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A State by State analysis of the advancement of the RPS and the future of the solar industry. Key figures: cost of electricity, breakdown of electricity consumption, RPS targets...
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Explanation
• The next four slides explain how I built the document. The same system is used throughout the whole document.
Colorado User Cost per MWh
Residential $10,5
Commercial $8,96
Utility $6,7
C
A: very good B: good C: fair D: to improve F: bad
Grade Solar Development:
33% most expensive 33% in the middle 33% least expensive
Cost of Electricity*
*The more expensive, the more interesting net metering becomes
http://solarpowerrocks.com
Colorado
# 3 108 MW
A
Top 10 US States Ranking and number of MW installed in 2010
Potential 1800MW
Per year 180-200
Yrly goal yes
Potential: number of MW that have to be installed to reach the RPS goal Per year: average number of MW installed per year until the end of the RPS Yrly goal: the State has a yearly objectif of installation in the RPS
No Renewable Portfolio Stantard
A: very good B: good C: fair D: to improve F: bad
Grade RPS:
http://solarpowerrocks.com
clean: hydro, wind, solar, geothermal, biomasse dirty: coal, oil, gas, nuclear
RPS
30% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 5,5
% away 24,5
Solar MW/yr
Clean
Dirty
excellent Very good Good Fair Bad
Solar Irradiation
http://tiny.cc/71h4a
Distance from reaching RPS goal
Colorado
Colorado
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
Electricity Sources
Analysis
• The details of the 51 States are laid out in the next slides. It’s give you details about every State and the color schemes gives you an immediate opinion about the State.
Alabama User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.88
Commercial $10.45
Utility $5.85
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Alaska User Cost per MWh
Residential $16.76
Commercial $14.79
Utility $15.51
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
F F
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
Clean
Dirty
Arizona User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.93
Commercial $8.82
Utility $6.02
RPS
15% 2025
solar
Goal
% renew 6,7
% away 8,7
Solar MW/yr
#4 101 MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
B C
Clean
Dirty
Arkansas User Cost per MWh
Residential $7.93
Commercial $6.93
Utility $5.1
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
California User Cost per MWh
Residential $14.83
Commercial $12.96
Utility $10.07
RPS
33% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 33
% away 0
Solar MW/yr
#1 971 MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C F
Clean
Dirty
Colorado User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.5
Commercial $8.96
Utility $6.7
RPS
30% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 5,5
% away 24,5
Solar MW/yr
# 3 108 MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A C
Clean
Dirty
Connecticut User Cost per MWh
Residential $17.63
Commercial $15.82
Utility $13.45
RPS
23% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 3
% away 20
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C F
Clean
Dirty
Delaware User Cost per MWh
Residential $13.06
Commercial $11.07
Utility $9.56
RPS
25% 2026
solar
Goal
% renew 15
% away 10
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A A
Clean
Dirty
Washington DC User Cost per MWh
Residential $13.25
Commercial $13.58
Utility $7.7
RPS
20% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 0
% away 20
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A B
Clean
Dirty
Florida User Cost per MWh
Residential $11.67
Commercial $10.15
Utility 8$.97
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
#6 73
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Georgia User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.15
Commercial $9.64
Utility $6.32
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F C
Clean
Dirty
Hawaii User Cost per MWh
Residential $31.04
Commercial $28.44
Utility $24.82
RPS
40% 2030
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C C
Clean
Dirty
Idaho User Cost per MWh
Residential $7.79
Commercial $6.54
Utility $4.6
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F D
Clean
Dirty
Illinois User Cost per MWh
Residential $11.22
Commercial $8.58
Utility $6.23
RPS
25% 2025
1,5% solar
Goal
% renew 0
% away 25
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
B A
Potential 1800MW
Per year 180-200
Yrly goal yes
*Wind: 18%
Clean
Dirty
Indiana User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.51
Commercial $8.8
Utility $6.3
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F D
Clean
Dirty
Iowa User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.64
Commercial $7.44
Utility $5.11
RPS
solar
Goal 105 MW
% renew 7
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Kansas User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.74
Commercial $8.27
Utility $6.41
RPS
20% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Kentucky User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.74
Commercial $8.44
Utility $5.16
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Louisiana User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.36
Commercial $8.38
Utility $5.21
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Maine User Cost per MWh
Residential $15.85
Commercial $12.70
Utility $9.54
RPS
10% new 2017
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C D
Clean
Dirty
Maryland User Cost per MWh
Residential $13.62
Commercial $11.79
Utility $9.56
RPS
20% 2022
2% solar
Goal
% renew 4
% away 16
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A A
Potential 1000MW
Per year 50-200
Yrly goal Yes *Takeoff 2017
Clean
Dirty
Massachussets User Cost per MWh
Residential $14.60
Commercial $13.92
Utility $13.17
RPS
22,1% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 4
% away 18,1
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A A
Clean
Dirty
Potential 400MW*
Per year 40
Yrly goal no
Outside RPS
Michigan User Cost per MWh
Residential $12.47
Commercial $10.14
Utility $7.35
RPS
10% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew 3
% away 7
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C C
Clean
Dirty
Minnesota User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.24
