Utah’s Future Potential impacts and opportunities from projected population growth

Utah’s Future

Potential impacts and opportunities from projected population growth

What is Utah Foundation?

Public Policy Research

Think Tank

NonprofitNonpartisanIndependentSince 1945

Supported by business,

foundations, higher ed, cities, counties, schools,

individuals

Thriving Economy

Well-Prepared Workforce

High Quality of

Life

College-Age Population Projections

Projected Enrollment

UVU projected to see most growth in next decade

From “Reaching Toward 2050: Education in the Midst of Population Growth,” Utah Foundation, May 2015

Race and Ethnicity in Higher Ed

Current Utah Trends in Higher Ed

From “Steps Forward in Higher Ed: Success Measures, Game Changers, and Performance-Based Funding in Utah,” Utah Foundation, December 2014

Changes in Tuition

Increasing portion paid by tuition vs state funds

From “Reaching Toward 2050: Education in the Midst of Population Growth,” Utah Foundation, May 2015

2050 Series

Reports cover population growth from four different angles Demographics

Transportation and utility infrastructure

Water

Education

Where Growth is Projected

Biggest Growth projected in Utah County

From “A Snapshot of 2050: An Analysis of Projected Population Change in Utah,” Utah Foundation, April 2014

Projected increase of over 700,000

Challenges in Wasatch Front Projected Growth

59%32%

9%

Location-Efficient

Disposable Income Housing Transportation

43%

32%

25%

Auto-Dependent Exurbs

49%32%

19%

Average Amer-ican

Wasatch Front is similar to this

From “Roadmap to 2050: Planning for Utah’s Future Infrastructure Needs,” Utah Foundation, June 2014

Future Infrastructure

Future Infrastructure - Transit Phase 1 (2011-2020)

Phase 2 (2021-2030)

Phase 3 (2031-2040)

Water

From “Flowing Toward 2050: Utah’s Water Outlook,” Utah Foundation, September 2014

Two schools of thought

Population projections assume we will have water

Air Quality

UVU is not currently “major source”

In the future: No more than 100

tons of any pollutant

No emission reduction credits are available

Millennials and Boomers Less likely than US peers to be

seeking new jobs More religious and Republican

than US peers Similar to US peers regarding:

% of independent voters

support of gay rights,

Survey does not include post-Millennials (under 18 years old)

Thank You

www.utahfoundation.org

Stephen J. Hershey Kroes, Presidentsteve@utahfoundation.org

Mallory Bateman, Research Analystmallory@utahfoundation.org

Top Growth – Occupational Groups