- 1. GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS, URBAN MODELING, SPATIAL
STATISTICS2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Lucia Tilio, Beniamino Murgante, Francesco
Di Trani,Marco Vona, Angelo Masi ICCSA2011
2. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi summary Facing with disasters RisksManagement Vulnerability
and Resilience A spatial Multicriteria approach Conclusion and
directions Resilient City 3. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and
Seismic Risk: A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B.
Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 4.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Messina, 28 december 1908 S. Giuliano, 31 october 2002
LAquila, 6 April 2009 Potenza, 23 november 1980 Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 5.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Need to be SuperHeroes??? Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 6.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi No!need to be normal Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 7.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi and to act! scientists Decision makers Common people Facing
wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 8. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi RisksManagement Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 9.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and
Resilience ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions
and directions 10. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk:
A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di
Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi Hazard Global map, Giardini, Gryintal,
Shedlock, Zhang, 1999 Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 11.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Exposure Population density (people per km2) by country,
2006 Miguel Contreras, lala land, 2007 Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 12.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Vulnerability Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 13.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Vulnerability Structural vulnerability Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 14.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Vulnerability Structural vulnerability Urban vulnerability
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 15. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability
and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach
Conclusions and directions 16. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and
Seismic Risk: A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B.
Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi Resilience time System
state S e T d S e= Equilibrium State T d= Disaster And then ?
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 17. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi Resilience Plannedpreparation
SpontaneousadjustmentsFacing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 18.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Resilience Social aspects Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 19.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Resilience Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions Resilience is
capacity of a system, community or society potentially exposed to
hazards to adapt by resisting or changing in order to reach and
maintain an acceptable level of functioning and structureand is
determined by the degree to which the social system is capable of
organizing itself to increase its capacity of learning from past
disasters for better future protection and to improve risk
reduction measures. 20. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic
Risk: A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di
Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 21.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Resilient City Institutions Associations Organizations
Citoyens Public Buildings Roads Lifelines Strategic Buildings
Bridges Buildings Human communities Physical Systems Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 22.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Resilient City Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 23.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi Resilient City ForecastingPostEmergency Phase Emergency
Phase Prevention Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability
and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach
Conclusions and directions 24. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and
Seismic Risk: A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B.
Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi Resilient City: how to
identify? In Marsicovetere, Basilicata Region, South of Italy
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 25. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi Marsicovetere (e Villa dAgri)
- Important town in the Valley, Val dAgri
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 26. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi spatial multicriteriamodel Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 27.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi a raster modelpixels are the decisional alternatives Facing
wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 28. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi criterion maps Accessibilitya pixel is as better
as it is closer toroad network Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 29.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi criterion maps Slope a pixel is as better asitsslope is low
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 30. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi criterion maps Proximityto urban area a pixel is
as better as it is closer tourban area Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 31.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi criterion maps Proximity tostrategicbuildings a pixel is as
better as it is closer tostrategic buildings (e.g. hospitals)
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 32. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi criterion maps Distancefromhydrographicnetwork a
pixel is as better as it is further tohydrographic network Facing
wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 33. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi criterion maps a pixel is as better as it its
vulnerabilityis low StructuralVulnerability Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 34.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi criterion maps a pixel is as better as it its
vulnerabilityis low StructuralVulnerability Marsicovetere Villa
dAgri Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and
Resilience ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions
and directions 35. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk:
A Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di
Trani, M. Vona, A. Masi criterion maps a pixel is as better as it
its vulnerabilityis low StructuralVulnerability Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 36.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi criterion maps a pixel is as better as its seismic hazard
is lowHigh SeismicHazard Areas Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 37.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi constraint maps High LandslideRisk andFlooding Areas a
pixel is removed if its landslide and flooding risk is high Facing
wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 38. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi constraint maps a pixel is removed if soils
characteristicsare not good SeismicMicrozonation Facing wth
disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity
Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 39.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi constraint maps a pixel is removed if it is occupied by
structures and infrastructuresAreas physically occupiedby
buildingsand roads Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 40.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi weights definition three scenariosPairwise comparison
according to Saaty A neutral scenario: all criteria have same
importance. A functional point of view: criteria related to
accessibility and built-up areas proximity are more important than
others. A safety point of view: criteria related to natural risks
are more important than others. Facing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 41.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi weights definition Pairwise comparison according to Saaty
Facing wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions 42. GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A
Spatial Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani,
M. Vona, A. Masi resilient cityFacing wth disastersRisks
managementVulnerability and Resilience ResilientCity Spatial
Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and directions 43.
GEOG-AN-MOD2011 Resilient City and Seismic Risk: A Spatial
Multicriteria Approach L. Tilio, B. Murgante, F. Di Trani, M. Vona,
A. Masi conclusionsA first approach toresilient city
identificationSome lack of information Amapto communicate
resilienceThe right scale? Anothermulticriteriamodel ? How
tomaximize resilience Morecriteria to diversifyalternatives Facing
wth disastersRisks managementVulnerability and Resilience
ResilientCity Spatial Multicriteria Approach Conclusions and
directions
