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Table of Contents
CHAPTER 1 .............................................................................................................................. 2
1.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 2
1.2 Objectives ......................................................................................................................... 2
1.3 Methodology .................................................................................................................... 2
1.3.1 Data sources .................................................................................................................. 2
1.3.2 Time Frame ................................................................................................................... 3
1.3.2 Scope of Report ............................................................................................................. 3
CHAPTER 2 .............................................................................................................................. 4
2.1 Analysis of Economic ...................................................................................................... 4
2.2 Industry Analysis.............................................................................................................. 4
2.2.1 Porter’s Five Forces Model ........................................................................................... 5
CHAPTER 3 .............................................................................................................................. 7
3.1 Ratio Analysis of the Company: ...................................................................................... 7
A. Liquidity Ratio .................................................................................................................. 7
B. Efficiency & Activity Ratio............................................................................................... 8
C. Leverage Ratio................................................................................................................. 10
D. Profitability Ratio ............................................................................................................ 11
3.2 DuPont 3 Factor ............................................................................................................. 12
3.3 DuPont 5 Factor ............................................................................................................. 12
3.4 Common Size Analysis .................................................................................................. 13
3.5 Sensitivity Analysis........................................................................................................ 14
CHAPTER 4 ............................................................................................................................ 15
4.1 Conclusion...................................................................................................................... 15
References: ........................................................................................................................... 15
Page | 2
CHAPTER 1
1.1 Introduction
In the current world, number of people are increasing. World is facing problem in
accommodating all these people. Therefore, there have been a gradual substitution of
traditional building structures or patterns by modern high-rise ones which has pushed up
the use of cement. A faster growth in demand for cement has been observed only since mid -
1980s, especially with implementation of large infrastructure projects, increased pace of
urbanization, construction of apartment buildings and multistoried shopping complexes in
urban areas and a shift in the taste of rural people for modern houses.
1.2 Objectives
For more in-depth knowledge about Heidelberg Cement Bangladesh Limited’s
performance and policy, I will have to conduct relevant ratio analysis with the help of data
presented in its financial statements.
To know the financial performance.
Better understanding of the ratio.
Assess Heidelberg Cement Bangladesh Limited dividend policy and any trend of
dividend.
Calculate Heidelberg Cement Bangladesh Limited financial ratio to estimate its
performance graph.
1.3 Methodology
The purpose of the report was to collect data, process them and reach a conclusion based
on facts. Basic form of data collection could have been used" Primary and secondary. But
collection of primary data is very difficult given the time constraint and due to the fact that
the company might not want to provide confidential information. Therefore, to work on the
report, secondary sources of information has been used which were mainly internet
journals, annual report of the company found on the internet.
1.3.1 Data sources
To complete my report the main source of data is:
Dhaka Stock Exchange
Company Website.
Annual Report.
Internet.
.
Page | 3
1.3.2 Time Frame
I took all data previous year from company website (2012-2016)
1.3.2 Scope of Report
To complete this report I have already done
Financial Position
Statement of comprehensive income
Financial Ratio
DuPont Three and Five factor.
Common size analysis
FCF method
DDM method
Page | 4
CHAPTER 2
2.1 Analysis of Economic
Bangladesh has shown remarkable macroeconomic resilience, and its economy has grown
steadily over the past five years. Overall entrepreneurial activity is disadvantaged by an
uncertain regulatory environment, poor infrastructure, and the absence of effective long- term
institutional support for private- sector development.
GDP- $ 226 billion (nominal 2017)
$ 686 billion (PPP 2017)
GDP Growth Rate- 7.28%
GDP per capita $ 1,602
Inflation 6.7% (2016)
2.2 Industry Analysis
Development of cement industry in Bangladesh dates back to the early-fifties but its growth in
real sense started only about a decade. The country has been experiencing an upsurge in cement
consumption for the last five years. Government gave permission for establishing cement
industries in Bangladesh in FY-1995. Initially the cement industry took place without the
proper analysis of the demand and supply of cement in the country. Within the span of the two
to three years, industry attained expanded capacity of the product with stable growth rate of
consumption. There were mainly four dominant players in the cement industry in the year 1998
that produced their own cement to meet the demand of their customers. These companies were:
Meghna Cement (Owned by Bashundhara Group)
Eastern Cement (Currently known as seven Horse)
Chatok Cement
Chittagong Cement (Taken over by Heidelberg)
At present, installed capacity of the Bangladesh cement industry is about 25 MN MT, whereas
demand for cement is about 15 MN MT. And, the total market size is nearly US$1.74bn.
