Outrunning the Tsunami of Change

HELPING CLIENTS EXPERIENCE TRANSFORMATION

7 Keys to Leadership in a World of Unknowns

Outrunning the Tsunami of Change

Friday, October 7, 11


it is 2000Friday, October 7, 11




Value: i.e. Warren Buffett



switches strategies2005



april 2008Friday, October 7, 11




$1 = $.50$1 = $1000



2 years of income in lost wealth





what did he see?



the rules changed



why?



aspergerssyndrome







tour guide

frameworkFriday, October 7, 11


2011 Economic Score Card•Construction & Real Estate

•renovation up 25%

•public sector flat

•private sector off 40%

•@17% vacancy in Denver

•8,000,000 jobs lost•100,000 jobs/month to keep even

•Estimated 10 years to climb back to pre-2008 levels

•GDP @$14.5 trillion 2008 - 2011•Companies are profitable but holding cash

•Government dysfunction creates uncertainty

•European uncertainty

•Our banking system is weak•Financial industry has returned to pre-2008 behavior



2011 Summary of Score Card

•Low Demand

•More Output with Less

•Uncertainty

•Old Behaviors

•Lack of Confidence in Leadership



Eras of Rule Change

AncientKingsPositionEldersAgriculture

Oral Age Print Age

Modern Era Elected Credentials Experts Factory

Prin%ng Press1455

CRISIS

Television1950

Broadcast Age

ContemporyVisionariesAppealInfluentialsService

CRISIS

Internet1992

Digital Age

Post ModernGrass RootsCommunityCreativesFederation

CRISISAuthority

CredentialsInfluenceCommerce



7 Mega-Shifts

1.Turbulence and Uncertainty

2.Low Trust

3.Smaller Footprint

4.Generation Tsunami

5.Digital Natives

6.Mobility

7.Death of the Industrial Mindset


Different Seas Different Ships

The New NormalFriday, October 7, 11




Silents: 1925 - 1942 (86-69)Boomers: 1943 - 1960 (68-51)GenX’rs: 1961 - 1981 (50-30)Millennials: 1982 - 2000 (29-11)New Silents: 2001 -



Boomer55%

GenX33%

Millennials12%

2011



Boomers28%

GenX24%

Millennials48%

2018


Digital Immigrants Digital Natives


Print Linear, Sequential, Rational, Hierarchical, Autonomous

BroadcastFluid, Fragmented, Emotional, Flat, Isolated

Digital/InteractiveHolistic, Non-linear, Whole-Brain Systems Thinkers, Interconnected, Self-Organizing


What does it mean to have an organization of

mobile knowledge workers?







What is the Real Crisis?



Sutter Health Past Experience


•$300-$500 billion annual WASTE(buildingSmartAlliance)

•50%+ Waste in the System(buildingSmartAlliance and Lean Construction Institute)

•70% Over Budget and Late(Egan report)

•48% of Green House Gases (Energy Info Admin Statistics and Pew Climate report)

Results of a Broken System



•Labor = 50% @ 30% efficiency = 35% waste

•Materials = 40% @ 70% efficiency = 12% waste

•QTO = up to10% of the cost

•Change orders between 2-10% of the cost

•Contingencies up to 7%

•Team Learning Curve = 5%+

•3-7% is lost in project cost reduction by not maximizing Construction Tax Planning

Uncovering the Hidden Waste



7 Keys to Leading A Movement

1.Motive: Adventure, Fear or Fed-Up2.Find Like-Minded Souls3.Get Cover4.Study the Outliers5.Connect the Dots6.Create Proof of Concept7.Be the Change You Want to See




Who we are so far…



Aardex - Signature CenterGolden, Colorado

LEED Platinum

$3/sqft less than conventional

21% lease premium

- 45%

Tenants reported increased productivity

Built-In

Sustainability


Sutter Health Now Experience

BeforeNow



HS Wright/Balfour & SERA500,000 square feetCMc47 monthsSave 15 - 27 months of designZero energy

GSA

Edith Green

Wendell Wyatt



Improvements

•Tools Alone - 5% - 7%

•Principles Alone - 10% - 15%

•Principles AND Tools - 15% - 30%+







10,400 out of

4.7 millionFriday, October 7, 11


EMPI

RE S

TATE

BUI

LDIN

G (3

8%)

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

8.8 Year Payback

11 Year Payback

12.2 Year Payback

BALT

IMOR

E (2

1.5%

)

NEW

PORT

BE

ACH

(15.8

%)

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30

* NAIOP results under 25% improvements and average a 10 year payback

Energy Savings Improvement

CHIC

AGO

(23%

)

26 Year Payback

NAIOP study results*



A Brown Process Can Not Create a Green Solution





Workplace Performance

Holy Grail



2.0



Performance and Resilience

1.Cultural Alignment2.Engagement3.Well-Being4.Work Flow5.Health & Safety6.Tools7.Teams



7 Keys to Leading A Movement

1.Motive: Adventure, Fear or Fed-Up2.Find Like-Minded Souls3.Get Cover4.Study the Outliers5.Connect the Dots6.Create Proof of Concept7.Be the Change You Want to See


•Shirtless Dancer? - Michael Burry

•First Follower? - Mindshift

•Wait Until there is a Crowd? - Green Movement

•Sit and Watch?

Call To Action





www.rexmiller.net

www.thecrerevolution.com

twitter: @mrmiller


http://www.rexmiller.net

http://www.rexmiller.net

http://www.thecrerevolution.com

http://www.thecrerevolution.com

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Outrunning the Tsunami of Change