Digital Learning Futures: 3 things about future learning

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A keynote presentation for the minicon Reform Symposium conference on May 4, 2014. Online global.

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Steve WheelerInstitute of EducationPlymouth University

Digital Learning Futures3 things you should know about the

future of learning

Can we predict the Future...?

http://westernfrontierblog.w

ordpress.com/

Can we predict the Future...?

http://westernfrontierblog.w

ordpress.com/

“One day every town in America will have a telephone!”

- U.S. Mayor, (c 1880)

1: The future is unpredictable

“For the first time we are preparing

learners for a future we

cannot clearly describe.”

- David Warlick

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http://www.digitaltrends.com

“It is impossible to predict the future with great accuracy” – Michio Kaku

The Future...?

• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’

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The Future...?

• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’hof.povray.org

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http://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/communications/internet-minute-infographic.html

The First Mobile Phone

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Photo by Steve Wheeler

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http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Learning 2000

Villemard

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Learning 2000

Villemard

Disruptive Technology

Social, political, and economic systems change incrementally, but technology changes exponentially.

Larry Downes

Law of Disruption

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4 to 5 Years

2 to 3 Years

1 Year or Less

Great Expectations 2014

• Flipped Classroom• Learner Analytics• 3D Printing• Games and Gamification• The Quantified Self• Virtual Assistants

Graphics concept by Steve WheelerSource: http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2014-horizon-report

Time to adoptionEmerging Technology

Ubiquitous connection

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http://i.imwx.com

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“The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed” – William Gibson

http://intergalacticrobot.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/helen-oloy.html

2: The future can be found in the past

Facsimile machine (1843)

Facsimile machine (1843)

Tablet computer first seen in movie 2001 (1968)

(from: Nicky Hockley)

Curiosity

Photo by Steve Wheeler

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Photo by Steve Wheeler

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Technology next

Pedagogy first

Students taking notesPhoto: Lori Cullen

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We learn by making (Papert, 1960)Photo by Steve Wheeler

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Learning 2.0

User generated

content

Learning by making

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Learning 2.0

CurationCollaborating

Sharing and Amplifying

Voting

Networking

User generated

content

Architecture of participation

Tagging and Bookmarking

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Aggregation

The stuff of motivation…

Adapted from: Maslow, A. H. (1954) Motivation and personality. New York, NY: Harper.

Transcendence

Biological and Physiological needs

Safety needs

Esteem needs

Belonging and Love needs

Cognitive needs

Aesthetic needs

Self Ac

Adapted from: Maslow, A. H. (1954) Motivation and personality. New York, NY: Harper.

Being Needs

Deficiency Needs

Purpose

Autonomy Mastery

Adapted from: Pink, D. H. (2009) Drive: The Surprising Truth about What Motivates Us. New York, NY: Penguin.

Intrinsic Motivation

Maslow Hierarchy Pink Motivators Game Dynamics

Avoidance of RSI, eyestrain etc

Rest, hydration, food etc

Social cohesion, friends, guilds

Status, achievement, rank

Intellectual challenges

User interfaces, game design

Adapted from Michael Wu: http://lithosphere.lithium.com/t5/science-of-social-blog/Gamification-101-The-Psychology-of-Motivation/ba-p/21864

Points, badges, progression

Quests, discovery, epic meaning etc

Flow Channel

CHAL

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SKILLSLow High

Low

High

Anxiety

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Adapted from: Csikszentmihalyi, 1991

CHAL

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SKILLSLow High

Low

High

Anxiety

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Adapted from: Csikszentmihalyi (1991) and Killi (2009)

P1

P2

P3

CHAL

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SKILLSLow High

Low

High

Anxiety

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Adapted from: Csikszentmihalyi (1991) and Killi (2009)

P1

P2

P3

P4

Beyond my reach

What I can learn with help(ZPD)

