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The presentation from the Citizens Bank Business Insiders Breakfast Series on December 19, 2013. Featuring presenters: Alderman Mike Tabacsko, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Nashua Regional Planning Commission Jennifer Czysz, Senior Regional Planner with Nashua Regional Planning Commission, Program Manager of Granite State Future Project Kerrie Diers Executive Director of the Nashua Regional Planning Commission Christopher Clement Commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Transportation
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Business Insiders BreakfastGranite State Future Project
December 19, 2013
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
2
Today’s PanelistsMike
Tabacsko
Alderman,Board of Directors of
Nashua Regional Planning
Commission
Jennifer Czysz
Senior Regional
Planner with Nashua Regional Planning
Commission,Program Manager of
Granite State Future Project
Kerrie Diers
Executive Director of the Nashua
Regional Planning
Commission
Christopher Clement
Commissioner of the New Hampshire
Department of
Transportation
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
3
REGIONAL PLANNING FROM A LOCAL PERSPECTIVE
Mike Tabacsko
4
Planning for Quality of Life
Nashua’s Ongoing Projects: • Branding Initiative• Commuter Rail• Broad Street Parkway
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
5
Linking Planning Efforts
Regional Coordination:• Local Perspective• Quality of Life• A Mutual Relationship
State Development
PlanRSA 9-A
Regional Planning
RSA 36:47
Local Master Plan
RSA 674:2
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
6
Our Regional Advantage
Relative proximity to:• Jobs • Mountains • Ocean• Amenities
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
7
GRANITE STATE FUTURE PROJECT
Jennifer Czysz & Kerrie Diers
8
Building a Comprehensive Regional Plan
Who We Are
What We Do• Regional Plan
• Metropolitan Planning Organizationo Capitol Corridor Commuter Rail Project
o Highway, transit, bicycle/pedestrian projects
• Regional Housing Needs Assessment
• Assist Municipalities with transportation, land use, mapping and environmental planning projects
Who We Are: Population
Who We Are: Population
The Nashua Region closely tracks the State’s median age
Who We Are: PopulationFor the first time in nearly 100 years, the 2010 Census
showed a lower percent growth in the Nashua
Region than in Hillsborough County or the State.
Regional population over the last decade has become flat at less than 0.5% growth between 2000 and 2010.
Who We Are: HouseholdsTraditional Households (HH’s) are on the decline
Persons Living Alone(23% of total HH’s)
Non-Family Households(30% of total HH’s)
Family Households
Married Couple Families(56% of total HH’s)
Families with ChildrenUnder Age 18(33% of total HH’s)
Married Couples with Own Children under 18(25% of total HH’s)
Who We Are: Human CapitalOur kids are wicked smaht.
Second highest average SAT scores after Washington State(Source: The College Board, 2010, 2011)
Who We Are: Purchase Power
We have high incomes.
Top 8 percentile (Source: Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2012)
Who We Are: TransportationWe like our cars.
83.3% of Nashua Region residents commute alone by car.(Source: American Community Survey – 5 year estimates).
Who We Are: TransportationOr do we....
Need for more transportation options consistently noted by residents(Source: Granite State Future Public Outreach results)
Who We Are: Commuting
1 in 4Residents of the Nashua region commute into Massachusetts
Who We Are: Marketers ViewMost Common Profiles in the Nashua Region
(Source: The Neilsen Co.)
Country Squires
Wealthy, exurban Baby Boomers with children who live on sprawling properties and enjoy club sports.
• Order from Amazon.com
• Watch ‘The Biggest Loser’
• Vacation at ski resorts.
Big Fish, Small Pond
Older, upscale professionals, live in small towns, belong to country clubs, shop at Talbots, and enjoy water sports.
• Kiplinger’s Personal Finance
• No kids• Watch the
Kentucky Derby• Toyota drivers
Greenbelt Sports
Upscale, exurban older couples without children who enjoy outdoor lifestyle, shop at eBay.com and vacation in the Tropics. Likely to be college educated and own new homes.
• Watch ‘That 70s Show’
• Heavy readers• Nissan drivers
Gearing Up
Mostly twenty-something singles signing their first telecommunications agreements.
• Low incomes• Smartphones
are a necessity• Heavy social
networkers• Streaming
content over cable service
Home Sweet Home
Scattered across the nation’s suburbs, the adults in the segment, mostly under 55, have gone to college and hold professional and white-collar jobs.
