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©
The Strategic Plan
A review of the eight strategies common to all organizations against factors in the changing external environment
©
Course Deliverables
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
Produce a Situation Analysis
Produce a Strategic Plan
Produce a Business Plan
Introduction
©
Results: Strategic Plan Content
- The Fact Gathering Process- Major External Factors- Stakeholder Expectations- Organizational Performance- Description of Current Strategies and Strategy Configuration
- The Analysis Process- Likely Impact of Major Factors- A Ranking of Major Factors & Expectations- Possible Responses & Rationale
- A Description of Changes, if any, to Strategy- An Explanation of the Rationale for Change- Impact on the Organization (Timing and Degree)- Major Risk Factors / Assumptions- Financial Implications- Long Term Hoped for Impact
1. FactsThe Situation
Analysis
2. AnalysisIssue
Development
3. StrategyThe Change
Agenda
Introduction
©
Steps 5 – 8: Strategic Planning
2. Scoping Expectations: Have we assessed the expectations for strategic planning?
3. Internal Assessment: Do we truly understand the what’s, how’s and why’s of our current strategy?
4. External Assessment: What factors in the external environment must we truly understand?
1. Choice of Planning Process: Should we be doing strategic planning or business planning?
Day One:SituationAnalysis
Day Two:StrategicPlanning
Day Three:BusinessPlanning
5. The Situation Analysis Review: Do we have enough understanding to support informed decisions?
7. Strategic Issue Identification: Are we able to develop scenarios to identify possible strategic issues?
6. Issue Development: Are we able to connect external factors to the strategy framework?
8. Strategic Plan Communication: Have we described the likely “what” and “when” impact of change?
Introduction
9. Strategic Plan Review: Do we understand the strategic plan and how it is likely to impact us?
10. Expectations Impact: Can we identify the impact of strategic plan expectations on functional activities?
11. Expectations Testing: Are the strategic plan expectations consistent with competitive reality ?
12. Strategy Implementation: How are new expectations (if any) to be integrated with ongoing responsibilities?
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What SWOT can & can’t tell us
Under Tarion’s Control – What is the situation inside Tarion?
Not Under Tarion’s Control – What has changed in the External Environment?
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Fact vs. Fiction
Belief Tarion is controlled by the builders
Belief Tarion’s responsibilities as a regulator and warranty vendor conflict
Belief All builders pay the same registration fee
Belief The private sector warranty vendors could provide better warranties cheaper
Belief Tarion has a monopoly on new home warranty insurance
Belief New home building industry standards in Ontario need to be improved
Belief BC has put into place a new home warranty program structure that Ontario should adopt
Beilef Tarion could easily extend its regulatory and warranty coverage to the renovation industry
Fact Builders only control the nomination process and 8 of 15 seats on the board.
Fact The KPMG study found the unique combination of responsibilities a significant success factor.
Fact The builder registration fee is only one aspect of licensing.
Fact The KPMG study found no evidence to support this
Fact All new homes must carry the Tarion warranty as the minimum warranty – not the only warranty
Fact New home industry standards are the highest of any jurisdiction.
Fact The BC program is unproven and the BC market for is a fraction of the size of the Ontario market.
Fact The renovation industry is fundamentally different from the new home building industry
©
Stakeholder Identification
The major Tarion stakeholders and their role in the strategic planning process
Stakeholder Categories Actual Stakeholders
The Authority Group
Those Stakeholders who approve the plan and authorize implementation
The Board
The Involve Group
Stakeholders who should be involved because of the role they will play in implementation
• Consumer Associations• Builders Associations (OHBA, GTHBA)• Ministry (MCBS)• Tarion Management Staff
The Inform Group
Stakeholders who need to be told what to do so that their actions are consistent with implementation
• Media (Print / Radio / T.V. / Magazine) • Municipalities• Builders• Consumers•Tarion Employees
The Consider Group
Any Stakeholders not falling in any of the above categories and who could have a response to implementation
•Industry Professionals - Lawyers - Architects - Engineers - Bankers Industry vendors: trades, manufacturers DAA Critics: CIELAP - Other DAA’s• Other Ministries: (MMAH) - Other gov’t orgs: (CMHC)• Competitors: (warranty companies)• Other jurisdictions: (B.C.)
Step 5 Understand the Appetite for Change
©
ONHWP Act Consumer Protection Model
Risks to Consumer
Consumer Protection
Builder Risk
Insuring Builder Failure to PerformAssuring Builder Ability to Perform
Regulatory ProtectionMandatory Builder
Registration & Minimum Standards of Acceptable Builder Performance
Financial CompensationNo-fault Consumer Warranty Coverage
& Simplified ConsumerClaims Process
Delivered by a not-for-profit industry stakeholder controlled corporation & completely self-funded from fee income
Accountable to Ministry (MOU)
Accountable toIndustry
Stakeholders
Accountable toCorporate Law
Step 5 Understand InternalAssessment Findings
©
The Alphas Current Strategy
Mandate Administration of the ONHWP Act.
