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MONGOLIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
AND
INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
John P. Finigan, CEO
NAMBC 6th October
MINING AND MINERALS
2
- 82 of the total 111 elements of the Periodic Table i.e. 73% of all elements are found in Mongolian commercially exploitable
volumes.
- 25 or 62.5% of the 40 heavy elements are found in Mongolia.
Overview of the Mongolian Economy
3
Sustained Real GDP Growth
Mongolia has witnessed steady economic growth driven by an influx of foreign investment and
abundant natural resources
- Nominal GDP 2010 = MNT8.4 trillion = USD 6.7 billion
(up by +27.7% yoy in nominal terms)
Nominal GDP 2011H1 = MNT4.8 trillion = USD 3.8
billion (up by +29.1% yoy in nominal terms)
- Real GDP 2011 H1 growth = +14.3%
- Agrilculture +6.0%
- Industry & Construction: +10.1%
- Services: +16.2%
- Budget revenue: +27.1%
- Industrial Production: +8.9% yoy, Mining +8.2% yoy,
Manufacturing 12.1% yoy, Energy 4.2% yoy
- 2011 August Inflation = 9.0%
- 2011 August Exports = $2,889.0 mln (up 61.1% yoy)
- 2011 August Imports = $4,191.1 mln (up 113.3% yoy)
- 2011 August Deficit = $1,302.1 mln (up ×7.6)
Recent Fiscal and Monetary Policy Reform in Mongolia
4
Recent Government Policy Reform Total Public External Debt
Source: IMF Mongolia Country Report (Mar 2011)
Mongolia remains committed to sound macroeconomic policies and structural reforms to
further strengthen macroeconomic stability and sustain high growth with low inflation
Expected economic growth of 15% in
2011, following an expansionary 2011 budget
(Q1 9.9; Q2 17.3, H1 14.3)
Exchange rate policy: flexible exchange rate
regime
Range: Dec ‘10 – 1,257
Low YTD 1,292 – Oct ‘11
High YTD 1,195 – Feb’11
Volatility Range – 8.12%
Official reserves as of August ‘11: US$2.6bn
External debt <40% - effectively all long term at
concessionary ratio
■ 2012 GDP >25%
■ Long term focus • Industrial expansion to fund investment in
health, education, infrastructure:
communications, electricity and water, agricultural job
creation, poverty reduction and improvement in overall
welfare of citizens
31
4743
39 37
2724
2015
2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
0.71.3
2.3
3.64.1
4.5 4.6
5.46.1
2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
Gross Official Reserves
(US$ mm)
(US$ bn)
Source: IMF Mongolia Country Report (Mar 2011)
Key Regulations - Investment Environment
•
•
• A foreign investor may invest in the following:
•
• 1) freely convertible currencies and MNT
• 2) moveable and immovable property and property rights
• 3) intellectual and industrial property rights
• 4) in any sector not predicted by law.
• 1) Guaranteed by the Constitution and by international treaties
• 2) Shall not be unlawfully expropriated
• 3) May be expropriated only for public purposes or interests
• 4) Unless provided otherwise by international treaties to compensation determined by value
of expropriated assets at the time of expropriation or public notice of expropriation. Such
compensation shall be paid without delay.
• 5) Losses suffered by foreign investors due to a state of emergency or war in Mongolia
shall be treated equally with losses suffered by Mongolian investors.
5
Mongolia accords to foreign investors no less favorable treatment in respect of the
possession, use, and disposal of their investments than that accorded to Mongolian investors.
