Change the World!

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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British ColumbiaJoin us! www.bcsea.org

BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org

BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org

Our vision is a sustainable future in which

all of BC’s energy

is green and renewable.

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

When you think about the future of our world, what do you feel?

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

HOPE

WORRY

or

?

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

We’ve come a long way from this….

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To this …

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but…

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Smithore Dreamstime.com

We have also come to this…

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

GDP =GrossDepletion of the

Planet

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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

Climate Change

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

1. Earth has a very thin atmosphere, which protects us from being roasted by day and frozen by night.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

2. Two important “greenhouse gases” trap heat in the atmosphere

and keep us warm: water vapor and

carbon dioxide

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

3. When there is too little water vapor and carbon dioxide, Earth goes into an Ice Age.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

3. When there is too much, Earth warms, ice melts, and sea levels rise.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

ICE AGES

4. Carbon dioxide (blue) and temperature (red) have tracked each other very closely over the last 700,000 years.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

4.

5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.

Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

6. The coal that generates much of the world’s electricity comes from ancient fossil carbon.

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As we burn the fossil fuels…

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7. When we burn fossil fuels, their ancient carbon escapes into the atmosphere

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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

8. When we burn forests, their carbon escapes, entering the atmosphere.

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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

When we destroy forests, their carbon also escapes, entering the atmosphere.

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9. All this extra carbon is trapping too much heat, and causing

global warming.

Burning fossil fuels anddestroying Earth’s forests

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If global warming exceeds 1.6°C up to

31% of Earth’s species

will be committed to extinction,

having nowhere to go to escape the rising heat

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

HOPE

WORRY

or

?

BCSEA 2014 BCSEA 2014 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

10.

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“The two scientists cited a major study which stated that people using cell phones doubled their risk of developing brain cancer and acoustic neuromas, a tumor that damages the hearing nerve… and that people who started using cell phone before the age of 20 years are five times more likely to develop brain cancer.

The European Parliament voted 522 to 16 to urge ministers to impose stricter limits, because children are particularly vulnerable to the risk.” Mercola.com

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Toronto’s Department of Public Health: 

“Children under 8 should only use

mobiles in emergencies.

Teenagers should limit calls

to 10 minutes or less.”

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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

Was that text message that important?

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

Was that text message that important?

How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps

10.

A New Green Economy

The power of our vision

The power of our vision

than the power of our fears

The power of our vision

The Race to Zero CarbonThe Race to Zero Carbon

is the Race to a Clean Green

Economy

is the Race to a Clean Green

Economy

BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

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William KakwambaMalawi, Africa

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Two Possible Futures

One Rational Choice

We don’t need to vilify fossil fuels. We can praise them, and

then say “Enough!”

For 300,000 years, we harvested the Sun’s energy through firewood

For 300 years, we have harvestedit from fossil fuels

It was fossil fuelsthat launched the Industrial Age

and the modern world.

It is fossil fuels that have made advanced engineering, solar PV and electric vehicles possible.

The Age of Fossil Fuels is the necessary

LAUNCH RAMPfor the Solar Age

300,000 yearsFirewood

300 yearsFossil Fuels

A billion yearsSolar Energy

The Age of Firewood

The Age of Fossil Fuels

The Solar Age

Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

A billion years

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years

Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.

And with every passing year, solar technology will improve

and fall in price.

More solar energy reaches Earth in an hour than humans use in a year.

Sunmine, Kimberley, BC. 1.05 MW, 4,000 solar modules www.sunmine.ca

1977: $77

1997: $7

2013: $0.7

Price of Solar PVper Watt

A hundredfold fall in the price of solar PV

since 1977

Mass production = falling prices

100 GW in 2012

Solar PV 140-fold increase since 2000

200 GWin 2014

By 2020, every south-facing roof without 4 kW solar could lose its owner up to $1,000 a year

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

By 2020, every commercial roof that is not solar could lose its owner $10,000 a year

Vauban, Freiburg, Germany

Solar railwayParis to

Amsterdam

Solar Stadium, Taiwan

70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A

SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION

T-Sou’ke First NationVancouver Island

T’Sou-ke Nation Solar Project

T-Sou’ke Chief Gordon Planes:

“First Nations have lived for thousands of years

on this continent without fossil fuels.