• Watch the ‘Amazing Race’
• Download music
• Online shoppers
What We’ve Heard: Transportation
“more bicycle lanes”
“better east-west travel options”
“better connected sidewalks”
“walkable developments”
“better regional cooperation”
“commuter rail to Boston”
“balance investments”
What We’ve Heard: Housing
“more bicycle lanes”
“better east-west travel options”
“better regional cooperation”
“commuter rail to Boston”
“more compacthousing units”
“more housing for thosein creative fields”
“more housing near downtowns”
“greener housingoptions:”
“ensure zoning and land use codes support affordable housing”
“factor transportation into housing costs”
What We’ve Heard: Vitality
“more bicycle lanes”
“redevelop parking lots into ‘vertical’ development”
“embrace development along waterways”
“walkable developments”
“more pocket parksdowntown”
“a regional start-up incubator”
“more mixed-use development”
“commuter rail to Boston”
What We’ve Heard: Environment
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
25
What Do You Think?
• What do you feel are the most important areas to focus on?
• Where should resources such as funding and time be invested?
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
26
NEW HAMPSHIRE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Christopher Clement
The Roads toNew Hampshire’s Future
Presentation Overview• New Hampshire DOT
– Mission– Department Overview– Modes of
Transportation– Turnpike System– Funding Sources
• MAP-21 Federal Program– Performance
Management– Asset Management
• Funding Concerns
Transportation excellence enhancing the
quality of life in New Hampshire
Mission
1,605 permanent employees (FY14) – 22% steady decrease since 1992
Responsible for:• 2,143 State Bridges
• State Red List – 145 (8%)• State Near Red List – 261
• 1,685 Municipal Bridges• Municipal Red List – 353 (21%)• All bridges are inspected at least once every two years• State red list bridges are inspected twice every year• Municipal red list bridges are inspected once every year
• 4,559 centerline miles of roadway maintained (additional 290 town maintained)• 8,868 lane-miles of roadway maintained
• Annual paving totals 200-300 miles per year (40,000 tons asphalt)
• Maintain 100,000 highway signs
Key Facts About DOT
Other Transportation ModesAeronautics Rail Public Transit
47
AeronauticsNH Aviation Facts:• 1,280 Registered Aircraft•117 Registered Airports - 24 Public Use Airports (11 receive federal funding)• Airport Improvement Program • $ 9 m (FFY 13) - Block Grant (10 of 12) airports• $ 5m for Manchester and Lebanon (direct to airports)• $1m (CY 2012) - Total revenue (state funds)
- Aircraft registrations- 75% to General Fund, 25% to
airports
48
Public TransitScheduled Services
11 public transit systems
Intercity/Commuter bus service• Boston Express
• Concord Coach
• C & J
• Greyhound
Approx. $13.5m – Total Federal Funds for NH (FY 2013)
49
Rail450 miles of active railroad in NH• 253 miles state-owned
9 Freight Railroads
Passenger Rail Service in New Hampshire• Amtrak Downeaster
• The Vermonter
• Proposed Capitol Corridor
Special Railroad Fund (Average $600,000 a year)
• Used for purchasing, operating & maintaining railroad properties
NH Capitol Corridor Study
NH Capitol Corridor Study
Scope Outline• Evaluate Existing Conditions:
i. Public and stakeholder involvementii. Purpose & Need Statement
• Develop Alternatives Including Routes, Stations and Schedules:i. Commuter Rail Options from Lowell to Nashua, Manchester, and
Concordii. Bus Options including bus on shoulder and connections to railiii. Intercity rail options from Boston to Concordiv. No Build
• Define and Evaluate Alternatives:i. Preliminary screeningii. Evaluation of Alternatives Based On:
• Ridership• Costs: capital, operating• Environmental impacts (EA)• Transit-supportive land use, economic development• Demographics
• Project Completion
Study ScheduleSpring/Summer
2013•Evaluate Existing Conditions
Fall 2013
•Develop Alternatives
Spring/Summer2014
•Define and Evaluate Alternatives
Late Fall2014
•Project Completion
2015 - 2024 Ten Year Transportation Plan
Governors Advisory Commission on Intermodal
Transportation(GACIT)
GACIT Processi. DRAFT Plan, Financially Constrained
• Work in progress
ii. Public Hearing Input • Regional priorities and needs
iii. GACIT Recommendation to Governor – December 2013
iv. Governor Recommendation to Legislature – January 2014
v. Legislative approval – June 2014
I-93 Funding NH’s #1 Priority
No Current Financing Plan
• $250 M Unfunded Remaining Needs Not in Ten Year Plan – Capacity Improvements Exit 3 NB to I-293 split (excl. Exit 5)
• Financial plan delivered to FHWA – remaining I-93 project in jeopardy without statement of legislative intent to fully fund project
• Environmental Permits lapse in 2020
• Exit 4A – not funded
• Continuing Negative Impact on Ten Year Plan – 2030
1
Turnpike System Overview
• 3 Turnpike Segments• 89 Miles Long• 170 Bridges• 10 Toll Facilities• Enterprise Fund – All Turnpike
revenue must be used on the System• Turnpike Revenue pays for:
–Operating & Maintenance Costs–Debt Service–R&R Work–Capital Improvements
• FY12 $108.7M transactions and $116.6M toll revenue
Unfunded Projects in Current Capital Program form HB 391 – Session 2009 Authorization:• Bedford ORT - $18M (FY15 Adv)• Dover End of N-D Project - $80M (FY14 Adv)
Proposed Expanded Capital Program• Bow-Concord: I-93 Widening (I-89 to I-393) - $195M (FY18 Adv)• Nashua-Bedford: FEET Widening (Exit 8 to I-293) - $70M (FY17 Adv)• Manchester: Reconstruction of Exit 6 & FEET Widening - $88M (FY17 Adv)• Manchester: New Interchange at Exit 7 - $54M (FY 18 Adv)• Spaulding Turnpike Toll Facilities (ORT or AET) - $15M (FY16 Adv)• Spaulding Turnpike Maintenance Facilities - $8M (FY14 Adv)• Turnpike Administration Building - $7M (FY15 Adv)• Nashua-Bedford ITS Infrastructure - $4M (FY15 Adv)• Merrimack Exit 12 Toll Plaza Removal - $2M (FY15 Adv)• Sarah Mildred Long Bridge ($2M Annual Capital Contribution)
- $18M (FY14 Start)• TYP 2013-2022 includes PE & ROW for Bow-
Concord ($13.0M) and for Manchester Exit 6 & 7 ($14.0M)
*Reference: Transportation Infrastructure Report 2011 – Building America’s Future: Falling Apart & Falling Behind
Proposed Turnpike Expanded Capital Program
Potential to create 14,000 jobs* over a ten year period
Hooksett Rest Areas Re-Development 35-Yr Ground Lease Contract
16,000 sf Welcome Centers 20,000 sf Liquor Stores Mill Building Architectural Style
1950’s Style Diner Old-Time Deli Italian Farmhouse Restaurant Coffee & Breakfast Shop Country-style Convenience Store Interactive Visitor Information Center
16 Fuel Stations for Passenger Vehicles Ample Rest Rooms Ample Parking
355 NB Total Parking (240 cars, 11 buses/trucks, 35 local, 69 overflow)
291 SB Total Parking (255 cars, 15 buses/trucks, 21 local)
FUNDING OUTLOOK
50
Challenges Ahead• Federal Reauthorization MAP-21 expires September 2014
• Shrinking revenue from fuel efficient vehicles and less miles traveled due to recession
• One-time solutions–Not Sustainable Funding
• Rising Costs - Petroleum based business
54
Increased Fuel Efficiency = Less HWY Revenue
DOT FUNDING SOURCES• Highway Fund (road toll tax a.k.a. gas tax, motor vehicle fees, court fees, misc.) $260 m/ year)
• -$48 m deficit FY16, -$105 m FY17 Operating Budget
• Federal Aid ($143 m/year) – Capital Budget
• General Funds: Aeronautics, Rail, Transit ($900,000/year)
• Turnpike Fund: Turnpikes only (subject to covenants to bondholders): $117m/year tolls
MAP 21: A New Era
MAP 21: A New Era
• MAP-21 initiates a new era for U.S. transportation agencies focusing on:i. Performance management – Balanced Score Cardii. Asset management – 100% FHWA funded gap
analysis iii. Risk management
• States must develop risk-based, performance-based asset management plans for at least the NHS – focus on maintenance & preservation
MAP-21 Performance Declaration
• Performance management will transform the Federal-aid highway program
• Provide a means to the most efficient investment of Federal transportation funds
• Focus on national transportation goals• Increase accountability and transparency
of the Federal-aid highway program• Improve decision making through
performance based planning and programming
Asset Management Definition
• Asset management is a strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, and improving physical assets
• To identify a structured sequence of maintenance, preservation, repair, rehabilitation, and replacement actions
• That will achieve and sustain a desired state of good repair over the lifecycle of the assets at minimum practicable cost
Economic Impact of Maintenance• 40% expenditures Highway Maintenance are
expended solely for Snow & Ice control yearly $32-$42 million/year
• Studies have shown that if a state was to “shut down” due to a Snow and & Ice event, economic impacts could be between $64 million (UT) and $700 million (NY) DAILY. Massachusetts had an estimated daily loss of $265 million
(2011 American Highway Users Alliance study)
The Need to Measure Carefully• The old saying
is, ‘you cant fix what you cant measure’
• It all depends on how you chose and use
Utah DOT Investment Backlog• This “NH” type
BSC measure provides the “future” direction of DOT
• Tells the public the rural highway (blue) are headed for worse condition
• Shows consequence of “current budget conditions” that DOT does NOT have the power to change
Declining Asset Values
• Decreased asset value due to lack of investment• Will the public allow “their” transportation system to
decline $ and change current policy makers decisions• “The data will set you free”
Prioritizing Resources
NH Road System (4,559 mi)
1. National Highway System (NHS)(790 mi-18%)
• Turnpikes• Interstates• Select US Routes• Select State Numbered Routes
2. US Routes and State Numbered Routes (2,799 mi – 61%)
3. Unnumbered State Roads (970 mi-21%)
New Hampshire Pavement Conditions: 1996-2016ADDITIONAL $12M PER YEAR NEEDED
1. Influenced by additional ARRA funding
2. 2004 data is not included due to known problems with the data collection vehicle.
