Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi: Dieter D. Genske

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),

Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

What the vision means

and practical examples of how this vision can be realized December 4, 2013

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

EUR 200.000.000.000

USD 310.000.000.000

EUR 180.000.000.000

Numbers from “Langfristszenarien und Strategien für den Ausbau der erneuerbaren Energien in

Deutschland”, German Ministry of Environment 2012.

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt ?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

Principles

Adam Smiths’ Principle of Space and Labour

Adam Smith (1723-1790):

“In the classical production

process, space and labour

create wealth”

Principles

Energy Parties

Households

B&T

Industry

Living

Working

Mobility

He

atin

g

Wa

rm w

ate

r

Pro

ce

ss w

ate

r

Po

we

r

Fu

els

Road

Railroad

etc.

Medium

Small

Barely

Need

Strong

NB: Situation in Northern Europe

Principles

Scenarios

Defining goals, then discussing scenarios how to reach these goals.

(1) Trend scenario: Following the trend

(2) Innovation scenario: i.e. Self-sufficiency, 2000-Watt ...

Principles

Energetically Homogeneous Zones

EHZ have a similar energy consumption as well as a similar capacity to

produce renewable energy

Individual Homes

Forest

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

• Why 2000 Watt?

• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials

• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Annual

expenses for

fossil fuels

300-400

Mio CHF

Population 0.2m

Area 48 km2

Energy Demand per capita

Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach

Aktivität und Zielwerte im Referenzszenario

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Watt

PE p

er

capit

a

Mobility

Working

Livingtarget

Reference scenario

Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach

Aktivität und Zielwerte im 2000W-Szenario

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Watt

PE p

er

capit

a

Mobility

Working

Livingtarget

2000-Watt-scenario

Heat Demand and Renewable Heat Production

Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Sun (roof and facade)

Shallow geothermal

Wastewater heat

Biogas

Biomass

Deep geothermal

STP sludge

Waste incineration

Demand

Reference scenario

Heat demand and renewable heat, 2000W-scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Sun (roof and facade)

Shallow geothermal

Wastewater heat

Biogas

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Schlammverbrennung

Waste incineration

Demand

2000-Watt-scenario

Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Waste incineration STP sludge Deep geothermal

Biomass Biogas Wastewater heat

Shallow geothermal Sun (roof and facade) Demand

Power Demand and Renewable Power Production

Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year

Waste incineration Deep geothermal Biomass

Wind Water Sun (roof and facade)

Demand

Power demand and renewable power, trend scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year Sun (roof and facade)

Water

Wind

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Waste incineration

Demand

Reference scenario

Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GW

hEnd p

er

year Sun (roof and facade)

Water

Wind

Biomass

Deep geothermal

Waste incineration

Demand

2000-Watt-scenario

CO2eq-Reduction

C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne

graue Energie) im Referenzszenario

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

t C

O2eq p

er

capit

a a

nd y

ear

Mobility

Working

Living

Reference scenario

target

C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne

graue Energie) im 2000W-Szenario

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

t C

O2eq p

er

capit

a a

nd y

ear

Mobility

Working

Living

2000-Watt-scenario

target

Status quo: Heat Demand

Trend Scenario: Heat Demand 2050

2000-Watt-Scenario: Heat Demand 2050

Status quo: Renewable Heat Production

Trend Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050

2000-Watt-Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050

Status quo: Power Demand

Trend Scenario: Power Demand 2050

2000-Watt-Szenario: Power Demand 2050

Status quo: Renewable Power Production

Trend Scenario: Renewable Power Production 2050

2000-Watt-Szenario: Renewable Power Production 2050

Expenses and Gains in the Reference Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im Referenzszenario

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Mio

CH

F/a

THG

Strom

Wärme

Wasserkraft

KVA

Biomasse

Geothermie

Abwasserwärme

Erdwärmesonden

Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)

big

sto

ck

Expenses and Gains in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im 2000W-Szenario

-150.00

-100.00

-50.00

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Mio

CH

F/a

THG

Strom

Wärme

Wasserkraft

KVA

Biomasse

Geothermie

Abwasserwärme

Erdwärmesonden

Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)

big

sto

ck

Expenses per capita in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Typische Ausgaben im Kanton Basel-Stadt

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Highw

ay vigne

tte

6 bo

ttles of S

wiss wine (A

igle A

OC)

Men

u Sur

prise Café Spitz plus wine

2000

W-soc

iety (pe

r ca

pita

and

yea

r)

Dog

tax

(an

nual)

Hea

lth in

sura

nce (m

onth

ly)

Apa

rtmen

t (m

onth

ly ren

t 3-

room

-app

t.)

Sw

iss F

ranks

hu

nd

era

ssen.d

e

Examples of how this vision can be realized

Research project “2000W-Society”

Discussion of proposals to introduce

2000W-Society at City Council

Fixing of

budget /

Co-financing

SME

University

Research

Labs

Voting at City Council plus referendum

Implementation

?

Efficiency

Re-

newables

Pilot

projects

Public

Reviewing /

re-discussing

no

yes

Examples of how this vision can be realized: Pilot projects www.2000-watt.bs.ch 2000-Watt-Gesellschaft: 10 Jahre Pilotregion Basel. AUE Kanton Basel Stadt

Basel on its way to the

2000-Watt-Society

Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),

Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)