RiskFirstly, use of regulatory authority; and secondly, use of insurance industry practices
to manage risks to new homebuyers
Growth Rise and fall with the new home building industry cycles
FinancialUse of insurance industry capital reserving practices; revenues from fees from sale of warranties and from builder licensing
Technology Enable management productivity; e.g. call center, web-based services
Organization A regulatory mentality and culture first and foremost; 2nd an insurer
Marketing To educate new home buyers and home builders on the regulatory regime
Service Delivery
To deflect risk away from the Tarion onto builders
Step 5Understand Internal
Assessment Findings
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Step 5Understand Internal
Assessment Findings
Source: Seeingstrategy.com
©
Management Activities Analysis
Business
Model ManagementStrengths Weaknesses
Governance• strong structures good participation
• good skill mix
• Board appointments
• builder majority on board
Builder Registration
• acceptance of security
• KPMG found the registration tied to builder performance and history
• mandatory registration
• stable builder population
• misunderstanding of how Tarion differentiates pricing for builders
• productivity low
Enforcements • KPMG found better consumer protection • lack of transparency on operating statistics
Enrollments • mandatory • more technology for productivity
Warranty Services•Tarion offers most extensive coverage of any jurisdiction
• home covered whether or not requested
• not well known that Tarion is only program to cover consumers whether or not home or bldg’s registered
• system clogged, consumers unhappy
Risk Management • impact of various risk prevention measures such as security • not enough communication on improving builder performance
Finance• adapting insurance industry practices
• $2 billion in reserves• not enough disclosure
I.T. • ready for e-commerce • could be more use of technology
Human Resources • mostly financial services or legal backgrounds• low personnel production
• no disclosure of performance measures
Corporate
Affairs
• builder research
• consumer research
• one way communication
• no transparency
• need to address criticisms
• need to publicize KPMG
Step 5 Understand InternalAssessment Findings
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Management Activities Conclusions
Business ModelShort Term
Improvement Opportunities
External Factors
Most Impacting Performance
Governance• disclosure on Board composition, activities, etc.
• transparency trend in government - ministry expectations (MCBS)•Barrett Commission
Builder Registration• individual performance measures
•Industry best practices
Enforcement• disclosure of activities, issues
•media
Enrollments• individual performance measures
• best practices - insurance industry practices• e-commerce
Warranty
Services• performance measures
•New home builder performance - warranty industry practices• best practices - e-commerce - builder expectations• consumer expectations - BRRAG
Risk
Management
• more disclosure• Review of builders involved in conciliations
• Present building code legislation - Tarion Act & regulations• BRRAG - case law / judicial decisions -warranty industry / BC• construction technology
Finance & Administration • more disclosure
• insurance industry practices -Stock/Bond market performance• financial regulatory requirements - builder expectations•B.C. Home Warranty - Warranty Industry Practices -Practices of other DAA’s
I.T. • more disclosure • technology
Human Resources • more disclosure • outsourcing trend
Facilities • needs assessment •
Corporate Affairs • disclosure • transparency -competitors for warranty - DAA practices
Step 5 Understand InternalAssessment Findings
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Industry Analysis (as Warranty Co.)
Segment
What is my chosen market called?
New Home Warranty
Segment Size / Growth
How big is it and is it growing?Averages 50,000 new homes but ranges from a high of 70,000 to lows of 25,000
Growth is a function of provincial economy and population growth
Segment Dynamics
What dynamics are most shaping the segment?
Customers/competitors/
Suppliers/Barriers to Entry/Alternatives
• Consumers don’t want to pay cost until they need protection• Mortgage lenders require warranty on high-ratio loans• Builders want rational cost since, in most markets, warranty cost cannot be “tacked on” to selling price• Competitive pressure: lower costs, more choice
Critical Success Factors
What must a competitor do to succeed?
• not-for-profit status (to recognize economic fragility)• industry self-management model (to recognize need to balance true cost/liability associated with added consumer protection elements and to manage “scope creep” inherent in government & monopoly bureaucracies)• bundled regulatory authority / insurance responsibility (to recognize need to enforce a minimum standard)• no-fault coverage for consumers (to recognize new home warranty is essentially about consumer protection)• autonomy from government (to control “scope creep” and bureaucracy and to isolate reserve fund from political pressure)•ongoing management of stakeholder expectations to stay aligned with major stakeholder groups
Segment Evolution
How is this segment likely to change over time?
Given the evolution of the National House Building Council in Britain, it is likely to evolve into a competitive model – with the issue being whether Tarion becomes the mandatory minimum or the “rump” insurer of last resort to the industry. The New Jersey State model is the rump model – however, at the cost of the loss of no-fault for consumers.
Step 5 Understand External Assessment Findings
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Competitor Analysis (as Warranty Co.)
Industry
Attractiveness
Competitors
•GE Capital•Paveco•London Life
Competitor Focus
•Urban, large builders•Deposit insurance•Conversion coverage•Excess coverage
Industry
Critical Success
Factors
Competitor Strengths
•Cost Control / Productivity•Marketing•Pricing•Product selection•Financial strength
Competitor Weaknesses
•No commitment to stay in the market•No commitment to small builders•Slow to pay claims•No pricing breaks to consumers in good times•No direct link to regulator•Warranty is a trigger product – not a primary product
Industry Evolution
Likely Future Competitors •Private sector competitors
Likely Areas of Functional Excellence •On-line delivery of builder and consumer services
Step 5 Understand External Assessment Findings
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Customer Analysis as Warranty Co.
Question Answer
Who are our most important customers?
Builders are the most important customer.
Consumers do not want to know anything about new home warranty products until they have a claim.
Consumers cannot be educated on the value of new home warranty (which is why the purchase needs to be mandatory)
What criteria drive the customer’s purchase decision?
The criteria that drive the purchaser’s decision are bank requirements and cost. Banks in Canada require a warranty policy as a condition of mortgaging
How do we compare, in the customer’s view to the competition?
Tarion do not compare favourably to the competition because of bad press rather than actual performance. Tarion has done little to address the misinformation provided to consumers and builders about the Tarion model and the Tarion Act
Which of our products & services are truly valuable to them?
