Overall School
600 Total Points
Growth 300 total
points
All Students200 total
points
Below Proficient Students 100 total
points
Achievement 300 total points
Percent at or above
proficient 300 points
Schools without a 12th grade includes students in grades 3-8
12
Overall School
600 total points
Growth300 total
points
All students 200 total
points
Below Proficient Students 100 total
points
Achievement 300 total points
Percent at or above
proficient 150 total
points
Readiness Graduation
rate150 Total
points
Point Structure for High Schools
Schools with a 12th grade includes students in grades 9-12
+ 13
Subgroups• Identifies below proficient students as a single
subgroup• Below Proficient Subgroup = All students who
scored below proficiency (level 1 or 2) on the previous year’s CRT
• Below Proficient Subgroup is determined independently for each content area (ELA, Math, Science)
• Ensures all students who are below standard, regardless of group, are the focus for improvement
• Below proficient subgroup is double weighted in the growth calculation to increase focus on those most at risk
• Complete disaggregated data for all 10 subgroups will be included in UCAS report including gap analysis
+ 14
Participation Requirement
• A school must meet the 95% participation rate for the whole school and non-proficient subgroups of 40 students or more in each content area
• Participation is calculated for the whole school and the non-proficient subgroup
• Schools not meeting the participation requirement will receive a UCAS total score of 0
15+ Sample Elementary
Achievement Calculation
Note: Schools without DWA , content areas are weighted equally (1/3 each)
Subject
Percent Proficien
t
PointsPossible(Weighted)
Achievement PointsEarned
ELA 80% x 8628.57% of
300
= 69
Math 70% x 8628.57% of
300
= 60
Science 60% x 8628.57% of
300
= 51
DWA 80% x 4314.29% of
300
= 34
Total 300 = 214
16+ High SchoolsCollege & Career Readiness College and Career Readiness accounts for 150
of the 300 points for high schools in the achievement component.
The readiness component is the federal graduation rate calculation as approved by USED. All graduation reporting includes this rate.
For purposes of calculating UCAS, the graduation rate is calculated by multiplying the graduation rate by 150 (e.g. .70 x 150 = 105).
17+ Sample High School
Achievement Calculation
SubjectPercent Proficie
nt
PointsPossibl
e
Achievement Points Earned
ELA 80% x 5033% of
150
= 40
Math 70% x 5033% of
150
= 35
Science 60% x 5033% of
150
= 30
Readiness/Grad Rate (4 year federal)
80% x150
100% of 150
= 120
Total 300 = 225
+Additional Details
Student Growth
Percentile
18
SGP
19
Student Growth Percentile Student growth is determined by comparing
the performance of a student with all other students in the state with the same past scale score performance (1-3 years of CRTs). How does your gain compare to that of your like scoring peers? What is my percentile rank based on gain?
The Student Growth Percentile is also known as the “Colorado Growth Model”. It is used for accountability in the following states: Colorado, Nevada, Indiana, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Maine, Arkansas, Rhode Island, Virginia, West Virginia, New York, Hawaii, Idaho, Georgia, Wyoming and Utah.
20+Normative
How does it work?
Think of a group of students, where each student has two test scores – one for 2009 and one for 2010.
We could show the distribution of these scores at the same time as pictured.
21+Normative
We could ‘slice’ through the picture to show the 2010 distribution for just one 2009 score. This is called a conditional distribution.
The red shaded curve shows the conditional distribution in 2010 for all students who scored 166 in 2009.
22+ NormativeAssume we are interested in just one score, 170, in 2010.
We could ask, what percentage of students who scored 166 in 2009 scored at or below a 170 in 2010?
In this case, that turns out to be 75%. In other words, a score of 170 is at the 75th percentile.
SGP = 75
23
Why use SGP?Determines growth based on multiple years
of data for each student
Honors variable amounts of growth (including small changes)
Does not replicate proficiency
Recognizes growth for students who are achieving at low and high rates
Growth percentiles are calculated for every student, but can be aggregated to the classroom, subgroup, school, district, and state
+
Additional Details
Calculating Growth
24
25
New UCAS Growth Calculation
More finite point calculation vs. old table (2012) below.
