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Investor Roundtable Oil & Gas
Dr. Rainer Seele CEO Wintershall and President BASF Oil & Gas Division September 13, 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 2
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 3 3
1 | Overview & Strategy
2 | Exploration & Production
3 | Gas Transport
4 | Summary & Outlook
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
* Restated, figures for 2012 adjusted to changes in IFRS and new segment structure effective Jan. 1, 2013 Not depicted here: ~5% of BASFGroup sales reported under ‘Other‘ 4
Overview & Strategy
BASF today – A well balanced portfolio
Sales by segment 2012* (percent)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Significant advantages for BASF Group
5
Technological synergies through
BASF Research Verbund
Significant cash flow and stable earnings
Strong contributor to BASF’s profitable growth
Hydrocarbon hedge
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Continuous production growth
6
104 109 112 111 112 130 136 133
113 144
126
66
0255075
100125150175200
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 20131HY
Production* (million boe)
restated***
* Since November 2011 including Achimgaz ** Oil production in Libya suspended from February to October 2011 *** Restated, figures for 2012 adjusted to changes in IFRS
**
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Strong earnings contribution from Oil & Gas
7
433 480 601
857 789 951
712
923 1.064
1.201
677
0
300
600
900
1.200
1.500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20131HY
Net income Oil & Gas (million €)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Strong free cash flow contribution to BASF Group
8
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20131HY
Cash flow Oil & Gas* (million €)
Operating cash flow Oil & Gas
* Wintershall cash flow, not BASF Group consolidated view ** Free cash flow: Operating cash flow less payments related to property, plant and equipment and intangible assets
Free cash flow** Oil & Gas
∼45% of operating cash flow delivered to BASF Group (Avg. 2003-2012)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
2008
2012
2008-2012: – Oil & Gas: Solid profit
contributor to BASF Group
– Oil & Gas accounted for 30% of BASF Group capex
EBITDA share of Oil & Gas in BASF‘s portfolio expected to remain in the same order of magnitude in the upcoming years
Capex share of Oil & Gas business in BASF portfolio will slightly decline
Key facts
* Excluding non-deductible oil taxes **Fixed assets, tangible assets from acquisitions, activated exploration expenditures
Average EBITDA* 2008-2012 (€ billion)
Cumulative capex (plant, property, equipment) (€ billion)
BASF Group w/o Oil & Gas
7.0 (76%)
BASF Group w/o Oil & Gas
12.3 (70%)
Oil & Gas 2.2 (24%)
Oil & Gas 5.2** (30%)
2008
2012 -
-
9
Overview & Strategy
Share of Oil & Gas in BASF portfolio
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas provides earnings stability
10
01.0002.0003.0004.0005.0006.0007.0008.000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
EBIT before special items BASF Group* (million €) Excluding non-compensable taxes on oil production
* Excluding non-compensable taxes on oil production
EBIT bSI* Oil & Gas EBIT bSI BASF Group w/o Oil & Gas
2012(restated)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 11
BASF R&D
Verbund
Overview & Strategy
Adding value as One Company – Leveraging BASF’s Research Verbund
* EOR: Enhanced Oil Recovery BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Polymer injector
Production well
Overview & Strategy
Enhanced oil recovery – Schizophyllan BASF’s proprietary technology
12
Schizophyllan – proprietary biopolymer
Produced by a fungus in pilot scale plant at BASF
General principle: – Polymer added to injection
water, which then becomes more viscous
– Remaining oil is then more effectively pushed towards production well
– Increased incremental oil recovery of up to 10% on waterflooding
Key facts
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Focus on upstream activities
13
Oil & Gas Value Chain
Upstream Downstream
Exploration / Development / Production Transport Storage / Trading
Upstream
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 14
Natural Gas
Focus Oil & Gas business on attractive E&P activities 1 Exit natural gas
storage and trading business
3
Overview & Strategy
Active portfolio management – Focus on profitable upstream activities
2 Harvest gas transport business
Exploration / Development / Production Upstream Natural Gas
Storage / Trading Transport
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 15 15
1 | Overview & Strategy
2 | Exploration & Production
3 | Gas Transport
4 | Summary & Outlook
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
BASF Oil & Gas – Key facts
>80 years of experience in E&P
16
partnerships
(e.g. Gazprom, Statoil)
Strong
expertise Technological
focus Clear
(e.g. core regions)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
BASF Oil & Gas – Key facts 2012
Production
million boe (2012 restated) 126
Reserves and resources
1.2 billion boe proved (1P) reserves
1.7 billion boe discovered resources
9 years reserves/ production ratio
17 BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Oil & Gas – Clear strategy for further profitable growth
18
”Growing at the source”
E&P Core regions Low risk exploration
Focus Technology Partnerships BASF Research
Verbund EOR
Strategic partnerships with regional resource holders
Long-term profitable growth
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 19
Core region Development region
Operating company / production
Representative office
Current activities
Current activities in development region
South America
North Africa
Europe Russia
Caspian Sea Region
Middle East
.
