Texas Water Conservation AssociationState Water Plan Update

Peter LakeDirector Texas Water Development Board October 13, 2016

Updates: Life Changes…20171961

Three Elements of the Water Plan

Existing

Water Supplie

s

Projected

Water Deman

d

Surplus (+) or Need

(-)

Projections are Tough…

Predicted vs. Actual1961 STATE WATER PLAN Projections for State Population in 1980:

U.S. Census in 1980: 14,229,191

2017 STATE WATER PLAN Projections for State Population in 2070:

51 MILLION

Existing Supplies2012

2017

2020 2030 2040 2050 20600

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

ReuseGroundwaterSurface Water

2020 2030 2040 2050 20600

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

ReuseGroundwaterSurface

Anticipated Demand

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

MunicipalSteam-electricManufacturingMiningLivestock

Irrigation

2012

2017

Expected Needs

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

IrrigationMunicipalSteam-electricManufacturingMiningLivestock

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

2012

2017

Strategies – By Frequencysince 2012 plan

ConservationOver 25% of all strategies

Aquifer Storage and Recovery350% Increase

Direct Potable ReuseRecommended 7x as much!

Innovative Strategies…?

Strategies – By Volume

2012 PLAN

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume2020 DECADE 2060 DECADE

2012 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Groundwater4. New Major Reservoir5. Reuse6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. New Major Reservoir4. Reuse5. Groundwater6. Municipal Conservation

2017 PLAN 1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. Groundwater5. New Major Reservoir6. Municipal Conservation

1. Other Surface Water2. Irrigation Conservation3. Reuse4. New Major Reservoir5. Municipal Conservation6. Groundwater

Strategies – By Volume

1980 DECADE1961 PLAN

1. New Major Reservoir2. New Major Reservoir3. New Major Reservoir4. New Major Reservoir5. New Major Reservoir6. New Major Reservoir

Turning Plans Into ProjectsCost of Implementing the Plan:$62.6 billion total$36.5 billion in state assistanceCost of NOT Implementing the Plan:$73 billion lost annual income - 2020$151 billion lost annual income - 2070lost jobs: 424,000 - 2020lost jobs: 1.3 million - 2070

Implementing the PlanWater Wells in Marfa1,000 Acre-Ft. per Year

Integrated Pipeline392,000 Acre-Ft. per Year

Planning Over Time