US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK - fbicgroup Weather Flash … · US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • April...

1 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&TECHNOLOGYDEBORAHWEINSWIG@FUNG1937.COMUS:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

April 7, 2016

US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK

• April3–9:ColdTemperaturesCauseaLaginDemandforSeasonalProductsintheEast.WarmerPlainsandWest.

• April10–16:CoolerTemperaturesthanLastYearWillChallengeSeasonalDemandforMostinNorthAmerica.TheWestWillBetheWarmest.ExpectaStormyWeek.

US:WEEKOFAPRIL3–9

Retailimplications:Temperatureswillbesignificantlybelowlastyear’s, which means a challenging week for warm weatherapparelcategories.

• Last year, this week was warmer than normal: ThewarmestconditionswerefocusedintheSouth.Rainfallwasabovenormal. Severeweatherwaswidespread,withover30tornadoesimpactingtheMidwest.

• Spring lost its way in the East: Early in the week,temperatureswillaveragewellbelowlastyearandnormal.Expect strong winds and periods of late-season snow forthe interior Northeast, New England and Great Lakesregions.Therewillbesomewarmingmidweek,followedbyanothercoolersurgelaterintheweek,withperiodsofrainandsnow.

• The West is getting warmer: Western regions will seeabove-normalwarmth,withtemperaturessettling intothe60s,70sand80s,alongwithadriertrend formuchoftheweek. Demand for barbeque grills, auto appearance, colddrinksandpatiosetscanbeexpected.

US:WEEKOFAPRIL10–16

Retail implications: Demand for seasonal categories such ascolddrinks, lawncare, fans, suncareand teeswill continue tolag,givencoolertemperatures.

• Lastyear,thisweekwasthewarmestsince2012:Rainfallwas above normal, driven by the South, while a late-seasonsnowstormbroughtsnowtoUtahandColorado.

• April“blues”tocontinue:Thebluetemperatureshadingsreflect what retailers will be expecting. Demand forseasonal categories will remain weak. The week will bestormy,withPacificsystemstraversingwesttoeastacrossthecountry.SevereweatherepisodesarelikelyacrosstheMid-Southregion.

• The West remains the best: The best weather-drivenenvironment will be in the western states, which willremainwarmerthannormal.Stormsarepossibleearly intheweek,buttheweekwillenddrier.

IMPACTONRETAIL:Short-SleeveShirts-2%ExteriorPaint-3%LawnFertilizer -8%

IMPACTONRETAIL:AllergyRelief-5%

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Source:PlanalyticsInc

2

April 6, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&TECHNOLOGYDEBORAHWEINSWIG@FUNG1937.COMUS:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • April3–9:RainSpreadsEast,WhiletheTemperatureSplitRemains.• April10–16:WetWeatherandStillaTemperatureSplit.

EUROPE:WEEKOFAPRIL3–9

Retail implications: Thewarmer temperatures in Central andEasternEuropewillfuelstrongdemandforspringcategories.

• Rain spreads east: High pressure will weaken gradually,allowingraintospreadfromWesternEuropeacrosscentralareasandintotheEastbytheendoftheweek.

• West-East split remains:Warm air will cover most of thecontinent to start the week. Another front will push in,drivingtemperaturesbelownormalintheWest.

EUROPE:WEEKOFAPRIL10–16

Retail implications:Warmer temperatures spreading from theEast toward the West will encourage demand for springcategories.

• Little change to thepattern:Highpressurewillholdacrossthe East with warmer-than-normal temperatures. CoolerweatherwillcontinueacrosstheWestearlyintheweek,butthewarmerairwillexpandwestwardtofinishtheweek.

• Wetweather continues:Bandsofshowerswill continuetosweepacross the continent,with theheaviest rain focusedin theNorth. There is good news for Iberia, asmuch drierweatherwillsetupforthesecondhalfoftheweek.

IMPACTONRETAIL:Rainwear(GreatBritain)Lemonade(Poland)

IMPACTONRETAIL:Shirts(Denmark)Boots(France)

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Source:PlanalyticsInc