Exploration & Production
Clear regional focus: Four core regions and two development regions
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Exploration & Production – Regional footprint 2012 (1)
20
Russia stands for roughly 50% of total production
In 2012, natural gas accounted for approx. 75% of total production
Production
Russia provides strong reserve base
Gas accounts for roughly 75% of total reserves
Reserves
Russia/ Caspian Sea
47% North Africa/ Middle East 16%
Europe 16%
South America 21%
126 million
boe
North Africa/ Middle East 12%
Europe 11%
South America 18%
Proved 1P reserves by region 2012 (million boe)
1.2 billion
boe
* Restated, figures for 2012 adjusted to changes in IFRS; Libya onshore 51%
Russia/ Caspian Sea
59%
Production by region 2012 (million boe)*
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Europe account for more than 50% of sales
Sales
Russia is strongest earnings contributor, including at-equity income of €109 million, mainly from Yuzhno Russkoye
Net income
Exploration & Production
Exploration & Production – Regional footprint 2012 (2)
21
Europe 22%
Net income E&P by region 2012 (million €)
South America 8%
North Africa/ Middle East 10%
Sales E&P by region* 2012 (million €)
North Africa/ Middle East 5%
Europe 55%
South America 15%
€2.6 billion
€983 million
Russia/ Caspian Sea
60%
Russia/ Caspian Sea
25%
* Restated, figures for 2012 adjusted to changes in IFRS; Libya onshore accounted for at-equity
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
2015 target maintained despite restatement (Effect: -18 million boe in 2012)
Continue to significantly invest in core and development regions
E&P Capex 2013-2015 ~€2.0 billion**
– Russia/Caspian Sea ~€0.5 billion
– Europe ~€1.2 billion
– South America and Middle East ~€0.3 billion
Exploration & Production
Oil & Gas – Excellent further growth opportunities
22
Production volumes (million boe)*
0
50
100
150
200
2012* 2015 target
>160
126
Russia
South America
North Africa/Middle East Europe
* Restated, figures for 2012 adjusted to changes in IFRS; 2012 reported: 144 million boe ** Without capex in financial participations
Key Facts
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
1.
2.
3.
4.
Russia Further expand gas and condensate production in Western Siberia
Exploration & Production
Key initiatives for further profitable growth
Europe Develop discoveries to production, with particular focus on Norway
South America Realize resource potential in Argentina
Middle East Apply technology and develop to core region
23
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 24
Global natural gas reserves (trillion m³)*
0
5
10
15
Average acquisition cost per 2P reserves ($/boe)**
Russia has largest natural gas reserves and resources worldwide Proximity to European market Comparably low development cost for 2P reserves
Russia 24%
195 trillion
m³
* Source: BGR 2012 ** Source: Herold Global Upstream M+A Review 2013
Russia/ CIS
Africa/ Middle East
Asia Pacific
Latin America
United States
Europe Canada
Exploration & Production
Russia – ¼ of global natural gas resources, attractive reserve cost
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
BASF Oil & Gas – Unique partnership with Gazprom for more than 20 years
25
Balance of interests
trust & respect – complementary interests – promise & deliver
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Russia – Building on the unique partnership with Gazprom
26
25 billion m3 p.a.* plateau production
8 billion m3 p.a.* by 2018 plateau production
up to
>8 billion m3 p.a.* plateau production
Yuzhno Russkoye Maintain level for 10 years
Achimgaz Further development Block IA
Achimov Blocks IV & V Start joint development
* Russian Standard Conditions (RSC) ** Equals ~300,000 boe/d
million boe p.a. by 2018** ~110
Production growth in Russia
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Russia – Asset swap with Gazprom (Achimov Blocks IV and V)
27
Expansion of successful partnership with Gazprom
Strengthening of E&P activities by acquiring shares in Blocks IV and V in the huge Achimov formation
Exit of natural gas trading and storage business by transferring Wintershall shares to Gazprom
Transaction financially retroactive to April 1, 2013. Closing is subject to approval by the relevant authorities.