It is appropriate that First Nations

lead the way out of dependency and

addiction to fossil fuels and rely on the power

of the elements, the sun, the wind

and the sea once again.”

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The Challenge Tree

T’Sou-ke First Nation

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The Challenge Tree

T’Sou-ke First Nation

“I will have only a three-minute shower.”

“I will turn the lights off when I leave my room”

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Siemens AG

Bear Mountain Wind Farm, Tumbler Ridge, BC.

Transportation without Oil

Make walking fun and joyful

Istanbul,Turkey

Seoul, South Korea

In Holland, cycling is the main mode of transport for 31% of the people

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

San Francisco Bike Lane

Granville Street BridgeVancouver’s Imagined Future

Electric Bikes

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

The Copenhagen Wheel

Solar electric bike, top speed 48 km/hr

Solar Bike Lane, Holland

Cycling on the Solar Bike Lane

Better Local Transit

OLEVOn-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org

Fast, dangerous streets being slowed

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Fast, dangerous streets being slowed

Electric Vehicles

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Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range

Tesla 300-400 km range

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Honda solar electric car charging

The Falling Price of EV Lithium Batteries

Top

Hiroko EV

Top

Siemens ZeroCat all-electric car ferry, Norway 120 cars +360 passengers

10 minutes recharge, 30-minute trip800 kw, 400 kw battery bank. 10 knots

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Japan’s Magnetic Levitation Train

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World Train Speed Record603 km/hour

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Kelsey Juliana

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HOPE

WORRY

or

?

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Green Schools

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Grow a School Food Garden

The Edible Schoolyard, San Francisco

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Martin Luther King Jr. Middle School School, Berkeley

www.edibleschoolyard.org

TheEdible

Schoolyard

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Brooklyn Public School

In New York, they turned THIS…

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into THIS

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“A valuable tool for creating rich

learning experiences and helping children

reconnect to the natural world.”

- Richard Louv,

author of Last Child in the Woods

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The Nanaimo Food Forest Team

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SALT SPRING’S SOLAR PRIDEGULF ISLANDS SECONDARY SCHOOL

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Build a Solar Electric Car

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School Solar Car Challenge, Texas

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Use your Wheels

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Woodlands Clean Air Commuter Challenge, June 2008

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Calculate your school’s Carbon Footprint

and work to reduce it.

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www.greenteacher.com

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Become a Zero Waste School

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School garbage audit

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Garbage-Free Lunch

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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

… become a green engineer

Some of you could go on to…

Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com

… become a solar installer

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… design solar cookers

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… make solar cars

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… build wind turbines

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… become an electric car engineer

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… sell electric bikes

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… become a green architect

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… become an ecologist

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…become a greenengineer

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… become a green architect

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… build solar-cob houses

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… become a green investor

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v… become an organic farmer

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… become a chef for real food

Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com … become a green politician

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… study for a Green Business Degree

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WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB

WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB

A Stable, Long-Lasting Club:

•Students from Grade 8•Students from Grade 9•Students from Grade 10•Students from Grade 11•Students from Grade 12

WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB

8

12

1110

9

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Keep in warm and watered inside until the soil is warm outside, at the end of May

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This is an amazing opportunity

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to build a Green, Solar World

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Smithore Dreamstime.com

… or give up, and tell yourself you can’t make a difference

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By Nattanicha Kongsathitporn, age 14, Thailand

We need to roll up the past.

Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com By Iskren Rumenov Petrov, age 14, from Bulgaria

We need to sail away from our old, polluting waysand build a green, sustainable world.

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This is about our future.

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Dream itWish itDo it

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If you want to make a difference, now would be a great time to do so.

www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey

The visions we offer our

children shape the future.

It matters what those visions

are. Carl Sagan

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

www.earthfuture.com

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Wikimedia

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Wikimedia

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There’ll be blue birds over, the White Cliffs of Dovertomorrow, just you wait and see.

There’ll be love and laughter, and peace ever after, tomorrow, when the world is free.

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Wikimedia

The forests will grow so deepThe planet will bloom again,

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The farmers will heal the earthOn their own precious land again.

Wikimedia

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There’ll be solar rooftops,

Solar Electric Light Fund www.self.org

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and lush organic gardens, tomorrow, just you wait and see,

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There’ll be bike bells ringing, and Nature singing,

CopenhagenCycleChic.com

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Tomorrow,When the world is Green.