Predicting genetic diversity of spontaneous drug-resistance in bacteria - Alejandro Couce

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LAKE COMO SCHOOL OF ADVANCED STUDIES "QUANTITATIVE LAWS II"

Predicting genetic diversity of spontaneous drug-resistance in bacteria

Alejandro Couce 1,2

1Unité Mixte de Recherche 1137 (IAME-INSERM), Paris, France.

2Centro Nacional de Biotecnología (CNB-CSIC), Madrid, Spain.

PREDICTING GENETIC DIVERSITY OF SPONTANEOUS DRUG-RESISTANCE IN BACTERIA

Diversity after a drug-induced bottleneck

PREDICTING GENETIC DIVERSITY OF SPONTANEOUS DRUG-RESISTANCE IN BACTERIA

- Short-term diversity

- Long-term diversity

PREDICTING GENETIC DIVERSITY OF SPONTANEOUS DRUG-RESISTANCE IN BACTERIA

- Short-term diversity

- Long-term diversity

Background

Mutation, spontaneous or induced?

Induced mutation

Spontaneous mutation

Adapted from: Ycart B (2013) PloS One

Fluctuation test

The Luria-Delbrück distribution

What about diversity?

Adapted from: Ycart B (2013) PloS One

The richness vs evenness paradox

The richness vs evenness paradox

Simple, deterministic model

Simple, deterministic model

r = 5

r = 3

r = 2

r = 1.6

r = 1.2

High sensitivity to mutant's growth rate

Impact of 'jackpot' cultures

Impact of 'jackpot' cultures

Impact of phenotypic lag

Impact of phenotypic lag

Variability on mutant's growth rate

Variability on mutant's growth rate

Experimental setting

Small vs Large population size

Presence vs absence of antibiotic

Experimental system

Resistance to fosfomycin in P. aeruginosa arises from loss-of-function of transporter

Experimental setting

no AB

with AB

Small vs Large population size

Presence vs absence of antibiotic

Experimental setting

x

Experimental setting

Experimental setting

Couce (2016) Genetics

PREDICTING GENETIC DIVERSITY OF SPONTANEOUS DRUG-RESISTANCE IN BACTERIA

- Short-term diversity

- Long-term diversity

Adaptive dynamics in bacteria can be complex

Experimental evolution data

2,000-generations evolution of >100 E. coli populations to low-resource, high-temperature conditions

Olivier et al (2012) Science

Experimental evolution data

FosR appeared early, and typically stayed at low frequency

Experimental evolution data

Dynamics suggesting multiple, unsuccesful sweeps

● Focusing on mutations ≥2% reveals huge divergence

● It highlights the role of historical contingency

O. Tenaillon lab (Paris, France)

J. Blazquez lab (Madrid, Spain)

Acknowledgements