Foreign Investment Law of Mongolia (1993)
Legal guarantees for foreign investment
6
Key Banking Regulatory Milestones
Law of Mongolia on
Deposits, Loans and
Transaction came
into force
The Foreign Exchange
Settlement was passed
Bank’s Deposit Guarantee
was enacted and later
amended in 2010
Amendments on all the
key laws in this period
Major amendments to
Banking Law in 2010
Banking Law came into
force on March 9, 1996
Law of Mongolia on
Central Bank established
the role of the regulator
Amendments to Law of Mongolia on
Central Bank
– Quarterly public reporting required
– Independent audit firm required
– Minimum equity required
Introduced prudential regulatory in
capital adequacy, reserve and liquidity
management and exposure limits
Post recent crisis the Banking
Law increased the supervisory
powers of the
regulator, tightened
provisioning requirements and
key definitions, increased
capital adequacy and reserve
requirements, and etc
Several amendments made to
strengthen Law on
Deposits, Loan, Transactions and
Law on Central Bank
Enacted law on Anti-Money
Laundrering and Terrorism financing
Established Financial Stability
Committee
Regulation of the financial sector has evolved rapidly towards international standards through
a relatively short history
Evolution Of Regulatory Framework
7
Key Regulations – Banking Law
Banking supervision
Empowers BOM to set requirements such as compulsory reserves, capital adequacy and other prudential requirements
Recent amendments significantly increased BOM’s power to deal with troubled banks
Policy rate 11.75%
Exposure Limits (Article 17 of Banking Law)
Guarantees – shall not exceed total value of equity
Single party – less than 20% of capital
Related party exposure less than 5% of capital
Securities purchase less than 20% of capital
Asset-backed securities – less than 50% of capital
A bank can only own up to 10% of another company
Selected Elements of the Banking Law
Source: Banking Law of Mongolia
The Banking Law 2010 empowers BOM to regulate commercial banks in Mongolia
Current BoM Prudential Regulations
8
Capital Adequacy Ratio > 12% Capital
Forex Exposure - Single Currency < 15% Aggregate < 40% Capital
Liquidity Ratio >18%
Single Borrower / Group < 20% Capital
Related Party Exposure < 5%
Policy Rate - 11.75%
9
Rapid Growth of Banking Sector with
Strong Underlying Fundamentals
Source: IMF and BOM
* - Annualized (Bank internal estimation)
Mongolia‟s banking sector has significantly outperformed the economy and has grown faster
than the economy in the last three years
Ongoing Financial Stability is EncouragingSignificant Growth in Banking Assets
(MNT bn, %) Banking sector is currently enjoying a
robust growth
2010: 41.2%
2011 H1 55.7%
Strengthening of the overall
regulatory framework
Establishment of the Mongolian
Development Bank
- Government approved the bank’s capital
on 10th July 2010 during its Cabinet
Meeting
- To extend medium to long term financing to
strategically important sectors
- Expansion of cooperation with international
development banks and organizations to
mobilize resources
4,956.6
6,555.6 6,590.6
8,414.5
10,863.0*
3,384.0 3,650.0
4,421.8
6,245.6
7,691.6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011H1
Nominal GDP Banking Assets
10
The Overall Banking System is Well Capitalised
Gross Loans and Deposits(1)
(MNT trn)
(CAR, %)
Mongolia‟s banking sector is well-capitalized with improving asset quality to support the
growing demand for credit
2.7 2.73.2
4.5
2.33.0
4.6 5.2
2008 2009 2010 1H 2011
Gross loans Deposits
14.3%
11.1
13.315.1
2008 2009 2010 2011 Aug
Rapid Growth of Banking Sector with
Strong Underlying Fundamentals
Golomt has the highest capital in the system:
Tier 1 11.9%
Total CAR 16.1%
Golomt has the lowest LTD 61.8%
GB net loans reached to MNT 955.2 bln in
2011H1 up by highest CAGR of 35.4%
between 2008 and 2011H1
Loans to Deposit Ratio(2)
(%)
Industry.
119.0%
Industry. 86.8%
Industry. 69.8%
Industry. 89.4%
GB. 90.8%
GB. 64.7% GB. 59.4% GB. 61.8%
2008 2009 2010 1H 2011
Net Loans (MNT billion)
2008 2009 2010 2011H1 CAGR
System 2,568.8 2,395.0 2,994.0 4,244.0 22.2%
GB 447.8 505.3 784.6 955.2 35.4%
Khan 608.7 580.7 776.7 1,094.4 26.5%
TDB 440.3 406.2 464.5 881.8 32.0%
11
Loans and Deposit Breakdown of Banking Industry
Real estate
13.2
Mining and
quarrying 12.1
Manufacturing
11.5Construction
10.5
Agriculture
3.2
Others
30.5Wholesale and
retail trade 19.0
Deposits by Customer Type (1H 2011) Deposits by Type (1H 2011)
Loans by Industry Sector (1H 2011)Loans by Customer Type (1H 2011)
Source: BOM Monthly Statistical Bulletin
Private sector
56.0
Individuals
41.6
Public and
others
2.4
Private sector
32.1
Individuals
55.6
Public and
others
4.6
Govt
7.7
Current deposits
33.2
Demand deposits
18.4
Time and savings
deposits
40.7
Government deposits
7.7
Rapid Growth with Strong Underlying Fundamentals
(%)
(%) (%)
(%)
Banking System
• 13 commercial and 1 state owned (former Zoos Bank)
• TOP 3 banks market share: 70.3%
• TOP 5 banks market share: 85.7%
Assume Top 5 banks committed full legal lending limit to
Oyu Tolgoi at 2011capex of USD 2.3bln would cover less
than 20 days expenditure.