Key field data: – Total resources: 2.4 billion boe – Plateau production: >8 billion cubic meters natural gas* – Production start: 2016 planned – Wintershall share: 25% plus one share
* Russian Standard Conditions (RSC)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Natural gas pricing related to European gas prices and Russian domestic gas prices – Limited oil price exposure
Gas production sold according to long-term contracts – Low physical sales risks
Long-term production upsides due to huge proven undeveloped reserves in Russia
Exploration & Production
Oil & Gas – Strong returns from Russia
28
Net income (€/boe)*
0
25
50
75
100
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
* Source: BASF Report
Key Facts Oil price (€/barrel)
Net income per boe from activities in Russia
Oil price
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Europe – Building on significant growth opportunities in the North Sea
40,000 boepd in 2013
Norway Increase production from 3,000 to
profits Germany Strong
∼240 licenses Strong project pipeline
expertise The Netherlands Center of excellence for offshore
29 BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 30
Revus acquisition provided the basis for our growth in the northern North Sea – Successful build-up of a new operating company
Participation in various promising oil discoveries, e.g. – Maria ∼60-120 million boe – Skarfjell ∼60-160 million boe – Knarr ∼85 million boe – Edvard Grieg ∼185 million boe
65% of Revus exploration resources (2008: ∼400 million
boe) already discovered
Balanced exploration portfolio – Exploration licenses: >50
(more than half with operatorship)
Exploration & Production
Revus acquisition pays off
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Excellent growth opportunities in the northern North Sea
31
Edvard Grieg 15% share (-15% out) Lundin*
Brage 32.7% share Wintershall to be
operator as of Oct. 1, 2013
Gjøa 15% share GDF Suez*
Bergen
Assets In
Asset Out
Existing Assets
Astero 25% share Statoil*
Vega 30% share Statoil*
* Operator
Broom 29% share EnQuest*
Knarr 20% share BG*
Grosbeak 45% share Wintershall*
Skarfjell 35% share Wintershall*
Maria 50% share Wintershall*
Crathes/ Scolty 50% share EnQuest*
Catcher 20% share Premier*
Cladhan 33.5% share Sterling*
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 32
Supply Optimize transport
logistics via location swap
Norwegian production to secure European supply
Technology Combine knowledge
on EOR and unconventional hydrocarbons
Exploration & Production
Norway – Strengthening our position through strategic partnership with Statoil
Production Equity in three producing
fields Vega, Gjøa and Brage Increase in production by
~37,000 boepd Brage: 1st own operated
producing field in Norway
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 © Øyvind Hagen
Exploration & Production
Transaction with Statoil closed* – Significant increase in cash flow and EBIT
33
37,000 boepd Production increase by
∼$800 Compensation payment
million** Brage Operatorship of
platform
* Closed on July 31, 2013 ** Agreed upon compensation payment of $1.35 billion reduced to around $800 million by earnings of the three fields (Vega, Gjøa and Brage)
generated in the first seven months of 2013. In addition, Wintershall assumes a tax liability in 2014 of around $300 million related to these profits.