Average capacity utilization rate is 65%-75% and some of the renowned companies are
producing at more than 100% capacity utilization level through sub-contract.
Page | 5
2.2.1 Porter’s Five Forces Model
The five forces were porter’s conclusions on the reasons for differing level of competition and
hence profitability in differing industries. They are empirically derived by observation of real
companies in real markets, rather than the result of economic analysis. Porter’s five forces is a
useful generic structure for thinking about the nature of industries.
1. Threat of New Enters
Power is also affected by the ability of people to enter market. If it costs little in time
or money to enter market and compete effectively, there are few economic of scale in
place or little protection for key technologies, then new competitors can quickly enter
market and weaken position. If company have strong and durable barriers to entry then
company can preserve a favorable position and take fair advantage.
2. Rivalry Among Existing Firm
Competitive Rivalry refers to the competitive struggle between companies in the same
industry to gain market share from each other.
Cost Conditions
High fixed costs – profitability leveraged by sales volume.
Slow demand and growth – can result in intense rivalry and lower profits.
3. Threats of Substitute Products
Substitute Products are the products from different businesses or industries that can
satisfy similar customer needs. The existence of close substitutes is a strong competitive
threat. Substitutes limit the price that companies can charge for their product.
Substitutes are a weak competitive force if an industry’s products have few close
substitutes
4. Bargain Power of Buyers
Industry Buyers may be the consumers or end-users who ultimately use the product or
intermediaries that distribute or retail the products. These buyers are most powerful
when buyers are dominant.
Buyers are large and few in number: The industry supplying the product is composed
of many small companies.
Buyers purchase in large quantities: Buyers have purchasing power as leverage for price
reductions
5. Bargain Power of Supplier
Suppliers are organizations that provide inputs such as material and labor into the
industry. These suppliers are most powerful when:
Page | 6
The product supplied is vital to the industry and has few substitutes. The industry is not
an important customer to suppliers. Suppliers are not significantly affected by the
industry.
High Barrier
Low
Moderate Low
High
Page | 7
CHAPTER 3
3.1 Ratio Analysis of the Company:
A. Liquidity Ratio
Liquidity ratio 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Current Ratio 2.64 2.91 2.33 1.96 1.73
Quick Ratio 3.02 2.64 2.98 1.77 1.07
Cash Ratio 1.62 2.08 1.57 1.28 1.00
Interpretation:
Current Ratio: One of the most general and frequently used of these liquidity ratios is the
current ratio. Organizations use current ratio to measure the firm’s ability to meet short-term
obligations. Current assets divided by current liabilities. It shows a firm’s ability to cover its
current liabilities with its current assets. 2013 is better for company.
Quick Ratio: A measure of liquidity calculated by divining the firm’s current assets minus
inventory by current liabilities. The quick ratio provides a greater measure of overall liquid ity
only when a firm’s inventory can’t be easily converted into cash. 2012 is better than other
years.
Cash Ratio: Cash ratio measures a company's total cash and cash equivalents to its current
liabilities. The cash ratio is most commonly used as a measure of company liquidity. It can
therefore determine if, and how quickly, the company can repay its short-term debt. A strong
cash ratio is useful to creditors when deciding how much debt, if any, they would be willing to
extend to the asking party. The cash ratio is generally a more conservative look at a company's
ability to cover its liabilities than many other liquidity ratios. So 2013 is better year than other
years.