• But still small by any conventional means as witnessed by:
GB23.9%
Khan25.2%TDB
21.2%
Xac8.0%
Savings7.4%
Others14.3%
Banks Market Share H1 „11
Systematically Important Bankg Legal Lending Limit
Assets (MNT bln)
Khan 1,936.0 38.2
Golomt 1,836.8 33.3
TDB 1,634.1 29.4
TOTAL TOP 3 5,406.9 100.9
Xas 617.3 11
Savings 569.3 10.8
TOTAL TOP 5 6,593.5 122.7
Lender Borrower Amount
(US$mm)
Standard Bank Mongolian Mining 400
Standard Chartered Erdenes TT 200
EBRD Mongolian Mining 180
Standard Bank MCS 150
12
Key Developments
of Mongolia Related Mining Companies
13
Mongolian Mining Coporation (MMC; SEHK, Stock code 975)
• Largest privately-held domestic producer and exporter of coking coal
• Ukhaa Khudag is an open pit mine with 497 mln tonnes of proven reserves
• Raised US$650 mil from its Hong Kong IPO
Southgobi Energy Resources (HK:1878)
• Largest coal producer in Mongolia in terms of export sales
• Set new coal shipment record of 441,665 tonnes of coal in a single month (Aug 2011)
• Raised US$436.3 mil from its Hong Kong IPO
Hunnu Coal Limited (ASX: HUN)
• Raised US$20 mil from its Australian IPO
• Key projects: Tsant Uul/ Altai Nuurs/ Unst Khudag
Prophecy Resources Corp. (TSX-V: PCY, OTC-QX: PRPCF, Frankfurt: 1P2)
• Controls over 1.4 billion tonnes of open-pit thermal coal in Mongolia
• Raised CAD$550 mil in Canada on TSX
Introduction to Golomt Bank
Founded in 1995 as one of the first private banks in Mongolia
• Owned by 89% Bodi International L.L.C, a leading conglomerate established in 1993 and 11% by
Swiss-MO
• Only Bank to enjoy equity related investment from leading global commercial entities
– Credit Suisse
– Abu Dhabi Investment Council
– Swiss- MO
• Largest bank in Mongolia per latest audited financial account
• Strongest Financials:
– Highest Tier 1 Capital: 11.9% and highest Aggregate Capital 16.1%
– Lowest Loans to Deposit Ratio: 61.8%
– Lowest NPL Ratio: 2.7%
– Gearing Ratio: 9.9
• Recipient of “Bank of the Year” award for Mongolia by “The Banker” and Euromoney Award for
Excellence
• 74 branches; including 39 in Ulaanbaatar city
• 1068 employees
• First Mongolian bank to have its financial results audited by external international audit firm,
Ernst & Young
14
Golomt Bank Overview
Customer Deposits (MNT billion)
Gross Loans (MNT billion)Post-tax Profit (MNT billion)
Total Assets (MNT billion)
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2007 2008 2009 2010 Jun'11
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 Jun'11
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 Jun'11
15
Products and Services for Corporate Customers
Deposits and Current Account
Products
• Corporate current accounts
• Corporate deposits
• Overdrafts
• Gold Deposits
• Escrow accounts
Loan Products
• Corporate loans
• Project loans
• Leasing
Trade Finance Products
• Letter of Credit
• Documentary collections
• Bill discounting
Bank Guarantee Products
• Bid guarantee
• Advance payment guarantee
• Performance and Retention bonds
Card Products
• Corporate Master/ Visa cards
• Cards for employees of corporate clients
• AMEX acquiring services
• Card merchant services
E-Banking services
• Internet Banking
• Mobile Banking
• E-Commerce
• Call center
Payment Services
• Western Union
• International money transfer
• Domestic money transfer
Investment Banking
• Business Consultancy Services
16
Most recent international transactions
17
US $ 10,000,000
Trade and Finance Facility
Relating to Oil, Gas and
Renewables, Mining and
Metals, Power and Infrastructure,
Telecoms and Media sectors.
18
Golomt Bank, and all our admired
competitor and collaborative banks are
at your service to meet all your banking
and financial requirements in Mongolia.
We all hope that this interest could lead to
a long and fruitful partnership.
We thank you for your kind attention
Sukhbaatar Square
Ulaanbaatar 210260A, Mongolia
Phone: +976-11-311971, 311530
Fax: +976-11-310895
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.golomtbank.com
Corporate Banking Division: (976) 11 311 971 ext 321
Investment Banking Division: (976) 11 311 971 ext 818
Treasury Division: (976) 11 311 971 ext 412
Retail Banking Division: (976) 11 311 971 ext 410
Private Banking Division: (976) 11 311 971 ext 504
Golomt Bank Contact:
18