ALL STUDENT Growth TABLE
Median Growth Score Points Median
Growth Score Points
70 or higher 200 50 12569 196 49 12168 193 48 11867 189 47 11466 185 46 11065 181 45 10664 178 44 10363 174 43 9962 170 42 9561 166 41 9160 163 40 8859 159 39 8458 155 38 8057 151 37 7656 148 36 7355 144 35 6954 140 34 6553 136 33 6152 133 32 5851 129 31 54
30 or Lower 50
Median SGP Achieved
All Students (Maximum 200
points)
0-34 50
35-49 100
50-59 150
60 and above
200
OLD Growth TABLE
26New UCAS Below Proficient Student Growth Calculation More finite point calculation vs. old table (2012) below.
BELOW PROFICIENT STUDENT Growth TABLE
Median SGP Achieved
Below Proficient Students
(Maximum 100 points)
0-34 25
35-49 50
50-59 75 60 and above
100
OLD Growth TABLE
Median Growth Score Points Median
Growth Score Points
70 or higher 100 50 6369 98 49 6168 96 48 5967 94 47 5766 93 46 5565 91 45 5364 89 44 5163 87 43 4962 85 42 4861 83 41 4660 81 40 4459 79 39 4258 78 38 4057 76 37 3856 74 36 3655 72 35 3454 70 34 3353 68 33 3152 66 32 2951 64 31 27
30 or Lower 25
MGP PointsELA All Students Group 56 150 Below Proficient Group 35 50Math All Students Group 45 100 Below Proficient Group 55 75Science All Students Group 50 150 Below Proficient Group 40 50
Group
ELA Point
sMath Points
Science
PointsPoint Total
(mean)
All Students 150 100 150 133Below Proficient Students 50 75 50 58
Growth CalculationExample calculation
Total Growth Points
School Total Growth Points 133 + 58 = 191
( 27 )
+
NEW Calculations
Annual MeasureableObjectives
28
29Annual Measureable ObjectivesFederal Requirement to establish and report AMOs
Utah’s Minimum Compliance Plan
AMOs are not used in any UCAS calculation
AMO trajectory will reduce in half the percent of non-proficient over six years
AMOs will be established separately for each subgroup at each school
UCAS reporting will list the AMO and performance of each school subgroup
AMO reporting page will be a drill down page in the UCAS report
AMOs will be used in identifying and exiting Focus schools
30+Establishing AMOs
AMOs will be based on the percent of students achieving proficiency on the state’s Criterion-Referenced Tests (CRTs) separately in English language arts and mathematics.
ELA: CRT results in grades 3-8 and 10 are used to determine the percent of students proficient
Mathematics: results are based on CRTs in grades 3-6 and in the course appropriate CRT thereafter which includes math 7, algebra, or geometry for grades 7 and 8. High schools will be determined by calculating the percent of 10th grade students who scored proficient on the Algebra I CRT in 10th grade year or a prior year
Results from the Utah Alternative Assessment (UAA) are included for students with significant cognitive disabilities approved to participate in this assessment
31+AMO Sample Calculation for a School Subgroup with ELA Proficient = 82% 100% – 82% = 18%
½ of 18 is 9
9 / 6 years = 1.5 per year
Year one 82.0 + 1.5 = 83.5
Year two 83.5 + 1.5 = 85.0
Year three 85.0 + 1.5 = 86.5
Year four 86.5 + 1.5 = 88.0
Year five 88.0 + 1.5 = 89.5
Year six 89.5 + 1.5 = 91.0 (half way to 100 percent)
AMO Sample Calculation
32+Sample AMO Trajectories for a School All Asia
nAfricanAmer
.
Amer. Indian
Hispanic
PacificIslande
r
ED LEP SWD
2011
81
82 64 60 63 73 70 51 54
2012
83
84 67 63 66 75 73 55 58
2013
84
85 70 67 69 78 75 59 62
2014
86
87 73 70 72 80 78 63 66
2015
87
88 76 73 75 82 80 67 69
2016
89
90 79 77 78 84 83 71 73
2017
91
91 82 80 82 87 85 76 77
Goal:
91
91 82 80 82 87 85 76 77