The registration requirements imposed on builders (e.g. security requirements, limits on units to be built, etc) is probably the most valuable to most consumers since the practice virtually eliminates warranty claims. The deposit loss coverage is the most important product to most consumers who have had to make a warranty claim
What are the steps and who influences the purchase decision?
The builder, in Ontario, is the source of the new home enrolment and transfer of the coverage to the consumer. In jurisdictions where warranty is not mandatory, lenders require warranty coverage for high ratio loans.
How are customer criteria and behavior likely to change?
As the overall cost of homes escalates, in terms of overall price and percentage of total family income dedicated to home ownership, there is likely to be less concern about “defects” insurance and more concern about insolvency and major structural defects insurance.
What products and services are our customers going to need?
As new homes continue to proliferate in terms of type (e.g. conversions, time-share, business/home use, etc.) home buyers (through builders and bankers) will demand products to cover these products.
Step 5 Understand External Assessment Findings
©
External Factors Identified
External Factor Description
1. Technology I.T. to enable productivity & e-business
2. Case Law / Judicial Decisions Interpretation of the Act & Regs
3. Warranty Competitors Private sector warranty vendors
4. Best Practices Best practices in business & gov’t
5. Builder Expectations Less bureaucracy, secrecy, more transparent, productive
6. Ministry Expectations Expectations of MCBS
7. The Act and Registrations Tarion interpretation of Act & Regs
8. Consumer Expectations Less bureaucracy, secrecy, more transparent, productive
9. New Home Builder Performance As shown in operating statistics
10. Transparency The trend to full information disclosure
11. E-Commerce Taking the business online
12. The Media Print/T.V./Radio
13. Barrett é BC New Homes Collapse The report on the collapse of BCNHW
14. BRRAG / Tourdes DAA Review Report Building Industry Regulatory Reform
15. BC New Home Warranty Program The now defunct BC warranty program
16. Insurance Industry Practices Process and practices
17. Financial Regulatory Requirements Capital and reporting requirements
18. Construction Technology / Practices Materials, practices & products
Step 5 Understand External Assessment Findings
©
Nominal Group Factors Ranking
Your Ranking Factor Name Factor I.D.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Step 5Exercise Goal
To demonstrate NominalGroup Technique
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Factors ScoringStep 5 Exercise
Weighting X10 X9 X8 Total Rank
Your Ranking 1 2 3
Factors:
©
Cross Impact Analysis
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 AS P
1 Technology X 0 3 1 0 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 16 128
2 Case Law 0 X 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 60
3.Best Practices 0 0 X 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 8 144
4 Bldr Expects 3 1 3 X 2 3 3 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 273
5 Act & Regs 0 3 3 3 X 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 16 176
6 Cons Expects 3 1 3 3 0 X 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 20 420
7 Bldr Perform 0 3 0 0 3 3 X 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 135
8 Transparency 1 0 2 2 0 2 2 X 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 121
9 Economics 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 X 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 32
10 Media 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 X 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8
11 Barrett Comm 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
12 BRRAG 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 0 0 0 2 0
13 BCNHWP 0 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 0 0 6 6
14 Ins Pracs 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 0 4 24
15 Reg Reqmts 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 0 2 2
16 Constr Tech. 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 1 5
8 12 18 13 11 21 15 11 8 2 0 0 1 6 1 5 PS
2 .4 .4 1.6 1.4 .9 .6 1 .5 2 0 0 6 4 2 1 Q
See T.J. Gordon and H. Hayward Initial Experiments with the cross-impact matrix method of forecasting Futures 1, 100 -116 (1968)
0 = none 1 = weak 2 = medium 3 = strong
sum of row = ∑ni sum of column = ∑nj product = ∑ni ● ∑nj quotient = ∑ni / ∑nj
Step 5 Theory
©
1. Technology
Q = 2.0P = 128 >
2. Case LawQ = 0.4P = 60 >
3. Best PracticesQ = 0.4P = 144 >
4. Builder ExpectationsQ = 1.6P = 273 >
5. Act & RegulationsQ = 1.4P = 176 >
6. Consumer ExpectationsQ = 1.0P = 420 >
7. New Home Builder Perf
Q = 0.6P = 135 >
8. TransparencyQ = 1.0P = 121 >
9. E-CommerceQ = 0.5P = 32 <
10. MediaQ = 2.0P = 8 >
11. Barrett CommissionQ = 0P = 0 <
12. BRRAG Report
Q = 0P = 0 <
13. BC New Home WarrantyQ = 6.0P = 6 <
14. Insurance Industry PracQ = 4.0P = 24 <
15. Financial Regulatory ReqQ = 2.0P = 2 <
16. Construction TechnologyQ = 1.0P = 5 <
Active = Q > 1.0 Critical = P > (n-1)2
Reactive = Q < 1.0 Inert = P < (n-1)2
X-Impact Analysis CalculationsStep 5 Theory
©
Plotting the Results
1 Technology2 Case Law3 Best Practices
4 Builder Expectations5 Act & Regulations
6 Consumer Expectations7 New Home Builder Performance
8 Transparency9 E-Commerce10 Media11 Barrett Commission12 BRRAG13 BC New Home Warranty14 Insurance Industry Practices15 Financial Regulatory Requirements16 Construction Technology
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
425
400
375
350
325
300
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
Inertweak influencer / weakly influenced
Criticalstrong influencer / strongly influenced
Activestrong influencer / weakly influenced
Reactiveweak influencer
strongly influenced1
10
2
3
4
5
9
151611
78
1413
6
12
©
Factors Risk Assessment
- Technology- Best-Practices- E-Commerce
- Case Law- Consumer Expectations- Builder Expectations- Transparency
- Construction Technology
- Finance RegulatoryRequirements- Insurance Industry Practices- BC New Home WarrantyCollapse- The Media