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
1 2 3 4 5
Liquidity Ratio
Current ratio Quick ratio cash ratio
Page | 8
B. Efficiency & Activity Ratio
Active Ratio 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
A/R Turnover 11.86 11.51 10.57 10.35 9.26
Average Collection Period
40.7 31.3 34.1 34.8 38.9
Inventory
Turnover
7.41 6.98 8.28 8.84 5.25
Inventory Processing Period
48.61 51.57 43.49 40.72 48.51
A/P Turnover 4.6 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.2
Payable Payment
Period
77.65 100.48 104.42 120.81 122.41
Operating Cycle 89.3 82.9 77.6 75.5 87.4
Cash Conversion Period
11.7 17.6 26.9 45.3 53.0
Total Asset
Turnover
1.2 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.0
Current Asset Turnover
1.93 1.42 1.63 1.95 1.59
Fixed Asset
Turnover
3.1 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0
Equity Turnover 1.73 1.33 1.61 18.14 1.90
A/rTurno
ver
Average
collection
period
Inventory
Turnover
Inventory
processingperio
d
A/PTurno
ver
Payable
payment
period
operating
cycle
cashconversionperio
d
Totalassetturno
ver
current
assetturno
ver
fixedassetturno
ver
equityturno
ver
Series1 11.86 40.7 7.41 48.61 4.6 77.65 89.3 11.7 1.2 1.93 3.1 1.73
Series2 11.51 31.3 6.98 51.57 3.6 100.48 82.9 17.6 0.9 1.42 2.7 1.33
Series3 10.57 34.1 8.28 43.49 3.4 104.42 77.6 26.9 1.0 1.63 2.8 1.61
Series4 10.35 34.8 8.84 40.72 3.0 120.81 75.5 45.3 1.7 1.95 2.9 18.14
Series5 9.26 38.9 5.25 48.51 2.2 122.41 87.4 53.0 1.0 1.59 3.0 1.90
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
Activity Ratio
Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5
Page | 9
Interpretation:
Account Receivable Turnover: efficiency of extending credit and collecting same. Higher is
batter so 2015 is suitable for company.
Average Collection Period: Represent number of day to collect receivables. Lower time
period is better. 2013 is better in this case.
Inventory Turnover: Represent number of time. High ratio indicate company perform well.
So 2015 is best for this purpose.
Inventory Processing Period: How many day inventory sit in warehouse. So shorter is better.
2015 is best year than others.
Account Payable Turnover: Represent number of time to pay its account payable during year.
Low ratio is better for company. 2016 is better for company.
Payable Payment Period: Represent number of day paying obligation to supplier. Higher ratio
is better for company. 2016 is the beast year.
Operating Cycle: Company generate sales and collets cash faster so short time is better for
company. 2015 is suitable for company cycle.
Cash Conversion Cycle: How much day convert cash into more cash. So in this situation
shorter term is better for company. 2012 is suitable for company.
Total Asset Turnover: How efficiently your business generates sales on each dollar of assets.
Current Asset Turnover: Firms ability generating sales use its current asset. Higher is better
for company. So 2015 was suitable for company.
Fixed Asset Turnover: An increasing ratio indicates you are using your assets more
productively. 2012 was suitable for company operation.
Equity Turnover: Higher is better, because company sell and earn shareholder equity in time.
So 2015 is better year.
Page | 10
C. Leverage Ratio
Leverage Ratio 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Debt Ratio 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.3 1.8
Debt Equity
Ratio
1.0020 1.0017 1.0019 1.0022 1.0023
Time Interest Earned
1.2 1.9 1.5 0.09 0.890
Fixed Cost
Coverage Ratio
1.98 1.68 1.79 0.97 0.8
Interpretation:
Debt Ratio: debt ratio measures the proportion of total assets provided by the firm’s creditors.
So 2012 is better year for company.
Debt to Equity Ratio: The debt-equity ratio indicates the relationship between the long- term
funds provided by creditors and those provided by the firm’s owners. 2016 is suitable for
company.
Time Interest Earned: The Time interest Earned Ratio measures the ability to meet
contractual interest payments. 2013 was the best year for time interest earned.
Fixed Cost Coverage Ratio: The Fixed-Payment Coverage ratio measures the ability to meet
all fixed-payment obligations. 2012 was favorable for company.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
1 2 3 4 5
Leverage Ratio
debt ratio Debt equity ratio Time interest earned Fixed cost coverage ratio
Page | 11
D. Profitability Ratio
Profitability
Ratio
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Gross Profit Margin
19% 23% 19% 24% 26%
Operating Profit
Margin
14% 17% 12% 16% 18%
Net Profit Margin 12% 15% 11% 13% 14%
Return on Asset 14% 14% 12% 16% 15%
Return on Equity 17% 13% 16% 18% 19%
Interpretation
Gross Profit Margin: The gross profit margin indicates the percentage of each sales remaining
after the firm has paid for its goods. The higher the gross profit margin the better, and the lower
the relative cost of merchandise sold. 2016 is best year for gross profit margin.
Operating Profit Margin: The Operating Profit margin represents what are often called the
pure profits earned on each sales. A higher operating profit margin is preferred. 2016 is good
for company operation.
