The autonomous vehicle revolution: how it will affect the automotive sector

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+45 2334 0705www.autelligence.com

Jean Todt, President of the FIA - “Connected cars are revolutionizing our daily mobility by providing safer, cleaner and smarter ways to travel

Carlos Ghosn, chairman and CEO of Nissan – “There is a big difference between autonomous drive technology … and self-driving cars

But are we seeing the tip of a long established automotive development path or the beginnings of a revolution?

Dr Dieter Zetsche, head of Mercedes-Benz Cars said recently. "The car is growing beyond its role as a mere means of transport and will ultimately become a mobile living space."



When will OEMs bring an automated car to market?

Announcements are many and varied

Diagram by Mojo Motors

The automotive OEMs and their supply base are very active but so are IT giants Google and Apple



• The mainstream automotive sector is notoriously difficult to break into requiring well developed and specialised competencies

• The connected car is the next great opportunity for the IT giants – are they trying to pull off a true disruptive intervention?

• The current and future crop of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems form the building blocks for autonomous cars

Automotive systems expertise, electric and electonic architecture and sensor technology and fusion are critical



An increasingly complex range of internal and external sensors, and the fusion of information from them is vital

The incremental set of systems from ADAS applications that, with the addition of a wide range of other functions can add up to providing the information needed for autonomous driving



• Governments are falling into line to quickly solve regulatory issues because they see the value of enhanced safety – this has been an issue with new automotive development in the past

• The automotive sector has a history of collaboraton when needed to build standards and keep outsiders at bay - such as happened with Autosar

• Perhaps the IT giants only actually want ownership of the communications interface as this is the single largest untapped opportunity for adding to its value – and despite the large cash surplusses opportunities on this scale are rare

True driverless cars have the ability to change personal mobility and the whole value chain but how tight is the grip of the encumbents?



Autonomous cars will effect the whole automotive value chain and supply base

• Internal systems and controls are becoming more complex and interconnected with increased control strategies and sensor arrays

• Servicing and maintenance will become more difficult and the OEM control over the aftercare value chain more important

• Will consumers buy cars or time? New business models that allow users to change the nature of personal mobility will emerge



Chapter 1 Introduction

IntroductionConsumer acceptance

Chapter 2 The evolution of the autonomous car

Towards a driverless futureADAS: Enabling the next level

Chapter 3 Regulation, risk and litigation

Chapter 4 Enabling Technology

CommunicationsAutomotive network designSoftwareSensorsHuman machine interface/ driver vehicle interfaceMapping and position acquisition

Chapter 5 Industry dynamics and business models

Incremental or disruptive?Owning a car or buying time?Value chain development

Chapter 6 Effects on traditional vehicle components and systems

PowertrainChassis systemsInteriorExterior

Appendix – Tables of recent announcements and trials

Company Profiles

http://www.autelligence.com/reports/autonomous-vehicle-revolution//

The autonomous vehicle revolution: how it will affect the automotive sectorAn authoritative overview of the current state of the autonomous car and its impact on the automotive industry