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This is the second presentation I was invited to give at the CAVI conference held in Galway, Ireland on October 12. it deals with precision dairy farming. A field that is coming up and growing in importance in modern dairy farming
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Precision agriculture
Henk Hogeveen
What can you expect from me
(The need for) Precision dairy farming
Some examples
●Automatic milking
●Mastitis detection
●Estrus detection
Lessons to learn
Trend worldwide
Less farms
Farm seize increase
Milk production increases
●Per cow
●Per labour unit
●Per farm
Increasing need for efficiency
Cows are managed in groups .....
.........becomes a disposable product?
Current demands to dairy industry
Animal well-being
Consumer demands
Environment
Labor
Economics
Current demands to dairy industry
Animal well-being
Consumer demands
Environment
Labor
Economics
We have to reduce the use of scarce resources
So: explore the full potential of each individual dairy cow
Is individual cow management possible?
Easy
(too) difficult
Don’t even think about it
Precision dairy farming
Technology, measuring:
●Physiology
●Behaviour
●Production
Algorithms that transform data to informationIs this information useful?
Integration with other data sourcesThis can improve performanceProblems: Integration of various systems, co-operation between companies.
Decision supportWith or without interference of the farmerThis is the ultimate of precision dairy farming
The decision is the goal
Cow as individual animal
Enables management adjusted to the cow’s production level
●Milking management (times per day)
●Disease management (treatment or not)
●Reproduction management (insemination or not, intervention or not
●Feeding management
●Management by exception
Examples of technologies
Milk yield recording systems
Milk component monitors
Activity monitors
Lying and rumination behavior monitors
Milk conductivity indicators
Heat monitors
Review of sensor systems until now
Rutten et al., 2013
What can you expect from me
(The need for) Precision dairy farming
Some examples
●Automatic milking
●Mastitis detection
●Estrus detection
Lessons to learn
Benefits
Labor
●No more milking
●Reduction milking time 50 % - 80 %
Milk production
●Increased milking frequency
Udder health
●Less overmilking
●Separated quarters
●Increased milking frequency
●….
Disadvantages
More control tasks
Replacement value (investment)
Depreciation time
Maintenance
Energy and water
Udder health
●More cows per cluster
●Milking intervals
●…….
Previous studies
Normative (what-if calculations)
Automatic milking is not cost effective
Farm comparison using real data
AMS CMS
Total land use, ha 60.0 61.7
Milk quota, kg 828,761 853,620
No. of dairy cows 105 110
Milk/cow, kg 8,011 7,894
Bijl et al., 2007
Farm comparison
AMS CMS
Total land use, ha 60.0 61.7
Milk quota, kg 828,761 853,620
No. of dairy cows 105 110
Milk/cow, kg 8,011 7,894
Total labor FTE 1.45 1.87
Family labor FTE 1.26 1.69
Employee labor FTE 0.19 0.18
Source: Bijl et al., 2007
Bijl et al., 2007
Farm comparison
AMS CMS
Total land use, ha 60.0 61.7
Milk quota, kg 828,761 853,620
No. of dairy cows 105 110
Milk/cow, kg 8,011 7,894
Total labor FTE 1.45 1.87
Family labor FTE 1.26 1.69
Employee labor FTE 0.19 0.18
Dairy cows/total FTE 74 59
Milk/total FTE, kg 586,241 459,117
Source: Bijl et al., 2007
Bijl et al., 2007
No difference in margin
Source: Bijl et al., 2007
AMS CMS
Milk revenues 31.53 32.27