ZPD and scaffolding

What I can learn on my

own

Technology and toolsKnowledgeable others

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Zone of Proxim

al Development (Z

PD)CH

ALLE

NGE

SKILLSLow High

Low

High

Anxiety

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Adapted from: Csikszentmihalyi (1991) and Killi (2009)

http://sellyourstoryuk.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Old-and-Young-Computer.jpg

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• Bring Your Own Device• User Generated Content• Open content/curricula

3: We can invent our own futures

Photo: Steve Wheeler

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Photo: Steve Wheeler

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Photo: Steve Wheeler

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Twitter is not just about breakfast!

http://ww

w.lythhillhouse.com

/breakfast.html

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Twitter as a libraryTwitter as a street corner

Twitter as a broadcast channel Twitter as amplification

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#hashtags

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Funnels of Webs

“The current search for new educational funnels must be reversed into the search for their institutional

inverse: educational webs which heighten the opportunity for each one to transform each moment

of his living into one of learning, sharing, and caring.” Ivan Illich (1972)

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Funnels or Webs?

Our learning future…

http://le-flaneur.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/office-workers.jpg

Mass working...

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... led to mass synchronisation

http://www.delasallewaterford.com

Linear thinkingConformity

Standardisation

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The computer room...

http://www.hseb.utah.edu

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My PLE

My e-portfolio

My PLN

Other Tools

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Personal Learning Environments

Graphic by Steve Wheeler

Personal Learning Environment

Source: http://steve-wheeler.blogspot.com/2010/07/anatomy-of-ple.html

Steve Wheeler & Manish Malik (2010)

Personal Learning NetworksPhoto by Steve Wheeler

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Personal Learning NetworksPhoto by Steve Wheeler

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Personal Learning NetworksPhoto by Steve Wheeler

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Personal Learning NetworksPhoto by Steve Wheeler

Personal Learning NetworksPhoto by Steve Wheeler

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“I store my knowledge with my friends”

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Connectivism Paragogy Wisdom of Crowds

Photo: Steve Wheeler

Crowdsourcing Knowledge“Community as curriculum”

Photo: Steve Wheeler

MOOCCONNECTIVIST

XC

Embedded MOOCs?

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“Lee Harvey and the Wailers”(Lee Harvey did not jam alone)

http://www.myspace.com/hsu/photos/6850630

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“60% of all Internet pages contain

misleading information.”

- Thomas Edison

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“60% of all Internet pages contain

misleading information.”

- Thomas Edison

We need ‘digital wisdom’

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Learners will need new ‘literacies’

• Social networking• Privacy maintenance• Identity management• Creating content• Organising content• Reusing and repurposing• Filtering and selecting• Self presention• Transliteracy

http://www.mopocket.com/

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Leaning 2.0 – Digital Literacies

Mastery

Literacies

Competencies

Skills

Graphic by Steve Wheeler (2013)

A ‘tsunami of content’

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Self Organising Learning Spaces

Photo by William Murphy: http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3146778883

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Self Organising Learning Spaces

Photo by William Murphy: http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3146778883

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Flip the roles, not just the classroom

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Bearpit Pedagogy

http://open.salon.com

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“The way he constantly asks us to speak in his lectures rather than him allows us all to engage in, sometimes heated, discussions.” (one of my students)

The Future...?

• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’• 2012: ‘The future is pervasive tech’hof.povray.org

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Learning 3.0

Distributed (Cloud) computingExtended smart mobile technologyCollaborative intelligent filtering3D visualisation and interaction St

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Future Learning Topology

Distributed (Cloud) Computing

3D Visualisation and Interaction

Smart Mobile Technology

CollaborativeIntelligent

Filtering

Infrastructure

Interface

Tools

Interaction

Graphic by Steve Wheeler

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/lonqueta/5815215233/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/lonqueta/5815215233/

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"We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.“ – Albert Einstein

Thank you

W: http://steve-wheeler.netE: swheeler@plymouth.ac.ukB: http://steve-wheeler.blogspot.comT: @timbuckteeth

Photo by Steve Wheeler

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