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Texas Water Conservation AssociationState Water Plan Update
Peter LakeDirector Texas Water Development Board October 13, 2016
Updates: Life Changes…20171961
Three Elements of the Water Plan
Existing
Water Supplie
s
Projected
Water Deman
d
Surplus (+) or Need
(-)
Projections are Tough…
Predicted vs. Actual1961 STATE WATER PLAN Projections for State Population in 1980:
U.S. Census in 1980: 14,229,191
2017 STATE WATER PLAN Projections for State Population in 2070:
51 MILLION
Existing Supplies2012
2017
2020 2030 2040 2050 20600
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
ReuseGroundwaterSurface Water
2020 2030 2040 2050 20600
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
ReuseGroundwaterSurface
Anticipated Demand
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
MunicipalSteam-electricManufacturingMiningLivestock
Irrigation
2012
2017
Expected Needs
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
IrrigationMunicipalSteam-electricManufacturingMiningLivestock
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
2012
2017
Strategies – By Frequencysince 2012 plan
ConservationOver 25% of all strategies
Aquifer Storage and Recovery350% Increase
Direct Potable ReuseRecommended 7x as much!
Innovative Strategies…?
Strategies – By Volume
2012 PLAN
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE
2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation
2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation
1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater
Strategies – By Volume
1980 DECADE1961 PLAN
1. New Major Reservoir2. New Major Reservoir3. New Major Reservoir4. New Major Reservoir5. New Major Reservoir6. New Major Reservoir
Turning Plans Into ProjectsCost of Implementing the Plan:$62.6 billion total$36.5 billion in state assistanceCost of NOT Implementing the Plan:$73 billion lost annual income - 2020$151 billion lost annual income - 2070lost jobs: 424,000 - 2020lost jobs: 1.3 million - 2070
Implementing the PlanWater Wells in Marfa1,000 Acre-Ft. per Year
Integrated Pipeline392,000 Acre-Ft. per Year
Planning Over Time
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