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THE RISE OF GOOD TIMES
THE FLOW.Understanding Kingfisher
About Kingfisher Airlines Inception Parent company The Management
Problems with the ‘Dream Bird’ Operations The Deccan ‘Merger’ Poor Debt Management Macro-Economics
Reviving Kingfisher
Why Do we need to revive the king of Good times? Sector analysis
The Two Stage Revival Proposal Debt Restructuring and Stabilizing Kingfisher Delta Airways
ABOUT KINGFISHER AIRLINES.
KINGFISHER AIRLINES.• Founded in 2003*, its
parent company is United Breweries Group, headquarters in The Qube, Mumbai.
• Dr. Vijay Mallya, Chairman and MD.
• Domestic operations commenced in May 2005 and International in September 2008. And in October 2012 the DGCA suspended its licence.
MR. MALLYAIndian Businessman and PoliticianChairman of UB Group, Conglomerate of 60 companiesTagged as wilful defaulter by Union Bank and PNB in 2015
• As on 2011 kingfisher had the largest market share of 20% of the entire domestic aviation industry.
• Revenue was Rs. 5,493.41 Crores and Net loss of Rs. 2,328.01 Crores
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
-2500-2000-1500-1000-500
0
Reported Net Profit (in Crores)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
01000200030004000500060007000
Sales Revenues (in Crores)
20%
20%15%14%
7%
6% 18%
Market ShareIndigoKingfisherAir IndiaSpiceJjetJet LiteGo AirJet Airways
PROBLEMS OF THE‘DREAM BIRD’
EXPENSES.Includes:• Fuel costs• Employee cost• Amenities to customers• Finance Cost
Total Expenditure
MERGER WITH AIR DECCAN.• 550 crore acquiring
46%share in Air Deccan.
• Formation of Kingfisher Red which was LCC, a totally different airline.
• Cannibalized by Kingfisher red
• In 2011 closing down of Kingfisher Red to regain the market of Kingfisher airlines
CAPITAL STRUCTURE.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Equity share capital Preference share capital Long term borrowings
80% Debt driven
DEBT.1600
800
800
650
550
410
320
310
15014090 60 50Bank Loans
SBI PNB IDBIBOI BOB CBIUCO Bank Corporation Bank State Bank Of MysoreIndian Overseas Bank Fedral Bank Punjab & Sindh BankAxis Bank
WHERE THIS DEBT WAS USED?
This debt was used to acquire Air Deccan for 550 Crores.To invest in fixed assets, leased aircrafts and air buses.To repay the debts and pay back creditors and employee salaries.
Some of the debentures were converted to preference and equity shares.
Unsecured loans were converted to secures loans by hypothecation of the tangible and intangible assets.
CAPITAL STRUCTURE.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Equity share capital Preference share capital Long term borrowings
Debentures converted into preference and equity shares
MACRO-ECONOMIC FACTORS.Recession Increase in crude priceRigid and unproductive Government policiesPrice war
EFFECTS Total debt to banks – Rs. 7000 Crores, employee salary dues- Rs 1650 Crores
Aircraft lease and fuel dues and Income-tax dues got accumulated Kingfisher bank accounts were freeze. SBI declared it wilful defaulter PNB to sell the KF house IDBI and CBI - investigation No access to the hypothecated assets which included aircrafts. Delisting from stock exchanges. Suspension of license by DGCA. Resulted in bankruptcy of Kingfisher Airlines.
WHY DO WE NEED TO REVIVE KINGFISHER?To repay the loansFor the EmployeesFor the country’s aviation sectorFor the stake holders
SECTOR ANALYSIS. India expected to become the third-largest aviation market by 2020 and the largest by 2030.
In 5 years: Passenger Domestic traffic @12% and International @8%
Freight Traffic: domestic @12% and international @10%
Crisil Ltd. projected Rs. 8100 Crore of collective operating profit in 2016
Government initiatives: AAI plans to revive around 50 airports in 10 years
FDI limits proposed an increase from 49% to 50% along with tax incentives
S.W.O.T.Strength Willingness to revive Management of the bank
Weakness Very large debt Business model Management
Opportunities High sector growth Increase tourism Rise in demand Rise in exports and imports Reduction in fuel price Government Initiatives
Threats Competitors Gaining customer loyalty Gaining employees trust
THE BRAVE REVIVAL.Step 1. Debt Restructuring and Stabilizing Step 2. Kingfisher Delta Airways
BRING IN ROHIT NANDAN Joined Air India as chairman in 2011.
When he took charge the airline was making a Rs 1,800-crore loss over variable cost.