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
South America – Realize resource potential in Argentina
34
potential Huge shale gas/oil
in Argentina
Attractive returns New gas price scheme in Argentina
15 oil & gas fields
Wintershall has stakes in
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Middle East – Leverage technological expertise to gain access to attractive fields
35
Abu Dhabi Develop Shuwaihat gas/condensate field in the western
region of Abu Dhabi
Wintershall: Operator in appraisal phase
Resources: 50-500 million boe
Production start: ~2020
Qatar Gas discovery Block 4 North (Khuff formation) offshore
Qatar
Wintershall: Operator
Resources: ~400 million boe
Production start: 2017
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Production growth from solid project pipeline (major projects)
36
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Norway
Development phase
Wingate Cladhan / Catcher
Knarr / Edvard Grieg / Maria Skarfjell
Achimgaz (FFD) Achimov Blocks IV / V*
Qatar: Block 4N
Vega Pleyade Shale Neuquen / Mendoza Fenix
Abu Dhabi: Shuwaihat
Hibonite
F 17a
* Closing is subject to approval by the relevant authorities
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 37 37
1 | Overview & Strategy
2 | Exploration & Production
3 | Gas Transport
4 | Summary & Outlook
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 38
Ludwigshafen
Düsseldorf
Krefeld
Aachen
Köln
Kassel
Hameln
Emden
Greifswald
Hamburg Schwerin
Berlin
OPA
L
Brandov
Frankfurt/O.
Erfurt
NEL
STEGAL
Kiel
Key facts Germany as distribution hub
for Europe GASCADE with a pipeline
system of ~2,300 km OPAL: in operation since 2011 Nord Stream: in operation
since 2012 NEL: first sections in operation
since 2012; completion expected in autumn 2013
South Stream: under construction; startup expected for 2015
Netherlands
France
Belgium
Poland
Czech Republic
Gas Transport
Efficient pipeline network – Well connected to major European distribution hubs
Nürnberg
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Gas Transport
Gas transport business – Stable earnings contribution
39
Gas transport business generates stable earnings – Non-regulated pipelines: Ship-or-pay contracts; earnings independent from demand fluctuations – Regulated pipelines: Fixed tariffs
Security of supply through participation in transit pipelines – Securing deliveries from Russian gas to Western Europe
Recent investment focus on non-regulated pipelines offering more attractive returns – Nord Stream offshore – OPAL – South Stream offshore
Total investments pipeline infrastructure: €3.3 billion* (BASF share) – GASCADE: >€1.5 billion (BASF share) – OPAL, NEL: ~€0.65 billion (BASF share) – Nord Stream offshore: €1.15 billion (BASF share: 15.5%, financial investment, not part of capex)
* Investments until 1HY 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 40 40
1 | Overview & Strategy
2 | Exploration & Production
3 | Gas Transport
4 | Summary & Outlook
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Outlook & Summary
BASF Oil & Gas – Outlook 2013 Sales and earnings increase
41
Exploration & Production In 2013, we expect an increase in sales and earnings due to higher production volumes. Overall, we anticipate higher production due to the further field development of Achimgaz
and our transaction with Statoil in Norway.
Natural Gas Trading In 2013, we expect a decrease in earnings due to margin pressure. We anticipate natural gas sales volumes to be on prior-year level.
Assumptions 2013 - Average oil price: $105 per barrel Brent - Average exchange rate: $1.30 per €
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 42
BASF’s Oil & Gas division – Summary and roadmap 2015
Strong E&P portfolio with access to high potential acreage
Low risk strategy with focus on regions of expertise and limited exploration risk
Solid project pipeline
Powerful partnerships in key regions
Oil & Gas maintains ambitious production target despite restatement due to changes in IFRS
Reduction of downstream / natural gas trading exposure
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 43
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 44
Back-up
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Experienced management team
45
Dr. Gerhard König 11 years with Wintershall 21 years experience in the gas trading industry
Dr. Ties Tiessen 17 years with Wintershall
Head of Exploration & Production Operating Companies, Exploration, Development, Technology, Engineering
CFO Finance, Legal, Taxes, Insurance, Procurement, Sales Oil & Gas
Head of Natural Gas Trading Gas Trading, Gas Storage, Gas Transport, Regulation Management
Mario Mehren 7 years with Wintershall
Head of Russia Wintershall Russia, Achimgaz, Senior Project South Stream/ Nord Stream
Dr. Rainer Seele 17 years with Wintershall
CEO Strategy &
Portfolio management, Communications,
Energy Politics, HR, HSE
Martin Bachmann 4 years with Wintershall 29 years experience in E&P industry
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
0
50
100
150
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Production and trading volumes
46
Oil
Gas
Production (million boe)*
thereof Germany
Europe
144
104 109 112 111 112 130 136 133
113
2012 2013 H1
66
126
restated 2012
0
20
40
60
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 H1* Since November 2011 incl. Achimgaz ** Including sales to BASF
Natural Gas Trading (billion m³)**
47
29 30 33 35 37 42 39 41 42
27
CAGR 4% p.a.