- The Act & Regs- New Home Builder Performance- BRRAG Report- Barrett Commission
low medium consequence highImpact
medium
high
low
Pro
bab
ility
Step 5 Theory
©
Step 6 Objectives
Prepare Statement ofStrategy & Impact
Conduct ScenarioAnalysis
Convert Factorsto Strategy Issues
Review the Situation Analysis
Understand the Appetitefor Change
Understand External Assessment Findings
Understand InternalAssessment Findings
Select anIdentified Factor
Answer the StrategyChange Question
Connect the Factor to One of the 8 Strategies
6. Issue Development: Are we able to connect external factors to the strategy framework?
Step 6
©
Current Strategy Configuration
©
Strategic Issue Definition
A question about strategy
The two strategy questions:
1. Do we improve existing strategy ? or
2. Do we replace existing strategy with a new strategy ?
©
Change in A
ltern
atives/
Competition
MandateBus Definition
RiskGrowth
FinanceTech Org
Marketing /
Communi-
cations
Production/
Service
Delivery
Changes in
Need / Risk
Changing
Trends
Industry
Change
Changes in
Demand Changes in
Best Practices
ChangedStakeholderExpectations
ChangedStakeholderExpectations
The CEO Aligns the 8 Strategieswith Major Stakeholder Expectations
and Competitive Reality
©
All Managers Align Activities Assigned to Themto Strategic Plan Expectations (and then to competitive reality)
CallCentre
TrainingRecruiting
Monitoring
Admin
ComplianceBudget
Marketing /
ServicesCustomer
Relations
ChangedExpectations
ChangedExpectations
Vice PresidentRegional Call Centre Operations
©
Alpha Sets Culture
Stantec
IBM
Nike
Bank of Canada
Growth
Business Definition
Marketing
Risk
Organization 8 Strategy Focus
FedEx Service Delivery
Bank of Montreal Financial Management
Google R&D / Technology
Frank Gehry Architects Organization
Growth by Acquisition
Morphing to the high margin
Clothing for winners
Managing Investor Expectations
Actual Strategy
24 Hour Delivery
Deposit-Taking
To manage all your information needs
Starchitect
Major Global Design Firm
Information Technology
The Swooch
Canada’s FinancialRisk Manager
Identity
Service Excellence
The Bank of No Surprises
The Biggest Cloud
One-of-a-kind design
©
Strategy Focus (Public / NFP)
CICA
Toronto Police Services
Marketing / Communications
Risk
Entity The 8 Strategies
Nova Scotia Government Service Delivery
Ontario Financing Authority Financial Management
National Research Council R&D / Technology
Stratford Theatre Company Organization Management
Mandate
©
Drafting the Issue
Tip #1 “????” Frame issues as questions
-The Distilled Spirits Industry in Canada has no future-We need to exit the Distilled Spirits Industry in Canada-Should we exit the Distilled Spirits Industry in Canada?
Tip #2 “Should” Frame the issue in a way that invites debate
-Are we going to…-How do we…-Can we…-Could we…-Should we exit the Distilled Spirits Industry in Canada?
Tip #3 “Yes” or “No” Answer the question
Yes No Don’t Know
Step 6 Theory
©
Issues: Connecting Factors to Strategy
1 Description of the External Factor under Discussion:
2 External Factor Background:
a) Without any response from us, what is the likely impact of this External Factor?
b) Does current research and analysis offer insight on how best to respond?
c) Have we taken action consistent with research to address this External Factor?
d) How effective has our action been?
3 Draft a question that best connects this factor to one of the 8 Strategies
Draft Issue: Should
?
4 Draft Issue Answer Yes No Don’t Know
5 Further Research Required if answer to #4 is “Don’t Know”:
Step 6 Exercise:To connect an External Factor to one of the
8 Strategies
©
7 Ways to Avoid Action
1. For every proposal, point out every possible problem.
2. Ask detailed questions which cannot possibly be answered.
3. Profess not to have any answers while earnestly cautioning against proceeding.
4. Emphasize that the issue cannot be separated from all the other issues and therefore, cannot be resolved until all the other issues are resolved.
5. Appoint a consultant.
6. Create a committee.
7. Congratulate the issue. Discussion on it wasted 3 hours, but we are better for it.
Step 6
©
Step 7 Objective
Prepare Statement ofStrategy & Impact
Identify Strategic Issues
Convert Factorsto Strategy Issues
Review the Situation Analysis
Select an Identified Factor
Answer the StrategyChange Question
Connect the Factor toOne of the 8 Strategies
Develop Scenarios toAssess Strategy Issues
Answer the StrategyChange Question
Draft CompetingStrategic Issues
7. Strategic Issue Identification: Are we able to develop scenarios to identify possible strategic issues?
Understand the Appetitefor Change
Understand External Assessment Findings
Understand InternalAssessment Findings
Step 7
©
Strategy Scenario Development Develop Scenarios toAssess Strategy IssuesStep 7
Current Strategy not Changed
Current Strategy Changed
Ext
ern
al F
acto
r n
ot
Ad
dre
sse
d Exte
rnal F
actor A
dd
ressed
1. In the lower left, describe how we look today because of the strategy we are using2. In the upper right, identify an organization that is the best example of what we could look like
if we successfully implemented the strategy and it became our Dominant Strategy.
Who is closest to what we do, represents a great example of what we could look like if this strategy became our dominant strategy?
