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Keeping Our Eye on the BallKeeping Our Eye on the Ball

Bob Hugheswww.toysrbob.com

Bob HughesBob Hugheswww.toysrbob.comwww.toysrbob.com

January 7, 2006January 7, 2006

eMate

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 2

Trend Drivers Trend Drivers

Moore's LawFiber build out

InternetWIFIOpen Source

Nano TechnologyGenomeEnergy

Moore's LawFiber build out

InternetWIFIOpen Source

Nano TechnologyGenomeEnergy

M’s

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 3

Mega Trends - 1982Mega Trends - 1982

23 years ago23 years ago

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Mega Trends - 1982Mega Trends - 1982

23 years ago23 years ago

A Nation At Risk (1983)

Education Reform (1984)

Strategic Planning (1984-2001)Project 2001Project 2020FutureScape

CEO Forum (1996)

Partnership for 21st Century Skills (2002)

A Nation At Risk (1983)

Education Reform (1984)

Strategic Planning (1984-2001)Project 2001Project 2020FutureScape

CEO Forum (1996)

Partnership for 21st Century Skills (2002)

NCLB (Jan 8, 2002)NCLB (Jan 8, 2002)

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Mega Trends 1982Mega Trends 1982

World Is Flat 2005World Is Flat 2005

23 years23 years

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World Is Flat 2005World Is Flat 2005

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World Is Flat 2005World Is Flat 2005

Flattener #1 ----11-9-89 Wall /WidowsFlattener #2 ---- 8-9-95 Netscape went PublicFlattener #3 ----Work Flow SoftwareFlattener #4 ----Open Sourcing Flattener #5 ----Outsourcing Flattener #6 ----OffshoringFlattener #7 ----Supply-Chaining Flattener #8 ----Insourcing Flattener #9 ----In-forming Flattener #10----The Steroids

Flattener #1 ----11-9-89 Wall /WidowsFlattener #2 ---- 8-9-95 Netscape went PublicFlattener #3 ----Work Flow SoftwareFlattener #4 ----Open Sourcing Flattener #5 ----Outsourcing Flattener #6 ----OffshoringFlattener #7 ----Supply-Chaining Flattener #8 ----Insourcing Flattener #9 ----In-forming Flattener #10----The Steroids

Handout Book Review Flatteners

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TrendsTrendsUSA� Work from Home

1997 - 11.6 million2004 - 23.5 million (16% of labor force)

� MacDonaldsRemote order taking – Cape Girardeau, Missouri

(order is taken in Colorado Springs + picture)

� UPS Toshiba Computer Repair processing

USA� Work from Home

1997 - 11.6 million2004 - 23.5 million (16% of labor force)

� MacDonaldsRemote order taking – Cape Girardeau, Missouri

(order is taken in Colorado Springs + picture)

� UPS Toshiba Computer Repair processing

India

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Trends - Globalization of JobsTrends - Globalization of Jobs

India (Bangalore)IRS 1040 forms processed for US accounting firms

2003 - 25,0002004 - 100,0002005 - 400, 000

70,000 accounting graduates per year 250,000 Call Center employeesCAT scan/MRI interpretedPersonal Assistant for $1500 per month (B2K company)

India (Bangalore)IRS 1040 forms processed for US accounting firms

2003 - 25,0002004 - 100,0002005 - 400, 000

70,000 accounting graduates per year 250,000 Call Center employeesCAT scan/MRI interpretedPersonal Assistant for $1500 per month (B2K company)

Talent trumps Geao

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Trends - Globalization of JobsTrends - Globalization of Jobs

“Natural talent has begun to trump geography”

Bill Gates

“Natural talent has begun to trump geography”

Bill Gates

China

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China (1.4 billion population)

� Produces 3.1m university graduates (US =1.3m)� Produces about 600,000 new engineers/yr

(nine times as many as the US) � They will work at one fifth the wage of a US

worker. � In China Bill Gates is Britney Spears

(in the US Britney Spears is Britney Spears)

China (1.4 billion population)

� Produces 3.1m university graduates (US =1.3m)� Produces about 600,000 new engineers/yr

(nine times as many as the US) � They will work at one fifth the wage of a US

worker. � In China Bill Gates is Britney Spears

(in the US Britney Spears is Britney Spears)

Trends - Globalization of JobsTrends - Globalization of Jobs

Middle class srik

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USA USA -- Societal TrendsSocietal Trends

• Middle class is shrinking,

• Growth in number of industrialized nations,

• Everything from the neck down is moving toward minimum wage,

• Standard of living in US may be slipping…

More jobs, lower average pay

• Middle class is shrinking,

• Growth in number of industrialized nations,

• Everything from the neck down is moving toward minimum wage,

• Standard of living in US may be slipping…

More jobs, lower average payOther trends

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 13

Other Trends:Other Trends:

•Intellectual property and information are a basis for wealth,

• Work becoming even more decentralized, • Move toward Telecommuting becoming the

norm,• Language and time zones treated as an

annoyance/inconvenience (not a show stopper)

•Intellectual property and information are a basis for wealth,

• Work becoming even more decentralized, • Move toward Telecommuting becoming the

norm,• Language and time zones treated as an

annoyance/inconvenience (not a show stopper)

Microsoft skills

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What Skills Do Students Need?