CAGR 6% p.a.
2012
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 ** EBIT bSI more than halved due to deconsolidation of Wintershall AG (Libya). Net income remains unchanged
0
30
60
90
120
0
5
10
15
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Sales and earnings
47
Sales* (billion €)
E&P
Gas Trading
2012 2013 H1
0
1
2
3
4
5
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011* Sales to third parties. Restated sales lower mainly due to the deconsolidation of Wintershall AG (Libya)
2012 2013 H1
E&P
Gas Trading
16.7
4.8 5.3
7.7
10.7 10.5
14.4
11.4 12.1 12.7
10.8
7.5
4.1
1.4 1.6
2.4
3.3 3.0
3.8
2.3 2.4 2.1 1.9
1.0
restated 2012
restated 2012
Brent oil (€/bbl) CAGR
15% p.a.
CAGR 13% p.a.
EBIT before special items** (billion €)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Overview & Strategy
Oil & Gas – Higher production volumes drive earnings
48
88
208
59
280
0
100
200
300
400
Q2/2012 Net Income Q2/2013 Net Income
Exploration & Production
525 (10%)
Natural Gas Trading 2,311 +17% €2,836
+10%
Q2’13 segment sales (million €) vs. Q2’12 EBIT bSI/Net income (million €)
Natural Gas Trading
Exploration & Production
Net income
Sales development Period Volumes Prices/Currencies Portfolio
Q2’13 vs. Q2’12 10% 0% 0%
330
242 323
382
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 49
Back-up
Market Environment
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Market environment
Market trends
Difficult Reserve access
50
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Energy demand grows mainly in emerging markets – in particular in China and India
Increasing energy efficiency enables GDP to grow faster than energy demand
Positive growth rates for all fuels, renewables with highest rates
Key facts
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2012; original figures in toe (1 toe = 7.332 boe) 51
Primary energy demand (million boe)
Oil Natural Gas
Nuclear Coal Renewables
Market environment
Fossil fuels will continue to dominate the primary energy demand
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
2010 2015 2020
93,000 103,000
109,000
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 52 52
Europe
Africa
Caspian Region
40
Asia Pacific South and
Central America
132
795 15 Russia
88
8 (46)
15 (88)
80 (484)
16 (101)
46 (278)
4 (26)
Oil, in billion boe
Natural Gas, in trillion m3 (billion boe)
Global oil and gas reserves
Natural Gas total reserves:
~195 trillion m3
(≅ 1,180 billion boe)
Oil total reserves:
~1,580 billion boe
Source: BGR 2012
Middle East 41
17 (103)
246
10 (60)
225
North America
Market environment
Global oil and gas reserves
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Market environment
Changing competitive landscape – Technology key for partnerships
53
Reserve access getting more
difficult – Predominantly owned by national
oil companies (NOCs) – E&P technology gaining more
importance
Risk is increasing as reservoirs are getting more complex
Large investments are needed to meet growing energy demand
International oil companies (IOC) ~15%
National oil companies (NOC)
~85%
Technology ~40%
Drivers for largest M&A transactions 2012**
Resource ~60%
Holders of global Oil & Gas reserves 2011*
* Source: Oil & Gas Journal, WoodMackenzie, own calculation ** Source: Herold, own calculation
Key facts
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 54
0
5
10
15
20
Implied 3-years weighted average reserve replacement costs ($/boe)*
Russia has by far the lowest reserve replacement costs
Russia/ CIS
Africa/ Middle East
Asia Pacific
Latin America
United States
Europe Canada
Market environment
Reserve replacement costs by region
* Source: IHS Herold 2012, including acquisition, exploration and development expenditures
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Market environment
Growing import need for natural gas in Europe (EU 27)
55
European supply/demand balance gas (billion m³)
European natural gas demand to increase from 490 billion m³ in 2012 to 550 billion m³ in 2020
End of oversupply expected by 2015
Shale gas not anticipated to compensate for declining domestic production
Additional imports needed in 2020 to cover projected supply/demand gap