What organization would an outsider think we look like because of our present strategy?
©
Strategy Scenario Development
No Change in EB Marketing Strategy
Change EB Marketing StrategyC
ust
om
er F
acto
r n
ot
Ad
dre
ssed C
usto
mer F
actor A
dd
ressed
ExampleStep 7
- A highly focused retailer
- A retailer in trouble
©
Strategic Issue Development
First Statement of the Issue:
Should we change our Strategy?
Redrafted Strategic Issue:
Should we change our present strategy
which has characterized us as
to a strategy which will change our image to
and, by
, deliver ?
ExerciseStep 7
©
Step 8 Objectives
Prepare Statement ofStrategy & Impact
Identify Strategic Issues
Convert Factorsto Strategy Issues
Review the Situation Analysis
Develop Scenarios toAssess Strategy Issues
Selectthe Strategic Issue
Draft CompetingStrategic Issues
Frame Strategies asSMART Objectives
Communicatingthe Strategic Plan
Identify StrategicAssumption
8. Strategic Plan Communication: Have we described the likely “what” and “when” impact of change?
Understand the Appetitefor Change
Understand External Assessment Findings
Understand InternalAssessment Findings
Select an Identified Factor
Answer the StrategyChange Question
Connect the Factor toOne of the 8 Strategies
Step 8
©
Strategy or Objective
Precise & specific in content? Performance can be measured? Provides the starting point for action? Realistic balance of expectation & ability? Has a specific deadline?
English Bay Business Definition Strategy (Objective):
To become (return to being) a niche retailer with 80% of profitability coming from well-defined EB customers within the next 2 years
Frame Strategies asSMART ObjectivesStep 8
©
Tarion Strategies (Objectives)
Strategy Framework Element
Proposed Strategy
Present Strategy
Mandate Stick to the Act
RiskEnforce compliance and embrace insurance practices
GrowthRise and fall with industry cycles
Financial ManagementOnly take what is needed / Return surplus
Organizational DesignSeparate Regulator from Insurer
Communications Educate stakeholders
Operations Deflect risk to builders
Technology Enable management
Step 8Frame Strategies asSMART Objectives
©
Strategic Assumption Identification
1. What is the Major External Factor driving Strategy Change?
2. What about that Factor could change and threaten our strategy
3. Do we have a contingency plan if this starts happening?
4. Is this assumption about the Factor beyond our control?
5. Should the assumption about this Factor be monitored.
Assumptions Considered conjecture on specific factors
Step 8
Identify StrategicAssumption
©
Risk
©
© 43
Strategy Element Strategy
Mandate As stated under the York University Act. 1965, as amended
Risk Enterprise risk management
Growth Growth driven by campus construction – “If we build it, they will come”
Financial Debt financings supplementing provincial funding
Technology Enabler (including Orion Network)
Organization Bicameral system (Separate Academic and Administrative Governance)
Marketing Focused on attracting students and donors
Service Delivery Graduate and undergraduate degree programs across 11 faculties.
© 44
© 45
8 Strategy Strategy
Business Positioning
Hydro Ottawa Limited is an Ontario regulated electricity local distribution company (LDC) that owns and operates distribution infrastructure in the City of Ottawa and the Village of Casselman and is the largest LDC in eastern Ontario and the third largest municipally-owned LDC in the Province of Ontario.
RiskHydro Ottawa manages risk by staying in compliance with the regulatory framework impacting the industry to employ fixed price contracts to reduce exposure to spot market prices, the continuance of Hydro Ottawa’s exceptional health and safety record,
Growth Hydro Ottawa growth is strategy s expanding our distribution business beyond our current service territory;
Financial Hydro Ottawa is a MEU under the Electricity Act. Revenues are regulated. Finances are managed to retain its credit-rating; compliance with OEB requirements, and, if appropriate, dividends to the parent
Technology / R&D
Hydro Ottawa has 2700 kilometres of underground cable, 2,700 kilometres of overhead lines, 40,500 transformers and 48,700 hydro poles.,Ottawa Hydro will introduce more intelligence and automation into our distribution system, in 2014, Hydro Ottawa will complete the development of a more detailed Smart Grid plan, as required by the Green Energy and Green Economy Act.
OrganizationHydro has a workforce of about 600 employees of which a large percentage are eligible for retirement in the next 5 years creating the need for a workforce replacement strategy and the development of a skilled, engaged and prepared workforcefor the future
MarketingHydro Ottawa serves the residential; small business and bulk-metered; and large user customer segments The fundamentals of customer value in the electricity business are quality and cost – delivering a reliable service, while operating efficiently and effectively to keep rates competitive. Hydro Ottawa is consistently among the top performers in Ontario in both of these areas.
Service Delivery
Hydro Ottawa Limited has two core responsibilities. First, Hydro Ottawa is responsible for the safe and reliable delivery of electricity to more than 300,000 customers in the City of Ottawa and the village of Casselman. Second, Hydro Ottawa Limited bills for its services and for the services provided by other organizations in Ontario's electricity system.
