View
54
Download
0
Category
Preview:
Citation preview
Impact of Precision Agriculture on the Farm: Sequence of Adoption and Bundles
Terry Griffin, PhD, CCA Cropping Systems Economist
Department of Agricultural Economics
@SpacePlowboy #PrecisionAg #farmData
#PrecisionAgND
Eastern Ontario Crop Conference Kemptville, ON February 14, 2017
Farmer’s Use of Precision Ag
0
25
50
75
100
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Perc
ent o
f Far
ms
Automated Guidance Lightbar Automated Section Control Precision Soil Samplin
Yield Monitor Yield Monitor with GPS Variable Rate Fert. Variable Rate Seed
N=348
Proportion of Farms' Adoption of Precision
Probability of Adopting…
Given…
Precision Soil
Sampling Variable
Rate Fert. Variable
Rate Seed Yield Monitor
w/ GPS Automated Guidance
Precision Soil Sampling
- 59% 30% 65% 87%
Variable Rate Fert 92% - 37% 68% 92%
Variable Rate Seed 75% 60% - 86% 98%
Yield Monitor (w/GPS)
69% 46% 36% - 97%
Automated Guidance 55% 37% 24% 58% -
N=358
Adopting, upgrading, and abandoning
Number of Farms
% abandoned Technology adopt abandon upgrading
abandon (adjusted)**
Yield Monitor w/out GPS 147 60 54 6 4
Lightbar 202 57 45 12 6
Precision Soil Sampling 149 6 NA 6 4
Variable Rate Fertility 94 3 NA 3 3
Yield Monitor w/GPS 142 2 NA 2 1
N=358
Tale of Two Technologies
Information-intensive • Field level data to
make decisions • Requires additional
data and skill • IPM
Embodied-knowledge • Information purchased
in the form of an input • Requires minimal
additional data/skill • Round-up Ready or Bt
Two Faces of Precision Agriculture
Information-intensive • Yield monitors • Traditional variable
rate applications • *Data
Embodied-knowledge • Automated guidance • On-the-go sensors
applying variable rates • *Automated
Precision ag bundles
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% of
Use
rs
YM, PSS, & VR PSS & VRYM & VR YM & PSSVariable Rate (VR) Precision Soil Sampling (PSS)Yield Monitor (YM) None
Probability of transitioning
none PSS PSS VR VR YM
YM PSS
YM PSS VR
YM VR
none 0.94 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01
PSS 0.01 0.82 0.04 0 0 0.12 0.01 0
PSS VR 0.01 0 0.94 0 0 0 0.05 0
VR 0 0 0 0.53 0 0 0 0.47
YM 0.01 0 0 0 0.90 0.04 0.03 0.03
YM PSS 0 0 0.01 0 0.01 0.89 0.11 0
YM PSS VR 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.99 0.01
YM VR 0.12 0 0 0 0.01 0 0.10 0.77
YM = Yield monitor VR = Variable rate PSS = Precision soil sampling
From
To
Current precision ag utilization
• 20% use telematics in 2015 – Up from 15% in 2013
• Most common (72%) soil grid size = 2.5 ac – Smaller grid sizes used only 13% of time
• 16% of service providers use UAVs
Erickson & Widmar, 2015
Profitability over time
34%
42% 42%
40% 36%
44% 44% 45% 44%
62%
35% 33% 39%
42%
34%
47% 50% 51%
60%
74%
41%
33%
43% 44% 45% 49%
51%
58% 63%
75%
26% 27%
20%
30%
25% 25% 22%
20% 21%
20% 18%
22% 13%
21% 19%
15% 19%
26%
11% 14%
31%
37% 39%
38%
44% 43% 43% 42%
51%
60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2013 2015
% of
res
pond
ents
off
erin
g pr
ecis
ion
serv
ices
mak
ing
a pr
ofit
Soil Sampling
Single Variable Rate Application
Multi Variable Rate Application
Satellite Imagery
Yield Monitor Data Analysis
Total Precision Package
2015 Base: 261
Erickson & Widmar, 2015
Terry Griffin Cropping Systems Economist twgriffin@ksu.edu 501.249.6360 @SpacePlowboy
Would love to hear from you about your thoughts!
Recommended