Domestic production Pipeline imports** LNG supply* Demand
490 550 530
* FID Source: IHS CERA, Arthur D. Little, own calculation
Key facts
** Incl. contract prolongations
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Market environment
Growing importance of Russia for European natural gas supply (EU 27)
56 Source: IHS CERA, BP, own calculations
Other Imports (LNG)
Imports Russia/Caspian Region (Pipeline)
Imports North Africa (Pipeline)
Europe Domestic production
European natural gas supply
2012 23% 2020 17-20%
2012 25% 2020 25-30%
2012 7% 2020 7-10%
2012 12% 2020 17-24%
2012 33% 2020 25%
Imports Norway (Pipeline)
. Natural decline of domestic gas
fields in Europe from 160 billion m³ in 2012 to 140 billion m³ in 2020 expected
Increasing importance of LNG imports in the middle and long run, particularly for UK, Spain and France
Russia to further increase gas exports into Europe from 115 billion m³ in 2012 to 140-160 billion m³ in 2020
Key facts
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Market environment
Convergence of spot and contract gas prices despite increasing shale gas / LNG
57
Increasing LNG volumes largely absorbed by strong gas demand in Asia
Additional gas volumes (LNG) used in Japan after the natural disaster to compensate for damaged nuclear and coal power generation
Growing shale gas production in US mainly impacts US gas spot prices
Recent developments Natural gas price development ($/mmbtu)
Spot price Europe (Zeebrugge Hub) German import price
Source: BAFA, Argus
Spot price US (Henry Hub)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 58
Back-up
Exploration & Production
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Reserves and R/P at constant level
59
R/P ratio at 9 years
Total 1P reserves (2012) 1,157 million boe
Gas accounts for roughly 75% of total reserves
Strong contribution to reserve replenishment from assets in Russia
Participation in Yuzhno Russkoye led to strong increase in reserves in 2007
Asset swap with Gazprom in 2007 reduced oil reserves significantly**
Key facts 1P Reserves* (million boe) R/P (years)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
2003 2006 2009 2012
Oil Natural gas R/P
* According to SEC guidelines; since Nov 2011 including Achimgaz; Libya onshore 51%
** Gazprom received a minority interest of 49% in a subsidiary of Wintershall, which holds the rights of the onshore concessions (C96/C97) in Libya
Reserve Replacement Rate (RRR, in percent)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
102 50 52 48 389 116 89 89 131 100
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Reserves and resources 2012
60
Stable proven reserve position
Strong discovered resource base built on – Exploration success
(e.g. Norway) – Resource access
(e.g. Russia) – Improved recovery
(e.g. technology)
Discovered resource contributions from – Russia – Europe – South America
Key facts Reserves and Resources 2012 (billion boe)
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
* Proved reserves based on SEC definitions
1.2 billion boe
1.7 billion boe Discovered resources
Proved (1P) reserves*
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 61
Wintershall and Gazprom agree on asset swap relating to Blocks IV and V of the Achimov formation of the Urengoy natural gas and condensate field
Wintershall to receive 25% plus 1 share in Blocks IV and V of the Achimov formation with the option to further increase the share in the two deposits
Gazprom to receive: – 50% share in Wintershall Noordzee, which is active in the exploration and production of oil and gas in
the southern North Sea (Netherlands, UK, Denmark) – 50% shares (thus taking over 100%) in the gas trading companies WINGAS, WIEH and WIEE,
including shares in the natural gas storage facilities in Rehden and Jemgum, Germany, as well as Haidach, Austria, and the gas storage operator astora
– Activities to be divested contributed in total about €10 billion to sales and roughly €500 million to EBITDA of BASF Group in 2012
Transaction financially retroactive to April 1, 2013. Closing is subject to approval by the relevant authorities.
