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Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Off h Wi d P t ti lOff h Wi d P t ti lOffshore Wind Potential:Offshore Wind Potential:Development and Job CreationDevelopment and Job CreationDevelopment and Job CreationDevelopment and Job Creation
International Workshop on Wind Energy DevelopmentCairo Egypt
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Cairo, Egypt22-24 March, 2010
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Starting Theory ≠ Final EndingStarting Theory ≠ Final Ending
Wind data needed farther offshore
Class 6 winds likely on this 100 km2 shoal
Probable Location 2007Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Probable Location, 2007
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Answers Reduce RisksAnswers Reduce Risks
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Probable Location, 2008
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Lower Risk Spurs DevelopmentLower Risk Spurs Development
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Probable Location, 2009
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Egyptian Topographic MapEgyptian Topographic Map
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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gyp p g p pgyp p g p p
Egyptian National Oceanographic Data Center
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Wind Atlas for Egypt, 2006 at 50 mWind Atlas for Egypt, 2006 at 50 mRi ø N ti l L b t
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Risø National LaboratoryNew and Renewable Energy Authority
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
M d l d Vertical ExtrapolationModeled Wind Speed
Vertical ExtrapolationBased on 1/7th Power Law
50 m 60 m 70 m 80 m 100 m 120 m10 m/s 10 0 10 3 10 5 10 7 11 0 11 3
ed s]
10 m/s 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 11.0 11.39 m/s 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.28 m/s 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.17 m/s 7 0 7 2 7 3 7 5 7 7 7 9
Spee
[m/s 7 m/s 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.9
6 m/s 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.85 m/s 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.74 m/s 4 0 4 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 54 m/s 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.50 m/s 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
M d l d Average Capacity Factor
Capacity Factor for OffshoreCapacity Factor for OffshoreModeled
Wind Speed
Average Capacity FactorBased on 1/7th Power Law
50 m 60 m 70 m 80 m 100 m 120 m10 m/s 54 3% 55 7% 56 8% 57 7% 59 1% 60 2%
ed s]
10 m/s 54.3% 55.7% 56.8% 57.7% 59.1% 60.2%9 m/s 48.3% 49.9% 51.2% 52.2% 54.0% 55.4%8 m/s 41.0% 42.6% 44.0% 45.2% 47.2% 48.8%7 m/s 32 6% 34 2% 35 6% 36 8% 38 8% 40 5%
Spee
[m/s 7 m/s 32.6% 34.2% 35.6% 36.8% 38.8% 40.5%
6 m/s 23.6% 25.1% 26.3% 27.4% 29.3% 30.8%5 m/s 14.9% 16.0% 16.9% 17.8% 19.3% 20.6%4 m/s 7 5% 8 2% 8 8% 9 4% 10 3% 11 2%4 m/s 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2%0 m/s 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Map of EgyptMap of Egypt
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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p gypp gypUnited Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Gridded Population of the World Gridded Population of the World –– Population Density, 2000Population Density, 2000United Nations Environment Programme
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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United Nations Environment ProgrammeGEO Data Portal
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Egyptian Unified Power Network, 2004Egyptian Unified Power Network, 2004
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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gyp ,gyp ,
Global Energy Network Institute
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Putting It TogetherPutting It Together6-9 m/s Wind
6 m/s Wind @ 50 m
6-9 m/s Wind @ 50 m
220 & 500 kV Lines4-250 People/KM2
220 kV Lines4-25 People/KM2
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Offshore StructuresOffshore StructuresCurrent Technology
< 30 m120 m to 300 m
60 m to 120 m30 m to 60 m
gy
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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After Musialet al. 2006
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Transitional Depth FoundationsTransitional Depth FoundationsTripod T b
Guyed Spaceframe, J k t
Talisman E
Suction B k tTube
SteelTube Jacket, or
TrussEnergy Concept
Bucket60 m to 120 m
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future30 m to 60 m Depths
Musial Offshore Technology Conference OTC06
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Deep Water FoundationsDeep Water Foundations
Dutch tri- Barge Spar
Mono-hull SWAY
Concept Marine
Associates floater TLP
SWAYAssociates Concrete
TLP
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future>60 m Depths
Musial Offshore Technology Conference OTC06
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
European Cost HistoryEuropean Cost History
Horns Rev I
London Array I~ € 2,000 M
630 MWHorns Rev I
€ 272 M 160 MW
ThanetThanet~ € 960 M 300 MW
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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Barton, Wadden Sea Forum, 2009
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Capital Cost BreakdownCapital Cost Breakdown
High Euro to Egyptian Pound ConversionPound ConversionLocal manufacturing potentialp
FoundationsPossibly tower sections
Installation and Project Management almost all
Virginia Coastal Energy
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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localg gy
Research Consortium, 2010
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Greater Greater GabbardGabbardBuilding TimelineBuilding Timeline Greater Greater GabbardGabbard7 Years,7 Years,504 MW504 MW504 MW504 MW
Construction TimetableO h k t t id 2008
Lease Award to Construction Start = 4.5 years
Onshore work starts: mid-2008Offshore work starts: mid-2009First phase power: mid-2010Full project power: end 2011
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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Construction Start to Full Power = 2.5 years
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Contractible Construction JobsContractible Construction JobsH th ti l 588 MW P j t 919 Job Years 306 Jobs o er 3
Support Structure Transporation &
Installations5.8% Detailed
Hypothetical 588 MW Project 919 Job-Years, 306 Jobs over 3 years
Turbine Transporation & Installations
6.9%Onshore Cable
22.1%
Designs7.8% Scour Transporation &
Installations, 0%
Insurance/Legals0.2%
Project Managements11.4%
Commissioning15.4%
EnvironmentalMonitoring
0.4%Other1.3%
OnshoreUndersea Cables19 4%Construction
Development Design3.8%
Surveys0.5%
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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Transformers2.8%
19.4%ConstructionLoadings
3.3%
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Job PotentialJob Potential
The US National Renewable Energy Lab Estimates 39 Job Years per MW39 Job-Years per MWPaliria Energy, Virginia Tech, and the Hampton R d Pl i g Di t i t C i i E ti t f Roads Planning District Commission Estimate for Virginia
4.2 to 5.3 Job-Years/MW Locally during Construction1.1 to 1.7 Job-Years/MW Locally in Operation and M i t
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
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Maintenance
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
By Aaron ApplegateScott HarperFebruary 26, 2010
Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region
Questions?
Thank YouThank You
Email: matthew unger@vt eduAdvanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment
Invent the Future
Email: matthew.unger@vt.eduA2SEA, 2004
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