The New Normal: 12 Driving Forces in Communications

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Fenton's Lisa Witter and Parker Blackman present The New Normal: 12 Driving Forces in Communications

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THE NEW NORMAL:12 DRIVING FORCES IN COMMUNICATIONS

Lisa Witter, Chief Strategy OfficerParker Blackman, Chief Operating Officer

With Eli Pariser as collaborator

January 27, 2011 3

2020

The Future

January 27, 2011 4

January 27, 2011 5

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 6

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 7

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 8

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 9

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 10

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 11

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 12

Five Years Ago

January 27, 2011 13

Change Happens Fast

January 27, 2011 14

• Mobile: Internet Everywhere• Globalized Net• Information Overload and Curation• Personalization and Filtering• Broadcast to Bi/Multi-Directional• The end of journalism?• Fragmentation by Affiliation• Convergence• Micro-Targeting and ROI Advertising• Transparency as a Value• Feedback is Instant• Authenticity/Voice/Uniqueness as a Value

Driving Forces

January 27, 2011 15

Mobile: Internet Everywhere

January 27, 2011 16

• “Actionability everywhere”

Mobile: Internet Everywhere

January 27, 2011 17

• Expect top US news sites to also be top world sites.

• Expect top non-US sites to also be top world sites.

Globalized Net

January 27, 2011 18

“In 2010, more data will be generated by individuals than in the entire history of mankind through 2009.”

– Google presentation

Information Overload

January 27, 2011 19

Data and analytics, design help sort

Information Overload

January 27, 2011 20

Curation is key

Information Overload

January 27, 2011 21

Information Overload

January 27, 2011 22

More saturation and repetition, less premium hits. And you need a choir doing it for you.

Information Overload

January 27, 2011 23

Filter Bubble!

Personalization and Filtering

January 27, 2011 24

Content moves when it’s stimulating.• Violence• Shame/Humiliation• Gossip• Sex• Drugs• Rock ‘n’ Roll

Personalization and Filtering

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“If we’re not careful, we’re going to develop the psychological equivalent of obesity. We’ll find ourselves consuming content that is least beneficial for ourselves or society as a whole.” – Danah Boyd

Personalization and Filtering

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“Personalized Stories?”

Personalization and Filtering

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• Shift from distribution-based information economy to attention-based information economy.

• Share-ability matters.

Broadcast Bi/multi-directional

January 27, 2011 28

• End of the newspaper? Model no longer works.

The End of Journalism?

January 27, 2011 29

The End of Journalism?

ZERO…is the number of journalists still working if the current trend continues.

January 27, 2011 30

The End of Journalism?

ZERO…is the number of subscribers to the Los Angeles Times in eight years

if it keeps losing them at the rate of the last five years.

January 27, 2011 31

Fragmentation by Affiliation

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• Ever-more-niche media communities.

Fragmentation by Affiliation

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• Decline of the “general interest intermediary.”

Fragmentation by Affiliation

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• Downfall of big “public symbols?”

Fragmentation by Affiliation

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• Everything on one device• Integration of print, video, audio, and interactive media

Convergence

January 27, 2011 36

• Written vs. Visual

Convergence

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• Microtargeting, contextual advertising goes mainstream.• Advertizing goes local. Targeting by where you are.

Advertising Goes Micro

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• Focus on ROI + metrics.

Advertising Goes Micro

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• People expect open data from businesses, governments.

Transparency as a Value

January 27, 2011 40

• With Twitter, blogs, Facebook you get instant feedback and “boomerang expression.”

Transparency as a Value

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• Uniqueness, voice, authenticity, sincerity at a premium in a marketing-saturated culture.

Authenticity as a Value

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“Gaming the System”

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TwitterBingMurdoch, Inc.

Don’t Assume the Internet will be Democratic

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There is a “Boomer Rift”

January 27, 2011 45

Importance of storytelling.

What won’t change?

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• How stories are told• Where they’re told – and to whom• How they move• What kind of relationships are important

What will change?

January 27, 2011 47

• Tell your own story.

• Tell them over time.

• Run campaigns.

• Cheap variations.

• More consumer focused — more sexy and fun.

What to do?

January 27, 2011 48

Mainstream media relationships.

What won’t change?

January 27, 2011 49

The need for frames and compelling messaging.

What won’t change?

January 27, 2011 50

New core competencies– Content (be your own media)– Calculation– Community

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 51

Listening as a virtue

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 52

Everyone is on the communications team

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 53

Be your own media

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 54

Embrace “tribal” marketing

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 55

Loss of control

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 56

Prepare for and learn from failure

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 57

You, personally, should invest in understanding how

this changes us as people.

Implications for You

January 27, 2011 58

Don’t assume that we know the future because we’re living in the present.

Implications for You

THANK YOU

Lisa Witter, Chief Strategy OfficerParker Blackman, Chief Operating Officer

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