©
© 47
The 8 Strategies Stantec Strategy
Business Definition Fully integrated North American engineering and architectural services
Risk Market, services, and life cycle diversification and no exposure to construction risk
Growth To become and remain a top 10 global design firm through acquisitions
Financial Management NYSE /TSX listed and growth funded by issuing equity
Technology To support Best Trained, Best Informed, Best Equipped employees
Organization Use of a Balanced Leadership Model for top and bottom line focus
Marketing A top 3 service provider in chosen markets and seen as a Single Brand Identity
Service Delivery Local Strength – Global Expertise; One Team. Infinite Solutions
©
©
The Alphas Strategy
Business Definition To be the global leader in “enterprise” wireless data communications
Risk To protect our intellectual property and to protect network security and integrity
Growth To resize to fit our chosen markets
Financial Management To access capital markets through TSX / NASDAQ listings
R&D / Technology To focus development of our proprietary platforms & services
Organization Mgmt
To use the strength of market position and value proposition to enable HR “pull” potential employees and to leverage proximity and relationship with University of Waterloo
Marketing - QNX software- BB Messenger chat app- Fleet mgmt for gov’t & corp users
Service Delivery To deliver data security and network reliability
©
©
Course Deliverables
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
Produce a Situation Analysis
Produce a Strategic Plan
Produce a Business Plan
©
Day Three Preparation
Review the Goldstone Case
Review the Day 3 Materials
Review the Business Plan (Schedule “C”)
©
Day Two – Preparation
- Read the Tarion Case
- Review the Day 2 Materials
- Review the Tarion Strategic Plan (Schedule “B”)
- Identify the top 3 external factors you believe ONWHP must
address because those factors will significantly impact Tarion
over the next 3 to 5 years
Strategic Planning
Reference Material
©
The 4 Steps in Strategic Planning
Step 8 Step 7 Step 6 Step 5
Prepare Statement ofStrategy & Impact
Identify Strategic Issues
Convert Factorsto Strategy Issues
Review the Situation Analysis
Develop Scenarios toAssess Strategy Issues
Selectthe Strategic Issue
Draft CompetingStrategic Issues
Frame Strategies asSMART Objective
Communicatingthe Strategic Plan
Identify StrategicAssumption
Understand the Appetitefor Change
Understand External Assessment Findings
Understand InternalAssessment Findings
Select an Identified Factor
Answer the StrategyChange Question
Connect the Factor toOne of the 8 Strategies
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External Factors: Builder Expectations
1 Description of the External Factor under Discussion:
Builder Expectations being those expressed in various surveys of builders and those expressed by major builder associations.
2 External Factor Background:
a) Without any response from us, what is the likely impact of this External Factor?
Implementation of BRRAG recommendations and loss of Tarion registration authority; loss of mandatory enrolment; loss of new home building industry control over Tarion to the residential building as a whole.
b) Have we developed a strategy to address this External Factor?
Project Simplify: an initiative to describe in detail the requirements of S.13 (the construction warranty) and the time frames within which builders must comply with S.13.
c) How effective has our strategy been?
No results except for a proposed appeal process by which builders may appeal Tarion decisions under the present conciliation process.
d) Does current research and analysis offer insight on how best to respond?
- Benchmarking Tarion conciliation / claims inspection process productivity reveals tremendous short term productivity potential- Analysis of the complaints process reveals unnecessary bureaucracy and opportunities for productivity improvement- Analysis of staffing requirements of the inspections and claims repair management process reveals opportunities for outsourcing and elimination of regional offices- Builder research says that to reduce cost, make fairer, make more certain
3 Draft a question that best states the essence of the required response?
Draft Issue: Should we change the way we presently administer consumer complaints, conciliations and claims practices?
4 Draft Issue Answer Yes No Don’t Know
5 Further Research Required if answer to #4 is “Don’t Know”:
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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External Factors: Consumer Expectations
1 Description of the External Factor under Discussion:
Consumer Expectations for management of complaints, conciliation and claims management (recognizing that these consumers represent a very small fraction of the consumers holding Tarion warranties (less than 0.6% in a year).
2 External Factor Background:
a) Without any response from us, what is the likely impact of this External Factor?
Consumer complaining could drive BRRAG implementation (competitive warranty, move builder registration back to Ministry, include renovations in warranty). Consumer issues are popular with the media.
b) Have we developed a strategy to address this External Factor?
Project Simplify
c) How effective has our strategy been?
No results to date except for a builder appeal process to be added onto the end of the existing conciliation process
d) Does current research and analysis offer insight on how best to respond?
Eliminate time-wasting bureaucracy from the complaints, conciliations and claims processes.
3 Draft a question that best states the essence of the required response?
Draft Issue: Should we change the way we manage the complains, conciliations and claims processes?
4 Draft Issue Answer Yes No Don’t Know
5 Further Research Required if answer to #4 is “Don’t Know”:
Step 8 Communicatingthe Strategic Plan
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External Factors: Transparency
1 Description of the External Factor under Discussion:
Transparency: The move by corporations and government to be open and accountable to stakeholders by providing comprehensive information disclosure and discussion of major issues.
2 External Factor Background:
a) Without any response from us, what is the likely impact of this External Factor?
- Continuing and growing builder and consumer dissatisfaction- Growing misinformation and misunderstanding about Tarion and the Act
b) Have we developed a strategy to address this External Factor?
- Development of a somewhat more informative Annual Report
c) How effective has our strategy been?
No further research conducted. No evidence that enough has been done.
d) Does current research and analysis offer insight on how best to respond?
- Implementation of other DAA practices- Implementation of corporate best practices- Builders want disclosure on reserving practices and management of the Guarantee Fund- Builders want disclosure on operating expenses- Consumers want more access to information and more information on status of claims- Most consumers expect to be able to access /input their file on-line- Both builders and consumers need more information on how the Board is appointed /operates
3 Draft a question that best states the essence of the required response?
Draft Issue: Should we change our disclosure policies
4 Draft Issue Answer Yes No Don’t Know
5 Further Research Required if answer to #4 is “Don’t Know”:
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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Service Delivery Analysis
Consumer / Builder Expectations
not Addressed
Change Warranty Service Delivery
No Change to Warranty Service Delivery
TodayA “regulator”
1. Spin2. Some other strategy3. Expectations / Factor changed4. Improve existing strategy
An “Insurer”?1. Spin fails to explain2. Strategy implementation flawed 3. Expectations changed 4. Old strategy seen as superior to new
Consumer / Builder ExpectationsAddressed
Step 8Communicating
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Direction: Successful pursuit of this direction will “brand” the organization 1. The question: How would changing the complaints / conciliation / claims process brand or change Tarion direction?
