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Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Getting Attention 2.0: Artists and Audiences in a Connected World
Presentation at the Scottish Arts Council ‘Partnerships 2.0’ event in Edinburgh
October 23, 2008
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
This is a Future that is yoursEric Schmidt (Google): Almost all of the historic models have limitations in what consumers could do. You could only watch television on a television.
You could only listen to radio on a radio.
Technology now allows you to mix and match, to do anything you want.
The business models that empower end users are the ones that will win.
The business models that say no to an end use will ultimately be replaced by one that empowers end users because eventually the consumer gets
what they want.
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Friction is Fiction.
We either engage or we... enrage.
We participate or we... are participated
Now, for us as ‘Content’ Creators...
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Everything is going digital...3000 Books published every single Day
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist When?
We often overestimate how quickly it will happen
We often underestimate the magnitude of the
changes when it does happen
We have already overestimated the
Internet for the past 10 years!3% of the world on broadband now10% on broadband in 18 months
4 Billion mobile users in 12 monthsThursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Imagine: 4 Billion phones connected to the Internet =
4 Billion people looking for Content!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Source: Flickr hillarylmrore
This is very good news indeed
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Formerly
AudienceConsumerListenerCustomerBuyer
Now
UsersCo-CreatorsContributorsPeersProducersPromoters...
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
These People are your new Marketing, Sales and Promotions Team
UsersCo-CreatorsContributorsPeersProducersPromoters...
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
T h e r e s u l t o f t h i s e x p l o d i n gB r o a d b a n d C u l t u r e :
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
The Coelho Story: ‘Piracy’ as business model
"I found a pirated Russian translation of "The Alchemist", and we were selling 1000 copies a year in Russia, that's not very impressive, so I said OK, let's put the pirate edition online for people to download".
“In 2001 it sold 10'000 copies, and everybody was puzzled, and the next year we went over 100'000".
His publisher had not done any particular promotion.
"It was, believe it or not, the free-for-download book. People downloaded it, started reading it, liked it, and bought it...In the third
year we had over 1 million copies, now we're over 10 million copies in Russia".
“Publishers have a tendency to try to protect the content.
It's a lost battle”Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Protectingour Creations is
“Mission Impossible”
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Asking the ISPs to deep-
package inspect their traffic
and then enforce the rules of
an industry that has utterly
failed to adapt their business
model, is asking for
CensorshipThursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
For Creators,Obscurity is a much
greater threat than so-called Piracy
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Instead of Control, Trust is the key to success in a Networked World
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2008/apr/21/netmusic
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Without sharing, the creative industries are dead in the water
"In the past you were what you owned. Now you are what you share."
Charles Leadbeater – We Think
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
The traditional Western Paradigm of ‘Copyright as Sole Value of Content’ is unsustainable
“Copy = Most of the Value”
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
You can’t really ‘own’ the copy any more but
You can own the Context, the Meaning, the Relevance, the Experience, the Embodiment, the Timing...Let people share your creations and you will win.
Attention begets income.Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
A web-native content business model...?Based on flat-rate / free access first, then Copy
Based on allowing use not preventing copy
Based many revenue streams selling-copies
Driven by Sharing, User-to-User
Decentralized (user-to-user)
Powered by next-generation Advertising
Multi-platform access but mostly mobile!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
The ‘old’ model won’t work.
Source: UniversalMcCann waves report
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
This is a very serious change
Copy Economy
Access / Usage / Share
EconomyThursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Our Future as Creatives: Attention-based Income explodes while Copy-based income declines *for now
Copy Based RevenuesAttention Based Revenues
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Media 2.0: networked, web-native, de-centralized, collaborative, engaged, transparent
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Now: the PFKaC, together, can beat ‘the Firms’
Media is social... again!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Let’s talk about Hits
It’s all about Niche Success Now
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
First, it’s about Attention - and then
it’s about converting it to cash!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
๏ Professional amateurs only๏ 60.000 part-time photographers๏ 3.5 Million images and 100.000 videos๏ 38 forum posts per minute๏ Paid out $27 Million to creators in 2007๏ 2 Million customers buying๏ Sold for $50 Million to Getty Images in 2005๏ Huge cost savings for design firms etc๏ Great example for lower cost AND higher convenience๏ Great example for the power of Pro-Am sourcing๏ Non-crowdsourced incumbents find it hard to compete
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Get used to the concept of 3rd party payments
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
The web powers the global trend towards Feels Like Free
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
MusicFilms / TV / Video
Books / PrintGAmes / Interactive
Software
And then...
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Now,we must ‘sell’ things
that can’t be copied
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
• If copies lose their ‘value’ we must sell something that can’t be copied
•Sell the package - not just the content•Sell experiences and performances•Sell your ‘brand’
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Generating Attention• Yes, people want to get to know you• People must hear about you in many different places • People must hear about you repeatedly *but with the same message
• Learning to “Fish where the fish are” is crucial
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
But how to find the time?
• As a creator, you need to know this• Setting it up takes some real time, but
afterwards it can be as little as 30 min / day• This is YOU we are talking about - people
want to connect with YOU• If you don’t talk nobody will listen!• Get your fans to help you *** Crowd-sourcing
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Some New Possibilities
‣Have your fans decide where to do the next gig (Facebook or Myspace group?)
‣Have your fans upload pictures of you
‣Find your next video director online
‣Source collaborators that will work for free
‣Have agents discover you online
‣Find licensors for your content online (films, ads, games etc)
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
But you still need to fish where the fish are!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
No, it’s not all just
• Attention Deficit Disorder on the rise everywhere•The sheer Noise can be brutal• Digital Obesity becomes common• Privacy becomes something you have to ask for• Digital Darwinism may occur• The world is your oyster... and your competition!
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Yes, there are many issues, but:
The evils of ‘too open’ or ‘too much
freedom’ will always pale compared
to the evils of closed, central,
controlled and authoritarian system
*which is what we had ;)
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
What used to matter...
LocationAge
Gender
RacePedigree
Qualification
Cash
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist What will matter
Merit Credibility
CreativityQuality
Reputation
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
"When the winds of change are blowing, some people are building shelters, and others are building windmills." Chinese Proverb
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Gerd Leonhard Media Futurist
Thanks for listening!
www.mediafuturist.com www.twitter.com/gleonhard
gleonhard on Facebook
www.music20thebook.com
www.endofcontrol.com
Thursday, October 23, 2008