Commercial $8.14
Utility $6.20
RPS
25% 2025
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Mississippi User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.97
Commercial $9.65
Utility $6.48
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Missouri User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.32
Commercial $7.15
Utility $5.47
RPS
15% 2021
1% solar
Goal
% renew 2
% away 13
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
D F
Potential 700 MW
Per year 70-80
Yrly goal No
Clean
Dirty
Montana User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.33
Commercial $9.07
Utility $5.17
RPS
15% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Nebraska User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.03
Commercial $7.47
Utility $5.57
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Nevada User Cost per MWh
Residential $11.86
Commercial $9.49
Utility $5.68
RPS
25% 2025
1,5% solar
Goal
% renew 7
% away 18
Solar MW/yr
#5 97
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
B D
Potential 300 MW
Per year 20-25
Yrly goal No
Clean
Dirty
New Hampshire User Cost per MWh
Residential $16.34
Commercial $14.40
Utility $12.59
RPS
23,8% 2025
0,3% (2014)
solar
Goal
% renew 11
% away 12,8
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A F
Potential 30 MW
Per year 3-4
Yrly goal No
Clean
Dirty
New Jersey User Cost per MWh
Residential $16.70
Commercial $13.43
Utility $11.86
RPS
20,38% 2021
5,4 GW solar
Goal
% renew 1
% away 19,38
Solar MW/yr
#2 293 MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A A
Potential 5400MW
Per year 150-700
Yrly goal Yes (exp)
Clean
Dirty
5,316 GWh per yr til 2026
New Mexico User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.18
Commercial $8.69
Utility $5.95
RPS
20% 2020
4% solar
Goal
% renew 4
% away 16
Solar MW/yr
#9 45
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
B B
Potential 500 MW
Per year 50-60
Yrly goal no
Clean
Dirty
New York User Cost per MWh
Residential $17.45
Commercial $15.22
Utility $9.25
RPS
29% 2015
5 GW solar
Goal
% renew 19
% away 10
Solar MW/yr
#7 54
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A A
Potential 5000MW
Per year 330
Yrly goal no
Clean
Dirty
North Carolina User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.12
Commercial $8.06
Utility $5.83
RPS
12,5% 2021
0,2% solar
Goal
% renew 4,5
% away 8
Solar MW/yr
#10 42
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C A
Potential 200 MW
Per year 15-20
Yrly goal yes
Clean
Dirty
North Dakota User Cost per MWh
Residential $7.31
Commercial $6.88
Utility $6.20
Goal
10% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Ohio User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.45
Commercial $9.66
Utility $6.20
RPS
25% 2025
0,5% solar
Goal
% renew 1
% away 24
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C A
Potential 750 MW
Per year 30-50
Yrly goal yes
Clean
Dirty
Oklahoma User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.31
Commercial $7.13
Utility $5.18
Goal
15% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Oregon User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.39
Commercial $8.34
Utility $5.67
RPS
25%* 2025
solar
Goal
% renew 65
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C A
*large utilities
Clean
Dirty
Pennsylvania User Cost per MWh
Residential $12.72
Commercial $9.77
Utility $8.36
RPS
18% 2021
0,5% solar
Goal
% renew 3
% away 15
Solar MW/yr
#8 54
MW
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
A B
Clean
Dirty
Potential 850 MW
Per year 85
Yrly goal No
Outside RPS
Rhode Island User Cost per MWh
Residential $16.36
Commercial $12.93
Utility $11.42
RPS
16% 2021
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
South Carolina User Cost per MWh
Residential $11.57
Commercial $9.34
Utility $5.62
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
South Dakota User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.30
Commercial $7.39
Utility $6.01
Goal
10% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Tennessee User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.42
Commercial $9.98
Utility $6.89
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Texas User Cost per MWh
Residential $10.94
Commercial $9.11
Utility $6.38
RPS
5,8GW 2015
solar
Goal
% renew 1
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
C C
Clean
Dirty
Utah User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.35
Commercial $6.90
Utility $4.73
Goal
20% 2025
solar
Goal
% renew 4
% away 16
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Vermont User Cost per MWh
Residential $15.96
Commercial $13.77
Utility $10.15
Goal
20% 2017
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
D F
Clean
Dirty
Virginia User Cost per MWh
Residential $9.84
Commercial $7.61
Utility $6.47
Goal
15% 2025
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F C
Clean
Dirty
Washington User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.04
Commercial $7.49
Utility $4.09
RPS
15% 2020
solar
Goal
% renew 74
% away 12*
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F B
Clean
Dirty
No hydro
West Virginia User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.82
Commercial $7.75
Utility $6.04
Goal
25% 2025
solar
Goal
% renew 2
% away 23
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F F
Clean
Dirty
Wisconsin User Cost per MWh
Residential $12.57
Commercial $10.19
Utility $7.17
RPS
10% 2015
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
Other
F B
Clean
Dirty
Wyoming User Cost per MWh
Residential $8.50
Commercial $7.57
Utility $5.21
RPS
solar
Goal
% renew
% away
Solar MW/yr
coal
Nuclear
Gas
Hydro
Oil
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Biomass
B
F F
Clean
Dirty
Further analysis
High irradiation Vs. Good policy
Policy Vs Irradiation
I chose 20 States that are doing better than average and ranked them along two scales: solar irradiation and solar policy. Irradiation data come from the software PV SOL 4 and the policy is a qualitative measure ranked according to the grade of solarpowerrocks.com
Resources
http://www.dsireusa.org/ http://solarpowerrocks.com/ http://www.eia.gov/
Other presentations are available on
http://www.slideshare.net/bernhardbaumgartner Other presentations can be made upon request
Contact: [email protected] International Master in Management Experience in Solar Industry Four languages spoken