2. The status quo: How is Tarion branded today? What is Tarion known for? Answer: Policing builders.
3. The choices: Stop policing builders. Start delivering insurance practices. Keep policing restricted to Act enforcement.
Risk / Reward: The risk could be greater than risk as currently quantified and the returns could be greater than those presently enjoyed
1. The question: How could “stopping policing” change generate unusual risk or reward?
2. The status quo: What is today’s measure of risk / reward? Answer: # of complains / # of conciliations / # of claims
3. The choices: Eliminate complaints / conciliations by having an acceptable trigger for claims. Risk is that conciliation activity would turn into claims at 1800 @ $8000 each ($14.4 million) Reward is that most costs associated with complaints and claims could be eliminated (say 50% of $10 million).
Implementation Period: It will take at least as long as the planning period to implement 1. How long will the change take to implement? 9 months for immediate change and up to 3 years for other changes
2. What are the major milestones? 9 months / 24 months / 36 months
Implementation Review: There will be a need to reassess implementation from time to time if risks/rewards are greater or less than anticipated
Time if risks / rewards are greater or less than anticipated
1. Would this proposed change warrant monitoring ? Answer: Yes. There would have to be industry / ministry buy-in.
Approval: The issue, restated as an objective, would require approval to implement 1. Who within Tarion would need to approve this proposed change. Answer: The Board of Directors
2. What information would they need in order to be able to consider approving? Answer: Description of proposed change, rationale, impact, benefits, risks.
Redraft as Strategic Issue: Should…Tarion implement insurance industry practices to manage the compensation provisions of the Act so Tarion would become solely an insurer to most builders and to consumers; all present policing practices for administering those provisions and the costs associated with those practices could be significantly reduced; and service delivery to consumers could be greatly improved?
First Statement of the Issue: Should Tarion change the complaints conciliation claims process?
Strategic Issue: Service Delivery ProcessStep 8Communicating
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Strategic Issue: Transparency
Direction: Successful pursuit of this direction will “brand” the organization
1. The question: How would changing the information disclosure practices brand or change Tarion direction?
2. The status quo: How is Tarion branded today? What is Tarion known for? Answer: Secretive.
Note: This does not appear to be an issue of strategic direction as much as an operational improvement
Risk / Reward: The risk could be greater than risk as currently quantified and the returns could be greater than those presently enjoyed
1. The question: How could information disclosure generate unusual risk or reward?
2. The status quo: The risk is political interference to end the Tarion model or Tarion administration of the model. The reward is stakeholder satisfaction.
Note: This does not appear to be an issue of Risk / Reward as much as an issue of operational improvement
Implementation Period: It will take at least as long as the planning period to implement
1. How long will the change take to implement?
2. What are the major milestones?
Implementation Review: There will be a need to reassess implementation from time to time if risks/rewards are greater or less than anticipated
Are greater or less than anticipated
1. Would this proposed change warrant monitoring?
Approval: The issue, restated as an objective, would require approval to implement
1. Who within Tarion would need to approve the proposed change Answer: The Board of Directors
2. What information would they need in order to be able to consider approving? Answer: Description of proposed change, rationale, impact, benefits, risks.
Redraft as Strategic Issue: Should…Transparency would not appear to be a strategic issue as implementation will not change the strategic direction of Tarion or attract unusual risk or reward. The Board will, no doubt, want to approve the ultimate disclosure recommendations.
First Statement of the Issue: Should Tarion change its information disclosure practices?
Step 8Communicating
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Strategy Conclusions
Strategy Element
Present Strategy Proposed StrategyAuthority
Group
Mandate Restrict focus to administer Act No Change OK
RiskKeep enforcing compliance and adopting prudent insurance industry practices
No Change OK
GrowthFollow industry cycles (boom to bust)
No Change OK
Financial ManagementReturn the surplus not required through fee reductions
No Change OK
Organizational Design Command and controlChange the culture and the values / beliefs to service mentality
OK
CommunicationsOne Way communication from Regulator (Tarion) to Regulated (Builders and Consumers)
Two-way communication & information access
OK
Service Delivery
Focus on ensuring builder compliance and Tarion
claims avoidance
Focus on servicing consumers as an insurer
OK
Technology Limited use Move from bricks to clicks OK
Step 8Communicating
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Strategic Assumptions
Service Delivery Strategy:To convert Tarion administration of S. 14 (Claims) and S.17 (Conciliations) of the Act to an insurance response by adopting practices common to the insurance industry so that service delivery to consumers is greatly improved and Tarion costs associated with these services are greatly reduced
Assumption:That builder performance will not deteriorate from the present standards of performance: I.e. 1.6% rate of conciliations to annual enrolments and insignificant claims arising from conciliation
Will failure threaten the strategy?Yes
Tarion could be overwhelmed in claims
Will failure trigger a contingency plan?Yes
Perhaps a Builder auditing program?