Ownership of gas transportation business unaffected
Exploration & Production
Asset swap with Gazprom – Transaction highlights
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 62
Focuses BASF’s Oil & Gas business on highly profitable upstream exploration and production activities and delivering medium-term earnings uplift
Provides access to attractive, condensate-rich Achimov assets
Significantly increases Wintershall’s resource base
Further strengthens the strategic partnership with Gazprom and Wintershall’s focus on Russia as a core region for Oil & Gas
Through participation in Nord Stream (15.5%) and South Stream (15%) respectively, Wintershall will contribute to reliable transportation of natural gas from Russia to Europe
Exploration & Production
Asset swap with Gazprom – Strategic rationale
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 63
Key field data: – Targeted field depth: ~3,600 meters – Total resources of Blocks IV and V: 2.4 billion boe
− 274 billion m³* of natural gas − 74 million tons of condensate
BASF share (600 million boe) equivalent to approx. 20% of total BASF hydrocarbon resource base as at Dec 31, 2011
Plateau production potential of >8 billion m³* p.a. in total for the two additional blocks
Synergies through regional and technological expertise of both partners
Start of production is planned for 2016
* Russian Standard Conditions (RSC)
Exploration & Production
Asset swap with Gazprom – Achimov Blocks IV and V key facts
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Denmark – Exploration success
64
Oil discovery Hibonite in March 2013 in the Danish sector of the North Sea
The Hibonite prospect lies around seven kilometers north of the Ravn field which was successfully appraised in 2009
Partner: Wintershall (operator) 35%, Bayerngas 30%, NordsØfonden 20%, EWE 15%
Key field data: – 278 kilometer west of Esbjerg (DK) – Water depth: ~50 meters – Resources: ~100 million bbl (oil in place) – Targeted field depth: 4,431 meters – Production start: end of 2015 at the earliest
Next steps: – Evaluating commercial viability, further upside potential and
development synergies with the nearby Ravn discovery
64
Denmark
Norway Hibonite
The Netherlands
Germany
Den Helder
Amsterdam
Rijswjk
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Denmark
Norway
Exploration & Production
Netherlands – Exploration success
65
In December 2012 Wintershall discovered oil in the exploration license F17a in the Dutch North Sea
Most southern extension of the chalk trend ranging from Norway through Denmark to the Netherlands
Partner: Wintershall (operator) 30%, EBN 40%, GDF SUEZ 20%, Rosewood 5%, TAQA Offshore 5%
Key field data: – 120 kilometer north of Den Helder (NL) – Water depth: ~44 meters – Resources: at least 30 million bbl – Targeted field depth: 1,490 meters – Production start: end of 2015 at the earliest
Next steps: – Appraisal drilling planned in 2013 – Additional nearby chalk exploration
F17-CK1
The Netherlands
Germany
Den Helder
Amsterdam
Rijswjk
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Middle East - Shuwaihat project in Abu Dhabi
66
Shuwaihat is a discovered gas/condensate field (containing H2S and CO2) in the western region of Abu Dhabi
Wintershall is the operator in the appraisal phase with OMV as a partner on a 50/50 basis
Wintershall has more than four decades expertise to produce and to purify H2S and CO2 containing gas
Key field data: – 200 km west of Abu Dhabi – Water depth: 0-15 meters – Resources: 50-500 million boe – Targeted field depth: 3,400 meters – Production start: ~2020
Next steps: – An appraisal campaign is required to confirm the reserves and
to define the development plan
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Middle East – Gas discovery offshore Qatar
67
Qatar Petroleum (QP), Wintershall and Mitsui discovered gas in the exploration Block 4 North (Khuff formation) offshore Qatar
Wintershall and QP entered into an exploration and production sharing agreement for the Block in 2008
Wintershall (80%) is operator, Mitsui (20%) joined in 2010 as partner
Key field data: – Discovery is located in direct proximity to the largest gas field
in the world, the North Field – Water depth: ~70 meters – Resources: ~70 billion cubic meter of gas (~400 million boe) – Targeted field depth: 3,500 meters – Production start: early 2017
Next steps: – Assessment of the economic field development
67
Block 4N
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Iran
North Field
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Exploration & Production
Argentina – Strong position with vast shale oil/gas potential
68
Participation in 15 oil and gas fields in Argentina – Active since 1978 – 26 million boe annual production 2012 – 4th largest gas producer – Applying leading-edge technologies to improve recovery – Activities in the provinces of Neuquén, Tierra del Fuego and
recently Mendoza
Field development in Tierra del Fuego and Neuquén
One of the regions with the best prospects for shale gas and shale oil outside North America with great potential in the Vaca Muerta horizon in the Neuquén basin
Operatorship for exploration licenses in the province of Mendoza for the Blocks CN-V and Ranquil Norte in 2012 awarded
New gas price scheme with significant gas price incentives for new gas projects
Santa Rosa
Buenos Aires
Exploration
Exploration
Production
Argentina
Chile
Tierra del Fuego
Operated blocks
Non operated blocks
Neuquén
Mendoza
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 69
Back-up
Outlook & Summary
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
2012 restated 2013
Financial performance
Sales to 3rd parties: €12.7 billion EBIT before special items: €1.9 billion Net income: €1.2 billion
E&P: In 2013, we expect an increase in sales and earnings due to higher production volumes. Natural Gas Trading: Decrease in earnings due to margin pressure.