What is a Knowledge Worker

What Skills Do Students Need?

What is a Knowledge Worker

Mark SpainDirector, Human Resources

Microsoft Corporation

Mark SpainMark SpainDirector, Human ResourcesDirector, Human Resources

Microsoft CorporationMicrosoft Corporation

basics

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The Fundamentals

• The BasicsReading, writing, and math skills

• Good work habitsReliability, dependability, hard working

• Problem solving skills…Approaches, as well as fearlessness

• Computers and technologyAt least some exposure

(It matters for everyone)

•• The BasicsThe BasicsReading, writing, and math skillsReading, writing, and math skills

•• Good work habitsGood work habitsReliability, dependability, hard workingReliability, dependability, hard working

•• Problem solving skillsProblem solving skills……Approaches, as well as fearlessnessApproaches, as well as fearlessness

•• Computers and technologyComputers and technologyAt least some exposureAt least some exposure

((It matters for everyone)It matters for everyone)Wheel

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CEO Fourm

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Skills for the 21st Century:Skills for the 21st Century:

• Basic, scientific, & technology literacy• Visual & information literacy• Cultural literacy and global awareness• Adaptability/managing complexity• Curiosity, creativity & risk taking• High order thinking & sound reasoning• Teaming, collaboration & interpersonal skills• Personal & social responsibility• Interactive communication• Prioritizing, planning and managing results• Effective use of real-world tools• Relevant, high quality products

• Basic, scientific, & technology literacy• Visual & information literacy• Cultural literacy and global awareness• Adaptability/managing complexity• Curiosity, creativity & risk taking• High order thinking & sound reasoning• Teaming, collaboration & interpersonal skills• Personal & social responsibility• Interactive communication• Prioritizing, planning and managing results• Effective use of real-world tools• Relevant, high quality products

Source: www.ceoforum.org - Report 4Source: www.ceoforum.org - Report 4

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 18

What Should 21st Century Schools Look Like?

What Should 21st Century Schools Look Like?

• Design an environment where kids are not a discipline problem…

- think of sports, - summer camp, - school newspaper / year book- performing arts

• Kids are engaged, working on common goals, accomplishing a task, communicating,

• All are 21st Century skills

• Design an environment where kids are not a discipline problem…

- think of sports, - summer camp, - school newspaper / year book- performing arts

• Kids are engaged, working on common goals, accomplishing a task, communicating,

• All are 21st Century skills Horace Mann

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What Should Schools Look Like?What Should Schools Look Like?

• Horace Mann (1796-1859)Free Public Education for allAssembly Line (1848)

• Horace Mann (1796-1859)Free Public Education for allAssembly Line (1848)

• John Dewey (1859-1952)Experiential Learning

(1916 – Progressive model)

• John Dewey (1859-1952)Experiential Learning

(1916 – Progressive model)

Project Based LearningProject Based Learning Culminating ProjectsCulminating Projects

Chris Dede

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Get Legs

Dr. Chris Dede, ProfessorHarvard Graduate School of EducationOctober 28, 2005 – T+L2 Conference Keynote

Dr. Chris Dede, ProfessorHarvard Graduate School of EducationOctober 28, 2005 – T+L2 Conference Keynote

In the coming era, “…is it more important to have kids leave school with 21st century skills or to leave school having (state defined) minimum proficiency levels?”

In the coming era, “…is it more important to have kids leave school with 21st century skills or to leave school having (state defined) minimum proficiency levels?”

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 21

Schlechty

21st Century Skills21st Century Skills

State StandardsBasics

State StandardsBasics

NCLB (2002)NCLB (2002)

A Nation At Risk (1983)Education Reform (1984)Strategic Planning (1984-2001)

Project 2001Project 2020FutureScape

CEO Forum (1996)Partnership for 21st Century Skills (2002)

A Nation At Risk (1983)Education Reform (1984)Strategic Planning (1984-2001)

Project 2001Project 2020FutureScape

CEO Forum (1996)Partnership for 21st Century Skills (2002)

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 22

“We reformed the US Postal Service 40 years ago and now only at-risk mail goes through the post office.”

(…everything important goes FedEx, FAX, Airborne, UPS, etc.)

Philip Schlechty , 1991

“We reformed the US Postal Service 40 years ago and now only at-risk mail goes through the post office.”

(…everything important goes FedEx, FAX, Airborne, UPS, etc.)

Philip Schlechty , 1991

You’re choice

One Final Thought:One Final Thought:

© Educational Technology Exchange© Educational Technology Exchange 23

Question: Question:

Are your schools going the way of:

� - FedEx, E-mail, Fax, UPS?

� - or the Post Office?

Are your schools going the way of:

� - FedEx, E-mail, Fax, UPS?

� - or the Post Office?

Keeping Our Eye on the BallKeeping Our Eye on the Ball

Bob Hugheswww.toysrbob.com

Bob HughesBob Hugheswww.toysrbob.comwww.toysrbob.com

January 7, 2006January 7, 2006

eMate

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