Is the assumption beyond control? Yes
Should the assumption be monitored? Yes
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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Impact on Business Performance
Major Functional
AreasShort Term Priorities
Mid Term
Priorities
Longer Term
Priorities
Step 8Communicating
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Impact on Today’s Reality
Major Functions Short Term Priorities Mid Term Priorities Longer Term Priorities
Registration Review processesMove from paper – based to I.T.
basedOn-line builder registration
Enforcement No changeResearch use of I.T. to improve
productivityEnforcement of conditions of
registration
Warranty Services
- Inspections outsourcing- Close regional offices- Complaints intake rationalization- Claims management processes
- Implement Project Simplify- Implement tech. based processes
- Reduce associated costs (e.g. legal)
Risk Management
- Review possible impacts on claims- Identify builders involved in conciliation inspections for the last 3 years
- Implement registration recommendations for “problem” builders
- Implement recommended registration process improvements, if any
Finance & Admin Reviewing reserving processesImplement new reserving
practicesUse of insurance industry
rations to measure performance
Corporate AffairsIdentify immediate disclosure
opportunitiesEnhanced website
Use of stakeholder feedback to drive further disclosure
I.T. Research of insurance processesImplement technology to
support consumer processesImplement technology to
support builder processes
Human
Resources
- Communicate strategic plan- Begin staff file review for downsizing- De-hiring strategy- Identify training needs to move culture from policing to service- Redraft values / beliefs to reflect service instead of policing
- Training of warranty service personnel in consumer service
- Performance measurement system to monitor and evaluate individual performance
Facilities Review leases Plan head office space needsMove head office to a more
economical location
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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Stakeholder Expectation Analysis
Strategy Framework ElementProposed Strategy
Builders Consumers Ministry
Business Definition / Mandate
Risk
Growth
Financial Management
Organizational Design
Marketing
Operations
Technology
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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Stakeholder Expectation Analysis
Strategy Framework ElementProposed Strategy
Builders Consumers Ministry
Business Definition / Mandate No ChangeNarrow
interpretation
Consumer advocates want
renovation warranty
Ministry would like renovation warranty
Risk No ChangeThink ONWHP too
cautious / over-reserved
No Expectations No Change
Growth No Change Ok No ExpectationsWithin Act Ok;
corporate growth is a question
Financial Management No ChangeReduce operating costs to lower fees
Expect Tarion to be there when needed
Minister pleased with lower fees
Organizational Design
Change the culture and the values /
beliefs to service mentality
Change the cultureChange the culture
to service / consumer bias
Unclear
MarketingTwo-way
communication and information access
As much information as
possible
As much as is usually available from insurers /
government
Follow the lead of the Provincial Government
Operations
Focus on servicing consumers as an insurer / restrict policing to Act enforcement / Reduce costs
Take focus off all builders and focus on “Bad builders”
Online / fairness and certainty in
claim management
Make consumers happy
TechnologyMove from bricks to
clicksOkay if it reduces
costs
Give me the same as I get from other
insurers / gov’t
Online Tarion builder and
consumer services
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan
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Tarion Strategic Assumption
1. What is the Major External Factor driving Strategy Change?Builder & Consumer
Expectations
2. What about that Factor could change and threaten our strategy More Failures / Claims
3. Do we have a contingency plan if this starts happening?Could we trigger Builder audits / claims tracking?
4. Is this assumption about the Factor beyond our control? Yes
5. Should the assumption about this Factor be monitored. Yes
Strategic Assumption: That Builder performance and / or Consumer claims practices will not adversely change because of some unanticipated (by Tarion) impact of changes to current Tarion practices during the course of strategy implementation.
Step 8 Identify StrategicAssumption
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Executive Summary
1. Planning ObjectiveTo develop a 3 year strategic plan for Tarion Warranty Corporation
2. Planning Scope:The members of the Board of Directors were canvassed on the range of strategy choices that would be acceptable to them. From this research, it was determined that the Board wanted the strategic plan focused largely on change that would improve Tarion service delivery to consumers.
3. Data Collection:To identify the relevant external factors to which Tarion must respond, the Tarion business model was constructed and Tarion management of that model was analyzed for strengths and weaknesses. That analysis identified 19 external factors to which Tarion must respond. Of those 19, 3 were identified as the most important for strategic planning purposes. The remaining 16 will be addressed in functional planning.
3. Strategic Issue IdentificationAnalysis of the 3 external factors revealed that both builders and consumers want change to the way Tarion manages the complaints, conciliation, and claims processes and that both stakeholder groups want Tarion to start making available significantly more information on financial and operating performance than Tarion has provided in the past. The move to disclosure was not deemed to be a strategic issue – but rather something that Tarion must do.
Changing the way Tarion manages the complaints, conciliations, and claims process was deemed to be strategic because, if the changes builders and consumers want are implemented, Tarion will become largely an insurer organization to most builders and all consumers. Risk would stay the dominant strategy
Tarion today administers the Act as a regulator. The policing approach Tarion brings to the complaints, conciliations and claims practices, which are largely insurance practices, is no longer seen as acceptable by either stakeholder group. The approach is too costly, not nearly as effective as taking security from builders upon registration, and no longer seen as necessary since statistically, taking security and other risk prevention initiatives have virtually eliminated the need for the approach.
4. Impact of Change on TarionThe implementation of the proposed changes will end the current Tarion regulator mentality by which it sees all builders as potential “bad guys” and consumers as “victims”. This mentality will be replaced with an insurer’s mentality in which assuming, the customer has the conditions of the policy, the customer deserves the policy’s protection . The approach should also vastly improve service delivery to consumers and reduce operating costs.
5. Next Steps:Detailed implementation planning will begin after approval of the strategic plan is obtained.
Step 8Communicating
the Strategic Plan