Production volumes Total production: 126 million boe Overall higher production expected due to the further field development of Achimgaz and our transaction with Statoil in Norway.
Sales volumes Natural gas sales: 47 billion m³ Natural gas sales expected on similar level.
Investments*/ Expenditures
Investments 2008-2012 (IFRS old):~€5.2 billion thereof E&P: ~€3.1 billion thereof Natural Gas Trading: ~€2.1 billion
Investments** 2013-2015: ~ €2.4 billion thereof E&P: ~ €2.0 billion thereof Natural Gas Trading: ~ €0.4 billion
Macroeconomic assumptions
Average oil price (brent): $112 per barrel Average exchange rate: $1.28 per €
Forecast 2013: $105 per barrel $1.30 per €
Outlook & Summary
Oil & Gas – Outlook 2013
70 * Incl. tangible assets from acquisitions, activated exploration expenditures, without capex in financial participations
** Without tangible assets from acquisitions and activated exploration expenditures
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013
Appendix Benchmarking
71
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 72
Production growth (percent p.a.) Five year average 2008-2012
-3.3
-1.2-1.0
-0.5
0.81.2
1.4
1.51.8
2.3
4.26.1
9.8
-5 0 5 10 15Wintershall
17.6
17.117.1
16.5
16.316.2
15.8
14.914.1
13.4
13.25.9
5.4
0 5 10 15 20
Production costs ($/boe) Five year average 2008-2012
Average peers
1.7
14.8
Peers Source: Herold, SEC, own calculation Peer Group represents an average of the E&P industry
Wintershall
Exploration & Production
Wintershall – Positioned competitively (1)
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 73
F&D cost ($/boe) Five year average 2008-2012
74.5
58.7
58.142.6
33.4
31.5
30.327.5
26.4
21.3
16.314.6
10.7
0 20 40 60 80
63.1
57.7
40.028.6
28.1
27.9
24.623.6
19.0
15.1
15.114.2
8.3
0 20 40 60 80
Reserve replacement costs ($/boe) Five year average 2008-2012
36.3 29.8
Exploration & Production
Wintershall – Positioned competitively (2)
Wintershall Average peers Peers Source: Herold, SEC, own calculation Peer Group represents an average of the E&P industry
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 74
Reserve replacement (percent) Five year average 2008-2012
150
134134
130
128
105
100
26
219
133
118
8782
0 50 100 150 200 250
16.4
15.2
13.012.8
12.6
12.5
11.411.3
11.2
10.3
10.210.0
8.7
0 5 10 15 20
Reserve/Production ratio (years) Five year average 2008-2012
120 12.1
Exploration & Production
Wintershall – Positioned competitively (3)
Wintershall Average peers Peers Source: Herold, SEC, own calculation Peer Group represents an average of the E&P industry
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 75
Oil & Gas EBIT
Financial results
= Income before taxes and minority interests
./. Income taxes (incl. non-compensable oil taxes in Libya)
./. Minority interests
= Net income
50%
15.5% 51% 100%
Wintershall AG (Libya) Achimgaz WINGAS Nord Stream
offshore
100%
Yuzhno Russkoye SNGP Gas Mktg C.*
-50%-1 of after tax income
Projects with Gazprom – Impact on BASF’s P&L
* Gas marketing company
35%
BASF Oil & Gas, September 2013 76