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www.finerva.com | [email protected] | +91-9787-11-11-66 Financial Derivatives in India Karthikeyan Jawahar, CFP CM Director – Research & Consulting Finerva Financial Solutions Pvt Ltd

Derivatives in india

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Page 1: Derivatives in india

www.finerva.com | [email protected] | +91-9787-11-11-66

Financial Derivatives in India

Karthikeyan Jawahar, CFPCM

Director – Research & ConsultingFinerva Financial Solutions Pvt Ltd

Page 2: Derivatives in india

www.finerva.com | [email protected] | +91-9787-11-11-66

Derivatives Fundamentals

• Origin in Forward Contract– Related to Agricultural Commodities– To Preserve Profits and Marketability (Hedging)

• Over the Counter Market– One-on-one Deals (Not Transferable)– Predominantly between a bank and its client

• Exchange Tradable– Futures– Options

Page 3: Derivatives in india

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How Derivatives?

• Options Payoff Charts

Expectation – Share Price will GO DOWN

Expectation – Share Price will GO UP

Profit / Loss Line

Target (Exercise) Price

Page 4: Derivatives in india

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Dominant types

• Forwards• Futures• Options• Swaps

– All the others are combinations or modifications of the above.

Page 5: Derivatives in india

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Types of Players

• Hedgers• Arbitrageurs• Speculators

Page 6: Derivatives in india

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Indian Scene

• Was one of the World’s Largest Futures Market - Cotton Futures Trade

• Shifted predominantly to OTC post independence• Market Trading started from June 2000 with Index Futures• Index Option June 2001• Individual Securities Options from July 2001• Individual Stock Futures from July 2001• Commodity Futures started June 2000 – regular addition

of commodities even today• Forex (US$) Futures Started October 2008

Page 7: Derivatives in india

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Market Dynamics

• Lots sizes ranging value of in Rs.2.5 to Rs.4 lakhs

• Dominant market is NSE• Rapid Growth in Volumes– Daily Volumes of Rs.68,000 Cr– Only Rs.18,000 Cr in cash segment

• Dominated by Index Derivatives

Page 8: Derivatives in india

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Year Average Daily Turnover (Rs. cr.)

2009-10

67,789.66

2008-09

45,310.63

2007-08

52,153.30

2006-07

29,543.00

2005-06

19,220.00

2004-05

10,107.00

2003-04

8,388.00

2002-03

1,752.00

2001-02

410.00

2000-01

11.00

Page 9: Derivatives in india

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Is This For ME?

• Market Dominated by Speculators• Highly Leveraged

– Invest only the margin (Premium)Eg. Rs.300 x 50 = Rs.15,000/- only for a CE-DEC 4800 (S&P CNX Nifty)

– Contract value = Rs.4700 x 50 = Rs.235,000– If Nifty Goes to 5000, profit is Rs.300 x 50 = Rs.15,000/- => 100%

returns– If Nifty even stays at 4700, loss is Rs.300 x 50 = Rs.15,000/-. =>

Entire Capital Lost• Zero Sum Game• 80% of Day-traders Lose Money in USA• Las Vegas Effect

Page 10: Derivatives in india

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Zero Sum Game

• Stock market is a Non-Zero Sum Game.– Everyone can make profits. One person’s loss is not another’s

profit.• Derivatives is a Zero Sum Game.

– The profit made is another person’s loss.– My premium lands up with the market maker– My profit is paid by the market maker– The market makers are large financial corporations or the stock

market itself.– Failed Market makers are – Barrings Bank, Societe Generale,

Lehman Brothers, many more banks & hedge funds in the USA.

Page 11: Derivatives in india

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Questions and Sharings

• Thank You

• Mail for further queries to – Karthikeyan Jawahar– [email protected]

Page 12: Derivatives in india

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