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An overview of the wicked pluvial of the 2000's and, more broadly, since the end of the 1960s drought in the NYC region as reconstructed by tree rings. Presented at a NYC Dept. of Env. Protection workshop on hydrology and climate change
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NYC & an Epic PluvialNYC & an Epic Pluvial
Regional Streamflow Extremes – southern NY State
Matonse (CUNY) & Frei (Hunter College), in prep
Seager et al., 2012 – Journal of Climate
Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region?
Kevin VranesEd CookAndrew Bell Manu Lall Naresh DevineniRichard SeagerKeith Eggleston
500 Years of Drought history in Eastern New York State
Context for the 2000’sHudson Estuary, Sept 2011
12 species
eastern hemlock
chestnut oak
pitch pine
white oak
eastern redcedar
post oak
pignut hickory
sweet birch
yellow-poplar
shagbark hickory
northern red oak
black oak
32 chronologies
- Better at estimating wet years
r2 = 66.2%
May-Aug
inst.datatackedontoend
NE/NYC Hydroclimatic History:1531-2011
NE/NYC Hydroclimatic History:1531-2011
Eastern US Hydroclimatic History: 1500-2006
1568-1573 Drought: NADA v2
Seager et al., 2012 – Journal of Climate
Potential Driver of Centennial-scale Hydroclimatic Trend Li et al., 2011Clim. Dynamics
Less interested in PDSI?
500 Years of Drought history in Eastern New York State
Context for the 2000’s and beyond?
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