It then discontinued flights, restructured & improved route planning
Cash profit of Rs 6 crore in 2013-14 on international operations
WHAT DID HE DO?ProblemsStrikesBad FinanceUnpaid Fuel BillsHostility between employees of Air India and Indian Airlines
What do we suggest?
Solutions Identified and discontinued loss making flights
Restructured flying routes to make it more profitable
Emphasised on better selling strategies
Implemented Dharmadhikari Report, which places employees at par, reduced hostility
DEBT RESTRUCTURING.Convert Debt into Equity
Using SDR scheme introduced by RBI to help bank to take control
Converting debt of Rs.9402 Crores into equity.
17 Banks now the major stakeholders of Kingfisher airlines
Interest cost: Nil Rs. 4000 Crore of Follow-on public
offer
Using the capital raised: Fixed asses Capital WIP Current liabilities
RESERVES AND SHARE CAPITAL.
Mar 05
Jun 06
Jun 07
Mar 08
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
Mar 13
Mar 16
Mar 17
Mar 18
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Share Capital
Mar 05
Jun 06
Jun 07
Mar 08
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
Mar 13
Mar 16
Mar 17
Mar 18
-16000
-14000
-12000
-10000
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
2000
Reserves Total
REDUCING CURRENT ASSETS.
Mar 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Mar 08 Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Total Current Assets
Inventories Sundry Debtors Cash and Bank Loans and Advances Total Current Assets
2016 2017 20180
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Forecasted Total Current Assets
Inventories Sundry Debtors Cash and Bank Loans and Advances Total Current Assets
EXPENSES.Total Expenses Estimated Total
Expenses
Oil pricesLuxurious Amenities to customersFinancial cost elimination Rs.1430 Cr
FIXED ASSETS.
Mar 05
Jun 06 Jun 07 Mar 08
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Total Fixed Assets
2016 2017 20183,000.00
3,100.00
3,200.00
3,300.00
3,400.00
3,500.00
3,600.00
3,700.00
Forecated Fixed Assets
SALES TURNOVER.
Mar 05
Jun 06
Jun 07
Mar 08
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
Mar 13
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Sales Turnover
2016 2017 20180
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Estimated Sales Turnover
PROFIT BEFORE TAX.Mar 05
Jun 06
Jun 07
Mar 08
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
Mar 13
-5000
-4500
-4000
-3500
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
Profit Before Tax
2016 2017 2018
-200.0
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
Estimated Profit Before Tax
PARTNER WITH DELTA AIRLINES.NOW
DELTA AIRLINES.Click icon to add picture• Delta airlines is one of
the largest US airlines.• It is one of the oldest
airline industry more than 80 years old.
• Delta was itself in debt but revived successfully into a profit making airline industry, with the help of the 3 key people
• Own oil refinery, reducing the major expense in airline industry
• No hub in India• The Middle – east
airlines are in conflict with the US airlines.
BRING IN THE TEAM OF DELTA AIRLINES
Ed Bastian Glen HauensteinGil West
EDWARD H. BASTIANPresident and Director, Delta Air Lines, Inc. since 2010
He has served as Vice President of Finance, 1998Controller of Frito-Lay International Partner with Price Waterhouse in its audit practice for 13 years in entertainment, advertising, and manufacturing areas.
WHAT DID HE DO? Internal and external financial reporting, financial planning and analysis, Sarbanes-Oxley implementation to protect shareholders and the general public from accounting errors and fraudulent practices.
Implemented (Systematic Application Products) SAP financial systems at Delta, including process and organization and cost redesign.
@Ed Bastian
GLEN HAUENSTEIN
Joined Delta in 2005EVP, NETWORK PLANNING & REVENUE MANAGEMENTEx-VP Chief revenue Officer 2013-16
WHAT DID HE DO? Delta has added more than 70 destinations to its worldwide network
Substantially increased reach in Asia and Africa Invested in equity stakes in Gol and Aeromexico to significantly enhance Delta’s presence In the fast-growing Latin region
Added 100 flights and 30 new destinations at New York’s airport for business travellers
Significantly increased Delta’s footprint on highly important business routes between the US and the UK
@Glen Hauenstein
GIL WEST Joined Delta in March 2008COO and Senior Executive VP of Delta Air Lines Inc. since March 1, 2014 and February 3, 2016 respectively.
WHAT DID HE DO?
To Lead the team responsible for safe, reliable operations across the globe, including more than 70,000 employees in Airport Customer Service Corporate Safety Security and Compliance Delta Connection Delta Global Services .. ETC
@Gil West
AND,HOPE FOR THE BEST!Thank you. Any Questions ?