Miscellaneous revenues 2.82 2.27
Total revenues 34.35 34.54
Concentrate costs 4.67 4.83
Total feed costs 6.47 6.33
Health costs 0.84 0.93
Total livestock costs 2.01 2.25
Land use costs 1.28 1.46
Total costs 9.76 10.04
Margin on dairy production 24.60 24.50
Bijl et al., 2007
Other costs higher for AMS
Source: Bijl et al., 2007
AMS CMS
Margin on dairy production 24.60 24.50
Gross margin 26.51 26.34
Contractor costs 2.55 1.81
Gas, water, electricity 1.24 1.01
Maintenance/insurance of:
- machinery and equipment 3.15 2.72
- land, buildings, installations 0.88 0.60
Total non-accountable costs 9.29 7.46
Available for rent, depreciation, interest, labor and profit
17.22 18.87
€ 15,500/farmExcluding € 14,000 higher depreciation and interest for AMS
Bijl et al., 2007
Economic results second study
AMS (n=63)
CMS(n=337)
Cows (number)Land (ha)
Total number of cowsTotal land use
71 110
70113
Capital costs (€/100 kg milk) Expenses on buildingsDepreciation on buildingsExpenses on machinery and equipmentDepreciation on machinery and equipmentMiscellaneous depreciationTotal capital
1.562.694.573.880.01
12.71
1.542.513.482.530.04
10.10
Labor costs (€/100 kg milk) Customer workPaid labor Own labor1
Total labor
2.890.466.95
10.30
2.960.707.06
10.72
Materials costs (€/100 kg milk)
Total materials 17.17 16.99
Revenues (€/100 kg milk) Total revenues 44.87 45.33
Net output (€/100 kg milk) Total revenues – total materials 27.70 28.34
Steeneveld et al., 2012)
Study focusing on grazing(1,017 farms)
Grazing (yes/no) 21,6280 0,001
Grazing time* farm seize -0,0674 0,000
Grazing * AMS -16,1506 0,004
Van de Pol-van Dasselaar et al, 2013
Study on motivations to invest in AMS
AM-system CM-system Cows 87 91 Hectares 51 55 Quotum (kg) 752,000 738,000 Milk/ha 15.671 13.867 Milk/cow 8.682 8.118 No grazing 33 8
Hogeveen et al., 2003
Personal circumstances
AM-system CM-system Age farmer 44.1 41.3 Married 55 47 Children 2.6 2.4 No successor 12 2 No need for replacement old system
25
11
Motivations automatic milking
Motivation Reason 1 Reason 2 Reason 3 % Less (heavy) labour 18 10 5 21 Flexibility 7 10 4 13 Milking more than twice 7 6 5 11 Less labour available 7 5 6 11 Need new milking system 9 2 4 9 Improved udder health 0 4 5 6 Higher milk production 0 6 3 6 Building new stable 2 4 1 4 Future 3 2 1 4 Other 7 10 7 15 Total 60 59 41 100
Motivations conventional milking
Motivation Reason 1 Reason 2 Reason 3 % Costs AM-system too high 18 10 5 21 Dependency AM-system 7 10 4 13 Uncertainty AM-system 7 6 5 11 Inflexible with growing 7 5 6 11 2nd AM-system expensive 9 2 4 9 Position in barn 0 4 5 6 Other 7 10 7 15 Total 60 59 41 100
What can you expect from me
(The need for) Precision dairy farming
Some examples
●Automatic milking
●Mastitis detection
●Estrus detection
Lessons to learn
Mastitis detection
Developed in 1980’s
Sensors did not provide useful information
●Clinical mastitis, why automated detection
●Subclinical mastitis, no associated management
Never a success until automatic milking (need)
●Good enough (but far from perfect)
High capacity milking parlors: selection of cows to check
Problem: needle in a haystack
Every miling is a test 60 cows, 2,6 milkings per cow per day -> 57,000 milkings
per year 20 mastitis cases -> 0.1 % of all milkings
What’s found in the past Sensitivity
Specificity
Cavero et al., 2006 81 94
De Mol & Ouweltjes, 2001 100 96
De Mol & Woldt, 2001 100 99
De Mol et al., 1997 59 98
De Mol et al., 2001 71 97
Kamphuis et al., 2008 80 92
Kamphuis et al., 2008 50 99
Maatje et al., 1992 100 ?
