Jack Buckley Commissioner National Center for Education Statistics February 21, 2013

Jack BuckleyCommissioner

National Center for Education Statistics

February 21, 2013

2

Which states are Mega-States?

California

TexasFlorida

Illinois

New York

3

The Mega-States have 2.1 to 6.3M students in each state – this is a total of 18.7M. 6.3M

4.9M

2.1M

2.6M

2.7M

What makes the Mega-States different?

One-third of the nation’s public schools are in the Mega-States.

New York CityChicago

Dallas

HoustonSan Antonio

San Jose

Los Angeles

San Diego

Heavily populated cities

4

5

Changing demographics

# Rounds to zero.NOTE: Black includes African American, Hispanic includes Latino, and Pacific Islander includes Native Hawaiian. American Indian/Alaska Native students and students of two or more races were included in the “other” race category. Race categories exclude Hispanic origin. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding.

Percentage distribution of eighth-grade public school students assessed

Majority of English language learners

6

Percentage of K-12 ELL students

Fourth-grade reading ELL identification and exclusion

7

When did NAEP first assess the Mega-States?

8

How did the Mega-States perform?

Florida makes largest gains in reading

9

Gains in Reading

# Rounds to zero.* Score change was statistically significant (p < .05) between the assessment years shown for each jurisdiction.NOTE: Score changes were calculated using unrounded average scores. Illinois did not participate or did not meet the minimum participation guidelines for reporting at the state level prior to 2003.

Grade 4 Grade 8

10

Gains in Reading

Grade 4

Grade 8

Higher percentage of Hispanic students at or above Proficient in FL than the nation

11

Grade 4 Reading

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.** Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation and the other Mega-States.NOTE: Black includes African American, and Hispanic includes Latino. Race categories exclude Hispanic origin.

Higher percentage of students from lower income families at or above Proficient in NY than the nation

12

Grade 8 Reading

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.

13

How did the Mega-States perform?

All of the Mega-States made double-digit gains in grade 4 and grade 8 mathematics

Gains in Mathematics

14

Grade 8Grade 4

* Score change was significantly different (p < .05) between the assessment years shown for each jurisdiction. NOTE: Score changes were calculated using unrounded average scores. Illinois did not participate at the state level prior to 2000 at grade 4.

Gains in Mathematics

15

Grade 4

Grade 8

Higher percentage of students from lower income families at or above Proficient in TX than the nation

16

Grade 4 Mathematics

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.

Higher percentages of White, Black, and Hispanic students at or above Proficient in TX than in the nation

17

Grade 8 Mathematics

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.** Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation and the other Mega-States.NOTE: Black includes African American, and Hispanic includes Latino. Race categories exclude Hispanic origin.

18

How did the Mega-States perform?

19

Science Results

Fourth-graders in CA score significantly lower than the nation and all the other Mega-States in 2009

** Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation and the other Mega-States.

Texas eighth-graders score highest in 2011

20

Science Results

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.** Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation and the other Mega-States.

Higher percentages of Hispanic students at or above Proficient in TX and FL than the nation

21

Grade 4 Science

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.** Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation and the other Mega-States.NOTE: Black includes African American, and Hispanic includes Latino. Race categories exclude Hispanic origin.

Higher percentage of students from lower income families at or above Proficient in TX than the nation

22

Grade 8 Science

* Significantly different (p < .05) from the nation.

23

How did the Mega-States perform?

24

Highlights

State

Scores higher than the nation in 2011

Scores lower than the nation in 2011

Student group results compared to the nation

All subjects and grades*

Larger score gains for Black students in grade 4 reading and mathematics

Grade 4 readingGrade 8 mathematics and science

Higher percentages of Hispanic students at or above Proficient across subjects

Grade 8 reading Grade 8 scienceHigher percentage of Hispanic students at or above Proficient in grade 8 reading

Grade 4 readingGrades 4 and 8 mathematics and Grade 8 science

Higher percentage of students eligible for NSLP at or above Proficient in reading

Grade 8 mathematics and science

Grade 8 reading Larger score gains across student groups in grade 8 mathematics

* NOTE: Grade 4 science was administered in 2009.

Web Resources

25

To review score trends and more comparisons, visit: http://nationsreportcard.gov/megastates/