View
215
Download
1
Category
Tags:
Preview:
Citation preview
Shane Cherry
Midge Simpson
Critical Infrastructure Protection / Resilience Simulator
May 29, 2009
Stuart Walsh: 208.526.4246Stuart.Walsh@inl.gov
Agenda
• CIPRsim Background and Genesis
• Technology Objectives
• Modeling and Simulation Framework
• Potential Applications
CIPRsim Genesis
• Build high fidelity model of cellular and power grid interdependencies
• Offer extensible critical infrastructure M&S framework
• Predict failure of key nodes and cascading events by scenario & geographic area
Initially Developed to Support Larger DoD Effort
Key CIPRsim Concepts
• Proven Standard Simulation Framework– Distributed Architecture Using IEEE 1516 protocols: High Level
Architecture (HLA)
• Federated Design, built for Extensibility, Scalability and Compatibility– Utilize Best Available Models Whenever Possible: Legacy and New– Physics Based Simulations– Compatible with existing COPs (iCAV, TRITON, Google Earth, etc.)
• Simultaneous Simulation Interactions– Real-Time and Faster than Real-Time Asynchronous Simulation
Communication– Cascading Events and Predictive Assessments
Basis for Federated Design Concept
• No Single Simulation Can Satisfy Needs of All Users– Users Differ in Interests and Requirements for Fidelity and Detail
• Simulation Developers Vary in Their Knowledge of Domains to be Simulated– No Single Set of Developers is Expert Across All Details Even in One
Domain
• No One Can Anticipate All the Uses of Simulation and All the Ways Simulations Could be Fully Combined
• Future Technology, Tools and Improved Models Must be Incorporated
Kuhl, Weatherly and Dahmann - 1999
Modeling, Simulation - Infrastructure Emulation
Power Grid Modeling
PC Tides
Disaster Models
Wireless Communication Modeling
DoD Sim Framework & Visualization
Data
Scene Generation
HSIP GoldFERCIndustry
• Real World AssessmentReal World Assessment
• Crisis Response PlanningCrisis Response Planning
• Course of Action AnalysisCourse of Action Analysis
• Prepare and Train ForcesPrepare and Train Forces
• Manage CrisisManage Crisis
• Restore OperationsRestore Operations
Operational Utility
Restoration
AnalysisResponse
PlanningPreparation
Distributed – Federated - Simulation
Threat Event
Geographical Area Asset Data
OperationsCommand
Post
Threat Model
Wireless Model
RTDS andApplication
Server
Hazard Simulation and Visualization
HURRICANE WINDS
STORM SURGE AND FLOODING
EARTHQUAKE - PGA
Sim Sim time: time: 24 hrs24 hrs
WILDFIRE PROPOGATION
Cascading Effects and Infrastructure Status
ELECTRICAL INFRASTRUCTURE
COMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE
INFRASTRUCTURE COMPONENT IDENTIFICATION AND STATUS
“Play-by-Play” Simulation Results
Supported JFCOM Noble Resolve 08
• Generated Area of Interest Specific Models for Indiana to Support Noble Resolve Experiment
– Earthquake and After-Shock Models– Electrical Infrastructure Model– Wireless and Emergency Communications Model
• Utilize Unified Vector Data Set – HSIP Gold – As Primary Data Supporting Electrical and Communications Model Inputs
• WMS Feeds to iCAV, TRITON, KML to Google Earth
Compatibility
TRITON
DHS iCAV
Google EarthMAK Stealth
Extensibility• Multiple Hazard Models – Potential
Framework for an “All Hazards Environment” Utilizing “Models of Choice”
– Hurricane – U.S. Navy PC Tides 2.0– Earthquake – USGS Boone, Joyner, and Fumal
1997– Wildfire – U.S. Forest Service FARSITE– Cyber Threat Emulation– Manually Initiated Effects
• CI / KR Sectors and Components– Electric Power– Wireless Communications– Process Control Systems– Others coming…
Sim Sim time: 24 time: 24
hrshrs
Scalability
• INL Model Assets– Electrical Infrastructure
• Switchgear
• Breakers
• Transformers
• Tampa / St. Petersburg Model Assets– Electrical Infrastructure
• Substation
• “High” Voltage Transmission Lines
Potential Applications – FY09
• Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense – Homeland Defense and America’s Security Affairs (OASD-HD&ASA), Defense Critical Infrastructure Program (DCIP)– Enhance Electric Grid Simulation and Situational Awareness Capabilities
RTDS: High-Fidelity, ComponentLevel Simulations
Enhanced Predictive Grid State AnalysisRegional Level Power Simulations
Power System StatusData Feeds
Potential Applications – FY09
• Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense – Homeland Defense and America’s Security Affairs (OASD-HD&ASA), Defense Critical Infrastructure Program (DCIP)– Disaster Response: Improving Security of DoD Communications
Systems and Networks During Support to Civil Authorities
DoD Assets Connected toCivilian Infrastructure Networks
DoD Support to Civil Authorities
Introduced Vulnerabilitiesto DoD Networks
Potential Applications – FY09
• DHS National Cyber Security Division (NCSD), Control System Security Program (CSSP)– Simulate Cyber Vulnerability Exploits to Industrial Control
Systems and Resulting Cascading Effects on Critical Infrastructure Sectors
Virtual World Depiction
Cascading Effects: Real World Depiction
Cyber ThreatsInteractive Play
Hardware-in-the-Loop
Network, ControlSystem and
Infrastructure Models
Back Up Slides
Example fragility function
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Wind Speed (mph)
Pro
bab
ilit
y o
f F
ail
ure • Failure of actual assets is stochastic
Standard methodology – fragility models
Data from a variety of sources
Damage Assessment
Recommended