Net Profit Margin: The net profit margin measures the percentage of each sales remaining
after all expenses, including taxes, have deducted. The higher the firm’s net profit margin is
better. The net profit margin is a commonly cited measure of the corporation’s success with
respect to earnings on sales. 2013 is favorable for company.
Return on Asset: The Return on investment (ROI), which is often called the firm’s return on
total assets, measures the overall effectiveness of management in generating profits with its
available assets. 2015 is more suitable for company.
Return on Equity: The Return of Equity (ROE) measures the return earned on the owner’s
(both preferred and common stockholder’s) investment. Generally, the higher this return, the
better off the owners. 2016 was better than others.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
gross pfofitmargin
operating profitmargin
net profit margin return on asset return on equity
Profitability Ratio
Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5
Page | 12
3.2 DuPont 3 Factor
DuPont 3 factor
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROE 20% 20% 18% 24% 27%
Interpretation: We can see that 2016 is strong point of company than others. Others is weak
point company must improve it.
3.3 DuPont 5 Factor
DuPont 5 factor
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROE 20% 20% 18% 24% 27%
Interpretation: Also we see hare 2016 is the best for company.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROE
Page | 13
3.4 Common Size Analysis
Particular 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Costs of Sales 81% 77% 81% 76% 74%
Gross Profit 19% 23% 19% 24% 26%
Other Operating Income 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Distribution expenses 2% 2% 3% 4% 4%
General and administrative expenses 3% 5% 4% 5% 5%
Operating Profit/ (loss) 14% 17% 12% 16% 18% Contribution to Workers' Profit Participation and Welfare Funds 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Finance Expenses 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Finance Income 3% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Other revenues and profits 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Profit / (loss) Before Tax 17% 20% 16% 18% 20%
Income Tax Expense 5% 6% 5% 5% 5%
Profit / (loss) for the Period 12% 15% 11% 13% 14%
The number of shares 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Page | 14
3.5 Sensitivity Analysis
Base case of Hedelberg Cement
Particular NPM TAT EM ROE
2012 0.12 1.2 1.5 0.21
2013 0.15 0.9 1.4 0.19
2014 0.11 1 1.1 0.12
2015 0.13 1.7 1.7 0.37
2016 0.14 1 1.8 0.25
Sensitivity of NPM with ROE
Particular NPM TAT EM ROE Change
2012 0.12 1.2 1.5 0.22 0
2013 0.15 1.2 1.5 0.27 0.23
2014 0.11 1.2 1.5 0.20 -0.26
2015 0.13 1.2 1.5 0.23 0.15
2016 0.14 1.2 1.5 0.25 0.09
Average 21%
Sensitivity of TAT with ROE
Particular NPM TAT EM ROE Change
2012 0.12 1.2 1.5 0.22 0
2013 0.12 0.9 1.5 0.16 -0.27
2014 0.12 1 1.5 0.18 0.13
2015 0.12 1.7 1.5 0.31 0.72
2016 0.12 1 1.5 0.18 -0.91
Average 33%
Sensitivity of EM with ROE
Particular NPM TAT EM ROE Change
2012 0.12 1.2 1.46 0.21 0
2013 0.12 1.2 1.43 0.21 0
2014 0.12 1.2 1.12 0.16 -0.23
2015 0.12 1.2 1.69 0.24 0.5
2016 0.12 1.2 1.82 0.26 0.08
Average 35%
Interpretation: In this case company much use equity multiplier.
Page | 15
CHAPTER 4
4.1 Conclusion
Cement industry is one of the prominent manufacturing industry in Bangladesh. They are
contributing in the infrastructure development of the country. Although there are lots of cement
company exist in Bangladesh, only 7 of them are listed in the Dhaka Stock Exchange. More of
the companies should be listed in the capital market.
Cement companies have significant contribution to the economy of Bangladesh. These
companies have created lots of employment opportunities. Product of these companies are fully
consumed in Bangladesh. Moreover they are exporting their product to the outside world.
These way they are earning valuable foreign currency for the country.
When investing in these cement companies, an investor should first analyze the financ ia l
statements. They should understand the accounting environment and industry practice. After
these they should analyze the previous and prospective performance of the companies.
References:
http://www.dsebd.org/displayCompany.php?name=HEIDELBCEM
http://www.heidelbergcementbd.com/investors_relation.aspx
https://www.linkedin.com/company/heidelbergcement/