Average Price of Asphalt Cement 1992 to 2012
The cost of asphalt cement increased 460% over this period
Diesel, gasoline, road salt increases…..
Statewide Pavement Condition
19 % good condition - 828 miles 44 % fair condition - 1,867 miles 37 % poor condition - 1,565 miles $615 million would be needed to bring
all poor condition pavements to good condition (not including drainage, guard rail & bridges)
$3.7 billion is the estimated total value of the state-owned pavements
Pavements are the State’s most valuable asset other than land and bridges
(4,559 total centerline miles 299 unrated)
4,559 MilesThe DOT Maintained road network would stretch
from Concord, NH to Anchorage, AK
Anchorage, AK Concord, NH
A VERY LONG DRIVE!
Anchorage, AK Concord,
NH
Fargo, ND
Lake Watson, Yukon
Would your car survive?
GOOD
FAIR
POOR
Poor Road Conditions
4
Pavement Conditions 2000 2010
Red = Poor Condition
Pavement Preservation
Routine surface treatment and wearing surface renewal (perpetual pavement)
Most cost effective way to maintain pavements
Need to apply treatment before distress starts to show
Will free up resources to invest in lower volume roads
“Keep Good Roads Good”
NH Bridge Condition
Red List – Bridges where one or more major structural element is rated as poor condition or worse, or require weight limit posting.
Near Red List – Bridges where one or more major structural element is rated as fair condition.
Good – Bridges where no major structural element is rated as fair or poor.
New Hampshire Red List Bridges
Total Number of State owned bridges in 2011 = 2,143
Additional Investment of $15m per year would repair as many as 10 bridges depending on size and conditions
State Owned Bridges Added and Removed from the Red List
2013 Red List Bridges 145 State Owned Bridges
353 Municipal & Other Owned Bridges
2012: 11 Municipal Bridges Closed
Status and Estimated Costs – State Red List
• Ten Year Plan rehab/replace 98 of the 140 State Red List bridges.
• $680 M (2012 dollars) to rehabilitate or replace the current State Red List bridges.
• 100 State bridges were replaced last 10 yrs. • Current 10-Year Plan, 98 State bridges to be replaced =10/yr.• +200 years to replace all 2,143 State bridges. • $7.82 Billion is the estimated total value of the state-owned
bridges
NHDOT Positions VS DVMT & Lane Miles
1600
1650
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
Years
# of
Pos
ition
s
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Dai
ly V
ehic
le M
iles
Trav
el (
DVM
T) &
La
ne M
iles
# of PositionsLane MilesDVMTLinear (DVMT)
VMT 29% increase11% increase lane miles20% less # positions
57% of Staff eligible for retirement in next 5 years
One-time Non-Sustainable Operating Funding
• FY 06-07 Surplus from Highway Fund
• FY 08-09 Bonding $60m
• FY 10-11 Registration Surcharge $90m
I-95 Transfer $50m
• FY 12-13 I-95 Transfer $52m
• FY 14 -15 I-95 Transfer $ 30m
• FY 16 -17 Deficit -$48m & - $105m
In light of the recent Global Competitiveness Report rankings from the World Economic Forum on infrastructure quality which has listed the United States at 25th place—down from 9th place in 2009—such a major disruption to federal transportation investment will produce serious losses that threaten the gradual macroeconomic recovery seen in the last few years.
The Roads toNew Hampshire’s Future
Thank you for coming
December 19, 2013
TONIGHT: iUGO’s Festivus
January 6: Legislative Symposium & Reception
January 8: Business After Hours at Massage Envy ~ Nashua
HAPPY HOLIDAYS!
Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce
Upcoming Events
Register today at www.NashuaChamber.com