Maatje et al., 1997 90 98
Mottram et al., 2007 56 82
Nielen et al., 1995 77 69
Nielen et al., 1995 84 97
Norberg et al., 2006 43 93
Sheldrake & Hoare, 1981 49 79
Specificities re-arranged
80
85
90
95
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Total time window (days)
Sp
ecif
icit
y (%
)
Sensitivities added
40
60
80
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Total time window (days)
Sp
ecif
icit
y/se
nsi
tivi
ty (
%)
Healthy
Mastitis is not a black-and-white situatiom
Severeclinicalmastitis
Detection of mastitis by farmer
Check report•Conductivity•Colour•Milk production deviation
•Total number of alerts
•SCC (optional)
Interpret report•Check history alert and/or check alert in the barn
Check history alert•Milkquality•Milk visits•Conductivity chart
Interpret history alert•Check alert in the barn
Check alert in the barn•Check cow•Check udder•Spurt and check milk
•CMT
Interpret check•Mastitis? •Take action!
Take action•Take milk sample
•Treat mastitis
Quick glance10 times a day – 2 times a week
Study on 7 farms
Check report•Conductivity•Colour•Milk production deviation
•Total number of alerts
•SCC (optional)
Interpret report•Check history alert and/or check alert in the barn
Check history alert•Milkquality•Milk visits•Conductivity chart
Interpret history alert•Check alert in the barn
Check alert in the barn•Check cow•Check udder•Spurt and check milk
•CMTsTUDY ON
Interpret check•Mastitis? •Take action!
Take action•Take milk sample
•Treat mastitis
Check and interpret history alert
Check report•Conductivity•Colour•Milk production deviation
•Total number of alerts
•SCC (optional)
Interpret report•Check history alert and/or check alert in the barn
Check history alert•Milkquality•Milk visits•Conductivity chart
Interpret history alert•Check alert in the barn
Check alert in the barn•Check cow•Check udder•Spurt and check milk
•CMT
Interpret check•Mastitis? Take action!
Take action•Take milk sample
•Treat mastitis
Only when alarmingDefinition of alarming varies between farmers
Check alert in the barn
Only 3,5% of the alerts are checked by the farmer!
Alerts checked by farmer (n=15)
67%
13%
20%
Clinical
Subclinical
Negative CMT
Alerts checked by researcher
Overview of the checked mastitis alerts
Clinical mastitis Subclinical mastitis Negative CMT Total
Number of individual quarter alerts 30 47 150 227
Number of repeated quarter alerts 9 81 104 194
Total 39 128 254 421
60% 10%
46%
Checked clinical mastitis
Unchecked clinical
mastitis
Subclinical mastitis
26%
74%
100%
Question?
How bad is this?
What can you expect from me
(The need for) Precision dairy farming
Some examples
●Automatic milking
●Mastitis detection
●Estrus detection
Lessons to learn
Oestrus detection
Advantages twofold
●Labour savings
●Better estrus detection rates -> preg rates
Clear management (decision support) associated with information
Adoption rate: ± 15 % in US and Netherlands (personal communication Knijn and Bewley)
Titelstijl van model bewerken• Klik om de tekststijl van het model
te bewerken– Tweede niveau
• Derde niveau– Vierde niveau
» Vijfde niveau
Two simulations
Visual SN 50%, SP 100% Sensor SN 80%, SP 95%
Titelstijl van model bewerken• Klik om de tekststijl van het model
te bewerken– Tweede niveau
• Derde niveau– Vierde niveau
» Vijfde niveau
Financial results (*1000 €/herd/year)
Milk 330 334
Feed -128
-129
Calves
-7 -8
Inseminations
-7 -7
Culling
-7 -6
Labour
-1 -0.7
Titelstijl van model bewerken• Klik om de tekststijl van het model
te bewerken– Tweede niveau
• Derde niveau– Vierde niveau
» Vijfde niveau
Investment analysis
Cash flow(€/year)
Internal Rate of Return(%)
Pay back period(Years)
Average 3,151 11% 7
What can you expect from me
(The need for) Precision dairy farming
Some examples
●Automatic milking
●Mastitis detection
●Estrus detection
Final words
Go back to the individual cow
One size does not fit all!!
We are throwing away a part of the potential of our dairy cows!!!!
Precision dairy farming is going to increase
What is the vet going to do?
Use data from sensor systems
Adapt herd health programs
…….
Thank you for your attention
@henkhogeveen
animal-health-management.blogspot.com
On-line courses on Veterinary Economics on:
www.elevatehealth.eu